Developing Storms in the Tropics.

Tech Guyz
49 followers
6 Video Views·Oct 28, 2022
Just over a month left to go in hurricane season and we are watching two areas that could develop
into the next few days. Severe weather looks set to strike across portions of the south
and along the gulf coast. I'll show you what we're likely to find. And winter is right around
the corner. Some areas have already seen snow. I'll show you where we may be seeing more of the
white stuff coming up. Hey, what's going on everyone? Meteorologist Mike Linden back again
for the Friday Fast Forecast. Halloween is almost here. The end of the year is almost here to be
quite frank. It's amazing how quickly 2022 has gone. Let me know in the comments if you think
that this year has flown by. For me, it most definitely has. But for some with hurricane
season, it might seem like this year or this season has gone by fairly quickly. But we are
not done yet. Let's jump into the MyRadar app. We are watching two areas of interest. We'll begin
with this guy here to the north of Hispaniola. You can see that it's in that dark kind of orange
color that's representative of a medium chance of development, about a 40% chance here over the next
five days. If we do see this develop here over those next five days, odds are it won't impact
much of land. It's possible that it may work its way northward toward portions of Canada,
but it's still too early in terms of knowing exactly where, if anything, would be going.
Now, this area here developing over the southern Caribbean, this one maybe has a bit more juice,
50% chance of development here over the next five days. Now, the Caribbean is quite warm right now.
In fact, it's been rather quiet since Hurricane Ian made landfall there along southwest Florida.
So the water is not very disturbed. Everything at the surface is quite warm. If we do see
development here, the odds of it making its way there west into the south of Jamaica,
well, that looks to be what the National Hurricane Center is keying in on. Where it
goes from there, things could still change. It may work its way up toward the Cayman Islands
or could work its way toward Nicaragua and Honduras. It is still too early to tell,
but we will continue to monitor this as it develops. We've got to remind you,
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it. So let's take a look at the tropical infrared imagery I have prepared for you here. We're going
to look at those two areas of interest. Nothing really jumps out at you all that much just yet.
It looks like just a bit of a mess. But again, things working its way north where they're a
medium chance of development, just slightly higher than that. You can see some of those
taller clouds representative of those darker colors here on the IR imagery. That again is
representative of things maybe a little bit far ahead of that area of interest to just to the
north of this. But bringing it back to the continental United States, we are talking
severe weather. This looks to be the bullseye for Friday. It's just to the southwest of Houston
there between Corpus Christi and Houston. That's a slight risk of severe weather. That yellow color,
a two out of five on the SPC scale, that darker green color, which covers more of Texas, a marginal
risk. Roughly 17 million people dealing with severe weather tomorrow. What we are likely to
from this event will be likely some large hail isolated if we do see it as well as the possibility
of a tornado or two. So again, here's how it all plays out. We have this frontal system as it
works its way through the panhandle area of Texas as we head into this morning. So I'll jog ahead
as we get into the latter portion of the morning. You can see right along that front that how it
looks like it's almost bending a little bit. That is indicative of some strong winds rushing out
ahead of that front and getting that bent kind of look. It's like when you pull back on a bow and
arrow, it bends. Well, again, this is indicative of, again, strong winds whenever you see this
kind of signature on modeling or on a radar. Now, pay close attention to that energy coming in off
of the Gulf of Mexico, really feeding that cold front as this works its way eastward. Again, you
can really see those storms firing up into this afternoon here right around 330. I'll keep
advancing it as we work our way through Friday evening and into the overnight hours of Saturday.
You can see how that one particular area there right over top of northern Louisiana and Arkansas
is getting kind of squeezed in by the two fronts there. That is where you're likely to find some
of those stronger storms, maybe even some heavy rainfall as we head into the weekend for that
portion of the world. But then heading into Saturday morning, again, watch how that energy
really surges in off of the Gulf of Mexico, feeding that line of potential thunderstorms as
we head into the weekend. But again, Friday's action looks to be centered over portions of Texas
and pushing toward Louisiana. Again, strong winds as well as the possibility of an isolated tornado
or two. Now, interestingly enough here, we've been talking a lot about how things have just been
flip-flopping temperature-wise or how it's felt. This is the next six to ten days from the Climate
Prediction Center. Yet another flip-flop, that dark red color indicative of warmer than normal
temperatures for this time of year. And then on the flip side of that, that darker blue color
over portions of California, Nevada and over Arizona and New Mexico there, representative
of cooler than normal temperatures. So a little cool down coming from the West Coast, whereas
things starting to heat up a little bit here for pretty much the rest of the country there. In
terms of the snow depth, let me jog that back a little bit so you guys can take a look at it here.
Well, again, you're seeing that snow depth. Oh, let's jump over to the graphic here. We'll jump
over to, there we go. So you can see roughly three to six inches of snow on the ground for portions
of Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Utah and Colorado. We've added to those totals here over the past
couple of days, a bit of a smattering of snow for the higher elevations in New Mexico there. But it
is possible we see just a small addition to this, especially over portions of the Pacific Northwest,
mainly up near Idaho and Montana as we head into Friday. Now, in terms of your temperatures, again,
you'll see that flip-flop occurring here over the next six to 10 days. So things will begin to kind
of head in that direction. But for today, back into the mid fifties for most of the Northeast
and the low sixties across portions of the Midwest. Warmer than that as we work our way south
into the mid seventies for portions of Little Rock, Memphis, Nashville. For the Southeast,
temperatures in the mid to high eighties as we look at the sunshine state of Florida there and
out ahead of that warm front as it advances eastward could make things a little bit muggy.
So keep that in mind if you plan on being outside heading into the afternoon today and into Saturday.
Across portions of the central United States in the mid to high sixties, a few spots falling back
into the mid to high fifties. Again, if we are going to see snow up near portions of Wyoming
and near Idaho, of course, we need those temperatures to be at or below 32 degrees
Fahrenheit. You can see snow above that, mind you, but you really want to be below that point
in order for frozen precipitation to occur. Again, we will see these temperatures here
begin to cool down, but hey, 84 degrees and 81 in Arizona. They're not too bad when you
consider the triple digits not too long ago. The mid to high sixties and low seventies across
portions of California and some of the cooler temperatures out there today are right here
across the northern tier of the United States and the Pacific Northwest in the mid fifties.
You can see some spots there near Fargo, Minneapolis, Sioux Falls and Rapid City,
all sitting around the mid sixties. So that's going to do it for the fast forecast. We are
so excited to be bringing you all sorts of exciting new content here on my radar,
so look out for that and to be sure that you know that it's coming. Be sure that again,
you subscribe to the my radar YouTube channel and turn on those notifications. That way,
you know, when the new videos are coming and hey, check out the social media handles,
you can see them down below. Follow us. We are everywhere nowadays and we would really
appreciate that as well from all of us on the team. Stay safe and stay dry and hey,
happy Halloween. That's right around the corner too. We'll see you back here tomorrow. Bye.
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