Complete Solar Activity Update September 12th 2026!

James Kaufman, World News Report today. Ladies and gentlemen, looking at our KP index, our ground-based sensors that shows us what the plasma and solar winds hitting the Earth looks like, well, we haven't seen anything hit Earth in three long days. Three long days, the sun's been very quiet, at least here on Earth. This is, again, the estimated planetary KP index, the recently upgraded index used by NASA and NOAA exclusively, and a 3.67 or higher would be a geomagnetic disturbance, a 4.67 or higher would be a KP5 or a G1 rounded up. today's maximum KP 3-hour bar was, it looks like a three so we're nowhere near a disturbance and nowhere near a geomagnetic storm with that said we've had our biggest solar flare show up on our GOES X-ray flux in at least the last seven days as you can see here although it was just a C-class flare and a measly C-class flare at that the sun's been very quiet with all those sunspots that were earth facing it by the way stayed simple now the sun has not been very active you can see that the first flare was a B 5.2 here running a low B baseline the current value is a B 4.04 the C flare was something special they maxed out at 720 it was a C 5.86 they have not assigned it to a region i believe it might have been a filament eruption that i did find and i will show y'all it's a very tough call though so no sunspot region was assigned we see that 4521 and 4530 and 4524 have all been, well, I won't call it active, have flared. A 1% chance of seeing an X-class solar flare, a 10% chance of an M-class solar flare, and only a 60% chance of a C-class solar flare. At least that ship has sailed. Remember, for about two or three years, we ran a C plus baseline. Over to HMI Intensigram, you see all the sunspots. We have several coming around the limb that we will take a look at. The backside has been fairly busy as usual, but nothing out of these front facing sunspots. Now, 4523 that you see on the far edge here might have been responsible for the solar flare the C5 solar flare or it may have been a filament eruption in that exact area i will show it to y'all at 720 on our GOES solar ultraviolet imager currently we have a total of seven simple sunspots if you count 4523 it's basically around the limb that are earth-facing, and they're all simple. There's no beta-gamma and no delta sunspots, thus the slim chances of having any serious solar flaring. We do have some what looks like serious sunspots coming around the limb. Every time they're serious on the backside, they seem to calm down when they become earth-facing. Now, a few things I'd like to point out. earlier in the day that coronal hole was small but earth-facing that's earlier today and we've moved we did have another blackout uh and if we move to 720 here 720 i'll show you where the explosion is you have to look right here now we have another coronal hole i'd also like to mention that will be earth facing by tomorrow so we're going to see an uptick in solar winds probably starting in 40 hours and probably ongoing for two days i wouldn't expect anything higher than a high 600 kilometer per second solar wind we break 700 it would blow my mind but i want you to look in this area right here just where 4523 was and y'all can see at exactly 1720 well there is a filament eruption or a solar flare and some plasma does move out you can see all that right there and that's all i could find at 720 which is when nasa noticed the peak of the flare was caught by GOES so it's got to be that if you look right in here you can see the plasma actually moving LASCO doesn't well cover this part of the day yet that would help us out quite a bit but i think that's it you can see the plasma being spit out there i don't know if it's a dark filament eruption or if it's that sunspot that flared probably the sunspot that flared but we do see that filament rope there so that that won't be geo-effective towards earth it's just too far around the limb in my opinion although our geomagnetic connection is to the outgoing limb now with that said earth did catch x-rays from that solar flare or filament eruption you'll see here at 720 right there over South America, the Caribbean, Central America, parts of the U.S., parts of the Atlantic, and Pacific. Looks like a much bigger flare than a C5 flare to me, but we're going to go with the instrumentation. Not a lot of radio automation, and I just wanted to show you how the x-rays did, in fact, hit the planet. Now, I ended up getting super lucky, and I found SDO at 211 angstroms. The picture was only taken 20 minutes ago, 20 minutes ago, and you can see clearly the coral hole that I was showing you on solar ultraviolet imager and then that other larger coral hole in the northern hemisphere. So we are going to see an uptick in solar winds. it should start fairly soon, maybe before 40 hours, and should last for probably 48 hours. Remember, I'm looking for around 700 kilometers per second in solar winds, nothing really higher than that. Here's the magnetogram, and you can see that most all the sunspots are simple. I believe that that is what gave us a little bit of trouble. This was taken earlier today, so it hadn't gone around the limb quite as much as it did when it flared or had a filament eruption nearby all right taking a look at the backside of the sun being here and here these are the sunspots that we're going to be dealing with next this was taken a day and a half ago so they're much closer to coming around the earth facing side which is here and these have all moved off to the right as y'all just saw again this was taken halfway through the 10th but it's a composite really and these don't look like hellacious sunspots uh the 012 here looks worse than the 010 or the 011 to me visually so i would say that this would come around the limb in the next 24 to 40 hours and we'll have some named sunspots this will be more than one sunspot as it comes around the limb all right over to the planetstoday.com and we can see the earth here as a geomagnetic connection to saturn neptune and iris and the moon is well moving around we had a new moon was it yesterday or the day before, I showed y'all the sliver of the moon behind the Eiffel Tower. That was our new moon. And I was expecting an uptick in earthquake activity. Well, we saw that sea mound off the coast of Oregon go off, and we also saw the 6.6 magnitude earthquake, which, believe it or not, we haven't had a 6.0 earthquake in some time before yesterday. so we did get a little reaction I was expecting more earthquake activity than what we saw for sure we'll run this through and put the moon on the back side we picked up on the 15th we can see that we pick up a geomagnetic connection to Uranus still not one to Venus right in front of us which is just odd I've not seen that before you get that moon lined up perfectly here it's probably going to be the 27th 28th and 29th the 26th to 29th is really what we're looking at but we have our gas giants behind us Saturn and Neptune we have a nine degree angle Uranus a geomagnetic connection uh hard to believe that but we don't have a geomagnetic connection to Venus here being so close to us this is a real distance anything past this yellow line is much further out than it looks uh this is means not to scale past this each one of these means not to scale so these micro planets are way out there or some of them are as you can see so the next watch days for serious uptick in earthquake activity although I'm still waiting for one today is going to be the 26th to the 29th. So keep that in mind and we'll stand on our toes until then. That said, God bless each and every one of you guys. Please try to remember to give us a thumbs up. It's super important. And share if you can. I'd really appreciate your help. God bless you all.