My favorite author’s most accessible book to date
Apr 7, 2025
If you’re looking for someone to help you understand how history ties together, you can’t do better than Vaclav Smil—and “Numbers Don’t Lie” is a great place to start. Read more at
Baslob Mill's books are amazing.
They give you a very deep understanding of how civilization has developed.
Here in this book, numbers don't lie.
He's boiled it down into 71 things you need to know about the world.
This is the most information he's ever put in a book and yet probably the most digestible.
A great one is about batteries.
He explains to keep the electricity system reliable is going to be very hard
if we only have weather-dependent sources like solar and wind.
He gives examples like Tokyo and what needs to go on with batteries
and how little change in batteries there's actually been.
But it's nothing like microchips,
which sometimes confuses us to think that exponential improvement can just show up everywhere.
One of those facts that you just have to go, that's wild.
I wouldn't have expected that, is the reduction in alcohol consumption.
That was stunning to me.
You know, when I was reading this thing, I said to people,
hey, how much wine were people drinking in 1850 versus 2020?
Just to guess.
So drinking is pretty constant from 1850 to 1950.
But French wine consumption is now a third of what it was in 1950.
That's amazing to me.
I mean, wow.
What happened there?
You know, was life just so bleak?
Here's another one.
The whole thing about humans that came down from the trees to chase grass-eating animals,
our endurance comes from two-legged running and the ability to sweat.
And that that allows us to run down these rich sources of protein
that allow our brain to develop to enhance the social behaviors
that make us even more effective at being hunter-gatherers.
It's just super novel and kind of unusual.
You will love a lot of these numbers.
I unabashedly recommend this book.
It'll give you a framework to think about things.

