5.000 tỷ USD để ngăn Bắc Kinh ‘động tới' Đài Loan vẫn là ‘rẻ'?

Welcome to FBNC's June 13 Today's world news Here are today's experts' analysis $5 trillion to prevent Beijing from invading Taiwan is still cheap After a well-known news channel reported that the price to pay to prevent the Chinese government from seizing Taiwan was $5 trillion, experts have said that the price the world has to pay to prevent Beijing is much higher. The U.S. needs to do more, even in the South China Sea, to prevent Beijing, including protecting Vietnam and the Philippines. Direct damage to trade and industry due to the Chinese government's blockade of Taiwan will exceed the price to pay to prevent such a blockade, not to mention the possibility of a war between the U.S. and China later. However, a blockade is a certain cost, and directly, while war is an uncertain cost, it will happen. This makes some people feel that it is easy to ignore uncertain costs in the future to avoid the current certain cost. That is the opinion of Mr. Undercore, director at Core Analytics, the publisher of the political risk magazine. Recently, he gave a lecture on what the world should do to prevent China's blockade of Taiwan, which has caused a loss of $5 trillion. Here are his main points in the article. The damage from the Chinese government's blockade of Taiwan is huge, and the possibility of it happening is so high that it is impossible to ignore the risk. Mr. Undercore said that even Bloomberg, which has a soft spot for China in how it satisfies its corporate group of customers, has also released estimates worth $5 trillion on the impact of the blockade, which is a loss for Taiwan's export-export activity. The possibility of such a blockade is becoming more and more realistic. On May 23, Beijing punished Taiwan for the new president of this country before supporting independence and democracy through another military exercise to blockade the island just three days after he took office. On May 27, also an important day for Taiwan, there were 11 Chinese ships and 21 Chinese military aircraft near the island. On the same day, China conducted exercises near an island that belonged to Taiwan until the country evacuated from the Chinese mainland in 1955. A U.S. congressman visited Taiwan. The chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Michael McCaul, said that the Chinese government was using a threat strategy to punish democracy. These are wise words, because the Chinese government's aim at Taiwan is a threat to democracies everywhere, not just in Taiwan. Mr. McCaul said that more weapons would be handed over. Unfortunately, he did not bring anything with him, but he gave the new president of Germany a high-heeled hat. People around were laughing and the message, do not deceive Texas, at that time, had become, do not deceive Taiwan. The message of determination to protect democracy is also important, such as weapons. Undercoar said that democracies around the world must support the view, do not deceive the U.S. if people want to exist for a long time. If Taiwan is allowed to be occupied, the strength of the Chinese government will increase enormously through the occupation of computer chips, the island's $803 billion economic value, the high level of labor and education, and the strategic position to attack the islands of Japan and the Philippines. Undercoar said that every new island that the Chinese government occupies seems to be stimulating their desire even more, including the Yellow Islands in the South China Sea in 1974, some remote islands in 1988, the Gulf of China in 1994, and the Seven Corridors of Scarborough in 2012. Mr. Undercoar said that the U.S. lack of effective protection for these islands, as well as South Vietnam and the Philippines in the U.S.'s positive defense agreements with these countries, has shown Beijing that Washington and its allies are very weak. Unfortunately, Beijing's behavior shows that it will not stop its advance until it really tastes the cold from the U.S. gun. It's sad when things get to this point, but it's the truth. Now, the Chinese government wants to get its biggest reward, which is Taiwan. The island only has 24 million people Taiwan is a political problem for Beijing, partly because it is the only democratic country in the world. It is much more successful than China in terms of economy, politics, and culture, because it honors the market, competition, diversity, and diplomacy. Instead of trying to unify the domestic and foreign population, against the rich, kill the poor, against minority groups such as the Uyghurs, the Tibetans, and the Falun Gong students, as well as the invasions of neighboring countries. Fortunately, to some extent, the United States is trying to prevent China from carrying out its latest invasion, as planned. The key to this effort is the threats of economic sanctions, increased export control, diplomatic isolation, and of course the U.S. military action to defeat any blockade or invasion. The U.S. Marine Corps has been on the ground in many different islands in Japan and the Philippines, near Taiwan, and is actively setting up terrain to develop shooting and running plans to cause maximum damage to the Chinese navy, while avoiding firepower. The U.S. military is in Taiwan training its forces, but there are still many things the U.S. can do. In 2019, the U.S. promised to sell 66 F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan, but they were not delivered after five years. The same thing happened with the HIMARS mobile missile, the Harpoon defense system, and the Abrams tank. According to Undercore, not providing Taiwan with what is necessary to defend is an invitation from Beijing, a heavy burden attached to the U.S. defense industry, and a risk that could lead to damage, costs billions of dollars, and the loss of global trade. Allies who rely on the U.S. for defense will also be under more pressure to do more. First, the U.S. should tell them firmly that the alliance is a two-way road. Europe should provide better support for Taiwan when they need it, even in exchange for U.S. support for Ukraine. The Philippines wants to be helped in the South China Sea, so it should be committed to support U.S. forces to defend Taiwan in the event of an attack. The price of freedom may sound ridiculous because it has been used a lot. However, it has been used a lot because it is often the reality. The dictators throughout history have always sought to conquer neighboring countries and cut off their freedom. Ladies and gentlemen, this is FBNC's International news Thank you for watching See you in the next FBNC's International news