This Strange Pattern Is Escalating FAST...

It's Saturday, July 11th, 2026. It's the 192nd day of the year. And there's a lot brewing in the pattern. This week, there is a late week, severe weather set up lighten up for the mid Atlantic DC, Baltimore, Philly, Raleigh, and Virginia beach with nearly 29 million people sitting inside of a zone that I'm watching very closely per Friday, and also there's a bunch of heat and flooding coming. So let's talk about that. If you live anywhere from Washington, DC up to Philadelphia and down to Raleigh, keep one eye on next Friday. We're talking about July 17th, because again, nearly 29 million Evians are sitting inside of a zone that I'm actually watching pretty closely because there's already a 15% severe weather risk drawn up for Friday across the mid Atlantic, and it's tied to the exact kind of pattern that we typically see really explode in July. But here's how it comes together. We've got a massive heat dome that's building out over the central U S and by Tuesday, it's going to start sliding East and it's going to park a lid of high pressure aloft from Montana all the way over to Michigan on the Eastern side of that dome, the winds up higher are going to start ripping out of the Northwest. We're basically going to have a high speed conveyor belt aimed at the East coast. Now, before a single storm shows up, it's just going to be brutal out there. Okay. Heat indices are going to be near a hundred degrees from DC to Philly by Wednesday. So if you are headed to citizens bank park for the MLB all-star events, you're going to be sweating through your shirt. Okay. And in central North Carolina, we're going to be baking near a hundred to 105 as well from Thursday into Friday. And during that same time period, high pressure over the Atlantic is going to pump warm soupy air into the region. And it's going to load the atmosphere like a dag on loaded gun. Then late in the week, that heat dome begins to break down a little bit. The lid comes off and the door swings open for a couple of really big storm clusters. I think what we're going to see is what we call MCS is okay. Mesoscale convective systems. They're just going to start diving South and East. And, uh, this is a signature threat with this Northwest flow. Okay. We see this all the time, but this is one of the more impressive long range signals I've seen for an event like this in quite some time. Now, will it hit your exact city? Well, if you're anywhere from Baltimore to Virginia beach, you're in the zone, but it's way too early to nail the exact storm track. In fact, I'll be straight with you. My confidence at this exact hour is pretty low, but the storm prediction center already put a 15% risk out, which is rare. Okay. And they're the experts. So, you know, they're seeing something. I mean, I'm definitely seeing what they're seeing on the models. I do think it could change, but it's important that we don't shrug this off because back in late July, 2021, one of these same kinds of setups dropped an EF two and an EF three tornado in Pennsylvania. Okay. Is it really the same kind of analog setup? So if everything lines up the way the extended data is hinting at Friday could turn into a very busy, very dangerous day for the I-95 corridor. Again, I don't think the main threat will be tornadoes or anything, but straight line damaging winds, uh, at the, at least are going to be a huge problem. Now, while the East coast waits on Friday, the West is already living through a life threatening heat wave peaking right now from the intermountain West into the Northern plains highs between a hundred and 110 degrees going straight after all time records in Utah and up into the Dakotas were breaking records left and right. Sunday is going to be the peak of the whole stretch. We're going to be running 25 degrees above normal for mid July, and it's already hot in mid July. So 25 degrees above normal is crazy. Actually. It's all one giant, unusually strong dome of high pressure trapping hot, dry air, like a lid on a boiling pot. That's what's happening out here. Salt Lake city could break or tie. It's all time record of 107 and Billings, Montana is staring down 108, which is going to bring down a bunch of records. So at that level of heat, your body simply can't cool itself. Heat exhaustion can hit in minutes if you're working hard outside. And I know a lot of you guys that watch this channel are doing that. So we got to be thinking about that, but also stack triple digit heat on top of bone dry brush and a humidity level crashing below 10% and add some 30 mile per hour wind gusts and the wildfire danger is going through the roof as well. I'm actually most worried about Eastern Idaho and Southern portions of Montana and Wyoming on Sunday, where there is going to be a strengthening surface low. That's going to drive those gusts right over the driest fuels out there. So should you cancel your plans? Well, if you've got a hard hike planned in Northern Utah or Eastern Montana this weekend, either build a backup plan or finish before 10 AM. That's all I've got to say about it. A cold front is finally going to drag cooler Pacific air into Montana by late Sunday into Monday. But the Northern plains are going to stay dangerously hot. This is not your average hot summer weekend. This is the kind of heat that buckles roads, shatters records and puts vulnerable people in the hospital. Now we're going to go from heat that won't quit to water that won't stop. Okay. There is a serious flash flood risk rolling through the rest of the weekend across the Mississippi, Ohio and Tennessee valleys with storms training over the same soaked ground over and over again. The bullseye is going to continue to run from Western Kentucky down into central Tennessee or middle Tennessee, where the air is absolutely loaded with moisture. We're talking about top 10% for this time of year. And, uh, these storms are going to be barely even crawling. Okay. The steering winds, the stuff that normally gets these storms out of here are going to drop to nearly nothing tonight. So the storms are going to rebuild over the same spots and they're going to dump more than two inches of rain per hour. A river of humid air is going to crank up this evening, feeding even more moisture and even more fuel into the slow clusters right over ground. That's already been maxed out from recent heavy rain. We've had tons of flooding problems out here. In fact, it's flooding right now in a lot of these places. I have kind of shifted where I think the heaviest rainfall is going to be a little bit farther to the South and West today, but I'm also widening the general flood risk into the Ohio Valley as well, because we're going to have some rain up there. That's going to be really heavy also. So if you've got tickets to the Cubs and Reds at the great American ballpark on Sunday afternoon, be ready for delays and some blinding downpours as this whole thing lifts off to the North and East. And it doesn't quit after this weekend either. The flood threat spreads into the central Gulf coast by Monday, then into Texas and the Southwest monsoon by midweek. So we're just going to be chasing this flood threat across the map over the next several days. So if you do hit a flooded road in Tennessee or Kentucky tonight or tomorrow, turn around, don't drown. A few inches of moving water is all it takes to float your car right off the pavement. And we're about to get much deeper into that, but first let's WeatherWise, the best radar app I've ever used. WeatherWise is a free to download state of the art ad free weather radar app on iOS, Android, and in your web browser, you get super high res radar, lightning alerts, and storm tracks with zero pop up junk in your way. And lately WeatherWise has been leveling it up in a big way. You can now watch live storm chasers right on the map, including Brandon and much more out there in real time. They've also added full blown weather models inside WeatherWise. We've got the HRRR, the GFS, Graphcast, NAM, you name it, it's on there. And for my plus members, this is where it gets crazy. In y'all mode, you can now see the weather intensity score updating live right there in your radar app. And during my live streams, you can now open the WeatherWise app and actually share your location with me. So I can see where everybody's watching and which storms to focus on free users can ping their location. And plus some pro members can show up with a special icon and message. So you stand out when the storms are hitting home plus still gives you the 3d globe, 3d radar, tilt, radar, smoothing, and split view. So you can watch multiple maps at once, but WeatherWise pro cranks it up even more with real time 3d cross sections, triple and quad view reflectivity X max reflectivity and fast scan. These are the kinds of tools that meteorologists and emergency managers use, and now you can have them in your pocket. The core WeatherWise experience is still free and it will always be free. But if you want the pro level toys, that's where you upgrade to plus and pro inside the WeatherWise app. And if for some reason you don't have the WeatherWise app yet, scan this QR code here or go to weatherwise.app. There's a link in the top of the description, or you can just search up WeatherWise in the iOS or Android store. It's free, it's incredibly powerful, and it's built by people who know about weather for people who actually care about the weather. Now let's get back into the forecast. Now let's keep talking about the same weekend, but a different trouble a little bit farther East. In the Southeast, we need you to stay weather aware because a wandering front is going to kick off some scattered severe storms. I've got a level two slight risk drawn up for Sunday across Eastern Georgia and the Carolinas. Storm Prediction Center has nearly 13.7 million people, including Charleston and Columbia, in this elevated risk for severe weather. And these storms are going to eventually slide into Northern Florida as well on Monday. So if you're the person in Augusta who just cashed that $200,000 winning lottery ticket this morning, I hope you've got a safe spot to ride these out because the storms are going to pack a punch, okay? Now Sunday's got a stalled boundary draped across the region. The most organized storms are going to fire in North Carolina, where the wind shear is going to be the strongest, but the hottest and most explosive air is going to sit a little bit further South than that. So that's actually a pretty perfect recipe for rain loaded down drafts that crank out 60 mile per hour plus gusts. That's enough to bring down tree limbs and power lines. So if you're outside Sunday afternoon in the Carolinas, make sure you keep the WeatherWise app pulled up and lean on that lightning layer because these storms are going to pop up out of nowhere and you'll see the cores building before you even hear the first rumble. Now, before that late week pattern ever reaches the Mid-Atlantic, it fires off an early potent severe weather threat for New England on Tuesday. There's also another 15% severe weather risk up there on Tuesday for upstate New York, New Hampshire, and Maine, including Bangor and Burlington. A cold front that's really strong for July is going to slam into an atmosphere loaded with storm energy and packing serious wind shear over 50 knots of it, and the cool air that's coming with this cold front actually cools off even more as you go up into the atmosphere. And that's rocket fuel for storms. So broken lines could go higher end with everything on the table, including large hail and damaging winds. We can't rule out a tornado or two. It's unlikely with these kinds of setups, but we've seen it before, like I mentioned earlier. The window sharpens up late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. And the big question is just how long that instability is going to hang around as the front swings through. So if you live north of a Concord to Portland line, Tuesday is shaping up to be a day that you want to be very weather aware, and since this threat rolls right into Tuesday night, this is exactly why I built y'all call. If a warning drops for your location after dark, your phone's going to ring and ring and ring until you pick up. Okay. All right. And I promise y'all it's not all storms and warnings. We do have some good news out there. If you need a break from all that on Sunday, we're going to be serving up some of the best outdoor weather of the entire year across the north. Okay. So we've got a huge stretch of gorgeous conditions running through the Pacific Northwest, through the upper Midwest, right into northern New England. We're talking about Portland, Oregon and Bangor, Maine. All these places are basically maxing out the comfort index on Sunday. All right. All these places are also going to have their own problems throughout the next week or so. But Sunday looks really nice with highs in the upper seventies and low eighties. So if you are headed to Lumen field in Seattle for the thorns and the rain on Sunday, we've got flawless weather in store for that match. So a strong Canadian high is going to sweep in. It's going to clear out the clouds. It's going to drop dew points into the low fifties and even upper forties in the Pacific Northwest. And the air quality is also going to be fantastic across the whole northern corridor too. So this is definitely a day to open the windows, give the AC a rest and catch the Wimbledon men's final from the couch. And that's all the weather talk I have for y'all today. Thank you so much for watching. Make sure you slap a like on this video and subscribe if you haven't already. And I will see you in the next one. Goodbye.