【謝田時間】1. 白宮向北京發出警告被認為是有史以來最嚴厲的一次？ 美國還在忍耐階段？ 2. 到目前為止美國歐盟西方等對俄羅斯制裁沒有到達預期效果？ 3. 俄烏戰爭會如何停止？

Hello, Professor Xie. Hello, Shili. Hello, everyone. The U.S. Treasury Secretary recently visited China and reported that the Treasury Secretary issued a warning to Chinese banks and exporters that if China continues to help or increase Russia's military capabilities, the U.S. will not let go of the CCP. What do you think of the U.S. warning? Do you think this is a repetition of the previous words? Or is there any deep meaning? In the past, the U.S. never issued such a severe warning. It said that Washington would not let you go. We won't let you go. We won't let you run away. That's what it meant. So this is a very strong warning. This should be the first time that the White House and government officials have issued such a direct and clear warning. The reason is that it means that if the U.S. supports Russia, increases Russia's military capabilities, and supports Russia's war efforts behind the scenes, this will actually cause the current situation of the Russian-Russian war. Of course, the U.S. warning also has something to do with the intensification of the U.S.-China economic confrontation and economic war. This means that the U.S. government has issued an ultimatum to the Chinese Communist Party. It is also possible that the U.S. will endure for a while. Because the U.S. and China have not broken up yet. They haven't officially started a war yet. They haven't broken up with Russia yet. But the U.S. may endure for a while now. But the U.S. will remember. It won't let you go. It will settle scores with you later. Maybe when the relationship between China and the U.S. worsens, it will settle scores with you. So this thing actually means that the U.S. has issued a very clear warning to the Communist Party of China's economic policy and military-industrial coalition that assists Russia. But I also read a report that some people who knew about it had long ago revealed that since the outbreak of the Russian-Russian war, the CCP has never stopped helping Russia in all aspects. And the CCP's soldiers have also gone. The U.S. has long known about this. Why is the U.S. issuing a warning now? The CCP is helping Russia economically. This is a good question. Economically, the CCP has become Russia's largest energy purchaser. Oil and natural gas purchaser. Russia is now cut off by the West, Europe and the United States. After the energy trade, Russia's energy exports are still increasing. Mainly because it sold to the CCP and India and other countries. So economically, the products that went from Europe to Russia Because of the economic sanctions imposed by the European Union, Russia has no way to buy from Europe. They all buy from China. From cars to clothes, toys, cosmetics, and food, they all come from China. Although the quality is not as good as in Europe, there is no other way. So the CCP's economic assistance and support The CCP actually continues to assist Russia in buying oil and natural gas at a high price. Many of these materials are used by both the military and the people. So it must include military supplies. For example, a large number of drones were used in the Russian-European war. These drones, the drones exported by the CCP Can also be said to be for civilian use. Although some have been modified a little, they are still being used. It also includes chip technology. Chips are made by the CCP. Or European and American chips entered Russia through China. This is a big presence. The CCP's soldiers rush to the battlefield. I haven't seen the report yet. I can't confirm this. Russia may not need the CCP's soldiers. It has its own regular troops. It has the U.S. Army. It also has some military personnel. Russia does not need to mobilize for war. It just needs normal troops. So it doesn't necessarily need the CCP's soldiers. The U.S. supports these Chinese in the CCP's material, economic and material funds. Even including military supplies. If you support Russia, you must know. But if the CCP doesn't say, doesn't admit It has no way to catch the evidence. Because some things, between China and Russia The border is thousands of miles long. There are many ports. It can be transported by truck, train, plane, etc. The U.S. can't check it. So the U.S. knows. But at least now It just blames it. It can't stop it. It can only put pressure on the CCP. Hope the CCP can stop. Now some pressure has worked. For example, the U.S. has a banking system with China. Business cooperation between banks with Russia. This is something the U.S. can see. This is under U.S. pressure. The U.S. threatens the CCP. If you continue to support, The CCP's banking system will be kicked out of the international system. The CCP will be afraid. Now the U.S. has stopped cooperating with Russian companies. But other material aid should still be in progress. In addition, I read an analysis. So far, the U.S., the EU, the West, etc. The sanctions against Russia seem to be to a great extent. Did not achieve the expected effect. The support behind the CCP did not make any tough measures. What do you think of this analysis? Yes, the U.S., the EU, and the West Basically did not achieve the expected effect. First of all, its financial sanctions We say that financial sanctions In fact, after hitting Russia for a while It will rebound soon. And Russia, because it is actually This country is very difficult to sanction. It has its own energy, its own food. There is also metal mining. As long as there are some Chinese countries Provide it with some simple manufacturing It has a sufficient military-industrial joint system. So it is actually very difficult to sanction. And in fact, there is basically no effect. Now Russia is actually stronger. Of course, the Biden administration and the European left-wing government are very depressed about this. Russia has been in the past two years Actually, the bigger the economy, the more developed it is. Now even more than Germany If you compare the purchasing power, Russia has just surpassed Germany last year Becoming the biggest and most powerful economy in Europe. Germany was cut off because of this war and energy. Because of economic decline And now this kind of EU sanctions First of all, the reason I am actually against this war Is that there is a left-wing government in the United States They are trying to break down Russia. I don't think this is necessary. Because NATO does not need to attack Russia. NATO was originally created to attack communism. Now the real communism is in China. So NATO should go east It's not like going east to Russia It should be with Ukraine But it should be beyond Russia Sanctions against China, sanctions against the CCP But they obviously took the wrong route. I think the war that Ukraine started The war started in 2014 The war is actually pushing Russia towards the CCP To make the CCP and Russia become stronger It's hard for the West to deal with. So now the problem is Because of Russia's own characteristics It is now very strong economically It has become a kind of war economy It produces missiles every month Drones, firecrackers, airplanes, tanks This is very, very much If this war continues like this It can be completely defeated But in fact, the West In fact, it is almost completely defeated So this is a problem. So Ukraine may collapse at any time. In fact, the Western government There is not much to do now Because the West itself Whether to support Ukraine There are also two opinions. Some European countries want to continue to support 70% of the American people do not want to support So the US support for Ukraine Also requires $60 billion to support the passage That's it. But I also saw a statement on the Internet Russia has sent troops to attack Ukraine This is an act of aggression If the Western countries Or the mainstream society led by the United States Don't do anything, it's not appropriate. What do you think of this statement? It is an act of aggression. First of all, there is no doubt Russia did invade Ukraine Invasion of war should be condemned There is no doubt But the practice itself First of all, we have to look at what Ukraine has done. In fact, Ukraine Since 2014 Started systematically Targeting its Donbass Eastern and southern regions Russian people Because Ukraine is with the Soviet Union There are many of them If you look at the whole of Ukraine If you divide it by the Kiev River Basically, the Kiev River is east Its east and south are mainly people from the Russian region And the Kiev River If you look at the west It is mainly Ukrainian people So these two ethnic groups In fact, there has always been This kind of confrontation and struggle From religion, language, all kinds of reasons In fact, the Zelensky government Since 2014 Started in Donbass To the eastern Mainly Russian Ukrainian residents To start the war In fact, the Red Army His army went to encircle He is actually fighting To suppress the Russian people of Ukraine So there is a reason for this war I think Ukraine is not necessary First of all, he should Russian war Aggression should be condemned But Ukraine suppresses Suppressing Russian behavior Should also be condemned If you can solve this problem I think the best way Ukraine first stops Suppressing these Russians Then Putin Don't destroy Ukraine But now it's obvious The opportunity for peace negotiations Has been missed The war in Donbass Has been going on for eight years Now this Russia's destruction has also been going on for two years Now, in fact, what should be done Should be to stop the war My personal claim is The United Nations took over Let Donbass now Donbass occupied by Russia Donbass has four states Lugansk And Zaporizhzhya These four states Let us work together Then After the Russian army and Russian army withdrew A meeting was held Elected people to come to the meeting Decide if you want to join Russia Or join Ukraine I believe because of him I just said This area itself Is dominated by Russians And dominated by Russians So they will definitely join Russia So this war Is actually a wrong war This approach For example, it is to push Russia Towards the CCP This is not conducive to Global counterattack Communism Such a strategy So now this war Has been fought until now Now it seems I think Ukraine may be Disintegrated at any time Now it has no way No ability to sustain Without the support of the United States Europe is basically Out of water Europe North Korea It is impossible Send its soldiers To the battlefield Actually This is a military war In that case The real war Begins here And if these North Korean soldiers As long as they do not enter Ukraine Can't get further support It must not last This war You just said it should be stopped If it doesn't go on Will it stop? If it doesn't go on, it will stop Now it seems Russia has changed its strategy Originally They bombed some Some of Ukraine's Power plants Compressor And so on Caused a little inconvenience But this Compressor Power station Power system Will soon be restored This is a punitive But this time We know that in Moscow That What is the name of the hospital Exploded After the explosion Russia believes Ukraine did it So now it starts A new round of bombing Go directly Not to attack Such a power plant Power plant And directly bomb Ukraine's Power plant So now From Odessa To Kharkov To Kiev All are All are out of power Even Lviv Lviv is in Ukraine's west Close to Poland That city Now also Loss of electricity Loss of energy And Ukraine's Air defense Air defense system Basically Exhausted Because of this A lot of drones Missiles Every day Missiles I just said Russia has adapted A war economy Constantly Making these drones Missiles It Ukraine's Anti-aircraft Missiles Whether it is Russia's S-300