大家都搞錯重點啦 ! 問題不在於摧毀了多少伊朗的核設施, 重點在...

跟嚕嚕貓學英文 Learn English With LuLu Cat (正版嚕嚕貓)
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1.3K Video Views·Jun 30, 2025
在 6 月 21 日晚的空襲中,美軍成功重創伊朗三座關鍵濃縮設施,震撼國際輿論。影片深入分析此次行動的重點 !!!
漢森教授探討了:
國際原子能總署的回應
伊朗人民是否買單巨額重建費
俄中為何不願提供防空系統?
下一波空襲的成本 vs 伊朗重建的成本
華盛頓與特拉維夫的政治意志是否撐得起下一次決策
We're now in the aftermath of the Saturday night, June 21st American strike to take out
the three enrichment plants that were necessary for Iran's acquisition of the bomb.
And we've had now four or five days of reaction to it, and it's kind of been mixed. And I'd like
to review very quickly the validity of the criticisms of the strike and what the strike
was really about. There's a lot of people on the American left in the media, there was a leak from
the Pentagon as well, that this strike really didn't achieve its aim of destroying entirely
these three enrichment facilities. But of course we don't know that. We wouldn't trust the Iranians
who say that it didn't harm them. Of course they're going to say that. The head of the
International Atomic Energy Commission that watches this says that it was very successful.
I agree with it. The military says it was very successful. And the point being is
it doesn't really matter to what degree it's 90 percent destroyed, 80 percent destroyed,
100 percent destroyed. It's been severely damaged. And it doesn't really matter for this reason.
Iran will have to rebuild them. There's been all sorts of rebuilding costs
out there in the public domain, 100 billion, 200 billion, 400 billion, 500 billion,
to go down 500 feet, 300 feet, 200 feet in a new mountain cavern. And remember they would be
reacting to a B-2 strike. And they would look at the damage and they said we'd have to go even
lower, which means we're going to have to spend more money. But here's the interesting equation.
Add the money that Iran, still subject to oil embargoes, with an economy that has its GDP
has collapsed by 45 percent over the last two or three years, is going to come up with a
wherewithal and make that argument to the people. Hey everybody, you're going to miss now not just
one paycheck but two paychecks every three months because we have to rebuild the nuclear
facilities that were completely demolished and we have to spend more money. The Iranian in the
street would say, and then what? They're going to be destroyed again. How can you stop them? You have
no air defenses. The Russians don't want to give us air defenses. The Chinese will not give us
air defenses. Why would they want to give us air defenses? They go up and smoke. They only
humiliate their own equipment. It's you, you the military, you the theocracy that's the problem.
And so if you boil that down, ask yourself in a cost-to-benefit analysis, is it more,
is it cheaper for Iran to go back and start from scratch and build these mountainous subterranean
facilities? Or is it cheaper for the United States to send another seven or ten or twelve B-2 bombers
and send them into airspace for about 35 minutes and take them out? And that's what
that's what they can do. But there is a caveat, there is a warning here.
There's only one limit on our ability to take out the next generation should it appear of
uranium enrichment. And that's not, that problem is not in Iran. It's not in Hezbollah. It's not with
Hamas. It's with Washington and Tel Aviv. Will the United States government have the courage and
have the competency and understand the geostrategic complications and implications and dangers of
Iran having another bomb? And what I mean by that is, if you have another Obama administration,
or if you have another Biden administration, will they act when they see another uranium
facility being developed? Will you have another Bibi Netanyahu in Israel? So what am I getting
at? The only worry that we all have in the West is that Iran at some future date will look at
the political composition in Washington and Tel Aviv and say, we've seen this bunch before.
So pedal to the metal, let's hurry up and enrich because they will not stop it. But even then,
it will take a huge investment, a huge investment that has to be sold to a population
that has been deprived of trillions of dollars of internal development that has been diverted to
Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, the Assads that are all up in smoke. And then they will have to hear
an argument to rearm all of those people for terrorist deterrence, and then rebuild everything
for nuclear deterrence, and hope there's somebody not like Netanyahu and Trump in Washington. And
for now, those are pretty good odds that the strike is successful and will be in the near future.
Thank you very much.
Aftermath, weary now in the aftermath of the Saturday night.
Acquisition, the company announced the acquisition of a new technology startup.
In the public domain, there has been all sorts of rebuilding cost out there in the public domain.
Cavern, they built the nuclear facility inside a mountain cavern.
Equation, when deciding to move, family happiness is an important part of the equation.
Embargo, the country imposed an embargo on all imports from its neighbor.
Boil that down, if you boil it down, the real issue is lack of funding.
Subterranean, the ancient city was discovered beneath the subterranean tunnels.
Caveat, he agreed to the deal with the caveat that delivery must be on time.
Pedal to the metal, with the deadline approaching, the team put the pedal to the metal to finish on
time. Deprive, the new policy will deprive many people of their health care benefits.
Validity, the validity of his argument was questioned by the experts.
