ITS ABOUT TO GET EXTREMELY BAD

Donald Trump has been rushed into a secret meeting, a national security meeting to determine whether or not the U.S. is going to ramp up strikes on Iran. And in this regard, actually, there's a bit of good news in the Democrats crushing midterm victory, or I should say the crushing defeat the Republicans faced in that were this to have been a smaller victory. Donald Trump would have been still largely unrestrained in this war, but considering now that the Democrats have such a massive majority in the Senate, we're looking at potentially 56 seats. That is only 11 Republicans need defect to convict Trump in an impeachment. Now, I'm going to tell you why that's a good thing, and I'm sorry. I'm going to say it is. I don't like the Democrats. I'm not excited for what's going to happen in the next two years. But we do not want boots on the ground or a nuclear strike in Iran. This has been miserably bad from the get-go. We've been yo-yoing these deals, claiming we're winning when we're not winning. Diesel shortages around the world. The American people are fed up. The election has shown that. And this may keep Trump's hand steady. That being said, it may not matter. It may not matter at all. The Iranians are still attacking tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Whether or not Donald Trump does or does not make these attacks, do these strikes, Iran's might just say screw off and they will utilize control of the Strait without the U.S. in an effort to try and rebuild and make more money. I don't think we should have gotten involved in the first place. I think Donald Trump came out every other week. We won, we lost, we won, we lost. And as I've said, you know, people have been making a killing. You buy oil, you short oil. You buy oil, you short oil. I don't have any good answers for you guys or any good solutions. All I can tell you is it will be a catastrophe if Donald Trump decides, you know what, we're going to send boots on the ground. I think a nuclear strike is absurd. My friends, there is a reason why Tucker Carlson said the attack may come this weekend. And two words for you, new moon. That's right, my friends, new moon. What does that mean? In a full moon, you can easily see in the sky the jets, the bombers coming in. We have a new moon coming up and the Iranians know this, but it doesn't matter because without the moon in the sky, it is difficult to see the direction by which bombers and jets are going to move in. It may be that come this weekend, the escalation happens. Donald Trump has said it is not his job to try and keep Congress. It is his job to protect the American people and to be the president. And for that reason, there is an argument Trump may escalate this war, which is already proven to be disastrous politically. But my friends, I maintain everything I have said before. And after this insane election, I'm going to say this. I'm going to say this in a mix, in a mix. Everyone is trying to play this game of, oh, we got to call out the neocons and the podcast bros that supported this war and blah, blah, blah. And I saw you dudes. I saw you and you're like, Tim supported the war and now he's against it. Oh, shut up. I've said from day one, the wars, you know, really grinds my gears. When I outline the reason for the war in Ukraine, ain't nobody accused me of supporting it. But the Israel derangement people are like, Tim's explaining why Trump went to war in Iran means he likes the war in Iran. I certainly do not. As I've said from the get go, it's not going to work. You cannot get regime change without boots on the ground. And now they've been doing these these these mass grave drills. Donald Trump may say, I don't care. I'm the president, I got the DOJ, I got the military, and it must be done. I'm going to break down for you the reason, in my opinion, why this is happening. The first thing is, yes, Israel plays a role. As Marco Rubio said, Israel wanted to launch an attack, and they pressured us into doing it. He didn't say it explicitly like that. He said they were going to do the attack with or without us. We knew if they did, Iran would retaliate against us, so we went in. Yeah, Israel wants to go in and shut down Iran because Iran funds militia groups. They fund Hamas. They fund anti-Israel militants. So Israel wants them crushed. The United States also wants the Iranians crushed because they are outside the petrodollar system and they exert control over the Strait of Hormuz. So Donald Trump likely goes in for the petrodollar. Shout out to our Timcast.com Discord member who pointed this out. Beautiful insights, and I completely agree. The Saudis go to Trump and say, if you want the petrodollar deal, if you want us to sell oil in dollars, get rid of the Iranian regime and put an end to the chaos in the Middle East. That's likely what they've been saying for some time. Donald Trump says we want the petrodollar, so he says, okay, let's go to war. Because everybody's screaming that Israel made the United States do it. Now, don't get me wrong. Israel does have outsized influence. I do not like AIPAC. We get all that. Thomas Massey is fantastic. I disagree with him. But he's a gentleman and a scholar, and he's long been my favorite member of Congress. Though I got to be fair, we got Riley Moore now, and he's absolutely fantastic as well. Riley listens to the people, and he tries to, you know, I'm going to give a shout out to Riley Moore. He listens to the people, and he doesn't play the stupid social media game. He just listens to what the people need and want, and he's fair about it, and he's reasonable. I tremendously respect that. But I'm going to say this. Israel's interests absolutely do pressure us into this war, but we were already aligning the armada in the Persian Gulf before Israel went in. This means, Guys. The U.S. has an interest in going into Iran. So does Israel. And the U.S. effectively uses Israel as a forward military base. There is a ton of overlap. Don't want it? Totally agree. Donald Trump comes on election day and says, you know what? We shouldn't fund Israel. I'm like, oh, really? That's exactly my position the whole time. I don't care about Israel. I don't blame Israel for all the world's problems. I just don't want to be involved in any of it. I saw Mike Harlow tweeted this the other day. Shout out, Mike. He's like, I'm just so sick of hearing about Israel. And I'm like, I agree. So can't we all just agree? Stop funding them. Stop being involved. Thank you and have a nice day. So right now, I believe it is fair to say, shout out to our Timcast Discord member when he pointed out that the Saudis likely pressured Trump saying, give us regime change in Iran. Otherwise, we are going to sell to China. We're going to ask China to negotiate these deals and to change things. And Trump said, OK. Donald Trump has secured the American Gulf, yeah, the Gulf of America, for oil exports. He's taken the Panama Canal back. He's working on the Northwest Passage. He's taken Venezuela. All of this lines up for global oil dominance. Now, I say all of this again. Nothing has changed since the election, right? The sentiment has changed. There's a reality, a shock to the core of people over what the war in Iran really meant and how they feel about our economy. But I stand by everything I have said about what this war is. And I stand by it was a bad idea. It's likely not going to work. And I stand by what I said in 2016, 17, 18 and beyond. If the United States needs to secure its borders, bring manufacturing back. That's why I will tell you, I opposed the war with Iran. I said it's bad. Trump, he better wrap this up because it's going to destroy him. The American people don't tolerate this stuff. And I stand by my support for the tariffs, even though those were bad. My views and my opinions are what they are. The tariffs hurt the economy, likely hurting the Republicans in the midterm. Yep, so be it. And I have said this to everyone who's asked. Yes, tariffs made things more expensive. Thank you and have a nice day. We got to shore up our defenses, secure our border, and bring our manufacturing back. That does not mean we start bombing and spending our money in Iran. The petrodollar is dying, and this, this was a mistake. And now my fears, my friends, my fears, it's going to get spicy. It's going to get spicy. The American conservative Trump promises decision on strikes very soon as Iran hits more tankers. Indeed, it is getting bad. Here we go. This is from just the past hour or so. Start with one glaring question. Is the Strait of Hormuz clear of mines or is the waterway still a minefield? On Thursday, five tankers and a tugboat caught fire in the Strait of Hormuz. On Friday, the IRGC reported two more. That makes it seven vessels in 48 hours. Seven vessels in 48 hours. That's a, I don't know what accent that is. I don't know where this lady's from, but I absolutely love the Germanic-Arabic mix. Vessels, seven vessels have been damaged. Yeah, you get the point. So here's my concern, right? I should probably read the Security Council stuff. I'm hoping they go to Donald Trump and they say, listen, it's over, okay? You've lost this one. I'm gonna tell you guys, we lose the petrodollar. I hope you're ready to roll up your sleeves and work real hard. My sleeves are always rolled up. See what I'm saying? I'm ready to work as hard as I need to work. And I think my show and my company, I think it speaks for itself. I do a two-hour show in the morning. I do a three-hour show at night. And now my friends, the Tim Pool Show, Mixed In Between, and many docs on the weekends. I will work my fingers to the bone if I must. It must be done. And that's why I say if the petrodollar falls, I'll be out there chopping lumber to heat my home. And a lot of Americans are going to cry like babies, cry like babies. I'm telling you, you take a look at the reaction that we saw in this midterm election, and it's clear as day. The American people say they want deportations. They want a hold on immigration. Trump gives it to them. They freak out. They get really angry about it. That's the reality because people then started to realize like, hey, wait a minute. These guys were doing under the table work for dirt and they were running taco shops. I'm not trying to be racist. Literally, this is a story. A guy got mad because his taco shop was gone. I'm not making that up. I'm not saying they make tacos. No, this was literally a taco shop that went out of business Because the staff got arrested. There's a construction worker. He owned a construction business. All my employees were deported. Yeah, so they're not happy about it. They wanted to vote for it, but then they were like, oh, wait, not mine, not my stuff. So I'm telling you this right now. I'm not suggesting we should be the world police or that we should be maintaining the petrodollar. In fact, I lean against it because the American people lean against it. They say we don't want it. And then I say, okay. Now, I got to be honest, a unipolar Chinese communist world does not sound fun. But I think we'll be okay. I think we'll be okay. And I think the United States needs to get back to securing its borders, maintaining its traditions, its values, its hard work. That's what it's always supposed to have been. Not this, we're going to go bomb a foreign country and argue. Like, you know what? I'm going to say this. Iran might get a nuclear weapon. I don't care if they do. You know, Matt Walsh said, I'd rather Iran have a nuclear weapon than my country be run by communists. And I'm like, I don't care one way or the other. I don't care if they have a nuke. I literally don't. Pakistan has nukes. And we're going to cry about it. If Iran gets a nuke and starts threatening the region, I don't care. I literally do not care, okay? China's got nukes. They're launching military incursions and expanding. None of this is good, and we don't want World War III, and we don't want nuclear bombs and all of that stuff. But I'm sorry. Iran with a nuclear weapon is not a great concern to the American people. It's just not. And I'll tell you, you might be saying, there's people out there, and they're like, I'm a foreign policy expert. I'm telling you, Tim, it absolutely is a threat to the American people. It's like, you know what I'm going to tell you? You want to know why it's not? It has never been articulated to anybody in this country as to why that's a real threat to us. Okay, let's go with the Iranians might take fissile material and make a dirty bomb. Sure, why? Why would they do that? Oh, is it because we want to be the world police in the region and they would attack us? Yes. Hmm. Maybe when you go to war with people, they attack you. So how about we don't be the world police? And yeah, I understand that means we're going to lose the petrodollar. I don't care. I look forward to losing the petrodollar and the costs skyrocketing by a thousand percent or whatever. And I'm going to sit back. I'm going to roll up my sleeves and I'm going to chop wood. That's what I'm going to do. I'm going to raise my chickens and I'm going to grow vegetables. And when people come out and go, why is my gas $30 a gallon? They revolt and there's craziness. I'm going to, you know, it might come. My point is this. I don't want it to. I don't want to live that way. You don't want to live that way. But I'm going to tell you all this, my friends. When the people say yes and the people say no, that is the structure of our governance. So Trump says, and let's get into this. Trump says, it's not my job to keep Congress. It's my job to protect the American people. That's why I think he might still do it because he's going to say this. I don't care what you think you want. We lose the petrodollar and you will be mad about it. So he's going to do it anyway. So Trump met with his national security team at the White House on Wednesday and again on Thursday to weigh resuming military operations against Iran, according to multiple reports. It was the president's first session of the war since Democrats seized both chambers of Congress on Tuesday. Officials told the president that this Monday brings a new moon over the Middle East, leaving next to no moonlight and the kind of cover commanders want for air operations. Trump told reporters in the Oval Office hours earlier that Washington would make a decision on resuming the war and asked whether to go further and ensure Iran's nuclear program is finished for good. They are lying. There's no concern over a nuclear program. You're not going to convince me that's the case. I will say, I will say. Yes, they don't want Iran to get nukes because Iran will threaten the region. Even if they secure the petrodollar, they don't want Iran to have nukes. But the argument that they give, a nuclear Iran will strike America, never will. It's not going to. It'll strike our European partners. Nope, not really worried about that. That's not correct. Iran might strike at, with fissile material, with small dirty bombs, the region can get catastrophically bad. But what really happens is they're not going to use it. They're going to use it for leverage and negotiations, and they're going to assert themselves on the world stage, thus hindering American power. That's the concern over nuclear materials. What they really want is regime change. Because if you get a regime change in Iran, and they end up more like a, you know, Saudi Arabia, nobody cares if they have a nuke. So what they really want to do is remove their leadership, which they've been unable to do. You'll know soon enough, he added, U.S. Central Command has drawn up a strike plan that could have started the day after the election. Additionally, thousands of American troops remain in the waters off Iran enforcing the blockade. Look at this. Oil tanker burns after being hit by an Iranian strike. And the Iranians knew they could keep it up until the midterms and then Trump would be in a dangerous position. Iran will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz or sit down to talks until the U.S. meets seven conditions. The country's top security official, Mohsen Rezaei, said on Thursday during a visit to Russia, those demands include lifting American sanctions, releasing Iran's frozen assets and paying reparations for the war. Holy crap. Trump is in trouble. Yo, if they pack up and leave, Joe Kent said this. I was on Piers Morgan. He said Trump could just leave. He could just leave. And, uh... If he did, then you are going to deal with demands from the Iranians, closure of the strait, they're going to institute tolls, and there will be no one to stop them. So Trump's probably going to say no to that. He's probably going to say, you know what, no, we're going to ramp it up. Trump's going to say, I'm going to finish the job. Trump's going to say, I think my fear with this is that Donald Trump is going to say, I have a bad legacy right now. If I leave, I'm Buchanan. If I win, I'm Lincoln. That's the fear. If Trump sends boots on the ground into Iran, if he uses nukes and it comes out in some, I don't think it will, but in his mind, if he's thinking like, if I crush the Iranian regime with a nuclear strike or with boots on the ground, I'm a historic hero who saved the day in the Middle East. He may be thinking that. I don't think it works out that way. I think you launch a nuke and you get global catastrophe and a rapid collapse of the United States. We have never seen a modern nuclear weapon utilized in war. Sorry, you talk about Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that was child's play. The current weapons that we have, MIRVs, I mean, we're talking like a thousand X the power of Hiroshima, a thousand X. Yeah. So Donald Trump may be thinking, if I leave right now and Iran locks down the strait, America's in trouble. America's in trouble. Global oil is in trouble. The Saudis are going to start trading with China. China is going to cut a deal with Iran to open things up. The U.S. will be cut off from that portion of the global market. The U.S. will split into two oil markets and the U.S. will be in trouble. Rocking a hard place. Perhaps the strategy should have been not to go into Iran, and this is why Barack Obama did not want to do it. Now, by all means, you can criticize Obama for his deal. Obama didn't want to go in because every leader has told us this, has told the public this, has told the president this. It is a coin toss. You do not know if you will win. It's mountainous. It's entrenched. You're not going to get protests. It's not going to happen. Eric Prince said it. It's a gamble. So Obama said, let's go the easy route. We're going to pay off the Iranians to back off. And what did the Iranians do? Use that money to destabilize the region. That didn't work out so well. So Trump says, that didn't work. Let's go blow them up. That's not working out so well. Unless you decide finally to go in. But I warn all of you. The reason this is terrifying and the things that people need to understand is that Iran is not Iraq. It is not Afghanistan. It is not a desert nation of cowherders. It is a modern, developed, mountainous country of 90 million people. You are talking about full-scale, legit war, the likes we haven't seen in 100 years. This is not some incursion into a goat herder territory. This is not dealing with insurgents, with AKs who live in the mountains. This is a modern military with actual military capabilities. Now, of course, the U.S. is stronger, indeed, but we're overexerted in the Pacific and Ukraine. We are not prepared, nor are we capable, in my opinion, for a ground invasion into Iran, which is what scares me, because then the answer is nuclear bomb. Trump might be saying, listen. You use a nuke, we become the American empire, and no one will dare come at us. The American nuclear capability is truly astounding. Now, Russia's got it, but maybe the reason Donald Trump's been working on cutting a deal with Russia is he's going to Russia and saying, look, no one, no one is a threat to anyone except for us, right? When it comes to nuclear weapons, we can flatten the world. So really, the only thing we got to worry about is each other. Sure, India's got nukes, Pakistan, China, but listen. He says, Trump could go to Russia and say, we'll cut a deal on Ukraine, and then I'm going to nuke Iran, and you just don't nuke any of us. We leave each other alone, because mutually assured destruction is only between the two of us. And I'm talking about the U.S. has an air, land, and sea contingent. We have nukes in the sky, in the water, and on the ground. Russia has comparable ones. Russia's got a tsunami bomb, a nuke designed to detonate off a coast, which can create massive tidal waves. And not monstrous day after tomorrow kind of waves with big ones that would flatten areas in and around the coasts. Devastating. So if Russia gives Trump the assurances that he won't retaliate against the U.S. if the U.S. goes against Iran, it's over. But then Russia's got to come into the fold. And that may be why Trump has been negotiating. You know, my friends, I really don't know. I'm wrong about a lot of things all the time. Let's just hope and pray we don't get an escalation. I'll leave it there. Smash the like button. Share the show. Stick around. We got more coming up for you throughout the day. And we'll see you on the next segment.