有人捧江學勤是“中國諾查丹瑪斯”？！他說中共國將是伊朗戰爭最大輸家！江學勤三大預言，前兩個都對了，第三件事還在進行；他是Netflix劇寫手還是靠譜專家？他早年狠批中共，現在是怎麼了｜大宇拍案驚奇

Hello everyone I'm DaYu March 20 2026 Originally a conservative in the United States Now nobody knows which faction they belong to And has already been officially dismissed by Trump himself A prominent media figure in the MEGA movement Tucker Carlson aired an interview with a more controversial Canadian- Chinese internet celebrity named Jiang Xueqin and this came shortly after Some American media's praise including Carson's catapulted Jiang Xueqin—already a well- known internet celebrity—into sudden prominence in U S public discourse while ironically sparking little interest in Chinese-speaking communities Sparking debate once again he is himself a YouTuber running an English-language channel with a substantial subscriber count and recently the American influencer media outlet Breaking Point conducted an interview with him Views have already surpassed 8 million and he's even been given a nickname —China's Nostradamus But in reality Jiang Xueqin is no retired general Not a geopolitical expert at a Washington think tank but he is a top graduate from Yale well-read and genuinely has his own insights on many matters yet by title alone He's just a middle school teacher in Beijing —a middle-aged man lecturing in front of a blackboard He became famous today because of a classroom video recorded about two years ago He correctly predicted two-thirds of today's U S actions against Iran with the remaining third still pending verification but the key point is that two-thirds were accurate which instantly drew significant attention from the American public His other viewpoints have also sparked widespread discussion so today we'll take a closer look at this phenomenon— explaining what's behind it and highlighting the controversies surrounding it Don't forget to subscribe to my channel now And ring the little bell to get timely updates about my show also look forward to your likes comments and sharing this episode Jiang Xueqin is a complex phenomenon He offers genuinely insightful analysis but his framework also incorporates numerous Western conspiracy theories even more concerning is that all his recent viewpoints point in the same direction—America is bound to lose the West is destined to decline Yet China never appears on the enemy list — this perspective itself is fundamentally the issue Jiang Xueqin born in 1976 in Guangdong Moved to Toronto Canada with his parents at the age of six his father worked as a dishwasher his mother as an interviewer he completed his studies at Yale on scholarship Earned a Bachelor of Arts in English in 1999—this was not political science nor international relations nor military strategy but simply English literature After graduation he did not stay in Canada but returned to China to work as a journalist In 2001 he was commissioned by the American PBS to secretly travel to Daqing and film a documentary about the labor movement which was then erupting there A massive protest by up to 50 000 laid-off workers June 3 2002 He was interviewing a laid-off worker Several undercover CCP agents suddenly rushed out They threw him into a面包 van detained him at a secret location for 48 hours Those people were CCP secret police They told the scholarship recipient that he was involved in illegal reporting Attempting to incite anti- China sentiment can result in a 20-year prison sentence ultimately they threw him back into the car and rushed him to the airport for deportation The Canadian embassy in Beijing confirmed the incident But people who've experienced treatment similar to that of the CCP will usually tell you one thing: the CCP's secret police often require some confession and assurance from you before releasing you But it's unclear whether such details also apply to the scholarship which in 2003 was again permitted to return to China he no longer worked as a journalist and switched to education starting in 2008 Scholarship served as vice-principal at Shenzhen Middle School in 2010 established the International Department at Peking University High School later worked at Tsinghua High School and also spent some time in Chengdu In 2022 he began teaching English and philosophy at a Beijing-based educational institution called Tanyue School Keep in mind that although he is referred to as "Professor" within his fan community strictly speaking This isn't his official academic title—rather it's one recognized by his family and fans Therefore Zheng emphasized that he's not a professor but you could say he's a senior educator Between 2023 and 2024 he began uploading his classroom teaching videos to YouTube a move that has been controversial in China Since last year there have been increasing numbers of such uploads A YouTuber based in China claims to have been harassed and arrested by police facing exorbitant fines simply for using a VPN to create content on YouTube which the CCP considers illegal Although the law itself is highly problematic there are currently no signs that scholarships for YouTube creators are facing similar treatment but it's precisely his YouTube videos that have now propelled him onto the international stage What really made it go viral was a class recording he made on May 29 2024 at the High School Affiliated to Peking University's International Program when the U S President was still Biden and it remained uncertain whether Trump would win And for the vast majority of people around the world a U S -Iran war is still just a plotline on Netflix —distant from reality—but the scholarship recipient made three predictions at the blackboard: first Trump will win the 2024 election Second The U S will go to war with Iran Third The U S will lose this war Of course The first two have already come true The outcome of the third remains uncertain Actually making such a prediction back then was quite difficult in mid-2024 Trump' s chances of winning according to betting markets hadn't even reached fifty percent It's akin to gambling But the prospect of a war between the U S and Iran although it might have seemed risky at the time had already been discussed in academic circles and similar conspiracy theories had long existed For instance Mearsheimer who has been researching foreign policy since the 2000s has consistently argued that the United States will eventually act against Iran driven by the influence of the Israeli lobbying group This matches exactly what is currently being said about the scholarship However in the same classroom video the scholarship also contains clearly incorrect predictions For example he predicted Trump might pick Nikki Haley as his vice president — this now seems too absurd and completely disconnected from reality which is why he's suddenly gaining popularity actually besides that video clip there are other reasons Beneath these reasons lies a range of controversies—we'll get into that shortly The next part is even more intriguing Now let me share with you Canada's GeneX Deep Black High- 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purchase by clicking the pinned link in the comments section or call the order hotline at 647-949-6677 during business hours in winter quoting DAYU With the DaYu coupon code you can enjoy a 15% discount Good Now let's continue As mentioned earlier Jiang Xuqin's sudden rise wasn't solely due to the prophecy There are other reasons too—such as his having his own complete set of narrative logic but merely a set of logic does not equate to truth and his most fundamental analysis is It is also the central theme he has repeatedly emphasized in his recent interviews with Tucker Carlson and the Breaking Points program—that the essence of the U S -Iran war is a war of attrition It's not a traditional head-on confrontation the United States fundamentally lacks a strategy for exiting unscathed As he put it you can go in but you can't come out In his interview with Tucker Comparing this conflict to the war in Ukraine neither side will admit defeat even if a ceasefire serves both of their greatest interests because the war will continue to roll forward due to its own momentum His logic is this: if the United States wants to negotiate a ceasefire with Iran Iran's condition would be approximately one trillion dollars in compensation plus the United States permanently withdrawing from the Middle East once the U S withdraws The Gulf Cooperation Council nations would gravitate toward Iran as only Iran can guarantee passage through the Strait of Hormuz Therefore the Gulf Cooperation Council It's the foundation of the petrodollar system— they sell oil in dollars recycle the funds back into the U S market if this cycle breaks the U faces its $39 trillion debt Losing a financially supported ally could trigger turmoil across the entire financial system which is why according to Jiang Jiqin this is one of the main reasons the U S cannot easily withdraw from the Iran conflict In the Breaking Points program he further elaborated on Iran's military strategy explaining that Iran has been preparing for over 20 years through the Houthi fighters the Hezbollah movement and the Party of the Pearl Hamas and other proxy networks continuously test U S and Israeli military tactics with their core strategy not being direct confrontation with U forces but rather wearing down their opponents through low-cost methods This drone costing around $50 000 is designed to counter U S military interception missiles priced at millions of dollars each resulting in a cost ratio of tens to even hundreds of times higher For the United States prolonged confrontation is not a sustainable strategy he also specifically highlighted a rarely discussed vulnerability—desalination plants in Gulf states These facilities supply large cities in the bay with abundant water if continuously targeted major cities like Lyad could face severe water shortages in the short term Iran's cheap drones selling for tens of thousands of dollars could threaten the survival of millions in Gulf states for these reasons Jiang Xueqin believes the U S military cannot afford to engage in a prolonged conflict with Iran The Iranian Revolutionary Guard's words about the rat hole underground that can't beaten—prolonged confrontation could risk Iran unleashing even greater destructive power threatening regional and global economies Such claims may sound alarmist at first glance but they are indeed alarmist in reality veteran overseas democratic activist Tang Baiqiao has pointed out that the U S military still holds significant technological and firepower advantages It remains decisive he criticized Jiang Xueqin's " always losing to the U S " theory calling it an attempt to deliberately cater to the emotions of a certain audience rather than a serious strategic analysis Newsweek also cited analysts saying Jiang Xueqin's historical analogies are highly selective and easily misleading to some people Comparing the modern U S military to ancient Athens ' invasion of Sicily is more literary rhetoric than scientific argument but the current U -Iran conflict is unfolding in real time—so who is right and who is wrong Time will give us a precise answer For example Jiang Xueqin in an interview put forward an argument favorable to Iran stating that if Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz A 10% toll on every passing vessel is expected to generate $ 800 billion annually making Iran wealthier than before the war But this claim also has issues—oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz amounts to about 20 million barrels daily at current oil prices annual trade value is extremely high The feasibility of collecting a 10% toll is entirely speculative—what mechanism would Iran use to enforce it who would carry it out and how would it handle military opposition from other countries These lack rigorous detail so critics argue that Jiang Xueqin is using seemingly precise numbers to package an assumption that cannot be verified Besides the Iran war in his interview on Tucker Carlson Tonight and on the Breaking Points program Jiang Xueqin repeatedly emphasized one point: the U S economy relies on foreign nations continuously buying dollars The towering Ponzi scheme Its logic is the United States carries $39 trillion in national debt The precondition for sustaining this system is foreign investors continuously buying U S dollar assets Once the petrodollar cycle breaks the entire system faces collapse and critics regard such claims of a massive Ponzi scheme as alarmist The dollar's dominance while indeed discussed in mainstream economics is a misleading framework —Ponzi schemes are defined by Paying old investors' returns with new investors' money completely lacking real asset backing while the U S economy maintains genuine GDP output technological assets and military projection capabilities Equating certain controversies within the dollar system to a Ponzi scheme is a deliberately provocative statement but what's more significant is that he made this claim publicly on a Western program without hesitation Audiences who simply accept Jiang Xueqing 's viewpoint immediately develop distrust toward the American system—this is highly damaging and an irresponsible statement Similar to what he mentioned on the Breaking Points show where he noted that 20% of white women under 25 in the U S have an account on OnlyFans This sustains stability in American society however the 20% figure he proposed has no reliable source and cannot be found in any authoritative research let alone sustaining social stability in the United States You could say that to some extent the yellow industries sustain the normal operations of CCP party officials—this would be a more credible claim As for the remarks about Israel he believes Israel— Intentionally seeking to wear down the United States in the Iran conflict in order to enable Israel's vision of a Greater Israel stretching from the Nile to the Euphrates some even argue that Israel hopes the U S loses this war But in fact this claim was not invented by Jiang Xueqin—it is identical to a long-established Western conspiracy theory about Israel and despite this for many years no matter which president took office None of this has affected military cooperation between the U S and Israel but to some friends unfamiliar with America this statement may sound rather fresh From this detail alone The conspiracy theories raised by Jiang Xueqin are no less alarmist than those concocted earlier by the Chinese student Lao A from a dubious college in Seattle who claimed the U S had assinated the line The terrifying urban legend about America 's double-soup apple is identical to the one sold by Jiang Xueqin similar conspiracy theories have long existed in the West Europe is undergoing a calculated demographic replacement within the next two to four years civil war or rebellion may erupt—a claim directly drawn from the American far-right discourse system However it must be acknowledged that Europe is indeed facing certain crises including uncontrolled border issues which are also severe in Europe it's not just a concern for the next two to four years—Europe has already seen many such problems recently Social cases are all connected to this but whether it will completely collapse in recent years is hard to say Of course the last thing the CCP would want is for the West to fall apart In addition Jiang Xueqin is still active on YouTube Promoted conspiracy narratives involving organizations such as the Illuminati and Freemasons weaving them into Jiang Xueqin's game theory framework and historical structural analysis He imparted these ideas to his students in class and to his audience but Jiang Xueqin stated that such言论—similar to mainland China's feel-good web novels and exaggerated boastful short videos on Douyin—constitute conspiracy theories His audience finds it incredibly easy to get hooked—listen a little more and they're drunk listen too much and they'll be poisoned by alcohol I think American media figure Tucker Carlson has already gotten hooked But Jiang Xueqin's views— He wasn't solely criticizing the United States or the West he also addressed the CCP including the risks posed by the current U S -Iran conflict to China's national interests—for instance pointing out that 40% of China's energy comes from the Gulf region Cheap energy is the foundation of China's entire economic model so Middle Eastern conflicts inflict a longer-term impact on China than on any other nation especially now that Chinese people are unwilling to spend and unwilling to take risks With rising energy costs China is the long-term biggest loser he explained the mindset of China's wealthy saying that anyone with a billion dollars would invest entirely in Japan rather than in China itself which is why Jiang Xueqin Who exactly is this person In the early days for example in 2002 he was thrown into a面包 van by the CCP's secret police simply for speaking the truth in his reporting Detained for 48 hours Threatened with a 20-year sentence 2017 He published an article in CNN titled How Chinese Media Fuels Tyranny and Corruption That article He wrote: Western media are the last line of defense for global freedom of speech free media in the United States are the source of Western strength and progress CCP media corrupt the soul of the nation China will never be as great as the United States until its citizens can freely pursue truth At the same time he spoke with the Wall Street Journal about Beijing's suspension of international education programs This is fundamentally a matter of political soft power the CCP aims to project its influence overseas while preventing its elites from increasingly following Western educational paths This is Jiang Xueqin from 2017—a person who clearly sees the CCP system Then there's Jiang Xueqin in 2026 in a interview with Tucker Carlson He said those words and also stated in class that Chinese people don't need democracy characterizing the United States as an empire manipulated by the Israeli lobbying group and secret societies for nine years Even more than ten years ago his views were a complete 180-degree turn from today's yet he has never publicly explained the reasons behind this shift Jiang Xueqin is a complex phenomenon Summarizing him in one word is too simplistic some of his structural analyses regarding the Iran war are worth considering but if you treat him as a reliable source you need to recognize that his statements contain certain biases filled with unverifiable data unverifiable even exhibiting a strong anti-Israel bias long-known conspiracy theories in the West and his recent statements have indeed addressed issues concerning China But compared to Western critics who argue that Jiang Xueqin's avoidance of China's issues is systematic he currently resides in a Chinese city strictly controlled by the CCP So do you really think Jiang Xueqin is reliable What was his third prediction about the Iran war—that the U S would lose the Iran war—what's your take on that now Feel free to leave a comment telling me Also starting next I'll be live-streaming daily news updates every day from Tuesday through Sunday at 10 PM Eastern Time so you can stay informed Be sure to tune in on time So that's it for today's show Thank you for watching See you in the next episode