🔴 El PLAN de Rusia para reemplazar a Europa por China

China en el Candelero
1.1K followers
238 Video Views·Oct 15, 2022
Rusia quiere y necesita reemplazar a Europa como principal comprador de gas, luego de que Bruselas impusiera sanciones a Moscú y se negara a pagar en rublos.
Y ahí es donde aparece China, nación que no se ha sumado a las sanciones impuestas por Occidente y, a su vez, busca sacar provecho del precio especial que le ofrecen desde el Kremlin.
A priori parecería que ambas potencias pueden llegar a entenderse y convertirse en grandes socios comerciales, sobre todo en un momento en el que los dos enfrentan una relación difícil con Occidente.
Pero no todo es tan fácil.
Russia wants and needs to replace Europe as the main buyer of gas after
That Brussels would impose sanctions on Moscow and Senegal would pay in rubles
And that is where China comes in a country that has not joined the sanctions imposed by
The West in turn seeks to take advantage
of the special price they are offering from the Kremlin
It seems a priori that both powers could understand each other and become great
Commercial partners especially at a time when both face a
difficult relationship with the
West But not everything is so easy
Strengthening energetic bonds can take years
The clearest example is the Power of Siberia-1 a 3 000-kilometer pipeline capable of
Send gas from Siberia to Shanghai
The state energy companies Gazprom of Russia and China National Petroleum Corp are doing it
They have been building it for 8 years and it is still not completely finished
However the conflict in Ukraine has accelerated
all processes as shown by the numbers
Before February Russia was sending up to 5 billion
cubic meters per year through this pipeline
But now deliveries have increased by more than
60% and the idea is to fully utilize the capacity by 2023
But as we mentioned earlier replacing Europe with China is
not so easy for Russia at least in the short term
In fact even if Beijing decided to fully utilize this only available pipeline
It is also insufficient as it can only transport about
60 billion cubic meters of gas per year
Meanwhile the pipes connecting Russia to Europe have a
capacity of almost 150 million cubic meters
This is explained by Alicia García Guerrero Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at Atixis
The existing network capacity between
Russia and China is limited This means
that the gas Putin cannot or does not want to sell in Europe still cannot go to China
In this new scenario obviously Putin is not sitting with his arms crossed and is already looking to the future
From the Russian energy giant Gazprom the construction of several gas pipelines
is being evaluated to allow it to expand its presence in the Asian market
One of the most notable projects is the Power of Siberia II
This new pipeline could transport another 50 billion cubic meters to the Asian giant
Natural gas cubic meters per year and it is also believed that
it could connect to the pipelines that connect Russia to Europe
The Power of Siberia I pipeline is not connected to the pipeline that sends gas to Europe whic
It means that it cannot divert what it produces to another side
This will change when Power of Siberia II is built or at least that is the plan
In concrete terms what Russia aims to achieve with these two operational pipelines is to have
a gas shipping capacity of approximately 100
billion cubic meters of natural gas per year
However the investment in Power of Siberia II will be costly as it is a pipeline
Very extensive requiring great complexity in its design
Pablo Gil is the chief strategist for the broker XTV in Spain and Latin America
He explains in a conversation with the BBC
It is a new infrastructure in which Russia will have to invest a lot
It is a process that I believe is intended for 2027 the date on whic
Europe has set itself the goal of ending all its reliance on Russian fossil fuel consumption
When that moment comes Russia wants to have the necessary infrastructure built
to have other customers buy energy from it as it is its main source of income
But besides all this there are other geopolitical reasons at play
that need to be seen how they are resolved
One of them is that in the face of Western sanctions and in addition to the energy market Russia also
It needs to get close to China to import
key supplies such as semiconductors which are even necessary in the military industry
Another is that although it is not necessary in practical terms Vladimir
Putin wants the Power or Siberia II pipeline to pass through Mongolia
Why would Russia make this complicated move It is believed that this
strategy would help the Kremlin strengthen economic ties with its neighbor
From the southeast seeking that it in turn does not tilt so much toward the west
As we can see not everything is business it's
also geopolitics and in that arena only interests play
The fact is that for better or worse everything indicates
that Russia will no longer look westward but toward Asia
