Elon Musk Và Tt Trump “Hoá Thù”: Cuộc Đối Đầu Giữa Lý Tưởng Và Thực Tế Chính Trị

July 2025 opened with a series of profound changes in the international scene. The relations between the two sides are still tense, strategic alliances have changed direction, and long-standing geopolitical tensions have officially emerged. From the US political interior to the Central European-Russian table, all are witnessing the confrontation between figures and forces once seen as partners in the strategy. In this summary analysis, we highlight the most prominent events of the week, the shocking split between President Donald Trump and Elon Musk, who just announced the establishment of the US Party, the failure of the Communist Party of China in an effort to keep the European Union away from Washington, the cold stance of Beijing in its relationship with Moscow, and the extremely weak sign of the people's unity in the global monetary war. The Trump-Musk alliance collapses, ideal meets reality Yes, ladies and gentlemen, if you have to use a word to describe political life from the beginning of 2025 until now, then fighting is a suitable word. However, in June, the key word was the face-off. The face-off made people think of a sudden change, but in fact it was the result of a complex process of conflict and long-term failure attempts. And just as we expected in the numbers, July this year is a time of great ups and downs. One of the most noteworthy face-offs was the split between Elon Musk and President Trump, an event that the media called the Trump-Musk alliance collapse. In addition, there was also a serious split between the Communist Party of China and the European Union, with the result that the EU was biased towards the United States, a serious foreign failure for Beijing. Back to the Trump-Musk crisis, on July 5, Elon Musk officially announced that he would form a main party called the United States. Although there is no confirmation that Musk has submitted a registration form to the U.S. House of Representatives, but on the face of the symbol, this statement marks a major political breakthrough. It shows that the relationship between him and the Trump administration has reached its limit, or more accurately, it has really broken. The price of the Tesla vote this week, especially from Monday onwards, will partly show the remaining political and financial legacy of Elon Musk. It can be said that this is the last link that holds him back from the political reality of the United States. The main reason is the collapse of the big and beautiful legislation just signed by President Trump. Elon Musk cannot accept that the government continues to borrow money, which he claims is completely contrary to his mission to reform the administration, reduce spending and increase the efficiency of the machine that he has sacrificed a lot to pursue. Musk feels deeply betrayed. Every effort, even the personal damage he suffered when he joined the government's efficiency department, seemed to have fallen into the ocean. However, if this is the breakup between Musk and Trump, personally, it is not accurate enough. In fact, this is the collapse between Musk and the entire administration of the Trump administration, According to many sources, Musk used to have a fierce conflict with the foreign minister Marco Rubio and the finance minister Besen. The reason is that Musk wants to cut down on the budget for these two ministries, and even proposes to fire a number of employees, which has caused both agencies to fall into a state of bankruptcy. It is a battle between businessmen who want to act quickly and effectively with the machine that has existed throughout the presidency. To avoid the long-term bankruptcy of the government, a bad image in the eyes of the machinery, causing direct damage to Trump's position, all of them have to step back. They cannot use all their resources to fight the mechanism in a short period of time. They have to maintain the current results, try not to step back, then find a way to continue to reform in the future. As for Musk, he still firmly maintains the ideal of a tight-knit government, but he lacks the necessary patience to go a long way in politics, which people like President Trump or former politicians have been able to achieve. Musk is used to saying no, not accepting compromise, not waiting, the style of a high-tech CEO. At present, Elon Musk has not made a clear statement to the U.S. party. His emotional remarks mainly express his anger at the corruption and wastage in the country's machinery. He called for the return of the U.S. to the people, a slogan much more than a direction. Just after Musk announced his re-election, a number of emerging polling organizations conducted a survey. Among them was a survey by the company Queen's Trust Insight, a small group of only about 10 people based on accurate predictions of the polling stations in the most recent election. As a result, 14% of voters affirmed they were very likely to vote for the U.S. and 26% said they might support a total of up to 40% of potential general votes. To be exact, this is a very significant number. However, no major polling organization has confirmed this result. Observers say the target group that Musk is targeting is a group of voters who make the U.S. great again, MAGA, with a tougher tendency. If the U.S. party actually votes in 2026, they will distribute the votes of the Republican Party, directly affecting the conservative alliance. However, U.S. political history shows that the third parties are rarely successful. The failure to win all of them in the presidential election almost made them unable to win the general vote, although the average rate was not small. For example, in Florida, with 30 general votes, although the candidates only won a few, they still won all the votes, making the small parties unable to win. In the parliamentary election, although each candidate voted for one representative, the division system of the region has been manipulated by the two major parties for decades. The regions have clearly shown a green or red color. In many places, the majority of party members, although not prominent, can still win the election because the candidates choose the party, not the person. In addition, modern politics requires the organization and the framework of society. A political party needs a system of volunteers, influence from the community and famous people. Elon Musk does not have those elements. He lacks a network of infrastructure, a local organization, and political support. Personal and social networks are not enough to go far in the battlefield. In the history of the United States, the third most successful party was the Progressive Party in 1912 founded by former President Theodore Roosevelt after failing to win the presidential election from the Republican Party. Although it did not win the presidential election, this party won 10 seats in the House, the highest achievement so far. However, due to the split with the Republican Party, the Democratic Party won and then the Progressive Party also disbanded. With limited seats, small party members still have to ally with the big party when voting. Therefore, many people soon realized that joining the big party will have more power and ensure the future. They may even be appointed as ministers or join the cabinet. The small party, on the other hand, is too dependent on an individual, does not have a loyal team, makes voters lose faith for a long time, like social network influencers, and then disappears. Elon Musk is facing all those old obstacles. Even in the most optimistic scenario, his American party is also difficult to overcome the shadow of the Progressive Party in 1912 when Roosevelt was a former president with a deep influence. Musk is now running 5 to 6 leading tech companies, operating in challenging fields. This means he does not have enough time and energy to do politics. And politics again requires to appear in countless events, from extortion, fundraising, community exchanges to political activism. Just posting a few articles is clearly not enough. From a personal point of view, if Musk really wants to have an impact in politics, the most reasonable choice is to reunite with President Trump. to shake hands with the Democratic Party, the difference is too big and the wings will never forgive him. Independent party in the current situation is both difficult, successful, and harmful to business. In the end, the conflict between Musk and President Trump is not a struggle but a strategy. If both of them still share the ideal of the so-called great America, then the possibility of reunion is still not the right time. The second notable event in July is the deepening between the Chinese Communist Party and the European Union. A brief detail is the phone call on July 6 between President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. The two sides are approaching a principle agreement, an important turning point for European-American relations, which means that Beijing is being pushed into a strategic isolation. The shock to the South China Sea has not yet subsided. The 50th anniversary of the establishment of a two-day on July 24 has been pulled down by one day at the request of Beijing. The EU is not willing to compromise in trade talks. Since April after President Trump launched the war on tariffs, European-China relations have quickly cooled from the heat. The previous news has become the truth, and the consequences of the tariffs are beginning to show. When China's goods are blocked by the U.S. tariff wall, the supply chain of goods flows into Europe, the EU has to build a trade network to participate in the isolation of the Chinese Communist Party. At the same time, the U.S. withdrawing from the deal has sparked hidden contradictions between the Communist Party of China, Europe and Russia. Previously, the role of the U.S. was to cover up these disagreements, but when the U.S. withdrew, the two sides had to face their real interests. The EU and China have long sided with the U.S. on finance, arms, and the role of the world's democratic leader. Russia believes that the U.S. took advantage of the war to invade the country, as it did with the Soviet Union. The Chinese Communist Party sees the war as a chance to turn a blind eye to Washington, and from there jumps in to complicate the situation. Now that the U.S. has withdrawn, Beijing's original strategy is to seize the country The Chinese Communist Party the situation and deal with The U.S. has to invest in the U.S. invest in the U.S. and the U.S. They have no choice but to tighten their belts. China makes a profit in Europe, then uses that money to support Russia, who is threatening their own security. Although European politicians may be weak but not blind, they clearly understand that if they still accompany Beijing to confront the US, the price they have to pay will be their security and reputation. The first solution now is to put pressure on Beijing, forcing this country to stop supporting Putin. That is the strategic goal of the EU. The two-day EU-China summit, in which part of the economic content was canceled, showed a different level. The two sides cannot agree on the export, supply and demand of or investment of China into the EU market. The rest of the day is dedicated to strategic dialogue, but the possibility of achieving results is also very low. During the pre-summit meeting, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi expressed a clear view that Beijing cannot accept a Russia that has failed in the U.S. If Putin loses, the U.S. will be free to turn to Asia, which Beijing wants to avoid at all costs. This statement is no different from the statement that the Communist Party of China puts politics above the economy. In other words, both in trade and geopolitics, the EU cannot expect anything from the Communist Party of China. Beijing is not willing to reduce its export to Europe and does not want to stop supporting Russia. That is the reason why Europe has turned its back and is hostile to the United States. Wang Yi's frank statement that the Communist Party of China does not want Russia to fail in Ukraine is no different from officially saying to the EU, we put politics above the economy. If we have to choose, we choose Putin. This position is actually a reaction to the pressure from the United States. July 9 is the time when President Trump will decide whether or not to cancel all taxes. Therefore, Europe is forced to choose, but to the United States to protect the economy or continue to maintain a distance. Before the G-sign, they need a clear answer from Beijing, and Wang Yi has paid the price. The Communist Party of China chooses Russia. With that position, the Communist Party of China has nothing to discuss with the EU, does not restrain Putin, does not reduce exports, does not improve investment conditions. In other words, Beijing does not bring any specific benefits. Wang Yi's statement also reveals the true nature of European-China relations, a relationship that has long been hidden behind diplomatic words. Beijing does not want to tell the truth, but is forced by the situation, and the increasingly tight tax policy of President Trump is a factor that forces them to reveal. On the EU side, they have never really wanted to make a deep connection with Beijing. But on July 9, the effectiveness of the US tax policy made it impossible for them to decide. When Beijing often refuses to compromise with Europe, it understands that it cannot expect anything from China, and keeping a compromise with the United States is only a matter of time. At the same time, the Chinese Communist Party also deeply hopes that it can face the EU, use its position with Jiuquan to get the neutrality of Europe. If there is a change in Taiwan, those expectations are completely unrealistic. Currently, Taiwan is a key player in the global supply chain, free trade in the Pacific Ocean is also a survival benefit for the European economy. Any conflict in the Taiwan Strait has serious consequences, which the EU cannot ignore. Even if they want to play a double game, they cannot publicly be neutral or go abroad. The root of the problem is that there are too many contradictions between the Chinese Communist Party and the EU. The pressure from President Trump is just a catalyst for both sides to see clearly that they are not on the same path. If there is no pressure, they may continue to maintain a negative, strategic state, a kind of contradictory relationship, but hidden in abusive language and unlawful statements. China-Russia relations, Putin can trust Beijing to the end After the public declaration of support for Russia came to an end, many people think that President Putin can rest assured. But in fact, it's not that simple. The original goal of the Chinese Communist Party when it intervened in the Ukraine war was not for Russia, but to borrow the hand of Moscow to contain the United States. Now that the US has begun to retreat, that goal is no longer there. Russia, from a strategic obstacle, has become a real obstacle. During Xi Jinping's time, the Chinese Communist Party was not easy to overthrow. No matter how much rice they plowed, they decided to stick to the end, even though the road is clearly a dead end. However, the essence of Beijing's strategy is still to follow Washington's steps. As the US increases its military in Asia-Pacific, the Chinese Communist Party is forced to focus on the east, unable to simultaneously divide its forces into Eastern Europe. When choosing between Putin and the Taiwan Strait, Beijing's choice was clear. In the context of economic depletion and tight budget, the Chinese Communist Party cannot maintain support for Russia while simultaneously preparing military scenarios in the Pacific. That is impossible. Putin understands this very well. He knows that Beijing's commitment is not long-term. The position of Wang Yi is just a one-time strategy, not a strategic commitment. If the US transfers all its forces to Asia, the Chinese Communist Party will immediately withdraw from the European war. Putin does not imagine that. That is why, at this time, he is looking for an escape. He is watching trade talks between countries with President Trump, which side is leaning towards Washington, to decide for himself. In this era, the international trade policy and strategy have become one, and cannot be separated. The EU's commitment to the United States can create a chain reaction, causing the Chinese Communist Party to bear greater pressure. This is when Putin is forced to rationalize. If the Europeans also turn their backs, if Beijing is exhausted and has no support, how can he continue the war? From the breakup between Elon Musk and President Trump, to the collapse of Central Europe, and the deepening of relations between China and Russia, everything shows that the world order is entering a new phase, where there is no room for two-sided alliances. Elon Musk, with the desire to reform the US administration, has finally touched the real wall of Washington's political system, where compromise, organization, and patience are still living conditions. His wave can create a wave of time, but it is difficult to maintain for a long time. Wanting to continue to influence, he is forced to face reality. Maybe it's back to President Trump. For the Chinese Communist Party, they are losing the image of alternative choices that they have tried to build. Both the EU and Russia are realizing that Beijing is not capable enough, nor is it committed enough to be a strategic partner. Too many calculations, too little belief. The statement of Wang Yi only makes it clearer. The Chinese Communist Party is being pushed back, trying to keep the face of the Russian war, and worrying that the eastern part of Taiwan is a weak point. But the EU, after a long period of strategic ambiguity, is forced to face reality, can't hold both, and they chose the United States, not for love, but for survival. And President Trump, with a decisive tax strategy, not only redefining the trade balance, but also redistributing global influence, forms a new order around Washington. History is always turned by unexpected twists and turns. This week, the international chessboard has moved strongly, and in that chessboard, the chess pieces will be removed from the game. Only those who are wise, tough, and capable can maintain their position in the order that is defined.