Several Strong Earth Facing Solar Flares January 17th 2025!

James Kaufman, World News Report, today, January 17th, 2025. God bless you and yours, no matter where you are in the world. Please subscribe, give us a thumbs up, ring that bell for critical future updates. Ladies and gentlemen, we've had six M-class solar flares thus far today, and we haven't seen one in at least a week's time. The strongest flare that we had today was an Earth-directed M7.4 solar flare. No, it hasn't been determined if there's an associated coronal mass ejection yet inbound. But as you can see, the sun is picking up quickly in its activity. We have a new sunspot group, 3964, that formed just yesterday. It's responsible for most of these inflows that you're looking at right now. Again, it formed just yesterday. And that particular sunspot group is already twice the size as Earth. So we're going to take a look at these six M flares and see what we've got going on. The big M7 was right at about 1330 UTC time or about 730 this morning. Headed over to SpaceWeatherLive.com. There we go, 3964 of Beta Gamma Sunspot Group. Responsible for almost all of the M-class solar flares that were Earth-facing, except for we also have AR3961 in play. It was responsible for this M1.1 we see here. Now the largest of the day, the M7.4, peaked at 1335. Again, these are beta-gamma sunspot groups, so they're not delta-class sunspot groups. The M7.46 is the largest in 24 hours, the largest in 72 hours. And let's see, currently we are having an M flare, as you can see over in the far left. We have to wait to see how that one's classified and how large it was. Currently, we have a 30% chance of having an X flare today, which is amazing. We have a 70% chance of having an M-Flare. That ship has sailed, and we are running a C-Flare baseline, so that should be 100%. Over at HMI Intensity Gram, we can actually see the two sunspots that have been giving us trouble here. This one's generated most everything that we've seen happen, including the M7.46. And we had one M flare, the M1.1, come out at 3961. Thus far, none of the other sunspot groups have produced any flaring whatsoever today. And it looks like we have a total of eight sunspot groups that are currently Earth-facing. Three that are beta-gamma, the others are all simple. All right, heading over to SDO, here's our big explosion. The M7.4 very well could have hurled a coronal mass ejection towards Earth, and we'll see if NASA has modeled it yet. I would guess that they haven't had time, this is SDO, at 131 angstroms. Head over to GOES-16 solar ultraviolet imager, 195 angstroms, can see that we've had a large coronal hole Earth-facing for the last few days. We should see an uptick in solar winds. This is 3964 over here. Looks like it was the culprit of the last M-flare that we saw developing. And this area here is going to be 3961. Doesn't look very organized as compared. And I will say, based on how the incoming limb looks, we're going to be in for additional flaring all week long here. Looks like we have a lot of active sunspots. Coming around the limb. Headed over to LASCO C3. Appropriate time is around 1300. We see no CME. We see a CME early on in the day. It could have an Earth component to it, but it sure doesn't look like it. We definitely didn't have any large M flares early in the day, so it couldn't be too much to worry about. But around 1300. And past 1300, we see absolutely no plasma. Take a look at our clock here, and you can see that nothing occurs. So I don't think a coronal mass ejection was lifted, but we'll check with NASA. All right, 1335, you see it right there. Peaked over parts of Africa, almost the entire Atlantic Ocean, almost all of South America as well. A very large area, but not a very intense flare whatsoever. The radio attenuation is, well, not impressive whatsoever. So there might have been a little problems with ham radios. This is our D-region absorption prediction center, and it shows us the X-rays hitting our planet. But don't worry. The entire planet has been hit with X-rays all day long, as you can see. See if that last one's on there. South America's been taking it hard all day. That might be the last one over in the Pacific already. Headed over to ISWA, Goddard Spiral. We see they have modeled a coronal mass ejection that was lifted. It's going to be inconsequential towards Earth. Earth, this yellow dot here. It does look like we could hit with plasma on the 24th, perhaps. Look at that, that's a long way out for them to be forecasting plasma impacts. They have us down for the 24th, which would be seven days from now. I have a problem with that for sure. So, with that said, so after not seeing an M-class solar flare in over seven days, we've had six M-class solar flares just today so far. These have all been generated by a new sunspot group that didn't exist yesterday. It's going to be 3964. It actually appeared yesterday and it's been growing extremely fast. It might be ready to produce an X-Flare. All but one of these M-Flares has come from that sunspot group AR. That's 3964, and we had one M-class solar flare come from AR3961. Both sunspot groups are beta gamma and not delta class sunspot groups at this time. God bless. Please share, subscribe, and always remember, anything's possible in the Zorro world.