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Three major reasons for China's economic downturn
Two forms of collapse of the regime
Director of the Central Office of the New People's Election or Peng Liyuan guarantee
Cai Qi lost favor
Three meetings are difficult to produce
There may be a big event in China
Chinese officials died in a hurry
The 7th Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China appeared in Babaoshan for the third time
The US-China military dialogue has not yet recovered
The CCP promised to hit its face again
Hello everyone, welcome to the International News Eye
I am Meiling
Under Xi Jinping's series of tricks
China's economy is almost incurable
Analysts point out that the CCP regime may face two modes of extinction
China's economy continues to deteriorate
Real estate and financial circles are bursting
Taiwan economist Wu Jialong said
The core problem of China's economy is the real estate crisis
As the CCP local government's fiscal income is hurt
The land transfer income has shrunk
The local government can only rely on debt
As a result, more and more debt
Wu Jialong believes that China's economy cannot be saved
Xi Jinping is busy dealing with local debt and state-owned enterprise debt
The most important thing is that he has no countermeasures
Wu Jialong believes that there are three fundamental reasons
Caused China's economy to deteriorate
First, China's economy has lost momentum
Second, insufficient domestic demand has filled the external demand
Third, funds are flowing out
This leads to financial, financial, industrial employment
And a lot of problems such as the bank crisis
So what is the root cause of so many problems in China's economy?
The root cause is Xi Jinping's encouragement of the rise and fall of the East and West
Caused by the confrontation with the United States
This causes the United States to no longer support China's economy
Just decoupling, let Beijing sweat
In addition, China's employment situation and financial and financial are not good
Domestic demand is shrinking
So both external and domestic demand are not good
This will lead to economic problems and political problems
Xi Jinping can only defend
Now the whole world can't find soldiers to help China's economy
What concerns the outside world is how the CCP will collapse towards the regime
Wu Jialong pointed out that China has two tacit understanding of the dynasty
Ming Dynasty and Qing Dynasty
The Ming Dynasty model is that the central government should bear stable funds
Use various means to increase taxes to alleviate financial pressure
Corresponding to now is that the truck has to be fined for crossing the highway
Then a large amount of money transfer, inflation
Causing peasant uprisings, changing dynasties
The Qing Dynasty model is to distribute the task of maintaining stability in the central government to local governments
They all have their own armed forces to maintain stability
Like Xiangjun and Huaijin
This led to the destruction of the Qing Dynasty because of military sanctions
Wu Jialong said, corresponding to now
The Xi regime seems to be the central government to bear stability
But it has been torturing people
Because there is no money, local governments have to find ways to support their own troops
Do stability spending
It is still difficult to judge whether the CCP will go to the Ming Dynasty or the Qing Dynasty
But in 2024, China's economy and politics may all face major difficulties
All the time, Cai Qi seems to have gained the trust of Xi Jinping
The CCP Prime Minister Li Qiang
But it's not easy to work under a suspicious Xi Jinping
Recently, the Internet suddenly spread the news
Ma Xingrui, Secretary of Xinjiang, is likely to take over the position of Director-General of Cai Qi
It is said that he received a guarantee from Peng Liyuan
This is also the symbol of Cai Qi's loss of favor
On December 12th, Cai Shengkun, a self-proclaimed commentator in the United States, tweeted on Xplatform
After a year of taking over as the director-general of the Chinese Communist Party,
Xi Jinping finally confirmed a new candidate
Ma Xingrui, the 64-year-old party secretary of Xinjiang, is about to enter Beijing
Become the closest high-ranking official to Xi Jinping
Cai Shengkun said
The reason why Xi Jinping chose Ma Xingrui as the director-general of the Chinese Communist Party
It's not that he has a lot of knowledge
But because he is a technical official
There is no time and opportunity to cultivate trusted party members
In addition to the power center far from Beijing
The current director-general can balance the Zhejiang Gang and the Fujian Gang
And Ma Xingrui and former director-general Ding Xuxiang have no intersection
Xi Jinping is more at ease with him
One person pointed out on Xplatform
The reason why Ma Xingrui took over Cai Qi as the director-general
It is said that he is more intimate
With Xi Jinping's wife Peng Liyuan as a guarantee
But there are views that this adjustment is not a good sign for Cai Qi
Chinese expert Dr. Zhang Tianliang analyzed
Cai Qi is the director-general and directly manages the central police station
It's like Xi Jinping's chief of staff and bodyguard
This must be a very trustworthy person
Because if the director-general wants to go against the water
It is a direct threat to the highest leaders of the Chinese Communist Party
Zhang Tianliang believes
If Cai Qi leaves the position of director-general
It is a sign of his infamy
But Ma Xingrui is neither Fujian Gang nor Zhejiang New Army
There is no intersection with Xi Jinping
Why does Xi Jinping trust Ma Xingrui so much?
Let him replace Cai Qi as the director-general
This is very unusual
At least it does not conform to Xi Jinping's principle of taking people as relatives
China usually holds a three-way plenary session in October or November
But it seems that the last month of 2023 is coming to an end
The three-way plenary session is still difficult
Someone pointed out
This is caused by disagreement between Xi Jinping and officials
Some people also think that Xi Jinping is waiting for the plenary session
See how the Sino-US and China-EU relations are
But what can be seen is
As the economy crumbles
I'm afraid something big is going to happen in China
On Dec. 12, U.S. self-proclaimed commentator Cai Shenkun
Posted on various platforms
According to Beijing
During August and September this year
The CCP has raised issues and reports on the three-way plenary session
Seeking opinions from all Chinese and provincial officials
From the collected opinions
The three main aspects are
First, review the gains of wolf diplomacy
Restore friendly cooperation with the EU and the United States
Stop foreign investment from withdrawing
Stabilize employment
Second, a large-scale relaxation of real estate
Cancel the three red lines
Allow local governments to issue promulgation policies due to doubts
Third, further clarify the legal status of private economy and national capital
Cancel discrimination policies
Let private economy, national capital
Enjoy the same treatment as state-owned enterprises and state-owned enterprises
Restore economic vitality as soon as possible
To boost stock market confidence
According to the news
Because the opinions of the above are contrary to Xi Jinping's original intention
Unable to form a consensus in a short time
The three-way plenary session has to be postponed
Li Yuanhua, a historian in Lyon, said
The three-way plenary session has not been announced for a long time
It's because there are serious problems inside the CCP
Now more and more second-generation reds are disgusted with Xi Jinping
And even those who are promoted by Xi Jinping
They are also competing for power
How to balance
Not yet
So this meeting will be postponed
Zeng Ruisheng, an expert on China in London University
Zeng Ruisheng told Deutsche Welle
It is likely that Xi Jinping has not made a complete decision
How to deal with the current economic situation in China
He pointed out
China's economic situation may not be like it is now for 30 years
The economy is very weak and full of problems
Therefore, more consideration and time are needed
Professor Zeng Ruisheng said
October and November this year
Xi Jinping did not know what kind of response he received at the plenary session
So he at least wants to wait until the San Francisco trip
It is clear how the US and EU will develop
Decide again what kind of statement to make in terms of economic policy
He believes that Xi Jinping's attitude towards the market has always been very clear
To market results
But under the rule of the Communist Party
Contradict each other from the root
Many structural problems in China's economy
Always exist
Xi Jinping makes these problems more serious
Zeng Ruisheng pointed out
Real estate bubble
Economic imbalance
Population structure
Problems ranging from population prosperity to lack of population
It was not solved in Xi Jinping's former party rule
And at the moment when Xi Jinping accelerated his left turn
These problems are almost impossible to solve
What can be seen is
As China's economy continues to deteriorate
And high unemployment rates
The anger of the Chinese people must explode
Something big is likely to happen in the future
Recently, many CCP officials passed away
And the 7th Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China also held a memorial service for the CCP leaders for the third time
It is speculated that the cause of death of these officials may be related to the epidemic
According to the CCP's party media
On December 7, the former Chinese Academy of Engineering
The 11th National People's Congress
Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China
Passed away in Beijing due to illness
82 years old
On November 11, the three-state committee was burned at Baibao Mountain
The 7th Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China
Xi Jinping
Li Qiang
Zhao Leji
Wang Huning and others
All went to Baibao Mountain to mourn
This is the last month
The 7th Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China
The third time to Baibao Mountain
The funeral of leaders above the level of the Communist Party of China
The first two were
On November 9, the 7th Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China went to Baibao Mountain
Participate in the funeral of Zhou Tiannong, the former vice chairman of the National People's Congress of the Communist Party of China
And the 7th Standing Committee
On November 2
Go to Baibao Mountain
Participate in the funeral of Li Keqiang, the former prime minister of the Communist Party of China
What is also concerned
With the outbreak of the epidemic in China again during this period
The number of deaths of senior CCP officials is also increasing
From mid-November to early December
At least 21 senior CCP officials have died
On December 6
Wu Yinsheng, the former Standing Committee of the Anhui Provincial Political Bureau, died in Hefei
On November 22
Liu Shuying, the former deputy governor of Jilin Province, died in Changchun
On November 22
Yu Peng, the former chairman of the Political Bureau of Jimo District, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, died in Qingdao
On October 17
Yan Binghuo, the former secretary of the Party Committee of Beijing Anzhen Hospital, died
It is expected that the CCP will start in December
Require Beijing and Guangzhou and other major meetings to do nucleic acid
And Beijing and Shanghai and other places
Require the elderly and other specific groups to get the new crown vaccine and wear masks
Not to be ruled out
These CCP officials also died from the infection of the new crown
The CCP promised to resume the US-China economic dialogue at the inauguration
But in actual action
Self-pity
Still did not fulfill the promise
In August last year
It was the U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi
Visiting Taiwan
The CCP abruptly terminated direct military contact with the U.S. military
In order to prevent gunfire between the United States and China
The Biden administration has been trying to restore the U.S.-China military dialogue
But the CCP says one thing and does another
October 16
That is, the second day after the inauguration
U.S. President Joe Biden said
The U.S. and China have reached an agreement to resume direct military communication or hotline
October 30
Chinese Defense Ministry Spokesperson Wu Qian also said at a press conference
Both China and the United States agreed to resume high-level communication between China and the U.S. military
China-U.S. maritime military security business meeting
And the Sino-U.S. Department of Defense work meeting
And agreed to carry out a two-military war zone leadership call
It seems that the U.S. has made progress in restoring two-state military dialogue
But U.S. Republicans reminded Biden before
Do not be deceived again by the CCP regime
As a result, the CCP used actual action to make a face for its promise again
December 11
U.S. media NBC quoted three U.S. senior U.S. defense officials
After the inauguration meeting
U.S. defense officials have been actively contacting Chinese military officials
But the CCP has not responded
And U.S. military officials have also contacted the CCP
Want to re-establish decades of military communication channels
According to two U.S. senior U.S. defense officials
Although they still hope to negotiate maritime security with the CCP next year
But until now, they have not made any arrangements
See you next week
