(國語)中東戰爭憂慮加劇,德黑蘭進退兩難|【 #時事軍事】

時事軍事-夏洛山
3109粉絲
Hello, I'm Xia Leshan.
It's been a few days since the latest threat of retaliation against Israel by Iran and the Resistance was issued.
Iran's retaliation against Israel still seems to be silent.
Iran's actions are difficult.
It's not a wise move.
If it's not too late,
Iran should further release the signal of diplomatic resolution to ease the strong reaction of Israel and the West.
The US Air Force, a complete F-22 stealth fighter squadron, is deploying to the Middle East to contain Iran.
This is the largest-scale crisis deployment since the rise of American top fighter jets.
It shows the seriousness of the situation in the eyes of the West.
As the United States gathers, Iran vowed to retaliate against Hamas leader Haniyeh's death in Tehran last week,
as well as the missile attack that killed a senior Lebanese official.
As the United States prepares for a more extensive and multi-axis retaliation against Iran and the Resistance,
the Pentagon is strengthening its military presence in the region.
In the past weekend, the United States not only added a F-22 fighter squadron in the region,
but also ordered the use of the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group
to replace the currently deployed in the Central Command's responsibility area of the Shiodorosov aircraft carrier strike group.
At the same time, the United States and the European Command and the Central Command have provided more cruise missiles,
destroyers and more land-based missile defense systems that have missile defense capabilities.
If Iran tries again to launch attacks with hundreds of missiles and drones,
the F-22 can not only lead the U.S. military to form a defensive shield in the region,
but also launch a direct strike on Iran's strategic targets.
The F-22 is the most powerful fighter jet that no opponent in the world can compare to you.
It usually flies at an altitude of more than 50,000 feet,
and can maintain supersonic cruise without any additional effort.
Its huge radar can detect, track and destroy any disguised target,
even the smallest target with signal characteristics.
The F-22 itself is very secretive and difficult to see on the radar.
For the Iranian air defense system, it looks smaller than a bee.
The F-22 can also carry air-to-air and ground-to-air weapons at the same time.
Its long-range sensor is used to capture enemy activity and carry out supersonic attacks on targets.
In 2014 and 2018, the U.S. deployed the F-22 in the Middle East
to carry out ground attack missions in Syria and patrol missions in the war against Islam.
The U.S. Air Force has a total of 183 F-22s,
of which less than 100 aircraft are in mission.
They are mainly deployed in Alaska and Hawaii to defend the U.S. territory
from attacks by the CCP and Russian bombers and security defense in the Pacific region.
In addition, the F-22's main base is the Blue Wing Air Force Base in Virginia.
In February last year, a fighter plane hit the CCP's spy balloon and took off from here.
The F-22 is so capable that it has been able to complete missions in the Middle East
with a small number of aircraft for a long time.
Now, deploying a complete F-22 team is almost unprecedented in scale.
The U.S. needs to be well-prepared for any retaliation from Iran and its regional agents,
including Hussein armed groups or other organizations.
The large-scale deployment of the F-22 is also expected to attract the attention of the U.S.
in other regions, including the CCP and Russia.
It reminds the U.S. main opponent that the air force still can dominate the regional situation
and can deploy the F-22 to where it is needed in a few hours,
including the Pacific and even near the Taiwan Strait.
The display of the F-22's combat capabilities in the Middle East
will help verify the U.S. air force's deterrence in the future potential Pacific conflict.
The U.S. Defense Department is currently taking a variety of military positions.
It is also a defensive action taken after a meeting between Iran and Hamas,
the Islamic Revolutionary Army and Yemeni Hussein armed groups.
The U.S. is increasing its military presence to prevent the situation in the region from escalating.
The White House National Security Advisor said on August 4 that
the U.S. is preparing for all possibilities.
While reacting to the possible attack on Israel,
the U.S. should avoid a turbulent war in the Middle East.
If the large-scale deployment of the F-22 is to prevent Iran and its regional agents from retaliating against Israel,
the Israeli military may be more at risk.
Iran and its regional agents may not be able to stop the attack on Israel at any time.
Faced with the potential for a large-scale missile and drone attack,
Israel is considering a first-person strike on Iran and the People's Liberation Army.
On August 5, Israel's Defense Minister Grant visited the Israeli Air Force Command Center
and evaluated the situation with senior officials such as the Israeli Air Force Commander Barr.
The Israeli military believes that since the possibility of an escalation in the northern situation has increased,
it is better for Israel to lead the first-person strike.
As Israel's preparation for the attack on the People's Liberation Army and Iran continues to escalate,
and it is not yet certain when to launch the attack,
Israeli Defense Minister Grant proposed a first-person strike on Iran and the People's Liberation Army,
Grant told Air Force officials,
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said on August 4,
if Israel finds solid evidence that Tehran is preparing to launch an attack,
Israel will consider launching a first-person strike.
Israel promised to make unprecedented responses to major attacks, but did not provide details.
It also reported that Israel will take action against Iranian nuclear facilities.
Based on previous analysis,
it makes sense to consider these Iranian strategic targets in any potential strike against Iran.
Even if the plan to attack Iranian nuclear facilities is just a concept that stays on paper,
it is enough to play a deterrent role.
However, the fact that Iran plans to carry out a large-scale murderous attack on Israel
can be interpreted as Iran's potential desire to use nuclear weapons.
This will be an excuse for Israel to investigate and destroy the Iran nuclear program.
Hamas leader Haniyeh was killed in Tehran, the capital of Iran.
It is believed to be a major failure of Iranian intelligence and security agencies.
It is a heavy blow to Tehran's reputation.
Iran needs to find a balance between saving face and avoiding a comprehensive war.
Israel has sent a strong signal to Tehran in response to the retaliatory attack in April this year.
Just a few days after Iran launched more than 300 drones and missiles against Israel,
Iran's expensive advanced radar system in Isfahan was destroyed.
It shows that Iran's defense capabilities cannot compete with Israel's military strength.
This operation is enough to let Tehran know clearly
its position in the confrontation with Israel.
The Israeli military believes that how Israel reacts
depends entirely on how Tehran implements the attack and the nature of these attacks.
Iran claims that the retaliatory actions to be carried out within the next few hours have not yet taken place.
It shows that Tehran's strategy against Israel,
which is based on a unified front to resist Israel, has failed.
Although Iran has issued an extreme statement, it has not achieved any major goals.
Iran and its allies have formulated a harassment plan against Israel
and the confrontation with Israel is completely different.
The Israeli military has accumulated a lot of experience in various wars.
Iran and its agents have only accumulated a little bit of experience in guerrilla warfare.
At the same time, Iran is experiencing serious economic and diplomatic difficulties.
In addition, Iran has been isolated from the international community due to the previous conflict,
If there is a war, Iran is not as good as Israel in terms of long-range precision strike means,
and Iran is far worse in terms of missile defense capabilities.
Therefore, Iran and its regional agents have basically no way out of the confrontation with Israel.
That's all for today.
Thank you for your attention. See you next time.
