James Kauffman, World News Report, today, January 21st, 2025.
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Previously, mild-mannered sunspot AR3967 erupted this morning,
producing a beautiful solar flare,
a category M3, a 3.38 actually.
And it looks like we have an Earth-directed coronal mass ejection
that was generated from the blast.
NASA models show that CME hit in our planet on January 24th.
This should cause at least
a minor G1 class geomagnetic storm, if not stronger.
I'm going to show you all the plasma ejection,
the coronal mass ejection.
And we're going to take a look at this M3.38 solar flare here.
Over to SpaceWeatherLive.com we see how quiet our sun has been.
We have no delta class sunspots
currently earth facing on our solar disk.
These are all beta gamma sunspots.
They've deteriorated a little bit. You'll see that the M3.38
is the largest solar flare in the last 72 hours
and of course last 24 hours.
We're currently at a C1.81, maintaining that C-flare baseline.
We've only had four total flares, and most of them
are nothing burgers, a C2.6, a C2.9, and a C3.6.
We have a 15% chance of having an X-class solar flare,
which is a little bit...
Surprising to me, 60% chance of an M-class solar flare.
We did come through there.
We're running a C baseline, so that should tell you
that we have 100% chance of having a C-class solar flare.
Headed over to HMI Intensigram,
we see that we have a total of nine sunspots to the Earth facing.
However, 3967, seen right here.
Has not been very active thus far until
this 3.38 M solar flare that popped off today.
I have the flare on STO and it looks much,
much larger than a 3.38.
I think you'll have to concur here.
It's like a major flare directly Earth-facing,
and you will see that a CME was created and
did knock out LASCO for quite some time.
This was a larger event than they might be letting on.
NASA has already modeled the coronal mass ejection.
You can see Earth here at the yellow dot,
and you can see the impact here on the 24th.
Looks like a very strong coronal mass ejection
from such a small M3.38 solar flare.
We've had X flares directly earth-facing
and no coronal mass ejection was lifted.
Again, this looks like a very strong one.
Now I don't know if NASA's up to their old tricks.
They usually are.
But we did have an explosion here
and it did seem to hit the camera here.
This is before our explosion.
This is 7 UTC time, about 1 a.m. last night.
Our explosion happened at 10.39.
You'll see there at 19.42, they cut the feed and nothing's occurred.
And you see this large coronal mass ejection headed out,
basically a halo ejection,
but definitely going to be geoeffective towards planet Earth.
And it was quite some chromospheric action,
in my opinion, from such a small solar flare,
that M3.38.
Finally, taking a look at the KP indexes for the day,
we've had absolutely no activity.
We're seeing no solar winds, no substantial solar winds,
or plasma hitting planet Earth,
so it's been an overall quiet day.
That's it.
Prepare for the 24th. God bless. Share, subscribe, and always remember,
anything's possible. Bizarro world.