GOP Earns ‘Potentially Catastrophic’ Outlook Among Trump-Won Districts Going Into Midterms

Potentially Catastrophic: Outlook Among Trump-Won Districts Going Into Midterms

On October 23, NBC News reported that the Cook Political Report moved 19 more House races toward Democrats, saying the GOP path to keeping the House has 'all but evaporated' - 48 races over several weeks. A week earlier, Cook's Dave Wasserman called the outlook 'potentially catastrophic' for Republicans, with polling shifts of 15 or even 20 points in Trump-won districts: Iowa risks 3 of 4 districts, an upstate New York seat Trump won by 20+ is in play, and House races are moving in Kansas, Montana, Nebraska and South Carolina. Decision Desk HQ's Geoffrey Skelley explains why South Carolina's Senate race is closer than anyone expected and where Texas stands. We show the numbers that cut both ways: forecasts are ratings, not results.