הנשיא החדש של ארגנטינה — פרשנות

What changes can we expect to see in Argentina under Javier Mille and especially how will his presidency change? Argentina's relations with other countries including the u.s. Joining us now to discuss We have Marcos Sotkis editor-in-chief of the Portuguese edition of the Epoch Times Marcus Sotkis. Thank you so much for joining us. Great to have you on the show. Thank you for having me Argentina's new president has been dubbed by the Washington Post as quote a leap into the unknown Now the u.s. Has an interest as we have about 30 billion dollars in trade with Argentina How do you see this election impacting the u.s.? Well, it impacts the u.s. A lot and just first of all isn't a leap into the unknown a little better than the known 140 percent inflation year on year that we have right now. I mean the country's economy is just in ruins So it impacts the u.s. In a bunch of ways First of all the previous government the previous administration was very very pro-china and Geopolitically China has been gaining a lot of leverage in Argentina They have a space station in Nelken province and I mean even talking rare earth minerals Argentina is a resource for lithium-ion battery resources So there's this aspect of it other than that it also impacts u.s. Interest in the sense that Argentina It isn't known whether they'll be able to do better with their debt, but they were doing very poorly So a change is welcome in the way they were dealing with their foreign debt Those are a few ways. It does impact the u.s But other than that the previous regime was also very pro Cuba very pro Iran even They were excusing Iran Hezbollah action to an extent So I think talking geopolitically and even depth wise We'll see but the previous administration was not doing a good job in terms of u.s. Interests Marcus you brought up the Chinese Communist Party and Argentina has a lot of debt to China and right ahead of this election China actually loaned Argentina 6.5 billion dollars hoping that the former economy minister was going to win instead now Javier has vowed that under his Administration Argentina will do no business with communist countries including China How likely is that given the amount of debt we're talking about? So the way he phrased it was more in the sense that he would not promote ties Economically or otherwise with what he calls murderous regimes He even came as far as calling socialists trash and quote-unquote human excrement Which was very very poorly seen in the left-wing press in South America Now if you go if you take that back to China geopolitics and you know Big power competition in the region Javier is very likely to not promote ties in the strict sense But he also said that he's not going to forbid private citizens of exchanging us that by definition is against his quote-unquote libertarian ideology But now Argentina is a more complex situation if you're talking that now, let's talk China Let's talk the CCP if you just get China debt Argentina has a problem with what they call cross cancellation clauses What the cross cancellation clause basically means is that if you want to cancel something in one contract Then all of the other CCP state-owned banks Will basically have to be revealed or might have to be canceled The CCP has gained so much leverage in Argentina like that that they were able to get away when former president Mauricio Macri Tried to expel the People's Liberation Army from managing a space station in the province of Nelken Which had restricted access even to the president himself and local authorities. So the leverage is very big We'll see how it plays out. He's not likely to deal with the debt problem Anytime soon from I mean from what the contracts say themselves and the way to influence local politics But I think he might have some leverage in dealing with stopping the promotion of ties Maybe getting out of the Belt and Road initiative may be getting out of the BRICS block of countries, which are all things He has previously Suggested he intended to do so it will reduce the influence to some extent but are like long-running Contracts, he won't be able to push out so soon in my analysis