It's A New World Order For Markets | Cameron Dawson
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The 40-year bull market in bonds is over, states Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer of New Edge Wealth.
That's going to change the landscape for investors over coming years.
And high yields, given enough time, will force a re-pricing of all assets -- including and especially A.I. stocks should they start growing at slower rates (which is quite likely).
What should investors plan for as a result?
To find out, watch this video.
Follow Cameron at https://www.newedgewealth.com/
Or across social media at @CameronDawson
#bondyields #aistocks #marketcorrection
0:00 – Key themes and drivers for 2027
1:42 – Why the S&P 500 has stayed so resilient despite higher rates
2:56 – Mag7 concentration masking broader market weakness
3:40 – Earnings concentration: semiconductors expected to grow ~130%
4:05 – Earnings growth expected to slow from ~35% to ~15% in 2027
4:22 – Higher yields have already compressed valuations (23x → 19x)
5:12 – Sled-dog analogy: market strength depends on the AI “mastiff”
6:35 – Higher rates as the “cheetah” – who gets caught first
7:09 – Cracks appearing in credits (Triple-C and high-yield spreads)
8:03 – Are the big tech names immune to higher cost of capital?
9:16 – Frontier labs, cash burn, and dependence on capital markets
10:21 – Financial conditions remain as easy as 2021
11:13 – What is keeping conditions easy + default 2027 outlook
13:00 – Investment boom: revenues recognized, costs capitalized
13:48 – Will the market care about the earnings growth slowdown?
15:18 – How much of earnings growth is AI capex vs. real AI productivity?
16:25 – Semiconductor margin expansion and cyclical risks (especially memory)
18:36 – Why Micron’s gross margin is a key number to watch
19:47 – Threat of cheaper/open-source models to frontier-lab revenue
20:54 – Microsoft’s backlog is heavily tied to OpenAI
23:27 – AI cycle: near-term payoff or dot-com-style overbuild?
25:55 – Stocks peak before fundamentals – watching early cracks (Cosby)
27:53 – Still respecting the AI trend; not ready to bet against it yet
28:36 – Bond yield outlook for 2027
30:16 – The 40-year downtrend in yields is over
31:37 – Will higher yields pull capital from equities into bonds?
36:02 – Supply vs. demand dynamics and debt risks
39:41 – Current investment themes: munis, quality equities, private markets
41:37 – Opportunities in secondaries and lower-middle-market private equity
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