Today's 4th Of July Present From Out Star! An X Flare! Did Everyone Get It Wrong?

James Kaufman wrote his report today. Ladies and gentlemen, we're still in a G1 geomagnetic storm ongoing. That has been over 21 hours of straight geomagnetic storm. One for 24 for the next bar. The real deal is, is we've just had an X flare. And I think that everyone has it wrong. I'm going to let you help me decide. Everyone's blaming Sunspot AR4479 for this X flare, the strongest flare we've seen in a month. But I think it came from an unnamed Sunspot coming around the limb to be earth-facing by tomorrow. Right here we see we have an X1.31, I believe. It just popped off. It might have been a whole lot larger if the Sunspot Group, I think, produced it. I'm going to let you visually look at it, but everyone else is coming in with some different information, and it visually, well, does not look that way to me. All right, we had a 20% chance of having an X-class solar flare today, and we've had one. Everyone's trying to blame Sunspot Group AR4479. that's going around the far limb to the 1.31 sunspot that peaked at 2041. Remember that time? I want to show you what I think happened. All right, everyone's blaming AR4479, a Delta-class sunspot group, and it's just about around the limb here. But to me, it looks like this brand-new newly named, within the last hour, sunspot AR4482 produced the flare. Now, they could have flared at the same time, i.e., a sympathetic flare, but they're so far apart that I don't see that happening, and I don't see a huge flare coming out of 4479, but I do see a huge ripple coming out of the area of 4482 that was just named, and it looks like a simple sunspot. All right, take a look at the time down here, 2041. 2041, and what happens? Watch the area I think it came from, and then watch where 4479 is at 2041. I don't see anything happening up at 4479. I guess there is a flare up there. I see one small jet of plasma coming out, but nothing compared to what happened on the incoming limb. Look at what happened on the incoming limb. I think that's where GOES is measuring the 1.31, and I think that they could have flared at the same time based on the plasma we're seeing here. Remember, 20.41 is right in here, and 4479 looks mighty quiet while this other sunspot looks like it hurled a coronal mass ejection out into space. I'm going to let you guys decide but if it was produced by this new sunspot 4482 it's probably a lot larger than 1.31 to me it looks like that's where it came from and it does look like they might have flared at the same time causing the confusion, I'd have to let them sort it out in the next hour or two, but I had to report what I was seeing here, 21 2041 is right there look at the perfect match on that new sunspot group 4482 and how little activity we're seeing out of 4479 during that period right there well ladies and gentlemen it's a hard call but both NOAA and NASA are going to 4479 and everyone else is and i'm making the call that it's four four eight two or both both of them perhaps right moving over to our D region uh prediction center these are all inflows here one after another all day long we had eight at last count that's going to be higher now and the m flare there and let's get to 21 41 which is Right there, obviously the biggest flare of the day over North America and the Atlantic. And again, I'm going to guess that this came from the new sunspot, AR-4489. Let's see if they sort it out in the next couple of hours and maybe change their mind. At best, it was a sympathetic flare. It looked like there was a lot more trouble for the incoming sunspot group than the outgoing sunspot group. one man's opinion i'd love to see your opinion the comments below happy fourth of july god bless i hope you're around for our live show tonight please share give us a thumbs up and remember that anything's possible bizarro world