【謝田時間】1. 烏克蘭融入西方應加入歐盟？歐盟會接納烏克蘭嗎？ 2.北約的初衷？ 3.習近平要當第三世界領袖？ 4.普京的「公平多極世界秩序」是什麼？ 5.中俄之間會出現裂痕麼？

Hello, Professor Xie. Hello, everyone. According to a report, a senior U.S. official said that a summit on North Korea is being held in Washington, D.C. It is said that there will be a discussion about Ukraine joining North Korea. What do you think about Ukraine joining North Korea? I think this is basically impossible. Why is it impossible? First of all, we know that Ukraine wants to integrate into the West. I think the most likely thing to do is to join the EU. They are already preparing to start negotiations with the EU. But if Ukraine joins the EU, there are still many obstacles. This is relatively easy to do. One of the obstacles is that Ukraine is too corrupt. The government in Ukraine is very corrupt. It does not meet the standards of the EU. The EU is a democratic, free, and young government country. If Ukraine continues to be so corrupt, once Ukraine joins the EU, it means that Ukraine and the EU are integrated in economic and trade. If Ukraine continues to be so corrupt, it will affect other countries. Also, Ukraine's debt is heavy and very poor. It's like a war. It's very poor now. This means that the EU will immediately help Ukraine I don't think many EU countries are willing to do this. At least Turkey and Hungary are against it. But I think the EU should accept Ukraine. Ukraine should also join the EU. But this is the EU. Ukraine and Western European countries are integrated in the economy. But if Ukraine joins the EU, this is actually a more sensitive matter. This is a high-level military and political alliance. A military alliance. As for the military alliance, I don't think it's possible. First, Ukraine wants to join the EU. If Ukraine wants to join the EU, the EU Treaty No. 5 The most important thing is No. 5. Any country in the EU If it is invaded by other countries, other countries must come forward to support and protect the country that is being invaded. In other words, if Ukraine is still at war with Russia, Russia is now attacking Kiev. If Ukraine is a member of the NATO, the entire NATO, including the United States, must directly go to war with Russia. This is unimaginable. Because we know that countries that have a lot of nuclear weapons have never gone to war directly. Because once they go to war, you can imagine that no matter which side, the United States or Russia, if one side fails on the battlefield, for example, the U.S. military approaches Moscow, or Moscow hits the United States, or hits Europe or somewhere else. Once this happens, both sides will use tactical nuclear weapons, small tactical nuclear weapons. And once the tactical nuclear weapons are used, strategic nuclear weapons will be promoted immediately. And if strategic nuclear weapons are used, it is basically the third world war to destroy the world, or the nuclear war. The nuclear war can destroy the whole world. So countries that have a lot of nuclear weapons, especially the United States and Russia, cannot compromise on this matter. And if Ukraine joins the NATO, it will directly lead to a world war. I think the world will enter a nuclear war. And there is another special requirement of the NATO, that countries that have territorial or war disputes with other countries cannot join the NATO. And Ukraine now has a territorial dispute with Russia. Ukraine thinks that Donbass, the area around the southeast, belongs to it. Russia says it belongs to it. This is a direct territorial dispute. This dispute will not be resolved soon. Even if it is resolved, suppose Ukraine stops the war, surrenders, or the peace treaty is resolved, there will still be territorial disputes. Ukraine still thinks that Crimea belongs to it. Countries that have disputes cannot join the NATO. This is clearly stated in the NATO Charter. So it is impossible for Ukraine to join. For Zelensky, of course he wants Ukraine to join the NATO. This way, the NATO can stand behind Ukraine, and fight Russia. For Russia, this is also very clear. If Ukraine joins the NATO, it means that the NATO will directly stand on the Russian border. Russia still has very deep reservations about the NATO. It thinks that the NATO is to destroy Russia. The NATO did not say that it was to destroy Russia. But the NATO is gradually moving eastward. It is gradually closing in on Russia. This is not good for world peace. Personally, I am against the NATO moving eastward, including Ukraine. The reason is that I think the NATO has lost its direction. When the NATO was formed, it was to deal with the Eastern European Union, the Soviet Union, the Eastern European Union, and the Communist regime. Of course, the NATO won the Cold War. The NATO disintegrated. If the NATO continues to exist, it should point its aim at the last remaining communist regime, which is the CCP. The NATO should not move eastward. The NATO should move westward, or southeastward, to stop the communist regime. Russia is no longer a communist regime. It is no longer a communist country. The Communist Party has no place in Russia. The Russian people know that during the Soviet Union's communist rule, they did not want to go back. The NATO did not need to use its resources to deal with a non-communist country. It let go of a real communist country. I think the NATO is now walking on a very wrong strategic basis. But some people, some countries, and some forces are pushing against Russia. This has led to the current war. No matter what, if the NATO continues to exist, if the NATO continues to do this, if it continues to fight against Russia, it will be very difficult. Russia will not let go of its hostility and deterrence. The NATO will always be hostile to Russia. And Ukraine is also in a very difficult situation. Because Russia will not allow Ukraine, which was part of the former Soviet Union, to suddenly become a hostile military group to it. In addition, I saw a report that Xi Jinping and Putin recently met at the annual summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Xi Jinping said that China and Russia should continue to strengthen strategic cooperation and unite the global south to prevent a new Cold War. What do you think of Xi Jinping's view? Yes, basically, I think the western leftist government made a mistake. They initiated or participated in the Russian war. In fact, they pushed Russia towards the CCP. Russia and the CCP did not have such strong military cooperation. But in fact, when Putin was forced to retreat, he must be with the CCP. At this time, the CCP is also facing U.S. encirclement. The CCP also joined forces with Russia. In fact, this approach, as I said just now, the NATO and Ukraine war pushed Russia towards the CCP. The CCP now feels very powerful and can fight against the U.S. because it has its economic power, the CCP's economic power, and Russia's military power. Of course, the CCP has always wanted to be the leader of the southern countries. Now it takes this opportunity to be the leader of the third world to fight against Europe and the U.S. To prevent a new Cold War, we know that the U.S. and the CCP already have a new Cold War. Now the CCP wants to prevent a new Cold War in order to be afraid of being killed by the U.S. In fact, it is to pull Russia and pull the whole south to fight against the U.S. This is the CCP's strategic goal. The report says that Putin also emphasized on this forum that the Shanghai Organization is an important pillar of the fair multilateral world order. That is to say, their purpose is to change the current world order. Yes, because the U.S. thinks that the U.S. is a single world. Now they hope that if the U.S. goes down the road, when the U.S. weakens, the CCP and Russia will become another country that can fight against the U.S. In other words, their so-called multilateral world order is actually to weaken the U.S. to weaken the world of Europe and the U.S. They want to change the international pattern after World War II and create their so-called new world order. This new world order is the CCP's fate community. In other words, they want to push communism into the world. Now it seems that the CCP is on the one hand pushing the U.S. and Europe and on the other hand, it is also trying to pull Russia and other developing countries to fight against the U.S. to use the contradictions between the U.S. and other countries to become a new level in the world. In other words, they want to push communism into the world again. You say this is the purpose of the CCP. But Russia is not a communist country now. Do you think Putin understands the purpose of Xi Jinping? Putin is willing to understand. I think he actually already knows. But he is not saying that he is supporting the Communist Party of China. He needs the resources of China and economic resources to support his war. He even thinks that he supports the survival of Russia. Putin and the Russians think that Western countries like Hungary and Saxony are actually encircling their eastern religion. He is threatened by the survival of Russian democracy. At this time, he basically has no other choice. He will find whoever can help him. He doesn't care if the CCP is a communist country or not. I don't believe he will support the Communist Party of China's strategic goals. But now he can use China's economic power to help him. In fact, Russia is wary of China. We see that Russia's medium-range missiles are mostly aimed at China. His nuclear weapons are also aimed at China. He is also worried that if China becomes stronger, the Chinese will definitely take over the Far East of Russia and the Far East of Spain. They will also take over the entire eastern region. So this territorial dispute cannot be avoided. Now he is just forced by the Western left to join forces with the CCP to warm up. But if Trump stops this war, if Putin thinks he doesn't need to there may be a split.