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Hello everyone, I'm Mark. Welcome back to Mark's Work. After the Ukrainian armed forces attacked the Russian Kursk state on August 6, now that more and more Russian troops have been intercepted, the pace of the Russian army's advance has slowed. Ukrainian President Zelensky believes that he has successfully established a strategic buffer zone in Kursk, and that a military government will be established in the future. After Ukraine opened a new battlefield, it also brought new difficulties. How to use military force to achieve the greatest result of war, if it is long-term, it will pay a huge price. Today I would like to talk about the Kursk topic. On August 15, Ukrainian President Zelensky reported to Zelensky that the Ukrainian armed forces had controlled 82 barracks, with an area of ​​1,150 square kilometers and a total depth of 35 kilometers. He also said that the situation in the eastern and southern parts of Ukraine is still difficult, but it has been controlled. At present, defense operations are underway, mainly to prevent the Russian army from advancing in the direction of Bolesk and Pokrovsk. Ukraine began to allow the media to interview the Kursk region occupied by the Ukrainian army. This also means that the Ukrainian army has steadily occupied some areas. Ukrainian Special Forces Lieutenant General Nadir Razor told the media that they had captured more than 2,000 prisoners of war after the attack. In addition to the fact that the territory was invaded by Ukraine, there is something else that makes President Putin feel very depressed, that is, there is no country in the world that is willing to condemn Ukraine, including Russia's strategic partners, the CCP and North Korea. Putin said at the defense conference that after the enemy invaded our country for a week, the world leaders did not make any condemnation. Don't they have eyes? Putin is really angry. Those so-called unlimited strategic partnership treaties are useless at this time. Who can blame this? Who made you invade before? It seems that Moscow must believe in tears. At present, although there are many news on the Internet that the Ukrainian army is only a few kilometers away from Moscow, I think that it is almost impossible to reach Moscow with the power of the Ukrainian army in Kursk at present. Last year, when Wagner's mercenaries rebelled, the reason why they were able to quickly advance to Moscow was that it was an internal conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Putin is still quite prestigious in the Russian army. Many Russian troops sympathize with and support him, so Wagner has not been blocked by anything to be proud of. And now that the Ukrainians have invaded Russia, the Russians will not be so polite. The Russian army will not have a chance to attack Moscow on the ground. The New York Times reported on the 13th how the Ukrainian troops suddenly attacked Kursk. The success of this operation shows the excellent secretive ability of the Ukrainian military. In the preparation stage before the operation, the Ukrainian army hastily moved the troops of Dogoryu to the Sumy region and secretly gathered near the border. Although a small number of Russians noticed these unusual military movements, the Russian military senior officials ordered to remain calm, which led to a lack of opportunity to respond in advance. The deputy commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Al-Qaumu, told the media that the secrecy of this operation was extremely high. Only a few senior officers knew about this plan three days before the invasion. Ordinary soldiers only learned the day before the attack that they would go to Russia to fight. With the news of the attack gradually spreading in the army, the commander-in-chief also relied on the soldiers' discipline and caution, and did not confiscate the soldiers' mobile phones. In order to confuse the Russian army, the Ukrainian military adopted a variety of deceitful tactics. Armored vehicles were cleverly hidden in the forest, and the troops' movements were disguised as daily exercises and training. The soldiers had to spend the night in the ruins near the border to avoid any suspicion. These well-planned actions effectively protected the secrecy of the operation and caused the Russian defense line to collapse quickly in the attack of the Ukrainian army. I personally think that on the one hand, this attack revealed the lack of Russian monitoring capabilities. On the other hand, it can also be seen that it is not impossible to attack in modern warfare. It's just that the size of the attack may not be too large, and it is difficult to achieve the effect of a flash war like Nazi Germany. Newshour's report also pointed out that the risk of this operation is extremely high. If the Ukrainian army can stabilize these occupied territories, it will seriously restrain Russian military forces and put great pressure on Putin. But if Russia successfully counterattacks and recaptures the occupied territories, the Ukrainian military leadership may be severely criticized for creating an opportunity for Russian counterattacks. The report also pointed out that U.S. officials said that they did not receive official notice from Ukraine before this operation. Ukraine may be worried that the U.S. will try to dissuade it, or that it is out of concern for the leak and has not informed in advance. However, Ukraine used a large number of vehicles, weapons and ammunition provided by the United States in this operation. The U.S. did not oppose or criticize this. Ukrainian officials remained silent about the specific details of the operation, so the outside world is not yet sure whether Ukraine plans to occupy these areas for a long time or temporarily control them. This operation shows the importance of confidential and deceitful tactics in modern military operations. Its success emphasizes the effectiveness of these tactics on the battlefield. The European News Agency also interviewed Yevhen, a Ukrainian soldier who took part in the attack. Yevhen revealed that Kursk's actions caused him to cancel his first vacation this year. But he did not regret it, because he got a special overseas holiday. This attack on Kursk shocked everyone, including his commander. Although Yevhen did not quite understand the main goal of the operation, his progress was obviously beyond expectation. They did not meet the Russian resistance at the border at first. The Russian troops fled because they were not ready to be attacked. There are many types of Russian troops they encountered, including rear-guards, paratroopers and tank troops. But he emphasized that the Russians will fight. At present, the tank troops are still occupying some areas. And contrary to the rumors outside, the tank troops did not give up easily, so this battle is still very difficult. Yevhen believes that the main goal of this Kursk attack is to exchange territory, negotiate as much as possible for the future of the two countries, and fight for their own money as much as possible. However, he believes that it is not so important to occupy nuclear power plants or Soviet nuclear power plants. The main task should be to establish firepower control locally and occupy other more important targets. Yevhen also said that although the loss of the Ukrainian army is relatively small, it is possible to face a higher loss Once the Russian preparation team has arrived, the real test begins. Yevhen believes that they should establish a local government that belongs to Ukraine there, and must defeat them in the Russian game they play. This is a major blow to their reputation and image, and shows the locals that Putin can't control anything. After the successful attack on Kursk, in order to curb the attack of the Russian air force, Putin launched a long-range attack on four air bases in Russia on the night of August 14. They are located in Volgograd, Kursk, and Chernobyl. The main target, in addition to the Russian aircraft stationed in these bases, also includes oil depots, ammunition depots, and maintenance facilities, etc. The telegraph channel, which is closely related to the Russian Air Force, Flighter Bomber, confirmed this news. Putin launched 117 suicide drones during the attack on the night of August 14. In addition to attacking several Russian air bases, it also attacked Russian military targets in Kursk, Volgograd, Ulyanovsk, Volgograd, and Mostov, etc. Flighter Bomber admitted that Putin's drone attack was partially successful, but the specific damage caused by the attack is still unclear. According to the previous similar situation, the specific damage situation needs to be waited to see. Russian military bloggers have speculated that Ukraine has surpassed Russia in the field of long-range suicide drones. If Ukraine shortens the gap in the field of long-range missiles, then the long-range attack is likely to change from the asymmetric advantage of the Russian army to the asymmetric advantage of the Ukrainian army. There are a large number of fighter jets stationed in the four Russian air bases attacked. Among them, a MiG-31K is stationed in the Savas-Leikha base in Volgograd, which is located in Chernobyl. The MiG-31K is currently Russia's main first air-to-miss missile launch vehicle. This type of missile is still unstoppable and very threatening. Some Russian officers in the social media claim that the strike of the MiG-31K is extremely effective. The anti-aircraft system near these bases has little effect. Flighter Bomber said that the problem still exists. The farther the base is from the front line, the fewer anti-aircraft systems, and it is not enough to defend with just one or two sets of armor systems. The local residents also described what they saw on social media, saying that the Ukrainian drones were flying very low. The Russian air defense system at least shot down one, but the problem is that the Russian radar and air defense system are very difficult to detect and intercept these Ukrainian drones Only in Savasreka, the residents nearby heard at least ten huge explosions. At present, the Russian military seems to lack sufficient means of response to the Ukrainian air defense system. The Russian air defense system is significantly weaker than the A-1 cruise missile, let alone the ballistic missile. Due to the limited resources, the Russian military has concentrated a large amount of air defense resources in the front lines, Crimea, Moscow and St. Petersburg, and a large part of the Russian territory within the Ukrainian self-propelled unmanned aerial vehicle range is now severely lacking air defense protection and is constantly being attacked by Ukrainian drones. Although Ukraine's attack in Kursk has been successful for the time being, the Russian military continues to maintain an offensive posture on the eastern front of Ukraine while withdrawing more than nine troops to reinforce there. The Russian military is looking forward to making a major breakthrough on the eastern front of Ukraine as soon as possible and trying to launch a large-scale armored assault without The Russian military also continues to use air-to-air missiles and drones to attack the Ukrainian defense line in order to break through the Russian military's defense line in the eastern part of Ukraine as soon as possible and disrupt the Russian military's deployment. The Russian military has deployed 520,000 troops in Ukraine and plans to increase to 690,000 by the end of this year. The purpose of Ukraine is exactly the opposite, which is to attract as many Russian troops as possible from the front line to return to the defense line in order to attack Russian It is best to be able to completely disrupt the Russian military's front line deployment to ensure the completion of the strategic mission of defending the entire defense line in However, as the Russian military increases the number of troops, Ukraine's cavalry will face several times more enemies and the risk of being eaten is also increasing. Perhaps the Russian military is ready to extend the time allotted to the Russian military in the form of a return to life and death in exchange for the change of the entire war situation. If Kiev orders them to surrender in place, it will certainly be a brutal clash, but for the sake of the overall situation, it may have to make a cruel choice. If Ukraine's cavalry can choose to retreat as soon as possible in order to reduce the casualties of Ukraine and defeat the Russian military after a few attacks, if it finds that it may be cut off by the Russian military and encircled, it can completely give up the position and withdraw back to the mainland. But in this way, some Russian troops may stay to build up the defense line, and some may return to the front line. The Ukrainian army can choose to attack again from different locations, but the Russian army must remain alert and may also choose to enter Ukraine's Sumy to open another battlefield. Whether Kiev sends more troops to support in Russia or to defend the front line is not known. Ukraine's assault action has actively opened a new battlefield, but this new battlefield is within the Russian territory. Ukraine's defense at a fixed point in Russia cannot be supported by the Russian people, but may face adverse consequences. Whether the supply line can be penetrated is also unknown. Whether Kiev can send more troops to replace them depends on how much they are willing to pay, and it also depends on the condition of the military resources. After the Korsakov attack, the White House and the Speaker of the House of Representatives clearly expressed the Biden administration's support for Ukraine's latest actions. On August 9, the U.S. announced a new round of $1.25 billion for Ukraine's military resources, including artillery ammunition,海马斯火箭弹,毒刺反攻导弹,标枪等反坦克导弹, 多用途雷达和多用途车辆,各种小武器弹药等,新战场给双方都带来了新的难题。 如何避免己方的弱点,同时利用敌方的弱点, 创造对己方更有利的机会都充满了变数。 各国军队应该都在关注乌克兰这支骑兵的命运, 也在观察可能带来怎样的战局转变。 托尔斯克战役还在持续发展,消息更新很快, 欢迎大家来留言讨论,我们下期再见。