Arizona weather: Rain chances returning this weekend

Fox - 10 Phoenix
27 followers
1 Video View·Nov 12, 2026
AI Generated·May contain errors
Uh
All right, let's take a look right now.
A live view from Flagstaff.
I'm going to step off the camera shot so you can see here.
We're turned away from like our normal shot of the peaks.
So just to look at that beautiful glow along the horizon there.
We are looking at another day very similar
to how the last few days have been,
which means we're starting out sub-freezing.
We're at 27 degrees in Flag.
We will warm fairly nicely in the afternoon,
really around the whole state.
But a beautiful afternoon expected up in Flagstaff.
And totally dry conditions will persist.
You can see that because on Fox Vision,
there's nothing coming like upstream.
There is nothing there.
So by tomorrow, that'll be a different story.
I think tomorrow morning when we're together,
I'll start to see some clouds creeping our way.
And that's going to be the start of the changes we expect
by later Friday and into Saturday as well.
Here's a view on water vapor imagery map.
Yeah, still dry.
That's that black to brown on this map.
But this is now the little disturbance that's broken off.
It's kind of digging southward currently.
And then it's going to move up into our direction.
Over the last few days, the models have trended
from this thing running pretty far south of us,
which would have been very isolated shower chances,
It's kind of like over south central parts of the state.
So if it continues on that track where
it moves in this general direction,
we have a fair chance of some showers
as we head into tomorrow around Arizona,
particularly late day and into the early evening.
A look at the flood alerts still in place.
One flood warning left.
Remember, this is Painted Rock Lake downstream
of the dam all the way to Dateland.
There is a warning all the way through early next week
because of water releases from that dam.
Rain chances for you.
This is for your Friday.
So they're not great, but there is this like scattered potential
as you go mostly in the southern half of the state.
We'll
be
right
back.
Afternoon hours on your Friday.
This is 4 p.m. on this particular computer model.
And you can see all of a sudden we've got
these nice scattered showers in the valley,
down into southeastern Arizona,
and some isolated stuff in the high country.
Now to be clear, depending on which computer model I showed you,
it could show an even earlier arrival, say like one,
two o'clock in the afternoon. A couple show a little later arrival,
like six, seven o'clock in the evening. So there's still
a little bit of a question as to how fast this system will come in.
But I think like mid late afternoon is a fair estimate
for when we'll see chances in the valley. A look at our future cast.
High pressure is what's keeping us dry right now.
There's that first system, like I said,
running over south central parts of the state.
It moves out and on its heels. There's that second one running along
the north part of the state into your Saturday.
Morning with that best rain chance up in the high country
and maybe even a little bit of a rain snow mix occurring over
our highest points in Arizona on Saturday morning.
Here's the look at your forecast. High 62 and page 59
and Flagstaff and a beautiful 85 degrees here in the valley.
On the 10 day forecast, we dropped to 74 by Saturday
and with another system next Tuesday, we fall to 72.
