【謝田時間】1.如何看北還航線的戰略重要性？ 對世界有啥影響？ 2. 俄羅斯因受西方嚴厲制裁，卻讓中共趁虛而入? 中共野心推進一步？ 3.俄羅斯中共在北海航線對歐美的會構成威脅嗎？

Hello, Professor Xie. Hello, Mr. Chen. Hello, dear listeners and viewers. I saw a report in the US that the US is paying close attention to the Russian cruise to the Chinese port through the North Sea. It said that this is a sign of China's strengthening cooperation with Moscow in the Arctic region. I saw a report in the US that Russia is opening its doors to Beijing. It seems that this strategic location is very important. What do you think? Yes. In fact, China has a base research institute. A base research institute, a South Pole research institute, a North Pole research institute. Of course, we know that the South Pole continent is actually open. Many countries around the world, including China and the United States, have built such a scientific observation base in the South Pole. So everyone opens the door to the South Pole. The North Pole is actually the Arctic Ocean. It has no land. So it can't build a permanent scientific observation base. But now there is an international Arctic Council. This is actually made up of eight Arctic countries. Countries around the Arctic, such as the United States, Norway, the Soviet Union, Russia, Denmark, etc. But the CCP has always hoped to join the Arctic Council. At least become an observer. Because the CCP wants to participate in the Arctic survey. But Russia has always opposed it. Don't let China become an observer of the Arctic Council. Don't let China enter the Arctic. Don't even let Russia ban Chinese ships from entering the Arctic to carry out research. Because Russia wants to put the Arctic closer to China. As its inner sea. It really is almost its inner sea. Now there is a problem. In recent years, the ice in the Arctic has started to melt. After the ice in the Arctic melted, the so-called North Sea Line appeared. The so-called North Sea Line has now become accessible. Sometimes you don't have to use ice-breaking ships. You can use some sturdier ships. This actually opens up a new opportunity for economic and trade in the world. First of all, the North Sea Line. We know that the North Sea Line starts from Canada. It's called the Northwest Passage. We can call it the Northwest Line. From Canada through the United States, through Alaska into the Pacific Ocean. Then through Greenland into the Atlantic Ocean. The Northwest Passage is like the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean. Both sides are connected. But on the Russian side, there is only one called the Northeast Passage. It starts from the Russian coast in the North Pole. Then through the Ice Island into the Atlantic Ocean. From the Atlantic Ocean through the Suez Canal. Then it goes around to Asia. There is such a route. This is called the Northeast Passage. In the past, the Northeast Passage did not go north. It didn't go north, it went up. It went to the Pacific Ocean. It didn't exist in the past. But in recent years, the number of soldiers has increased. So this route is now realized. This is what you just mentioned. This is called the North Sea Route. That is to say, from the Russian port in the North Pole, it can go through this route and pass through the North Pole. Then it goes from Alaska to the Pacific Ocean. Then it goes to China and Asia. This route used to be inaccessible. Everyone knows. But it can't go through. Because this hole is too big. Now, because the ice is melting, it can go through. If it can go through, it is equivalent to saying that from the oil and minerals exported from Russia, a lot of things can go through this route. This is called the Northeast Route. Or the North Sea Route. Sorry. The North Sea Route enters Asia. This is a lot less than through the Suez Canal. There is a very big savings. 30% of the route and oil savings. At this time, the Russian-Russian war happened again. We know that Russia was sanctioned by Europe and the United States. Now the economy is very difficult. Russia relies on the Chinese Communist Party to provide economic support. At this time, the Chinese Communist Party is actually taking advantage of the situation. It is said that it may ask to join the North Pole Council. If there is a chance, you can get close to studying the North Pole. Because the North Pole Route has an impact on China's economy in the future. So now you can say that in fact, because China wants to buy Russian oil, it can not go through the Suez Canal. The Suez Canal and the North Atlantic Ocean are actually under the control of the European and American countries. If it comes from the North Sea Route, it does not need to go through the Suez Canal. It is not under the control of the European and American countries. So it is beneficial to China and Russia. So Russia has now opened the door to Beijing. In this case, is China's goal achieved? Yes, you can say that China used the opportunity of the Russian-Russian war to take advantage of Russia's need for China to support it. This opportunity is beneficial to China. It can be said that it has achieved some of its goals. Because I read in the report that Russia has been restricting the CCP from joining the North Pole. Now Russia has given up. What does this mean for Russia? It has not lost its attitude. In fact, China has only become an observer of the North Pole Council. Now China can be an observer. The Chinese delegation can conduct research work there to discuss the Suez Canal. But many parts of the North Pole are still the territorial waters of Russia. Of course, Russia has its naval fleet there. In fact, it will not lose too much. It's just that it used to be more difficult for China. It didn't want China to burn the North Pole. Now it has to agree with China to burn it. China is not a North Pole country. It is called a near-North Pole country. It is a country close to the North Pole. So the CCP's ambition is on this side. Because of the Russian-Chinese war, it has actually taken a step forward. Russia is actually not so strictly restricting the CCP's expansion. For the CCP, is there any other political or military purpose? The CCP's army may not have deployed troops yet. There is no need to enter the North Pole. Through the CCP's submarine, I don't know if they have the ability to infiltrate the ice city of the North Pole. In fact, the North Pole has always had an open sea route. So for the CCP, I think it can only get closer. It can participate in the discussion of these North Pole affairs. But in fact, in the short term, there may not be any significant practical significance. Do you think the CCP wants to do this so much? What special purpose does it have? Of course. Because of the South Pole, I just said that China has a base research institute. Of course, the South Pole has already started. The North Pole, especially China, is also in the northern hemisphere. In the future, if the ice in the North Pole melts more and more, The Chinese team will also take advantage of this route. Because it is equivalent to opening a new route through the Bering Strait, Entering a new route in Europe through the Arctic. This route is much less risky than those without an island. It doesn't need to pass the water supply, it doesn't need to pay, it doesn't need to wait. Then there will be a lot of energy savings of more than 30%. So for China, long-term economic interests are also important. Of course, if this route is finally fully open to the air, It is also helpful to the world's aviation and maritime economy. I read a report that the Biden administration said It doesn't want to curb Russia's influence on its own territory. It just wants to see a free, open and prosperous Arctic region. What is the U.S. intention to pay close attention to now? Yes, of course, as I just said, Many parts of the Beijing Strait are the territorial waters of Russia, right? But there are also some open areas, some open areas. The CCP wants to participate and also wants to curb this area. The U.S. of course wants to pay attention. Just like the South China Sea, the U.S. pays attention to the South China Sea. It's not because the U.S. has any territorial requirements in the South China Sea. But the U.S. needs to keep the navigation of the South China Sea international waters in order. Similarly, in the Arctic, the U.S. must also ensure that it is a free, open and prosperous region. Then all such countries can benefit, and the international community can benefit. But if the CCP has its own forces there, For example, if the CCP expands its forces in the South China Sea, It may pose a threat to aviation. Or if the CCP and Russia pose a threat to the U.S. in the Arctic, That's another problem. So the U.S. attitude now is right. To give them a clear warning, To show them a clear signal.