LIVE: RFK Jr. Makes Major Announcement in New York

Hi everyone, welcome. Thank you for coming out. We're glad you all could make it. I'd like to introduce Will Goofy, he's the Northeast Regional Director. Hi everyone, it's been my absolute pleasure to be a part of this project. Before we start, I just need to thank the volunteers for their tireless efforts going on day after day after day. As many of you might already know, our goal is almost double that. The reason for that is, after we collect all these signatures, we expect a team of lawyers to be deployed to try to disqualify them, throw them out, and get rid of all of our volunteers. But, I'm here to say that we're just absolutely perfect for any legal challenge based on the great work that we're doing. So, thank you very much. It's been an absolute honor for me. Thank you to all the volunteers. I'm proud to welcome Mr. Goofy to the state. Thank you. Thank you very much to Will Goofy, and thank you to all the volunteers who have given their heart and soul to this effort to get us on the ballot for New York State, something that was considered impossible. I think we already have a ballot for New York State to disqualify them. We're continuing to work on the $80,000 requirement. So, thank you. I think it's a great honor to be able to speak on behalf of the people of New York State and the people of the United States. In 2013, 85% of young people in our country said that they were very proud to be American. In the same poll taken in 2023, so about four and a half months ago, only 18% of Americans say they're proud to be American. So, somehow, during the current recession that will last through February, most of this generation has lost faith in their country, lost hope in the future. And, 74% of Americans say that they're not satisfied with the state of New York, which they're not too proud of. There are 20 or 30 young people who have decided to stay in the state of New York for 20 years. President Biden and President Trump acknowledged this moment, and they like each other. President Biden said that President Trump is proud of New York, and President Trump says that President Biden is proud of New York. The two opinions I've never heard in a country as small as this is vastly different than the state of New York. And, I would say that neither President Trump nor President Biden are capable of giving us enough leadership to change these things. But, that can be something to do with a campaign for equality. And, what you say about that, it makes President Trump and President Biden very different. But, it is the state of New York, first and foremost. And, I would say that both Biden and President Trump think that President Trump is proud of New York. And, it's a project that is going to take a long time. But, in terms of the issues that actually keep Trump apart, it's a very bright and colorful picture. It's abortion, it's guns, it's border security, it's immigration, it's human rights, it's all important issues. These are all important issues. But, Trump is an existential issue. And, I want to change this picture. The issue that actually is the people of New York is the country of young people in our country. That restores our moral authority. That restores the industrial base of our country. And, I would say to you that neither President Trump nor President Biden has the capacity to change those things. One example is the budget deficit, $34 trillion. Over the past 100 days, President Biden has added a trillion dollars to that. Within five years, every 50 cents of every tax dollar that we collect is going to go to services and debt. Within 10 years, 100%. And, neither President Biden nor President Trump during the entire course of this campaign has explained what they're going to do to change that. The issue of the polarization, which is tearing our country apart. This toxic division that's worse than at any time since the American Civil War. President Trump can't change it. And, President Biden can't change it. Because, they're part of it. They're feeding it. They're telling us to hate each other. They're telling their followers to be fearful. Be hateful towards the other side's followers. They're not going to change it. The winding down of the war machine, the unraveling, President Biden has no inclination or desire to wind it down for him. It is, and for his entire career, it's been the premier elite foreign policy tool. President Trump has promised repeatedly that he will wind it down. But, look what happened last week. He colluded with Speaker Johnson and with President Biden to send $61 billion to U.N. Oh, it's not that money. He was in office, although he promised to wind down the war machine. He brought in John Bolton from NSA. He brought in Mike Pompeo from the State Department and CIA. These are swamp creatures. This is not about draining the swamp. Neither of them has the capacity or the inclination to stop our government from winding it down. My first day in office, I'm going to issue an executive order announcing that any government official or employee who lies to the American public in conjunction with his official duties will immediately lose his job. If President Trump and President Biden had the inclination to do that, they would have done it when they were in office. The chronic disease epidemic that is now mutilating 60% of our kids, $4.3 trillion a year, five times our military budget. Neither of them has made any, both of them presided over it. Neither of them has made any move during all the time that the President has tried to address this issue. The destruction of our soils, the addiction to processed foods, there are thousands of ingredients in our foods that are bad for the environment. And they're feeding this chronic disease epidemic. So these are the issues that are absolutely essential to our country. And Americans are tired of them. And President Trump and President Biden have already shown they have no capacity to deal with most of the issues for some of them. That brought me to announce almost a little over a year ago, I run for President of the United States. Now, over the past couple of weeks, my phone numbers have been changing with time. I've been accused by the press and by President Biden and now President Trump of being a spoiler. So we actually did a poll to test whether that accusation had that basis. And that's the poll that we're going to talk about today. Let's first look at this dictionary definition of spoiler. A spoiler is a political candidate who cannot win. Number one, who prevents another candidate from winning by taking away the vote. Those are the two conditions that you need to fulfill if you're going to win the designation as a spoiler. Now, I can't win this. But I'm going to show you why. First of all, we just did a poll. A typical poll that you see from Winnipeg, New York Times, CNN, and Gallup. That's between 1,000 and 3,000 to 3,600 people. These are the polls that you're all familiar with. We did a poll. 50 states, 26,000, 10 times the number of candidates. This poll typically costs between $200,000 and $500,000. And it gives us a very, very clear picture of who can win this election and who cannot. And I am going to invite my campaign manager, Amarilla Kennedy, up to explain this poll to you. And then I'm going to come back and take our big announcement. Hi, guys. Thank you so much for being here. So as you just heard, there are a few things that set this survey apart from all of the other polls that you're going to see floating out there in the media. One of them is the sample size. So as you can see here, more than 10x. Most of the other polls that are out there. And, of course, the more people who respond, the more accurate the results. So most of these polls have margins of error in 2%, 3%, sometimes even 4% range. The Zogby Strategies 50-state poll, 26,408 respondents, and the margin of error is 0.6%. The other thing that sets this aside is that rather than being a national poll, this is a 50-state poll. And the distinction there is that there are respondents across every single one of the states with enough coverage in every state to be able to actually allocate the electoral votes as if the election happened today. Now why does that matter? As you all know, we live in the electoral college system. They call it winner-takes-all because the candidate who gets the plurality in each vote, with the exception of Maine and Nebraska, gets all the electoral votes. That seems obvious to all of us. Everyone knows it in politics. Everyone knows it in the media. And yet, still points to national polls as an indication of who's going to win. Now to understand why that is problematic, let's go back to 2016. This is the most recent example you'll all remember of a candidate winning the national electorate popular vote and losing the White House. Imagine that you've had the most accurate national poll that has ever been done. A 0.0% margin of error that was taken the day before the 2016 election. It would have told you that Hillary Clinton was going to be the president. And most of them did. And it would have been wrong. And most of them were. Donald Trump ended up winning that election. We all know the rest. First Trump presidency as a result of the electoral college. And so, you know, maybe that was the reason that the DNC made their fateful decision to back Hillary Clinton instead of Bernie Sanders, who could have actually beaten Trump. But in any event, we are here today to make sure that America doesn't make the same mistake again. To do that, we needed to be able to actually tally up the electoral votes rather than just do a national head-to-head race. So, with that, I'm going to show some data. I want you guys to know that there is going to be a QR code and a website at the end. It is going to have all of the 50 state data for all of the horse races I'm about to show you. High resolution graphics and so on. You don't really need to write down numbers. And it will give you guys a chance to digest it all and then I can answer your questions over the next week or so. So first, based on this 26,000 person 0.6% margin of error report, if the election were to be held today and the only two candidates were President Biden and President Trump, this is what CNN's magic wall would look like tomorrow. President Trump wins handily by a 50 electoral vote margin. And congratulations, you have woken up in a world where you have four more years of chaos and division and arguing with your neighbors. Massive inflationary spending. And, you know, if there's another emergency, maybe another round of shutting down all of America's roads. So given that the DNC was shown over and over during the primary, polling that demonstrated that RFK could beat Donald Trump in a general, and still chose to back President Biden, what is their plan for beating Donald Trump in a general? Well, maybe they plan to, I don't know, recognize the votes and pull a hat trick and force Trump out of the race. It's unlikely, but let's say they did, what would happen? So we ran that scenario too, and here's what the magic wall in CNN would look like in that scenario. Kennedy wins in a landslide. By a margin of 176 electoral votes. In fact, Biden only wins 11 states in this scenario, and RFK becomes our next president with the most bipartisan mandate in our lifetime, drawing votes from across the political spectrum. How appealing would that be? Viva Kennedy! And yet, I think given that Donald Trump seems to be pouring all of his donor dollars into his legal defense, and the courts seem to have retained a shred of their apolitical objectivity, I think we can all agree that Trump dropping out is pretty unlikely. So, is there any scenario in which President Trump participates in the election and doesn't win it? Yes, there is exactly one. And that scenario is that President Biden acknowledges that he cannot win, not in a two-way, not in a three-way, we ran them both, and makes good on his 2020 pledge not to seek re-election, and allows Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to beat President Trump and save us all four years from threat. Now, I realize that it might seem preposterous to suggest that a candidate should drop out just because they can't win, and by being in the race, they're preventing someone who could win from doing so. I might even agree with you. But, the DNC does not think it's preposterous. In fact, the DNC has been demanding that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drop out of this race in the name of saving democracy from Donald Trump since the moment that he stepped up to offer Americans an alternative to the last eight years of driving America in the wrong direction. The DNC's targets have said over and over on every television show that will give them airtime that Bobby Kennedy is a spoiler, and it's time for him to drop out to save our nation from the terror of Donald Trump. So, let's take another look at the term spoiler. As you heard earlier, the term spoiler requires two components to follow. One, you can't win. Two, by staying in the race, you prevent someone else who can win from doing so. Now, clearly, based on this 26,000 person, 0.6% margin of error data set, by far the most comprehensive data set that we have on this election. Kennedy does not fulfill that definition, because whatever you might believe about his chances in a three-way, President Biden cannot win. He can't win in a two-way, and he can't win in a three-way, so nobody can be a spoiler in that scenario because they're not preventing someone from winning who could otherwise. President Biden, however, does fulfill the definition of a spoiler. He cannot win in either scenario, and by being in the race, he prevents the only person who can beat Donald Trump from doing so in November. Hmm. How do you like them apples? So, the question is, will President Biden heed the dire pleas of the media, and as the spoiler responsible for a Kennedy-Trump election, bow out and let Bobby beat Trump and save democracy, or will he hand the country back over to Donald Trump out of stubbornness? Now, maybe he thinks he's got plenty of time. Six months out from the election, six months is a long time in politics, especially when you have as much money to spend on advertising as the United States does, but let's just examine that for a minute. President Biden is the sitting president of the United States. He has the biggest role born in the entire world, and he's had it for over three years. He's also spent $46 million on advertising already this cycle. $46 million while Americans are staying up at night trying to figure out how to pay for their birthrights. We've spent around two, and most of that has been in service of signature collection to even get on the ballot, which President Biden doesn't have to spend any money on. So, given that his campaign has outspent ours by more than 20 to 1, has this boosted his support? Could we see this as an indicator that more spending on Trump reverses what we've just seen? Well, let's take a look. So, starting with the website. Here we are, more monthly website visits, but not just that as a metric. All the metrics. We have more visits, we have longer visit duration, we have more pages per visit, we have a lower bounce rate, more page views, more engagement. There are several more pages after this, but I'm scared. Not everyone uses websites anymore. Some people rely on social media. Maybe that's where his advertising dollars are really shining. So, Bobby and our campaign outperformed Biden's campaign in both engagement and growth on every single platform. So, not showing up on social media either. And you really have to ask yourself in this scenario, okay, so if spending 20 to 1 against your competition leaves your competition gaining on you in every way, maybe they're just planning to rely on President Biden turning up a charm offensive. He's got six months, he can convince voters to change their mind and vote for him in that timeframe. The challenge there is that in August of 2023, 77% of Americans believe that President Biden is too old to be reelected. And now, 86% of Americans believe that President Biden is too old to be reelected. At that rate, by November, it will be near unanimous. And this isn't a disrespectful thing to say, it isn't a disrespectful thing to consider. You know, President Biden has given decades of public service to this country. And whether or not you agree with decisions he made during that time, there is no debate about that right now. And the natural toll of age comes on us all. You know, don't we know it? But the Kennedy family, more than most, knows that a nuclear exchange is not a hoax. Right? False alarms happen. Do you remember in Hawaii a few years ago, everyone got the text message that said, Nuclear inbound. Say goodbye to your loved ones. And that was a mishap of the alert system, thank God. But in those moments, the President of the United States has six minutes, woken up in the middle of the night by Secret Service men shuffled down the hall, gotten to safety in the most terrible physical, mental, emotional duress that you can possibly imagine. Six minutes to decide whether or not to return to fight. And with all of the beautiful checks and balances of our government, that is the one moment where the lives of my kids and the lives of your kids can be taken away by one person, one single act, and we won't get enough. We can lose everything. All of humanity. Depending on the judgment and the recall and the mental acuity of a single human being. And Americans know that. They know that underneath all of the media jamboree, that is the one most consequential, sacred responsibility of the American people. And knowing that, they think it's fair to ask whether the person who has that responsibility should be someone that, with sincere respect, I couldn't believe babysitting my two-year-old while I went to the movies. It's true, you know? So if that question isn't going away, in fact it is only going to get progressively more urgent. And all of the money that they spend on social media and on websites, and by the way, their digital team is sharp. They have some great people with them. All those great people. All of it. Forty-six million dollars have already been spent. All of the data that we have around YouTube referrals and social media engagement and website visits, none of that has moved anywhere. How is President Biden going to meet President Trump? The answer is he can't. And by the DNC's own diktat, that means President Biden needs to do what he said he would do in 2020. He needs to fulfill his promise not to see President Trump. Step aside so Bobby Kennedy Jr. can meet Donald Trump, save us from sliding back into another four years of chaos, and get our country back on track. So, as promised, here is Kennedy24.com slash spoiler. There was a QR code on there, but it looks like we're going to have to type it in. And what you will find there is all of the state-by-state results for each of these four spaces, so you can dig in, digest over the next few days, reach out, and have as many conversations as you want. And with that, I'd like to turn it back over to the future president of the United States, Robert F. Kennedy. So, Amaryllis is going to provide you the QR code with this extraordinarily detailed, it's a treasure trove of information. One of the things that you can talk about, and I think you'll find interesting, is that if I remain in the race, and the election was held today, if I got out of the race, and the election was held today, President Trump would have been beaten by a car, he would have been beaten by two additional states, he would have been the state of Maine and the state of Virginia. And so the people who believe that I am spoiling this story for President Biden need to look at me. Again, this is a spoiler temptation. First off, President Kennedy cannot win, but he read the transcript of the presidential campaign, and I take it very closely. This is what Joe Biden said, and President Biden said in 2020, the stakes of this election could not be higher, we only have one chance to beat Donald Trump, and we need a nominee, and we can get the job done, and that would be me. And here what he pledged in 2019, if you can persuade me, there is somebody better who can win, I'm happy to not do it, but I don't see a candidate who can clearly do what has to be done to win. Oh, oh, you can see that. And by the way, our poll is like any, every poll that has posed this question, a head-to-head race between President Biden and President Trump, a head-to-head race between me and President Trump is that same thing. And I perform much, much better against President Trump than President Biden does. Here's a poll that was done by Zaki, this was in April 2024, this is one of the reasons that I stayed in the race, the security, oh no, sorry, this is the May 2023 poll, and it shows me beating the head-to-head race, me beating President Trump, I think that's, it was 14 points, no, it's 18 points, and me, 24 points, and me beating, Governor DeSantis by even more. Oh, the other poll, which is the recent April 2023 poll, this is a, you know, people, this is a significant poll, it has 56,000 people, and it also shows me trouncing President Trump. So I would, anybody who has doubts, any of the media organizations that have doubts about the Audi report, that these are the only polls we know about to ask this question, I would challenge you to do your own poll, and ask this question, who does better in a head-to-head race against Donald Trump? Is it me, or is it President Biden? And that could be consequential, because this is an Osweiler pledge, which we're announcing today, is the pledge that I offer to take to President Biden also. Both parties agreed to co-fund, in mid-October, a 50-state poll with 30,000 or more likely voters, this is essentially effectively zero margin of error, in October of 2024. The survey will test the results of the head-to-head race, President Biden against President Trump, and a second head-to-head race, me against President Trump. Both parties, everyone who is weakest against President Trump in a two-man contest, will drop out of the presidential race. This is an Osweiler pledge. And by the way, I'm happy to make this a state pledge, although President Trump is not Osweiler, because he can actually win. But I'm happy to make this a state pledge to President Trump, because I can do better against President Biden than President Trump can. Of people who are frightened, who are voting for President Trump, because they're frightened that President Biden should be so committed, and Biden serves them, and ultimately, I think what we all want in this election, is that for Americans not to feel that they have to vote out of fear, that they feel that they can vote at home. And that is only going to happen if there are two ways, maybe President Trump or President Biden. The other thing is, if you picture what these countries will look like in November, if either President Trump or President Biden won, the nation is going to continue the anger, the vigil, the chaos, the polarization, if they're worse. The only way to end that is through a high-successful campaign. I want to thank all of you for coming out here today. God bless you, and thank you very much.