?כיצד הניצחון של הדמוקרטים ישפיע בפועל על יחסי ארה"ב-סין

Democrats have won the 2026 US midterm elections. They are now poised to control the House and the Senate, leaving President Trump with many more constraints domestically. But how does this affect US-China relations? Did the US midterm elections change anything? On the one hand, some in China think the US midterm elections put China in a better position in negotiations if Democrats challenge President Trump on certain aspects of his China strategy, especially tariffs. For China and Russia, They are dealing with a weaker Trump, politically weakened at home. So we may find ourselves in a better position in the bargaining with him. China will be in a better position to get the Trump administration to accommodate China's concern about the Taiwan issue and also the Japan issue. Some experts also believe Democrats will weaken Trump's pressure on U.S. allies to better align with his strategies on trade and security related to China. However, not everybody believes things are going to change all that much. Bernd Lange, the chair of the Trade Committee in the European Parliament, believes, quote, U.S. protectionism won't simply disappear. Meanwhile, Rajiv Bhatia, former Indian diplomat and distinguished fellow at Gateway House, he says a democratic victory will not necessarily make President Trump more accommodating towards any country. Even the Chinese state-run outlet The Paper put out this piece arguing that the midterm elections would not change the overall situation between the U.S. and China. Speaking with the paper, the president of the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies, Chen Dongshou, he argued that the midterm elections would not considerably disrupt U.S. policy on China since the executive branch still has broad autonomy for foreign affairs. He added both Republicans and Democrats broadly agree on U.S. policy toward China. Chen also pointed to Trump holding off on completing a $14 billion arms sale to Taiwan that he approved last year and argued that the midterms may empower Republicans and Democrats to push Trump into helping Taiwan more and sooner at that. Over in Taiwan, Chen Fengyu, political science associate professor at Taipei's Suchao University, shared a similar sentiment. For the relationship between Taiwan and the United States, I think it's not... As for U.S.-Taiwan relations, I believe there would be even less change. The reason is that both Democrats and Republicans in Congress share a high degree of consensus regarding Taiwan. Furthermore, I do not anticipate major changes within the Trump administration. Thank you very much. Chen Fong-yu in Taiwan also believes that a more empowered Democratic Party may actually push Trump to support Taiwan even more with arms sales. So in fact, the two major parties in Congress, the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, Both Republicans and Democrats in Congress support accelerating arms sales. If Democrats were to gain the majority, they would likely push even harder, perhaps by passing resolutions or taking other measures to pressure the executive branch to move more quickly. Some other experts say that Democrat pressure on Trump extends to other aspects of the U.S.-China policy, such as by promoting tighter tech export controls and more scrutiny on supply chains for AI as well as semiconductors. In response to the U.S. midterm results, China put on a business-as-usual face, saying that it's looking forward to continue cooperating with the U.S., all while the U.S. and China continue their ongoing great power competition.