This Will Be The Most Populated Country Soon

do you know which country is going to have the most people in the year 2100 and what impact could that have on the world guys we're going to talk about it let's take a look at projections of population growth Andrew in the year 2100 this is what this model has predicted number one India number two Nigeria coming in at near 800 million people China drops all the way down to 730 million people then the US p an Congo Indonesia Ethiopia Egypt and Tanzania whoa okay so these are based on a lot of predictions David for the year 2100 we got to talk about it because kind of like this is one of the you know negative birth rates and migration and immigration is definitely one of the big topics in the on on a lot of people's minds right now so let's get into it yeah check this out world population Peak top 10 countries by 12100 Andrew there's a ton of different models look at how many people are shooting up and shooting down and China might shrink by 500 million people in 75 years insane so David we did a lot of research here are 11 trends that you should understand when it comes to global population in the future these are the trends that everybody's taking into consideration let's talk about it yeah so make sure you like subscribe turn on your notifications check out small ass sace in Amazon right now hopefully it'll be available Andrew to the global population Andrew real quick before we get into the list take a look at the total fertility rates for six regions right now I would say that Africa right now subsaharan Africa is around 4.6 but everything by 2100 will drop down to around two child uh two children per household yep yep one thing to remember is that all birth rates in almost every country are starting to decline but obviously some countries were way higher than others in the past 10 years but yeah yeah yeah Point number one Andrew predictions projections are incredibly difficult to get right but are often in the proper ballpark because the trends are not just going to like reverse all of a sudden right so they're saying these predictions that we have right now and people are making these very smart guesstimation about the future you're saying that usually because it's based on trends that are ongoing and Trends don't just quite stop all of a sudden that they're probably going to be kind of right yes they're probably going to be right but does it cannot account for weather pandemics War politics economics major societal shifts for example Andrew in 1994 the New York Times ran an article predicting that Vietnam's population right now would be 165 million but right now it's around like 95 million so so they were right in the sense that Vietnam's population did grow a lot but just didn't grow at the rate they predicted yeah and it seems like for the questions of like China for example or Japan and Korea and these count countes with super low birth rates it's almost like it almost makes more sense that the population will keep declining even faster than there is a major Baby Boom meaning that a whole bunch of people have babies yes yes yes it's very difficult to reverse the uh birth rate trends but it's easier to change some a high birth rate than reverse a low birth rate right um however some of the trends that are going to have Nigeria Egypt and ethiop Ethiopia's population skyrocketing uh there is limit to industrialization it's not necessarily a steady Arc all the way up so that is another thing uh Point number two Andrew projections sometimes change policy for example in China they saw the projections that China was going to be super overcrowded they were going to run into starvation so they instituted the one child policy but it almost works so good it worked too good right so now they are left with a kind of an imbalance and that doesn't make it suitable for having kids and I mean there's a lot of other reasons why they're not having kids in China obviously they're not also having kidss in Japan and Korea as well and a lot of other cities uh a lot of other countries in the world right so for example Nigeria is on track to have 800 million in 75 years but right now the Nigerian government is taking already some measures to curb that ooh would Nigeria do like a one child policy probably not one child that's they might have to do like just a a four child policy right right right uh Point number three Africa's population may not grow at the same rate that it has been been cuz obviously it's a it's a tremendously High rate when you see it right yeah well back in 1990 Nigeria uh its birth rate was like above six that's six kids per family that's a ton of people and so that's why there was such a population boom since the 1990s but uh H honestly everywhere in the world birth rates are starting to decline a little bit it's just that Nigeria is declining slowly from six so that means when it declines it'll still be at like 3 or four everybody's gliding down but they're gliding down from a different jump off point right uh Point number four Andrew China's population is on track to potentially be haved man so a lot of people are basically throwing out ideas what does that mean does it mean a lot does it mean a little cuz it sure certainly means something yeah I mean uh again man I don't think I don't know if it's something that you can Panic for and I don't know if you can plan like some crazy baby boom and a whole bunch of people having a bunch of kids it seems unlikely it just seems that maybe you could slow the decline by making it easier to have kids uh having their setting up more systems for uh baby care or hey you just take the hit and then in 20 you're 2100 there's a lot less people what do you think if the solution was to study for exams and test less and that was the solution would they Institute it yeah I do think that you have to take off some of the pressure off some people so that they can have kids and focus on having kids and then also help other people take care of their kids right some people uh there was a Chinese comment guy that said uh you know I feel like only rich people and the government actually care your average person is looking forward to it because I guess everybody will have a higher quality of life potentially maybe yeah yeah these things are really difficult to predict you guys let us know what you think in the comment section below Point number five Andrew some people theorize that population decline major population decline may lead to war well I feel like a lot of things lead to war right but you're saying overpopulation could lead to war too right but what's the theory on this but basically there's not enough puppets for the Puppet Masters so there's too many Puppet Masters and not enough puppets because the global Elite need to like you know own the companies and the companies need to employ people for like you know menial wages so once that whole system collapses they'll start fighting over resources interesting yes yes yes very interesting I just think that Ai and Robotics is going to play a huge role into it Point number six Andrew sometimes the feeling of a population feeling crowded is just due to everybody wanting to live in one or two cities in a country so for example um America Andrew on a per capita basis uh like China has one of the aable land that America has on a per capita basis that means that even though China's slightly bigger than America its aable land is way lower that pushes that population into the cities right well actually in America America there's quite a lot of good land that still is not very populated so if you think New York City or SF is crammed it's just because you didn't move an hour outside of the city yet right right there's still aable land over there that's still uh a frontier I guess uh some people are saying that the new Ultra highspeed trains that are being built and 500 600 miles an hour will allow cities to feel more alleviated so it depends you know there's the actual population density of a country and then how it feels sometimes it can feel even way more packed than it is uh Point number seven there were countries like Bangladesh and the Philippines that were expected to have gigantic gigantic population booms but right now actually are not oh yeah yeah so I had to look this up and Bangladesh they have a declining birth rate although it's declining kind of slowly but 1.3% each year and hey with the compound uh negative interest I mean that's going to be going down pretty quickly right a slight decline every year yeah yeah uh Bangladesh and the Philippines and I think it's just because you know my theory is that like for all these countries where they had a big boom back in like the 90s basically their countries came up and then now a lot of them those people who grew up in the 90s are immigrating to other countries like America and when they get here whether you're from Nigeria you're from the Philippines you're from Bangladesh when you get to America or the West whether it's Australia America you're actually not going to have that many kids your birth rate's going to more mirr Americans so maybe you'll have two or three kids at most you're not having six kids in America because it's too hard in America it's too expensive in America so it's funny because all these countries had big booms and then those kids that grow up they move just to have the same birth rate as the Native Americans right you're saying it almost more assimilates to the culture that they're moving to exactly Point number eight Andrew uh immigration from colder countries to I mean from warmer countries to colder countries is going to be a huge thing due to Equator uh climate change a lot of countries near the equator some people predict will become like so harsh climate wise they'll become unlivable right yeah so that's going to be a big thing right now um Point number nine there's going to be a lot of modern Technologies and techniques available for dry places to still try to stabilize their food or caloric sources so they can survive that is new things such as drip irrigation you know carefully selecting diverse crops desalination um there's like algae farming hydrogel soil basically some people are saying that like other countries that are richer are going to need to stabilize poor countries with these new technologies unless they want Mass immigration yeah so that's an interesting point number 10 what do you do with these Trends and predictions for example Andrew Elon sees these predictions and he wants to build Mars colonies right so I guess everybody's like looking at it some people are like oh yeah that's great that's the future of the world other people like this is the end of the world Elon he wants to use this information to go to Mars um and point number 11 Andrew AI might just change all of this calculus oh so people are saying that maybe uh people are going to marry robots people are going to have robots take care of the elderly that's going to stabilize populations where it's overly weighted on seniors versus young people so the robots could have a big impact right I feel like if you made me say AI is going to have a negative impact on birth rate if anything highly unlikely to me that people see robots and what robots are going to take care of your baby really if it's just AI like how are the robots going to make parents want to have more kids is it really going to make it easier cuz you need caretakers for kids so if the robots can't do what like a grandparent or Auntie or Uncle would do then really they're not going to promote people having a lot of kids yeah I do think to an aside men are more likely to marry a Blade Runner style uh Android or cyborg than a woman is to marry a male cyborg yeah I agree yeah men some men out there are ready to marry those AI models off Instagram if they can just be real enough was just like Blade Runner yeah anyways anyway guys I think that my major takeaway is that I think we're entering a new cycle with AI so potentially a lot of the models that held true for like 20 30 40 years they possibly could be shifted but Ai and cyborgs and Androids they're not there yet to like so we can't really fully predict how it's going to stabilize everything but I think they're going to play a huge part yeah but but who knows man maybe the actual moving robots get implemented into our lives a lot slower than AI is I think AI is already part of our Lives to an extent but I feel like the actual robots that can pick up a baby and rock it and feed the baby that's not happening anytime soon right um anyway guys let us know what you think of these population predictions in 2100 75 years from now any thoughts you know I think it's really interesting because it does dictate on a very macro bird's eye view the way the world is headed until next time we the hot pop boys we out peace