Great Counterattack on Pacific: CCP Navy's Big Move Greets Consequence/China's New Aircraft Carrier

in may and june of this year chinese warships took turns appearing outside the first island chain including the liaoning aircraft carrier in eastern taiwan in okinawa waters the scale of the chinese navy's deployment is unprecedented with the north sea fleet leading the way employing half of its main fleet including circling japan and threatening the taiwan strait the east china sea fleet has also cooperated the chinese navy consists of three major fleets the north sea fleet which is part of the northern war zone the east sea fleet of the eastern war zone and the south sea fleet of the southern war zone the liaoning aircraft carrier is assigned to the north sea fleet the shandong aircraft carrier is assigned to the south sea fleet and the ec fleet has fewer large warships the 003 aircraft carrier just launched on june 17 2022 and is named fujian and on the opposite side of china's fujian province is taiwan it is not known whether this ship will be assigned to the eastern war zone in the future whether the fujian has become a maritime threat to neighboring countries in east and south asia has aroused the concern of all countries we can see that beijing's current strategic intention is to bring the aircraft carrier closer to the first island chain or even the second island chain in the eastern waters of taiwan forcing the us aircraft carrier to retreat in this way the taiwan strait is like the ccp's possession the specific method of the ccp's anti-access and area denial is to attack the us aircraft carrier formation so that it does not dare to approach china's surrounding waters easily that is the ccp army tries to prevent the us military from intervening in potential military conflicts in the east china sea taiwan strait and the south china sea breaking through the first island chain where japan taiwan and the philippines are and even deterring the second island chain where guam and the mariana islands are and gaining local military advantages however the chinese navy's large-scale operations in the past two months have exposed its weaknesses when moving beyond the first island chain including difficulties and logistical supply poor defense capabilities and a lack of air support it has also demonstrated the gap between the quality and reliability of chinese naval equipment and that of the us and its allies not to mention the huge gap in manning and training levels in june and july the us military launched counter-attacks in the east china sea and the south china sea in response to the ccp's weaknesses it made clear that the indo-pacific strategy has become a priority for the u.s in recent years its various joint military exercises are designed to respond to and deter the ccp's intention to expand at sea if a conflict arises between the u.s and china in the future the greatest probability is that a naval armageddon will take place in the western pacific with the safety and security of the taiwan strait region being the focus let's look at the east china sea region first in this area china has two j-20 brigades stationed the first j-20 group is stationed here its objective is to defend the area while also having the potential to launch attacks in the east china sea the second j-20 brigade is stationed here but its main objective is supposed to be to protect the chinese capital beijing while looking out for the korean peninsula the us has stepped up its cooperation with japan and south korea in june usf22 fighter jets were mobilized to bases in japan to drill with japan-based f-35s these fighters have been deployed to the east china sea supposedly to primarily counter china's j-20s to ensure air superiority on july 6 u.s australian and japanese warships conducted joint drills in the east china sea and the amphibious assault ship uss america lha-6 loaded with f-35b warplanes also cruised in the east china sea on july 12th american f-35 fighters based in alaska were deployed to south korea to perform joint drills with south korean f-35 fighters in the yellow sea this move could simultaneously deter north korea and warn the kim regime if beijing decides to risk war the us f-35 fighters could also strike from their bases in south korea and quickly launch airstrikes against the chinese navy bases in qingdao and dalian via the yellow sea even threatening beijing if the ccp's air defense radar can't detect the usf-35 fighters in time there is a possibility that china's j-20 fighters could be destroyed on the ground if beijing initiates a strike the american military could have full use of japanese bases or launch a counter-attack from its spaces in south korea as well on july 18th the us military issued a press release namely u.s air force navy operate aboard destroyer in east china sea it says joint operations test the capabilities of u.s forces serving in japan fighter pilots and air controllers from the air force navy and marine corps tested their skills during active missions allowing them to integrate and train in a joint environment the u.s aircraft carrier uss reagan is stationed in japan but in all likelihood the east china sea doesn't need an aircraft carrier u.s bases in japan and south korea have large numbers of warplanes and f-35s and f-22 aircraft in alaska and hawaii can also support them quickly with onshore anti-ship missiles air fighters light aircraft carriers aegis system-equipped ships and submarines the ubus military can completely block the ccp fleet within the first island chain or even directly paralyze it in the home port if the chinese air force is dispatched after its major fighter jets such as the j20 and j16 suffer heavy losses the air gateways to the east china sea and the yellow sea would be wide open the series of actions by the us military clearly shows that despite the frequent provocations by the chinese naval and air forces they can't travel beyond the first island chain but the counter-attack by american forces is capable of causing complete loss of naval and air forces in china's north and east war zones if the ccp goes to war in the taiwan strait american forces may swoop in from the east china sea and if the ccp prepares to attack american bases in japan at the same time the us forces may make a preemptive strike let's look at the south china sea beijing has long been encroaching on the south china sea reclaiming land in disputed areas constructing military projects and deploying military aircraft and radar making neighboring countries uneasy according to the japanese media beijing intends to designate the south china sea as internal waters which japan challenged to the u.n commission on the continental shelf line in mid-june china's south china sea fleet is also expanding and consists of almost half of all the landing ships in the navy the first type the 075 amphibious assault ship is assigned to the south china sea fleet instead of the east china sea fleet which faces the taiwan strait because of concerns that the islands and reefs in the south china sea may be attacked at any time in june the us aircraft carrier uss reagan entered guam after participating in a series of drills in the philippine sea in early july the carrier circled the southern philippine islands and on july 13th the u.s military announced that the uss reagan carrier had entered the south china sea instead of remaining in the philippine sea east of taiwan the last remaining u.s aircraft carrier in the western pacific entered the south china sea it serves as yet another strong message to the ccp's provocation that the counter-attack of the american military will include the seizure of islands and reefs in the south china sea on july 13th and 16th u.s destroyers sailed in the waters of the shisha islands and the nansha islands and publicly expressed their refusal to recognize the territorial waters delimited by the ccp the u.s state department has emphasized more than once that it denies the ccp's claims in the south china sea and supports the philippines adherence to the 2016 international court of justice arbitration in the south china sea if the u.s military were to take action in the south china sea to destroy military facilities on chinese-occupied islands because there are no international legal and judiciary constraints an attack can be launched at any time and would not be considered an invasion a chinese war in the taiwan strait or east china sea would give the u.s military ample reason to launch a counter-attack in the south china sea over the past 20 years the chinese communist party has sought to seize islands in the south china sea and build islands by reclamation however these islands are in fact vulnerable difficult to defend and provide support to making them a major military weakness of the ccp the chinese ministry of defense protested verbally against the u.s destroyer sailing near the islands in the south china sea but had no substantive counter moves on july 6 the u.s military announced the passage of a submarine supply ship through the south china sea a move supposed to let the ccp know that the u.s submarines have in fact been patrolling the south china sea the air force of the ccp's south war zone the closest aviation brigade to the shisha islands should be stationed here it's equipped with su-30 and su-35 fighters imported from russia which can theoretically perform air defense in the south china sea as well as carry out maritime strikes and support the defense of the islands in the south china sea however the distance is too far the frequency of flight training is low and there is a lack of experience in actual combat other related air brigades should be even more distant and difficult to carry out a maritime strike mission so in the south china sea china's air force can only play a very limited role if its navy were to deploy it would be at a distinctive advantage in a naval battle regardless of whether the shandong aircraft carrier could be deployed once the ccp south china sea fleet is paralyzed it will no longer be able to compete for the islands and reefs in the south china sea and taiwan southern waters will be spared a major threat whether the ccp goes to war in the taiwan straits or the east china sea the u.s military is bound to launch counter-attacks in the south china sea and does not rule out the possibility of early action to disrupt the ccp's deployment in addition on july 10th the u.s military announced the deployment of b-2 stealth bombers to australia if the ccp dares to make a move the b2 bombers could strike the ccp's medium and long-range missile bases in eight to nine hours after taking off from australia it doesn't rule out the option of a preemptive strike either on july 12th exercise rimpac the rim of the pacific exercise and the world's largest international maritime warfare exercise hosted by the us military reached its climax when ships and aircraft from the us australia canada and malaysia sunk a decommissioned navy frigate [Music] such exercises naturally simulate attacks on chinese warships chinese communist warships are unable to withstand similar strikes in either the east or south china sea the u.s amphibious assault ship uss essex lhd2 which participated in exercise rimpac demonstrated the mode of landing in island capture the amphibious landing ship also demonstrated the coordinated beach landing of amphibious combat vehicles the america-class amphibious assault ship uss tripoli turned into a light aircraft carrier while uss essex demonstrated the amphibious attack mode finally let's take a look at the ccp's aircraft carrier take the uss kennedy the second ford class aircraft carrier launched in 2019 as a reference to sum up in terms of the quality of the aircraft carrier the us main carrier the ford class is above the fujian in terms of performance and the amphibious assault ship the united states of america is far above the liaoning in terms of performance and at present the shandong carrier is not completely combat capable yet it will take 5 or 6 years for the fujian to be effective in combat now the us 7th fleet can rely on a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier and an amphibious assault ship to limit the chinese navy to the coastal areas after the zero zero three aircraft carrier the ccp has no plan to start the construction of the zero zero four aircraft carrier it will take at least 10 years or more for an aircraft carrier to start construction and be combat ready in other words china is waiting for the test results of the 003 aircraft carrier to make a 004 construction plan that is to say in the next 15 years the ccp is likely to just rely on the three aircraft carriers on hand the united states is continuing to build new aircraft carriers the second ship of the ford class the uss kennedy started construction in 2015 was launched in 2019 and is expected to be officially commissioned in 2024 making its service date even earlier than the zero zero three fujian the third ship enterprise also began construction on april 5th 2022 and is expected to be launched in 2025 the fourth and fifth ships of the ford class are expected to begin construction in 2026 and 27. it can be said that in the next 12 years throughout the western pacific despite the service of the zero zero three fujian the ccp will still not be able to change the situation in the area where the u.s is strong and china is weak now that the u.s military is demonstrating counter-attack postures in both the east and south china seas the ccp's provocations proved to be weak in substance making the mass of chinese naval sorte more of a display in the political sense and lacking in real combat significance in contrast the strength and response options showcased by the us military are more focused which will make beijing consider the range of consequences of going to war including its own security and the risk of undermining its regime on the question of whether taiwan can be seized by force by the ccp we believe that much will depend on whether the white house is determined to protect taiwan [Music] so you