Sony Camera Upgrades Are Coming! Here’s What’s Next...

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Here are all the different Sony models out right now,
and these are the ones that I think
will get an update this year.
Will we see the revival of compact cameras
with the RX100 Mark VIII?
Could there be an APS-C Hybrid King
to observe the current A6700?
Will the A7R Mark VI,
the next high megapixel hard drive destroyer,
exist in this economy?
And of course, we had to talk about
the two most anticipated cameras of all time.
Please, sir, can I have some more?
The A7S Mark IV,
and the FX3 Mark II.
And no, I am not sponsored by Sony,
but over the last 10 years,
I've been shooting with Sony cameras professionally,
owned at least a couple of models
in each of these extensive categories,
tested many of their secret pre-release products,
and while I don't have any official information,
I have at least an idea
of what Sony's release patterns are,
the philosophy behind each of these family trees,
and the current market trend,
so I can offer you realistic expectations
so you won't be disappointed
when the camera you've been waiting for finally arrives.
My name is Jason Wong,
get your grain of salt ready,
and let's get started.
RX100 Mark VIII.
There is a rumor buzzing around
that a new premium pocket-pointed shoot RX100
will be coming out this year,
the current one being the RX100 Mark VII
that came out back in 2019,
seven years ago.
That's the time it took Young Link
to become Adult Link in Ocarina of Time.
Now, this is a special camera
because despite its compact size,
it's rocking a one-inch sensor
with a 24 to 200-millimeter FUJIFILM equivalent lens,
and it can do 20 frames per second
raw versus no blackout frames,
similar to the full-frame A9 Mark II,
which was a top-end Olympic sports camera,
and honestly, it still can be.
Within the last three years,
it's gaining a lot of popularity
with old unks like me
who are tired of big-ass setups,
but still yearning for that same speed and power.
And funny enough,
it's gaining popularity with the younger Gen Zers
who are looking for a quality compact camera for concerts.
Now, even though it's a small one-inch sensor,
combined with its actual optical glass elements,
it will outshine any smartphones
with their so-called 100x zooms.
So what can Sony improve on?
The 24 to 200-millimeter zoom lens
is the biggest selling point,
so I don't think they will change this,
but with a newer processor behind it,
could improve or enhance the image quality,
i.e. better low-light performance
through in-camera processing,
better optical stabilization
with optional enhancement from digital stabilization,
and most importantly,
better straight-out-of-camera JPEGs,
because that alone will convince a lot of casual users
to go for a camera like this.
Now, I've been saying a lot in my other videos,
but those new film looks that Sony have been implementing
look pretty damn good,
so make more.
Y'all got any more of those film looks?
Now, those are the bare minimum updates,
so let's talk about how they can wow us.
Can we go from 20 frames per second
to 30 frames per second raw burst?
We don't need this to be a baby A9 Mark III
when it's 120 frames per second raw burst.
Just make this a baby A7 Mark V
with all the new AI autofocus subject recognition
and autofocus tracking.
Animo and Burt lovers are going to pine for this camera.
And for video, folks, 4K 60p, 10-bit 422, non-negotiable.
And I can imagine this and the Osmo Pocket 3,
and of course, the eventual Osmo Pocket 4 from DJI,
being in every solo creator's kit,
one for smooth gimbal videos
and the other for tight close-up shots.
I'm gonna be honest with you guys, okay?
As much as I love for the RX100 Mark VIII to exist,
I personally doubt it is coming.
Ever since the ZV-1 launched in 2020,
Sony has focused a lot of their energy on compact cameras
in this budget line only.
And for them and the current market, it just makes sense.
The RX series have been marketed
as the premium compact line with the premium price tags.
So it only ever appealed to hardcore enthusiasts
because let's be for real here,
dropping $1,700 plus for a pocket point-and-shoot,
unless you really love photography,
RX cameras will not be flying off the shelf.
Now, what Sony could do
is take some of those potential upgrades
that we talked about
and shove it into the next ZV-1 Mark III.
And even then, that's very hopeful.
Short answer is, don't get your hopes up.
A6900.
Now, I do think we're still one year too early about this
because the A6700 launched back in July, 2023.
We are only approaching the three-year mark, barely.
It pretty much does everything that we need to do
at a reasonable price,
but competition in this space is getting quite fierce.
So it could motion Sony to release the next A6000 sooner,
perhaps calling it the A6900.
Yeah, I've been telling that same joke
for the last 10 years.
But really, there isn't enough improvements yet,
at least not unless Sony is willing to step on some toes
with their full-frame lineup.
But if it had to come out now,
what improvements could Sony realistically do?
26 to 33 megapixels?
I don't really feel confident
about a jump in resolution like that,
but Fujifilm is currently offering 40 megapixels
in their high-end and mid-range APS-C cameras,
so this is a maybe.
But I think it would make more sense
for Sony to keep it 26 megapixels,
but give us a speed boost instead,
from 11 frames per second to,
say, 20 frames per second raw burst with pre-capture.
And I think this is something that is highly likely,
given the fact that the mid-range full-frame A7 Mark V
can do 30 frames per second raw burst, no blackout frames.
This speed boost could start becoming a trend
for future release models.
And we will, of course, get the new
and improved AI subject recognition
and autofocus tracking, obviously.
But in terms of video,
I don't think we're gonna get anything new
other than a slight quality bump.
It's still gonna be 4K 60p no crop
and 4K 120p with a slight crop.
And I doubt we'll get 6K and Open Gate,
which would disappoint a lot of video users.
When Sony finally gives us 6K and Open Gate,
it has to happen with the higher-end
full-frame models first.
So this is exactly why I said it is still too early
for this camera to get updated.
Sony hasn't moved the needle
for their higher-end full-frame cameras enough
to warrant a big change for their APS-C line.
And there is no way in hell
that their APS-C line will come out
with something that their full-frame line didn't get yet.
If they release the next A6000 now,
it would just disappoint a lot of people.
So bottom line, I'll say this.
If they rush it, it will be a mid-2026 release,
but then it will probably also be mid,
as the kids will say.
But reasonably, I have a feeling
it will be a Q2 2027 announcement at the earliest.
A7 III Mark III.
So here's a camera that I really want to see late this year,
and we don't really have to guess much.
The A7C Mark III will have 90% of the same specs
as the A7 Mark V.
The latest 33 megapixel sensor
with 30 frames per second raw burst, no blackout frames.
The new and improved AI subject recognition
and autofocus tracking, obviously.
4K 60p no crop, 4K 120p with a 1.5x crop
on a compact size, and I will 100% buy this
and crown it as my number one favorite compact hybrid
photo, video, full-frame camera of all time.
Finally dethroning my beloved ZV-E1.
Let's go.
Hype, hype, hype, hype, hype, hype, hype, hype, hype.
Ahem, yeah, here's what it won't have.
No four-axis multi-angle LCD screen,
which I know, bummer, because I love that style.
But Sony will likely gatekeep it
for their higher-end, bigger bodies, which, okay, fine.
And I don't expect any improvements
with the viewfinder or LCD resolution
than what they already have with the current A7C models.
But as long as they keep the silver top version,
I'm not gonna complain too much.
And does it need to be said, no 6K, no open gate.
Case closed.
Close the gate.
While I desperately want it to be this year,
I think logically the A7C Mark III
will be announced mid-2027 at the earliest.
Sony's priority is pushing the A7 Mark V hard.
They really wanna sell this camera.
So I wouldn't be surprised if they would even delay
the A7C Mark III to 2028.
Look, I'm just trying to be real here, okay?
The A7 Mark V's currently doing numbers for them.
So until that slows down, the current A7C Mark II,
A7C R, and the ZV-E1 are going to be safe to buy
for another year.
So short answer, A7C Mark III, 2027, 2028.
A7R Mark VI.
The high-res photo focus A7R Mark V
is coming up on four years old now,
launching back in late 2022.
And boy, it is ripe for an update.
There's a real strong chance that we'll see
the A7R Mark VI Q3, Q4 of 2026
with the A7C R Mark II following a year or two after that
with 80 to 90% of the same specs.
Now the A7R Mark V is 61 megapixels currently.
So Sony can go about the upgrades in two ways.
One, a bump in resolution, or two, speed boost.
Historically, the A7R Mark II and the A7R Mark III
both were 42 megapixels.
The A7R Mark IV and the A7R Mark V were both 61 megapixels.
So following this trend,
we could see it going up to 80 megapixels.
Rip our hard drives and our wallets,
especially with the rise in price for the storage,
am I right?
That Samsung T94 terabyte was like three, 400 bucks.
Now it's like close to a thousand dollars, man.
What the hell?
Anyways, 80 megapixels or keep it at 61 megapixels
with improved dynamic range,
but give us the faster burst with pre-capture.
Like, I don't know, 15 frames per second raw burst.
A lot of sports and wildlife photographers
would definitely appreciate that.
But then again, why not just buy an A1 or an A1 Mark II?
I mean, 51 versus 61 megapixels
is just a 10 megapixel difference,
which is why I think the 80 megapixel route
makes a lot more sense.
Or Sony could surprise us
and do 80 megapixels with speed performance.
Now that would really separate it
from the current A1 Mark II.
In the video department,
perhaps we can get more options with 8K,
maybe now up to 60 frames per second
with proper 10-bit 422 options.
It's not what people are asking for,
but it's a good marketing bonus for Sony.
However, I think this is their chance
to finally give us a proper 6K option,
which is a lot more reasonable than 8K.
Keep the 8K, of course,
but give us 6K 24, 30, and 60p options
so that the other Sony cameras can finally get proper 6K.
And of course, bump the 4K up to 240 frames per second.
Why not?
And maybe, Maiko, just maybe we finally get Open Gate.
While Open Gate makes way more sense
for a video-focused camera like the A7S and FX3,
Sony has never shied away from giving the A7R series
killer video specs in the past.
I mean, it's one of the two cameras
in their entire alpha line that is offering 8K.
Not even the FX3 can shoot 8K.
And if users really want this camera
for the highest res possible,
I mean, nothing says highest res possible
than shooting with the whole freaking sensor, am I right?
The next A7R is the prime outlet for Sony
to finally give us the desperate video specs
that we've been wanting,
but that is way too much hope,
so let's wrangle ourselves back down to earth.
What makes the most sense
for a high-res photo-focused camera like this
is really all about improving image quality
through the form of better low-light performance,
either in-camera or pixel-shift composites,
better in-body image stabilization
for improved sharpness rate,
and just better user experience overall.
This is a high-megapixel camera.
Give us the ability to do step-cropping in-camera, please,
or at least give us a larger screen like the Nikon ZR
so we can see what we're shooting,
but a larger screen is doubtful.
So if not a bigger screen, at least make it brighter.
Bottom line is, if Sony isn't gonna wow us with specs,
they can at least wow us with a better experience.
So short answer, A7R Mark VI, Q3, Q4 of 2026.
Let's freaking go!
A7S Mark IV and FX3 Mark II.
Man, it is crazy to think about this.
The A7S Mark III came out in 2020.
It's a six-year-old camera.
The FX3 came out in 2021.
It's a five-year-old camera.
When it came out, the FX3 was basically
a rehoused A7S Mark III,
taking the amazing low-light sensor
and wrapped it with a cinema body.
It was kinda dumb, but over the years
and many firmware updates later,
it has become its own identity
and has even surpassed the notoriety of the A7S Mark III,
so much so that I don't think we'll actually see
an A7S Mark IV.
The FX3 Mark II will carry on instead,
and it will get a viewfinder similar to the recent FX2.
I just hope it could at least keep the mechanical shutter.
Then I would be okay with no A7S Mark IV.
So what upgrades will we see in the FX3 Mark II
or the low-chance-in-hell A7S Mark IV?
Now, rumors are saying that it would jump
from 12 megapixels to 16 megapixels, which isn't much,
but Sony is saying it's the low megapixel count
that helps with the cleanest low-light performance.
Now, people in the comments are gonna argue,
oh, that's not true, that's just marketing bullshit.
Whatever the case is,
it's the insane low-light performance
that primarily moves these cameras
from shelves to customer hands.
People here aren't gonna care how little the megapixels are
so long as we get the absolute cleanest low-light performance
at a ridiculously high ISO.
And the current dual-base ISO for the A7S Mark III
and the FX3 are 640 and 12,800, filming in S-Log3.
Could we see the second-base ISO being as high as 25,600?
Boy, I hope so.
And it makes sense to finally move this bar up.
Plus, 16 megapixels might be the bump
that we need to expand as more video resolution options.
It's been more than 10 years at this point with 4K,
and six years with the 4K 10-bit 422 option.
So maybe we'll finally see a proper 6K option,
6K 60p perhaps, with 4K up to 240 frames per second.
But I doubt we'll get 8K.
With 6K at least, it might help tone down
some of that open gate heat
that Sony is currently receiving.
Open gate.
Now, in case you don't know what that is,
open gate means the camera's recording
with the entire sensor,
usually a square or close-to-square format.
So there would be enough room for us to use the footage
in either a horizontal or vertical orientation later.
Perfect for pros who have to deliver in both
because advertising on phone screens now
have been increasingly popular,
and open gate would save us from doing double the work.
Shooting horizontally and then vertically
or doing that awkward vertical crop
from a horizontal footage.
Just bleh, claustrophobic.
Now, Panasonic had this for years now,
from what I've heard.
Canon is finally letting loose with it,
so the community is pressuring Sony to follow suit.
And if they won't relent,
Sony's gonna really have to wow us
with the other aspects of the camera
to really convince people to buy their camera
over a Canon C50 or R6 Mark III,
or hell, even the Nikon ZR.
Up until now, yeah, Panasonic Lumix has open gate,
but people still went for Sony
for the best-in-class autofocus.
But now that Canon is offering open gate
with comparable autofocus performance,
Sony really has no excuse.
And what about video raw?
Here's where I think Sony will unfortunately not relent on.
Open gate, yeah, maybe.
Video raw, probably a no.
Canon is doing it, Nikon is doing it,
hell, even Apple is doing it.
Raw video would allow users to change ISO
and white balance in post,
but at the cost of being an insane file size.
For reference, the new Canon R6 Mark III
records approximately 10 gigabytes per minute
for a 7K 30p raw video.
So if you wanna shoot an hour's worth of footage,
you're gonna need a little more than 600 gigabytes of memory.
And with the cost of storage being what it is today,
good luck.
So what can Sony do to wow us?
Built-in ND.
We've been asking this for years,
but built-in ND filter.
No one has done it for cameras in this size yet, okay?
And this would definitely give them the edge.
It would definitely soften up the open gate drama.
Open gate.
Next, what they could give us
is even better in-body image stabilization.
Trump Panasonic right here.
Give us video creators less of a reason
to bring a big gimbal around.
How about the ability to record to an external SSD?
Now that the A7 Mark V has two USB-C ports,
perhaps the A7S Mark IV and the FX3 Mark II
can follow suit with a dedicated port
to output to an external SSD.
In that case, Sony could then offer more codec support
when an external SSD is mounted.
ProRes RAW, eh, eh?
I don't know if there's any sort of licensing agreement
they would need to do with Apple to implement that,
but hey, that could be one win
if Sony can give us RAW video in some way.
Bigger screen like the Nikon ZR,
but I doubt we'll see that.
At this point now,
they likely have already finalized the design
for the A7S Mark IV and the FX3 Mark II.
And with how new the ZR is,
it's kinda late for Sony to try to put in a bigger screen.
That's probably gonna be an A7S Mark V or FX3 Mark III
in 2033.
That's a long time from now.
Bottom line, it's gonna be a tough hill to climb,
but ultimately, Sony needs to do more
with improving user experiences
if they aren't gonna wow us with cutting edge specs.
Make the next camera so damn convenient
that people would choose over
having open gate and RAW video features.
But hey, you know what?
Maybe Sony could surprise us.
Maybe they'll pull out all the stops,
give the FX3 Mark II and the A7S IV the big guns
and just blast the competition away
with one fell swoop.
Then, in that case, I, Jason Vong,
will be happy to be wrong.
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Thank you so much for watching.
We'll see you guys in the next video.
Peace.
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