Tropical Development in the Caribbean

All eyes on the tropics as development chances have increased for tropical development for two areas of low pressure. We'll break it down. As an area of low pressure moves across the plains, severe weather is possible on the warmer side of the system. We'll time out the arrival of these storms. And on the colder side of this strong upper level low, snow is possible across the higher elevations of the Rockies. We'll take a look. Hey y'all, it's meteorologist Erica Lopez. Happy Thursday. On this Thursday, we got quite a bit to track with two areas in the Atlantic with chances of tropical development and of course the severe weather chances in the snow. So let's get right to it and show you what's going on on the Myradar app. And as you can see, we're going to start here in the tropics. There are two areas that right now as it stands, they have medium chances of tropical development here this morning. And let's zoom into one area here. And this is just an area in the central Atlantic. Right now 50% chance of tropical development here over the next five days and about 40% chance here over the next two days. Now this can get its act together. It could become a subtropical depression here over the next several days. This is one worth watching. Of course, you're seeing that cluster of showers and thunderstorms very disorganized. Another area that we're going to talk about for quite a bit of time here is this region to watch in the Caribbean. Right now, 50% chance over the next five days. Basically zero for the next two days. So what that means is this hasn't even formed yet over the Caribbean Sea and it'll take days for this to get its act together. So what does that mean for you guys? Just stay on alert. Of course, as we get a little bit more detailed information by this weekend on where this could potentially be heading, we'll give you updates. And of course, follow us all across social media platforms. We're going to continue to give you updates on this specific area to watch here. But let's take it back to the U.S. and talk a little bit about what's going on in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Now we do have a little bit of a dig in the jet stream here and this strong upper level low is what's going to bring in some snow on the colder side of the system and then ahead of it possibly some severe weather. But as this pushes into portions of the plains, this is where those chances go up. As you can see across the Rockies, we're already seeing winter weather advisories. We also would see gusty winds with this and maybe even four to nine inches of snowfall possible across these regions. So this is definitely an area worth watching here over the next several days. Now let's show you the video of the day. And this is from the National Weather Service in Goodland, Kansas. And look at those winds were howling. Of course, this is ahead of that system that's going to be making its way across portions of the Rockies here over the next several days and also bringing us that severe weather risk over portions of the plains. But overall, this is something to definitely watch, especially as dry conditions prevail over this area. And if you made it this far, thank you so much for watching. Really do appreciate each and every one of you. Let me know in the comments section where you're watching from. Don't forget to give us a big thumbs up. It really helps us out a lot. Subscribe and hit that notification bell if you want to receive notifications every time we post a new video. Now let's take you through this big picture view of what's going on nationwide. As you can see that upper level low tracking across portions of the plains here. That's what's going to bring that snow in the higher elevations as it pushes into portions of Texas here. Some of this Gulf Coast moisture will stream into portions of Texas and a new low pressure will start to form. And that's what's going to bring us that severe weather risk as we progress into the weekend and eventually possibly rainfall chances increasing across the Gulf Coast. But either way, this will also bring a lot of rainfall risks over the next several days. So let's time out or show you where that severe weather risk lies for your Thursday. Most of this in West Texas. Tornado possibility is there with a 2% chance large hail and even high winds all possible for this afternoon. So if you live anywhere between Lubbock, San Angelo and even portions of West Dallas Fort Worth region, definitely want to watch as you progress into the afternoon. Now this continues into Friday, but specifically in a more populated area. This is including portions of Houston, East Texas and even across the Gulf Coast, where we also have the potential to see all modes of severe weather possible, especially with that plentiful moisture that's coming into portions of Houston. Definitely wouldn't rule out the possibility of seeing some of those thunderstorms having a little bit of rotation with them. So be on alert for your Friday. This is mostly looks like to be in possibly an afternoon event, but let's take a look at the rainfall potential because I also don't want you guys to forget that a lot of rainfall is coming, especially for portions of North Texas, even portions of Arkansas and Louisiana. So the flooding risk also exists here heading into the weekend. Of course, remember, turn around, don't drown. Now let's time it out early Thursday morning, a lot of that rainfall concentrated across portions of the plains and especially across the Rockies. Well, it will be mostly snowfall. Now, as we get into Friday morning, take a look at how this rain becomes a little bit more widespread all the way from Oklahoma to portions of Texas. And this line of storms starts to push into central Texas. And that's where we have that risk of severe weather. You can see some of those isolated spots as well heading into the overnight hours. And then this eventually pushes into portions of the Houston metro area, but across the West Coast, you're not going to notice very much activity with the exception of that snowfall and the higher elevations of the Rockies and a very, uh, and a frontal system moving in, but bringing us some very light rainfall totals and even some of that light snowfall across portions of the Northern Plains. So let's talk a little bit about temperature temperatures, at least across the Northeast are a little bit above average for this time of year, especially if anywhere from Boston to portions of Maine, you're a little bit warmer than what you should be with 64 degrees in Boston, 64 in New York city, 65 in Philadelphia, around where you should be for this time of year across the Midwest with 56 in Chicago and 54 in Detroit across the heartland widespread sixties to seventies. As you head a little bit further South with 72 in Atlanta eighties across the Florida peninsula, 76 in Jackson, Mississippi and 77 in Shreveport across the central Plains, you're getting a little bit of everything as those frontal systems move in 75 in Dallas. So pretty nice there. Enjoy it because the rain starts to increase as we head into the weekend, 69 in Oklahoma city, 48 in Denver and 75 in El Paso across the Southwest widespread seventies to even some colder temperatures in Nevada with 59 in Reno, 49 in Salt Lake city, Utah, 68 in Las Vegas across Pacific Northwest, 56 in Seattle widespread fifties across the Northern Plains and 57 there in Minneapolis, 62 in Lincoln and 60 in Des Moines. And if you made it this far, thank you so much for watching. I really do appreciate each and every one of you. Don't forget to follow us all across the social media platforms. We're going to continue to update you on what's going on in the tropics and I'll see you back here on Sunday. Follow MyRadar on social media, Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube. Download MyRadar on iOS, Android, Amazon Alexa, Xbox, and windows.