Tác động khủng khiếp của Evergrande: Điều chỉnh lớn - Sụp đổ lớn

Experts say that from the arrest of the largest real estate company in China to the unstable economic signals, the collapse of the economy is inevitable, and this will follow the collapse of the political system. A major adjustment is taking place, and people have predicted a major collapse. But it is not the collapse of a large Chinese country, but the collapse of the Communist Party of China and Xi Jinping. Observers say that the arrest of Evergrande, a real estate giant, will increase China's economic crisis. Some experts and scholars have begun a serious discussion about the collapse of the Communist Party of China. Scholar and editor-in-chief Chen Ruiqian wrote on the Spring of Beijing page that when he promised to file for bankruptcy in the United States, people could hear the sound of the collapse of the Chinese economic tower. Most of the Communist Party of China's giant bureaucracy, military spending, stable maintenance costs have collapsed, and there is no cure. Even public services have been cut. If everyone is lying straight, this system will be difficult to maintain. Lying straight is a new concept in Chinese society about not doing anything to avoid being exposed. Chen Ruiqian believes that if a giant like the Communist Party of China collapses, it will be devastated to the point that there has never been such a disaster in human history. No one in China can avoid being exposed. The U.S. page 1945 recently published an article by geopolitical expert and writer Brandon Wakehurst, saying that the economic model established by the Communist Party of China means that once China's economy falls into disrepair, political stability will be threatened. After the Evergrande debt crisis in the fall of 2021, China's real estate market is at risk of collapsing. With the impact of the three-year zero-Covid policy, experts on China have now begun a serious discussion about the large-scale collapse of the Communist Party of China. The article says that in order to distract people's attention, Xi Jinping is increasingly friendly to neighboring countries, especially Taiwan. However, if the situation in China continues to deteriorate, Xi may be overthrown by opponents in the party. China may be like after the Great Wall collapsed, when many parties rose up and entered the period of the Great Wall of China. In addition, the complete collapse of the Communist Party of China in a short time will also lead to a collapse of the global economy, causing the largest global recession in decades. The article also warned the business, military and political communities of the United States that the Trump administration has tried to reduce the dependence of the United States and China on trade. That's right, because they feel the instability of the Communist Party of China. If no one in Washington prepares for any change, and if China's economy collapses, the American people will be seriously damaged. Not long before this article was published, Evergrande filed for bankruptcy in the United States, and he promised to be arrested right after that. It's all just a continuation of the Evergrande crisis in 2021. Then on October 4, Shanghai Real Estate Group, Zhongchun, announced bankruptcy, with the total foreign debt worth up to $61 million. Zhongchun Group was officially considered a pure real estate company, with no possibility of bankruptcy, and was listed among the top 30 real estate companies in China. Writer Brandon Waker wrote in his article that the Chinese economy was built on the basis of espionage and industry. Coming from the Chinese civil war of 1946-1949, when the construction of the economy had just begun, Mao Zedong had given the slogan of chasing the British and beating the US. Because they were communists, at that time the Americans did not want to have anything to do with China, even the economy. The Chinese government was isolated and became isolated in the world. Their only close relationship was with Lianzhou, a neighboring country and the same political system. In the 20 years after the civil war, Mao brought his agricultural land to the next stage of industrial development. Copy the economic model from Lianzhou Mao used espionage to copy the model of industrial economic development in Lianzhou. At that time, in the eyes of the Chinese, all models from Lianzhou were models. But instead of learning or asking for a public model transfer, Mao still used a familiar method, that is, secretly copying. The Moscow government knew this, but when Joseph Stalin was still in power, they took advantage of this. After Stalin died and Nikita Khrushchev replaced him, the relationship between China and Lianzhou became worse. In terms of personal relations, the two Khrushchevs and Mao did not really like each other. And this led to territorial disputes. In addition, Lianzhou was too tired of the rampant espionage activities that China had carried out in its own country at that time. The Chinese-Soviet split almost ended in a major war between the two countries. At that time, Mao could only maneuver and approach the Americans, despite the slogans against the US before. US economic benefits At first, the US raised slogans against the Communist Party of China and absolutely did not establish economic relations with China or Lianzhou. However, after the So-Chung conflict, the Nixon administration realized that this could be an opportunity to break this alliance and seized the opportunity. Jimmy Carter issued the Shanghai Statement in 1979, recognizing the Communist Party of China as the official and only government of mainland China. There is one noteworthy point in this statement. It is the translation into English of this statement, stating that Taiwan, although part of China, must have its own democratic system to manage it. The opening of the US to China was carried out with the help of Fowler. The process of non-industrialization in the center of the United States began seriously under the Carter administration and continues to this day. When the US entered the non-industrialization phase, China pushed for industrialization, and this phase helped them create the largest middle class in the world. While the middle class of the US was constrained and had to struggle to exist. US supporters of trade relations with China have convinced many people in Washington of a naive belief that trading with China would make them a more friendly, more democratic country over time. They even think that the US's benefit from China's low-priced goods would make their country richer, and by then the US would move to development of talent and necessary ability to lead the process of transition to an economy based on knowledge, leaving the rest of the world, including China, in the dust. Do not be subjective with the Communist Party of China. It is sad to see that the best plans rarely exist when they come into contact with reality. There is nothing surprising when China does not only intend to become the world's factory. China has planned to use the capabilities it has acquired from the West and the money it has earned from selling its products to the Western market to invest in its next generation. The Beijing government also hopes to rise from the position of a giant industrial powerhouse. They will move to competition with the US and then take the lead in the global knowledge economy. China's volatile economy is in trouble, but it may not last forever. Today, China is not only the pioneer of the world's most famous technologies, it has also become a new creative powerhouse. But the important thing is to understand that, basically, China has gone through a lot of stages to reach the second largest economic powerhouse in the world, based on the GDP index. In addition, because they have copied or upgraded too many technologies, as well as catching too many different models, the things they use as the basis for the economy of this country have become very confusing. The economic model with the centralized control of the country that China builds has allowed them to do it in just 50 years. What the West has to lose in 250 years to do. However, a model that is not built solidly on its own, or to put it more correctly, the core values ​​of the nation and the country, will make China weak when faced with serious delays in the future. And it can even lead to the collapse of the entire economy like a low-quality apartment building. China, a 5,000-year-old powerhouse, still survives in the face of the wind. So who is the one facing the collapse? If the economic situation in China continues to be as unfavorable as it is now, Xi Jinping's rule will be more threatened than China's collapse. At the same time, China's long history is full of stories about the growth of major powers. And at the same time, the rule of the Communist Party of China is just one of many of those great powers. A real estate market is not like anyone else. In September 2021, China's giant real estate market began a long-awaited adjustment period. However, some people have speculated that this adjustment was an attempt by Xi Jinping's machinery to transform what the Communist Party of China considers a risk-free real estate market. Much of China's large real estate market has been supported by government policies since the first days of the 2008 recession. And to avoid a collapse like what happened to the US economy, Beijing began to build its famous ghost cities to promote job creation and support the market, stabilizing the rising price of real estate in the country. Unlike the Americans, the Chinese did not allow the risk of their real estate market to become so great that it collapsed the entire economy, as it did in the United States in 2008. Basically, Beijing's political puppet has realized that the bubble of real estate has formed on the market, and they are trying to break it soon, instead of letting it grow and destroy their economy, as it did in the West. However, if it is true, it may be that the Chinese leader has made a self-proclaimed prophecy that the Chinese rulers may have broken the highest potential of their economy to avoid the collapse that they have caused from the beginning. On the other hand, these movements began right after the zero-Covid policies of the Chinese government caused serious damage to the country's large-scale economy. Under the pressure of harsh measures, society was forced to close its doors and the quarantine measures were applied thoroughly. This has caused a collapse of the real estate market. In 2022, all resources were used for the zero-Covid policy instead of pouring into China's extremely important real estate and technology markets. And this made it more difficult for the Chinese people, despite the fact that the number of people in this country has decreased a lot since the lockdown was lifted. Xi Jinping is also blamed for this failure, and that is why he is trying to direct his people to focus on issues of national sovereignty and the possibility that it will be a war against the neighboring countries of the Communist Party of China. The Chinese government will do anything to avoid a failed economy because of the policies that the government of this country has implemented. Experts on China in the West emphasize that China's economic collapse is coming to an end, and they even believe that the Communist Party of China is going through a collapse period like the Soviet Union. The only thing is that we cannot observe it fully and clearly. And, according to experts, this is also the main reason for the strange, incomprehensible events that have been happening in Chinese society recently. Certainly, China's economy is now in great danger. The people of this country not only feel hot about the current economy, but they should also feel disheartened when China's economy is still in a downward trend with the double shock of the zero-Covid. Everything is still starting with the collapse of China's huge real estate market. The economic crisis is indisputable. And what people want to know more is what the collapse of the political system will be like. What will the collapse of China's ruling machinery cause? Of course, the collapse of China's political system, originated from the economic crisis, will bring a series of problems more serious than the current problems that China has caused to the world. What people can be sure of is that China is going through a chaotic economic period. As the situation in China becomes more chaotic, Xi Jinping is more likely to use ways to shift pressure to other countries, such as by attacking Taiwan. But the question is, does Xi really believe that he has a chance to achieve any goal in Taiwan? In the face of the complex and confusing situation of the country's economy and the internal affairs of the party. However, even if China does not win the war in Taiwan, the Chinese government still has success when it is able to distract the people from the serious economic downturn. And such a conflict will have a terrible impact on the world economy. Is the global situation still revolving around the new Covid variant? Or is the war between Russia and Ukraine still going on? Ladies and gentlemen, Mr. Brendan Wakehurst's statement is said to be completely grounded when the issues of contradiction are constantly lurking within the Communist Party of China. Xi Jinping is in a difficult situation. And when he feels the risks to his rule, his reaction will be internal protests to defend power and launch defense or even invasion wars to concentrate the power and the attention of society. And if so, Chinese, Taiwanese or even many other countries should be ready to prepare for the dark days that may come. Many people will ask, so where is the way out for the economy and the comprehensive crises that this country is facing? Many people think of the solution to replace the ruling class as Xi Jinping and hope for a new character to replace with more wisdom and energy. However, Mr. Brendan Wakehurst also proposed that it should be clear that behind Xi Jinping, no matter who it is, a Communist ruler will still bring much more danger to China and the world. In addition, one more thing needs to be admitted that the current situation is not created by Xi Jinping alone. It comes from the whole machine, the way the machine has been operated for decades and with many different leaders of the Chinese Communist Party. Starting with the construction of solid and solid economic models from the Mao era and continuing with the hot growth process through the leaders, the rulers of the Chinese Communist Party have consistently ignored the real and long-term values. They focus more on power and control. And the essential thing is that the ball is in the air and then it breaks. Xi Jinping is not just the last character of this tragedy. I hope there will be a change from the basics in China.