Edwardsson: Mamdani kan bli en röra för historieböckerna

It has been a lot in the USA New York has gotten a new mayor How much should one invest in this No politically speaking you shouldn't put too much into this I'm trying to come up with a Swedish analogy A mayoral election in New York is as indicative of national political trends in the U S as a municipal election would be in Kiruna It is possible to accurately predict who will win several months in advance There were also a few other elections such as the governor's races in Virginia and New Jersey It's clear that it was a clean slate so to speak for the Democrats But then you have to look at this New Jersey is a blue state and has been since the early 1990s Virginia has also become increasingly blue You can see it mainly in the political geography of Virginia what happened I and with the bureaucracy in Washington D C constantly growing Then both Virginia and Maryland which D C borders are affected That's where all the bureaucrats move to live and then commute into Washington D C This has made both Maryland and northern Virginia very blue Looking at the election results the Democratic governor's candidate It would have been hopeless in Virginia if it hadn't been for this blue ribbon A detailed overview of Washington D C for Fairfax Alexandria and the London area In addition the state remains deeply red in most places It was very much anti-Trump effect The Democrats continue to flow out in unusually large numbers They vote as much for their own candidates as for assigning the best possible positions until Trump and the Republicans when they get the chance Sure it was a bad night for the Republicans but I wouldn't say that It was a particularly good evening for the Democrats more than just nominally Or depending on that They got the results everyone could expect More or less Maybe a few percent extra There was definitely nothing that stood out to many eyes After Doge cut down the public administration it is also many Runtomkring Washington DC bureaucrats who are very critical of the Republicans when they lose their jobs It's great that the voter turnout is so high But Mamdani who has won in New York The Democrats are portraying him as a new Obama Republicans almost portray him as a threat to democracy Who is this person He is unique in many ways First of all he has not bee American citizen in your teens He apparently became a citizen here six to seven years ago He is an immigrant he is a Muslim and he is A self-appointed socialist This is a combination that would never win in the United States as a whole We talked about these blue areas in northern Virginia and southern Maryland The entire city of New York is super-blue deep blue If you look at it I was actually surprised in a way He got just over 50% The other voices were split between two A Republican and a Cuomo This was the Democrat who ran as an independent If this had been a regular mayoral election in New York the The Democratic frontrunner easily got maybe 60- 65 or even 70% now Cuomo just took some of that This was a narrow victory but not a significant one in that way Even in New York a Muslim socialist whose parents are also so is Anti-American views and dislike for their new homeland It wouldn't go home Maybe in the blue areas of Illinois and California Chicago or San Francisco He could also be elected It's like a municipal election in Kiruna where people choose between different shades of socialism more or less since decades back You can't dream the rest of the head from New York It is more non-American than Stockholm is non-Swedish Ten times more In a mayoral election in New York Democrats usually get more votes What makes Democrats hesitant to cast their vote for Mandani He is so far to the left that even many more traditional ones The Democrats could not vote for him What makes this more interesting to me as a political scientist is that this is A natural development The Democrats have been slowly but surely in power for over a hundred years It has been moving to the left and much faster in the last twenty years So that's why these kinds of things started coming up After all he's not the first either You have Alexandra and Taizé and Cortés You have Bernie Sanders You have a majority of members in the house with this league led by AOC Oh and several local politicians around the U S who are somewhere on the left side I hate the Swedish left-wing party If one now tries to draw an ideological analogy This is not a traditional democrat They are outspoken socialists So this is a relatively new type of American politician And they only go home in these deepest blue areas Blue in the US is the color of the left So this is interesting It was somewhat expected but at the same time one shouldn't draw entirely too many conclusions Switching gears here Just a year ago Kamala Harris she's not at all Like as far to the left as Mandami and AOC and Bernie Sanders But she is closer to this new wing than the old one She clearly lost the country as a whole So you should just have this clear Those who think this is the beginning of the end For the Trump era itself they are deceiving themselves For this is as stated one This is like trying to judge Sweden's political development based on a local election I Kiruna or something like that It's simply not possible He advocates for high taxes on the absolutely wealthiest people in New York The absolute richest in the world What could this have for consequences The consequences have already begun People and companies have already started Move it away It's even a saying I saw it online and it's eve Is there talk about the New York Stock Exchange moving to Philadelphia For they are unsure if they want to stay in New York with such a mayor If it happens now I don't think it will but if it does then it would be The most symbolic thing that can be imagined is that the stock market flees a pseudo-communist so to speak It's just that one shouldn't forget that even though New York and Manhattan are among the mos Liberal areas After all there are still 20-30% Republicans living in New York Many of them had already started moving out during the pandemic because New York had gone completely crazy I hate these kinds of strict shutdowns and stuff They moved here to Florida It began moving to Texas and other Republican states This has continued the taxes have become so many and the governments so harsh These are the bluest states such as New York and California It's already a mass exodus and for New York's part this just added fuel to the fire so to speak Tax increases in Norway led to a massive capital flight Mandani has also been heavily criticized by people who don't think he is doing enough Much distance from fundamentalist Muslims and Sharia laws How do you view that criticism Yes it's also very intricate and interesting for a large minority in New York And they have been around for a very very long time you know the Jews It's really strange that they have been some of the democratic party's biggest supporters and donors So how this will work out over time again as a political scientist one just rubs one's hands together This is going to be really interesting How bad it will be for New York as a city and a place to live we'll just have to see It usually can go When people like these gain political power they usually The results tend to show up quite quickly because they are so convinced of their own ideological infallibility so that when they start implementing it and it doesn't work Instead of changing direction they tend to just keep going the same way So the breakdown usually comes quite soon The first one we have seen in Cuba we have seen it in Venezuela In practice all socialist countries France even as late as the early 1980s When François Mitterrand was elected to introduce some form of democratic socialism which is what they are talking about here It only lasted for a couple of years Then he had to change direction as well Mandamin has a four-year term I wouldn't take it as completely as at the end that he doesn't put the period out For this I mean honestly if the Swede could just get rid of his prejudices e Republican Party and the American right in general and Trump in particular for a second This could mean state-run food stores in practice The world outside North Korea I think hasn't seen anything like it since the days of the Soviet Union and we know how that ended So this is going to be a mess that will go down in history I'm completely convinced of that You compare New York with Cuba and Venezuela How radical is the policy and how bad can it get Yes I can't swear exactly how radical a person Mandy is It's a big difference here now because New York will remain thank goodness for those who live there part of the USA We have the American Constitution when it comes to property rights and free competition and such things are obvious So I think at the very least the entire Manhattan administration will end up spending a lot of time in court For private individuals and sole proprietors it will start to go to court As soon as he begins to implement his more radical ideas That could take years for things like that to get through Now we'll see in a way this becomes interesting and ironic Now the cutting is done in a way for the Democrats have used Liberal judges and courts have done as much as they possibly could against the Trump administration since January and did so during Trump's first term So now I think this is going to be a repeat so to speak on the right side Conservative judges and courts that actually have the American Constitutio And its free rights will seriously enter into this And as they say it will be a sensational mess for us journalists and political scientists who will have a lot to talk about When comparing Cuba and Venezuela how far left does Mandana really want New York to go He's not I mean I don't call him in to Fidel Castro or Victor Chavez or something like that At the very least even if he has such parts and opinions deep inside the iron bark So New York is still part of the USA So even if he tried to introduce or abolish things that are guaranteed private ownership or something like that He's talked about freezing rents and taking over housing and such Oh that's exactly what I mean even if and when he tries to do it it will end up in court For the American Constitution it is clear when it comes to things like private property rights freedom of speech free competition and such things The U S Constitution is supreme over all state and local legislation So if he starts enforcing rules and such in New York that go agains Freedom and rights in the constitution will be abolished faster than quick We'll just have to see how he reacts to it Whether he accepts it or continues to push You never really know with people like that He's a radical He's a true radical We shouldn't forget that So it remains to be seen in what respect he will have respect for the judicial system They also come from a Middle Eastern culture which adds another layer to it For them they usually don't have much cultural understanding of the West Judicial process and legal tradition are on top of it But we'll just have to see where it ends up Washington has been in a shutdown for a long time It is finally over What can be said about it What have they agreed on This limited decision that reopened everything here It was just a typical political compromise The big losers are obviously the Democrats in general and Senate leader Chuck Schumer I'm guilty It's even about me talking about him being called and resigning now Everyone was talking about it It was just that the Democrats put everything on the line To get the budget passed it was required that the Trump administration would reinstate In practice free healthcare for millions of illegal immigrants They didn't get it through They passed a few small things and a senseless vote at the end These eight Democrats eventually gave up and realized that we cannot continue like this The whole country is coming to a stop The economy has started to be affected and things like that Eight Democratic senators ultimately stepped away from their own party and passed the budget This is as stated a major victory for the Republicans A parliamentary giant A table for the democrats We talked earlier about the local regional elections that took place last week The Democrats gained some momentum from their national-level victories And another better image as we start to win elections again so the air largely left that balloon A week later depending on this For this was a major defeat Some say it could lead to a leadership change among the Democrats in the Senate We have only seen the beginning of the outcome of this The summer election is not far away It is next year What direction do you think the Democrats are heading If you're Danny you should see it as some kind of direction for the entire party Or is it unique to New York What do the Democrats look like after losing the election to Trump The question here is this: what happened last week and what is happening this week It must be weighed in here In the hours following the mandate and other victory last week So the Democrats have taken it out of the hole They win again and again Such radical candidates in New York that they are not electable anywhere else It was already a messy situation there Then came this political scandal or whatever one might call it In practice the democratic party split I saw eight members simply switch sides on this issue The party has not fallen apart but it is currently stuck Should they now appoint a new chairman for the Democrats in the Senate It will take weeks and months Ahead of next year's mid-term election So it is impossible to say where the democratic party is headed right now The current strength and generational relationships suggest that it is This more hardline left wing that will leave here with victory They are the most They have many prominent faces They are youthful They have these number of wins now that they can point to and look we can win with these On the other hand the bulk of From the Democratic Party in the rest of the country outside these deep blue areas like New York and Northern Virginia They have realized that this It's going too far They can't win in Illinois Kansas Florida Texas Even large parts of California are not worth winning outside the major cities This is now a power struggle between middle-aged to older more established individuals Centrist democrats and young agitators far to the left as They are skilled on social media and are visible Who will win this power struggle It remains to be seen The numbers speak for the left wing On the other hand Survival and popularity are what all politicians ultimately want The more centrist faction has better arguments If you want to recycle We cannot go this far if the House of Representatives and the majority in Congress are against it Turn left Who will win remains to be seen