Steelers-Buccaneers Odds and Bears-Falcons NFL Picks

But I don't know that I'm sticking a fork in Tampa right away. Who are the Pittsburgh Steelers to be laying three on the road in Tampa against the team that just took down one of the best offenses in the National Football League there in the Dallas Cowboys? Why should we believe this is who the Pittsburgh Steelers are here? Because the Bucs are not good. I think they're really bad. We're good enough to beat Dallas. Who beats Pittsburgh in Dallas play? Who wins? They're good enough to beat Dallas? What does that mean? No, I'm saying with Tampa Bay, it was good enough to beat Dallas. On the road in Dallas, not in Dallas. Same team every year with Dallas. It's the same thing every year. They lose to some team that has a post, too. Who's the better offense, Pittsburgh or Dallas? Do you trust Aaron Rodgers more or Dak Prescott? I just look at the line, and the line tells me that Pittsburgh is going to win the game. They're going to win. They're going to go to Tampa. They're going to win. No, six and a half would tell me Pittsburgh is going to win. And by the way, this opened three. It's now two and a half. So I am guessing the market is a little skeptical on the entire Aaron Rodgers love fest coming to Tampa. But Tampa's not out of that division. Philadelphia wins this game against Carolina. And all of a sudden, Tampa beats Pittsburgh. Are they not right back in the conversation with this division? Yeah, but it's a massive line over reaction to one win for Tampa Bay. If they lose by three to Dallas, Pittsburgh gets five six-point favorites. There's no chance I would take Tampa Bay in this game. None. Zero. Look, I don't even know that I would take Pittsburgh either, but there's no backing the Bucs after their best win of the season. None. I think Watt has his way. I think it's probably a low-scoring game. It goes back to exactly the way the Bucs were playing a couple of weeks ago. And at the end of the season, I think the Steelers will be four or five games better than the Bucs at the end of the season. Look, I give Daniels a lot of credit. He won that game, but he won against the most fraudulent team in the last decade in the NFL. It happens every season with Dallas. Dallas will win this week, they'll win next week, and then all of a sudden everyone's back in and then they lose again. So, again, I don't want to say it's just anecdotal with Dallas. There are other teams, in my opinion, that I would consider a little fraudulent. But, no, I could not back the Bucs in this game. I mean, if this feels exactly like the same game where Pittsburgh played Cincinnati a few weeks ago, Cincinnati was three-and-a-half-point favorites, Pittsburgh ended up winning the game. I mean, these are the kind of games that Pittsburgh wins. That's a division rival, though. Yeah, low-scoring game. That's a division rival. Low-scoring game. You're AFC to NFC, and you've got to play on the road now with Aaron Rodgers. I don't trust Aaron Rodgers on the road in 90-some-odd degrees in Tampa Bay in any way, shape, or form. But speaking of fraudulent, are the Bears fraudulent? Or are the Bears going to beat the Falcons here this week? Oh, the Bears? I mean, look, at the beginning of the season, I thought that the Bears were like a sleeper team for the Super Bowl. And I still believe at the end of the season they'll have one of the best offenses. But I don't know if that's incorrect now because of just where they stand. And, look, I'm going to stick with, well, is Caleb Williams playing in this game? Has that been the plan? Yes. Yep. I can't see the line. What is the line? Three and a half. Three and a half. Three and a half. Look, I'm not the Atlanta guy, so I've been wrong on them every week this season. So I don't know the answer, but I would tell you that I'm going to stick with my idea that the Bears are going to be one of the best teams in the NFL at the end of the season let's stick with that i'm still hanging on to that i'm not going to give that up well they should be a better team i'm gonna i'm gonna take it than anything it was so bad last week it was so bad that was not good and it does look like Penix Jr by the way is playing uh this week as well so at least we'll have Caleb versus Penix two of the you know two young quarterbacks here franchise guys that with a lot of weapons around them although the whole Montez Sweat thing is very strange to me that he's getting busted for peds at this point in the season uh and that defense of the Bears worries me but i got news for you so does the Atlanta Falcons defense