À six semaines de l'élection présidentielle, les deux candidats Kamala Harris et Donald Trump sont au coude à coude dans les sondages. Ce 9e épisode de Washington d’ici, le podcast original avec les correspondants des médias francophones publics, s'intéresse à l'importance des états-pivots, à l'arme de Kamala Harris, aux Haïtiens de Springfield qui "mangent les animaux de compagnie", selon Donald Trump.
Democracy is on the ballot.
Your freedom is on the ballot.
So now we have a new victim to defeat,
Lyon Kamala Harris.
I know Donald Trump's type.
She is a radical left lunatic
who will destroy our country.
USA! USA!
We'll stop Donald Trump's
extreme abortion bans.
Kamala, you're fired!
Get out of here! You're fired!
And when we fight,
we win!
God bless you!
Washington D.C.
We are six weeks away from the election.
Harris and Trump are in the polls,
and they are fighting the campaign like us.
Jordan Davis from the RTS
is in Scranton, Pennsylvania.
Hello Jordan.
Hello Sébastien.
Frédéric Arnould from Radio-Canada
is in Detroit, Michigan.
Detroit, Michigan.
How are you Fred?
Pretty good my friend, pretty good.
Very good.
Sonia Dridi from RTBF is here in D.C.
How are you Sonia?
I'm fine, thank you.
Guillaume Naudin from RFI is here too.
How are you Guillaume?
Better would be bad.
I'm Sébastien Pahour from France Info,
and you are all welcome
in this 9th episode of
Washington D.C. season 2.
I give you the summary of the day
apart from the movements of the two candidates
Harris and his gun,
Springfield and the cats and dogs
who would go to the pan,
and the black nazi of North Carolina.
We start first in Pennsylvania.
With you Jordan,
the anticipated vote has begun
in this key state of the election,
the tipping point, the pivot state.
Does the heart of the voters
that you meet, Jordan,
swing too?
Yes, I am in this corner of the state
where we really see the progression of Donald Trump.
These historically working class corners,
the white working class,
as we said,
and who massively plebiscited Trump in 2016.
It was a shock for a lot of people
because there traditionally it was democrats,
it was a post-industrial union.
Well, here we see how much,
I measure how much,
how much the Trumpization
wins the minds here.
It settles.
I am right next to Luzerne County,
which is a county that now
has a majority of voters
registered as Republicans.
It's never seen here.
And when we talk to voters,
it's striking to see how much the economic argument
and the identity argument,
these two arguments come together
and people will tell you,
ah yes, but the price of housing is going up
because there are too many immigrants
who come and change our culture
and they make the housing prices go up.
It's so many conversations like this
that show how much these ideas
are now set up in the landscape here.
Same question to you, Fred.
You are in Michigan right now,
but you spent a lot of time in the Derry County
and other counties in Pennsylvania,
north at the border of Lake Erie,
on the edge of Lake Erie, as its name suggests.
Remind us why this county in particular
is ultimately a very good barometer.
Well, in fact, since 2008,
so it's been four presidential elections,
voters have always selected the winner
in this race to the White House,
so Obama twice, Trump, Biden.
And now, according to polls,
it's a perfect equality between the two candidates
in Pennsylvania.
Erie is a city that was hit by inflation,
a working-class city that was confronted
with the same problems as this type of municipality
across the United States.
Well, factory closures,
an impoverishment that was,
let's say, accentuated during the pandemic.
Now there are a lot of food banks
running at full capacity.
Small businesses are strongly imposed.
And so there is a dilemma,
because people are very divided.
Immigration, indeed, we are far from the Mexican border,
but we are close to the Canadian border.
In fact, just on the other side of the lake
you can see the flags of Canada.
But there are still migrants
who are really weighing down, let's say,
the social challenges.
So I attended mini-debates like this
between Republicans and Democrats,
and the economy often comes back.
And I wanted to ask a little bit,
but an economist from La Place,
but what would be more beneficial
as a candidate who would be elected
for cities like Erie?
And he told me, in fact,
if we look at the programs,
it would be Harris that would be
the most profitable for this kind of city.
And so we have the impression
that they have always selected the winning candidate
because they have always been
looking for novelty.
And in this case, if the novelty
is perhaps promising for Harris.
It is indeed Kamala Harris who embodies it.
Guillaume, we finish this little tour of Pennsylvania
with you before going to see the other topics.
Nineteen major voters have voted.
It is the most important of the seven pivotal states.
You saw the opposite camp,
since you were at an event with Trump's support.
Absolutely.
Pennsylvania is the big lot
in this presidential election.
And I ended up in Morgantown.
It is just on the outskirts
of Lancaster County.
It is the rural part of Pennsylvania.
We went together a long time ago
in a report, you and me.
Not far from the Amish.
In the Amish country, exactly.
And I ended up in an event
where there was Doc Burgum,
the governor of the North Dakota,
and Christy Noem, the governor
of the South Dakota.
The Dakota had come to force in Pennsylvania.
And there were Trump voters
who were there.
And they insisted a lot
on an aspect
of Kamala Harris' speech
that worries them.
Will she not change her mind
about the exploitation
of natural gas
by hydraulic fracturing?
It is something that worries them a lot.
Because in 2019,
during her first presidential candidature,
which she abandoned quite quickly,
Kamala Harris wanted to ban
the exploitation of natural gas
by hydraulic fracturing.
And it is something that mattered a lot.
Because it is currently authorized
in Pennsylvania.
It is something that mattered a lot
in Pennsylvania's economic recovery,
especially in the north of the state.
Factory closures, etc.
have been compensated by gas exploitation.
And today, Pennsylvania supplies
20% of American natural gas.
And the voters
are a little afraid that Kamala Harris,
who says that she is no longer for the ban
of hydraulic fracturing,
will change her mind.
It is a precise but important issue in this campaign.
It is a delicate question, Sonia,
to vary so much on the fracking,
hydraulic fracturing for Kamala Harris
in this state of Pennsylvania.
Yes, and by the way, Donald Trump plays a lot on this,
saying that it is a joke.
She justified herself by saying
that maybe before
she was against it,
but that today
the important thing was to diversify
the energy sources.
And we have the impression that we have moved on.
It is really a way for Republicans
to push her down.
But I think she
managed to convince
Democratic voters
and independent voters
that we had to move on
and that we could change our mind.
We are now going a little further west.
We are leaving Pennsylvania.
We are going to Springfield, Ohio.
We have already talked about this village
here in Washington, D.C.
It has been the central point
of the country for a few days,
since Trump relayed
unproven statements during the debate.
You remember that many Haitian immigrants
in these cities in the Midwest,
there would be around 15,000,
would eat domestic animals.
I went there last week
and the director of the
Haitian Community Center,
was a little stunned by his words.
It's really unimaginable
to say such a thing.
Because we don't have that
in our culture in Haiti,
to eat domestic animals.
I don't know where he comes from
with his words.
And I don't know how much he has weakened
the community by saying these things.
The mayor of Springfield and the Republican
governor of the state of Ohio
call to stop maintaining false rumors.
But Trump and his colleague
J.D. Vance don't seem to
hear them. What inspires you,
Frédéric or Jordan, over there?
In fact, we see that the Republicans,
once they are on a tangent like this,
they will go back. It's impossible
for them to go back, because
it's not in their nature. So they say to themselves,
let's continue. Because for the MAGA supporters,
whom they absolutely need to dream
of winning, you have to feed this kind
of coal stove with this kind
of controversial rhetoric that has
neither head nor tail, but which is really
essential to try to
bring back these troops, which are
obviously against immigration and against
this kind of concept.
They don't care.
So they continue. There are no limits.
It's not a question for them to go back.
Jordan, is it an anti-immigration
machine that we feed too, as Frédéric says?
It's red meat.
It's really fresh meat
for the base.
This base now
that hears Donald Trump
in his political speeches.
Here in Wilkes-Barre,
just next to the city where Donald Trump was a month ago,
he was dealing with illegal immigrants,
as he treats Haitians,
who are not in a regular situation.
But he says, illegal immigrants
are savages,
savage monsters.
I mean, these are registers of language
that are frankly disturbing
for living together in the United States.
And especially Haitians.
Donald Trump has a long history
where he qualifies
Haitians by all names.
For a long time,
in the United States, in the 1980s,
Haitians were a bit of a
scapegoat. In fact, they were said to have brought
AIDS. Donald Trump stayed there.
He talked about it, even very recently,
Haitians carrying AIDS. In fact, Donald Trump
conveys a lot of his stereotypes against
his prejudices against Haitians.
And here we see that now.
It's frankly worrying to see
how much he persists and signs with that.
It feeds his electorate, clearly, Sonia.
Yes, and what is worrying again
is that Donald Trump, in fact,
again echoes
the rhetoric of
neo-Nazi groups. It is said, in particular, that the
neo-Nazi group Blood Tribe
on Telegram is delighted
with this last controversy.
In fact, he could not even hope
that a candidate
would echo
their theory
that they have been feeding for a long time
because neo-Nazi groups have already
this theory for a long time that
immigrants in Springfield, in particular,
we have been talking a lot about it on social networks
for years. Why?
Because there has been a legal immigration
of Haitians in recent years
in Ohio and in particular in Springfield.
So, in fact, there are neo-Nazi extremist groups
who have been holding
his words for years. And there,
they are delighted that Donald Trump echoes them.
And to finish, Donald Trump, who, despite
the mess it made, even his
vice-president, who at one point came back
to finally put a new layer,
a few days ago, he was in Pennsylvania,
of course, as you said, Guillaume,
it's really the big lot, and he said
we have to get them out
and the crowd to shout
bring them back to their country.
He continues while we have seen
that it makes a mess.
What is interesting and worrying
is that we can see that
a lot of people went there.
The mayor, the governor
of Ohio,
we say, but it's not true.
These people are here in a regular situation.
They bring a lot to the community.
These are people with a work ethic,
workers.
They run factories.
They spend their money on site.
They don't say that there are only advantages.
Obviously, when you have 15 or 20,000 people
from the same country coming, it puts pressure
on housing, it puts pressure on schools.
What is interesting and worrying
is that once this rumor
is launched by someone like
Donald Trump, we can try
to debunk it, as we say in English.
There's nothing to do. It's over.
It's impossible to stop it. We'll see.
The next step is to know if he's going to go or not.
He said he would go. In the latest news,
he doesn't seem so sure about that.
It also costs a lot to move.
And he's not very young, Mr. Trump.
We'll see if he goes.
Another subject of the 15th,
Oprah Winfrey's show.
It was last week.
Kamala Harris, guest of an evening
between interviews and political meetings
with celebrities.
Kamala Harris made this remark
about guns.
I'm a gun owner too.
And if someone
breaks into my house,
they're going to get shot.
I hear that.
I probably shouldn't have said that.
Why did I say that,
according to you?
It's to prove that she's not against guns,
but for a ban on assault rifles.
She's looking to
drag Republican voters.
Completely, because we already know
that this election will be extremely tight.
So yes, she wants to drag Republican voters,
and also many independent voters.
And we know
that many, even Democrats,
support the Second Amendment.
So she wanted to convey the message
that yes, we must limit
the sale of weapons, control
the sale of weapons,
and ban, if possible,
assault rifles.
But she's not against
having a gun at home.
She said,
if someone breaks into my house,
I'm going to shoot him.
I shouldn't have said that.
I'm going to let my team deal with it.
Of course, let's not count on Oprah Winfrey.
She's a key step in the campaign.
Oprah Winfrey has been described
as an independent voter in the past.
So it's interesting,
because even though she's close to Democrats,
she's the kind of person she can try to convince.
And what's also interesting
is to see her more naturally,
more friendly.
Sometimes we see her like that,
for example, when she was with her sister
in videos, in meetings,
but we don't see her as charismatic and natural
as often as that.
So it's also interesting to see her let go a little.
A little spontaneous. Do you also think, Jordan,
that she was spontaneous and that all this was well calculated?
Yes, there is a performative side
to this kind of exercise,
because there she is giving
an image of someone who
looks like Americans, who looks like you,
who has the same values as everyone else.
So especially for a black woman,
it's not obvious.
A lot of people will say,
ah yes, she's crazy, she's crazy,
she's totally on the left side of the political chessboard.
She's really trying to break that image.
So with this kind of output,
even if it's not necessarily
what's going to be decisive,
people
say to themselves, people hear it
and say to themselves, well, she's like me.
And she smooths her image a little by doing this kind of thing.
She smooths her image and it expands
her electorate. Frédéric?
Well, in any case, it's obviously the wish of her part.
It must be said that Republicans
have always tried to portray
Democrats as people who are going to come
to your house, knock on the door and confiscate
your weapons, when it's completely wrong.
That's not what they want to do. It's about having better
control of the weapons, better verification
of the judicial predecessors, for example.
But it's clearly here a way to
target these pivotal states.
For example, the states of the north, like Michigan,
Pennsylvania and Ohio, where hunting
is obviously very important. So we don't want to touch
this right to carry weapons.
And it's also the case in the states
of the Sun Belt, the other pivotal states in the south,
like Georgia and Arizona,
where it's really the Far West where we really
stick to this kind of legitimate defense
with firearms, of course.
I think that, especially in Europe,
people may not realize it, but here
in the United States, there are a lot of people
who are, so to speak, normal.
It's not just guns that have weapons
at home. My aunts had
weapons in their handbags.
So it's very common here.
And so there, she still speaks,
it's not a fringe of the electorate
here, no, it's still a lot of
average Americans, so to speak, normal,
who are concerned, who see themselves in this kind of
speech. Even Jordan Davis' aunts
have a gun in their handbags.
We know them, they are very nice,
so it's still,
it's information.
We learned something.
Traditional Republican electors,
there are some who are hiding behind Harris,
former Vice President Bush,
Dick Cheney, of course, and his daughter
Lise, former collaborator
of the previous Republican campaigns
or administrations. Sonia,
you met one of these Republicans
who is going to vote Democrat.
He is a former elected
by Virgie. Yes, Denver Riegelman,
and by the way, it was pretty nice because I went to see him
in his distillery of whiskey,
in the middle of the Blue Ridge Mountains,
near Charlottesville.
And Denver Riegelman
is a close friend of Lise Cheney.
And what is interesting,
he left the Republican Party,
especially after the attack
of January 6, especially
because he was part of the January 6 committee,
the special committee of the House of Representatives
who was in charge of
this Capitol attack.
And so it was him and his team
who found the texts
of Donald Trump's
relatives, collaborators,
and in fact he was convinced
that it was really an organized attack.
And so he is completely
disgusted with Donald Trump, to put it in two words.
And you will hear,
he tells us why he will support Kamala Harris.
She's been Vice President.
She's been a prosecutor.
I think she's chosen a good candidate
in the person of Tim Walz.
And she's not crazy.
And not being crazy is an important thing
in politics today in the United States.
That's why I always prefer reason
to madness.
And Trump is almost 80 years old,
isn't he?
We can say that he is aging,
that dementia is setting in,
he is senile, but he has not changed
since he has become a kind of ignorant,
authoritarian, idiot.
I wish I had more flowery words
to define stupid.
I'm sorry, but I'm a Republican.
I've been a Republican all my life
and I'm going to vote for Kamala Harris.
So it's really something she's working on.
It's a thoughtful, conscious strategy
and in the long run.
Let's move on to the
sultry character of the week.
Well, not really of the week, because he's been
talking about him for a while now.
He's the Republican candidate for Governor
of North Carolina.
A certain Mark Robinson,
supported by Trump.
Let's first remember why he's famous here.
Jordan, do you remember
who this Mr. Robinson is?
Mark Robinson is the Lieutenant Governor,
that is, the assistant,
if you will, the number two, the vice president,
if you will, of his state.
And he has a heavy passive
with remarks on social networks
for a long time,
anti-Semitic comments
against LGBT people.
And there,
he managed
to win
the North Carolina primary.
And there are revelations
that he left
messages on porn messages
where he told
a lot of his sexual exploits
with his wife's sister.
I'll give you the details.
But above all, he said to himself,
among other things, I'm a black Nazi.
I'm a black Nazi.
He makes the apology of slavery and all that.
Obviously, it makes a mess.
There are a lot of people, his advisors,
who abandon him.
And there, he didn't withdraw.
It was really this article that came out
just before the last limit
for him to withdraw. He didn't withdraw.
So he's going to do well on the bulletin in November.
Homophobic, negationist,
conspiracist. Frédéric, the portrait
is complete. And on top of that, he's almost
alone now.
Yes, and it's a problem, of course, for the Republicans and Trump.
Because it's a candidate who was chosen
and adored by Donald Trump himself.
He spoke of him as a Martin Luther King
on steroids. It's pretty incredible.
But once again, it's an example
of poor quality candidates
who were chosen and supported by Donald Trump.
And it's a problem for the Republicans.
Because in 2022, during the half-term elections,
Donald Trump had supported dozens
and dozens of candidates with a lot of pot.
People of poor quality.
And the impact that happened is that
during the half-term elections, Donald Trump
and the Republicans lost a lot of seats
that they could have won and therefore
try to get majorities in the Senate and Congress.
So once again, we are in 2024
and a state like North Carolina,
which is a state that tilts from time to time
on both sides, is problematic.
And people are starting to wonder,
but with such a bad candidate,
won't there be a negative impact
for the presidential race with Trump,
who could suffer from the choice he made
and the very negative image
that the Republican Party gives
to voters in North Carolina?
And he can't afford to lose North Carolina?
No, he can't afford to lose any state.
It's so tight, it's not possible.
In fact, what we need to remember
is that we have a single ballot in the United States.
We have Up the Ballot with the two candidates
for the presidency.
And we have different elections
that are Down the Ballot.
That is, there are local referendums
and the governor's election, in this case.
And what is very clear is that
Democrats hope that the free fall,
because he is in free fall in the polls,
will mobilize voters
so that he leads in his fall,
so that he plunges
Donald Trump's candidacy
in North Carolina,
and that it can help them
to overthrow this state.
Or that it demobilizes Republicans.
And what is amazing is that for the moment
he does not resign, he persists,
and there is a whole part of the MAGA
who will believe his theory
because he hates liberal media so much.
He says, I will pursue CNN in justice
because it is they who released this information.
And what is crazy is to see a good part
of the pro-Trump who believe it.
What is interesting is that we did not think
that North Carolina would end up on this
famous shortlisted list of pivotal states.
Because if we look at the statistics
between 2000 and 2020,
each time they voted
for the Republican presidential candidate,
except once,
it was in 2008 with Barack Obama.
But for the rest, it is still quite stable
at the presidential level and at the Republican level.
And there, we really wonder
how it will evolve on November 5th.
We will see what will happen
for Mark Robinson.
We leave with this character
a little sulfur.
In the next issue, we will talk about
the debate of the vice-presidents,
Tim Walz and J.D. Vance.
And we hope it will be a little more civilized.
Bye everyone.
Bye.
Let's hope so.
Bye.
Washington DC
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