Why Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom are Trailing in the Presidential Race

Probably the biggest split in my reporting this month was about Kamala Harris. Should she even be on the list? Some of my sources said, no, she shouldn't even be on the list. She's not going to run. If she runs, she'll be a disaster. Other people think she should be number one. They've looked at her performance of late, and they just don't think she's going to do it. My female sources, Democratic sources, interestingly, were in most cases, not all, were pretty down on her. A lot of reporting that says she's not decided, but she's doing a lot of things to leave open the option of running. She spoke to the Urban League a few days ago, and she's clearly tilting left. She's clearly thinking about running. She's a former vice president. She's going to be an establishment candidate, but she's clearly thinking, how do I take some of that populist, anti-establishment, progressive wing of the party and tap into it? Here she is speaking in front of the Urban League a few days ago. This is Kamala Harris talking about her agenda. S11, please. And we must allow for a real conversation about revisiting certain things. For example, and I know this is going to be controversial coming from me in particular, we need to revisit the Electoral College. We need to revisit the point of expanding the court to 13 justices like we have 13 district courts. We need to revisit, if they so want, statehood for Puerto Rico and DC. Yes. If we regain control of the Senate. I served on this committee, the Senate Judiciary Committee, when I was in the Senate. Now, there's some weasel words there. We need to revisit, okay? Not let's get rid of the filibuster, not let's make Puerto Rico state. We need to revisit. That's a kind of caution. That's a kind of shifting and shading that a lot of people point to to say, she's not going to run. If she does, she'll have a problem. But she's smart, I think, several of my sources pointed out. If she does want to run, she's smart, they said, to go left because she's going to have to be a grassroots candidate. The donors, the political class, the media, they're never going to root for her. They're always going to try to bring her down. That's just the nature of where she is after losing in 2024. And she's got a big fundraising list. She's done events for her book tour around the country, including around the South. She's strong with Black women voters. So she's going to be an establishment candidate, but she's going to try to get that Black vote. Remember what I said, the new calendar seems to favor candidates who can raise money or have money because they're rich, candidates who can appeal to Black voters and Hispanic voters, and candidates who are more establishment rather than socialist progressive. That's Kamala Harris. But again, she's got a problem, which is never going to be favored by the media. Gavin Newsom, who I dropped from one to two, has a similar problem. The other California candidate, he's got the same problem Hillary had in 2008, which is the problem that the Walt Disney Company had. I used to work at the Walt Disney Company. There's something, you become a big figure and you become snakebit. You become somebody who the press never gives a break to. If somebody dies at the Walt Disney World, it's a huge story, no matter how they die. If somebody dies at a Comcast park, it doesn't even make the news. This is a problem for Gavin Newsom. We saw it this month with a couple stories that popped. First, a woman who he had an affair with that had previously been written about, and he talked about it previously. She wrote a piece for Vanity Fair about the relationship. Didn't put him in the best of light. Here's the Vanity Fair headline, How I Blew Up Then Rebuilt My Life. She talks about her affair with Gavin Newsom in a lot of detail. Here's how the New York Post covered it. The New York Post plays a key role here. They now have a California edition. Ruby Rippey, that's the name of the woman, breaks cover after salacious essay exposed Gavin Newsom affair details. Here's another New York Post story. Newsom said he'd release his tax returns. He was required to release them, but he didn't publicize them in the sense that he didn't post them on the internet or give them to reporters. He told reporters they could go to a reading room and take a look at them. Other politicians have done that. Here's the headline from the New York Post, Gavin Newsom's release sparks outrage. The problem Newsom has now, and as you know, I've told you before, I'm not as certain as everybody else he's going to run. But the problem he has now is very similar to what happened to John Kerry when he ran against George Bush in 2004. I call it a swift bow veterans for truth problem, which is the conservative media will go after Newsom for everything. The New York Post and all the conservative media on social media, anything he does, they will cast in the most negative light. And then what happens is that stuff on a conveyor belt goes to the more what I call the dominant media, either because they pick up the stories kind of on the merits, or they write about the fact that the conservative media is going after him. That's what happened with John Kerry and the accusations from this group Swift bow veterans for truth that some of you will remember. And recall there's a criminal investigation into Gavin Newsom and his wife. Don't know where that will go, but there's going to be both real and made up stuff about Gavin Newsom. It'll never end. That's why I think he may not run. He want to put his family through it. But he is like Kamala Harris. He'll never be considered the fresh face. He'll never be considered new and exciting. He'll always be cast by a lot of people in the party as old, even though he's never run for president before, but because he's been around on the national stage for so long. Talking now about life insurance. We all know we need it, but many people put it off because it feels complicated, expensive, and like something they can wait. Well, now's the time to stop waiting. Take care of it today with SelectQuote. In just 15 minutes, high quality coverage can be secured to fit any lifestyle or any budget. Here's what makes SelectQuote different. Their licensed insurance agents work for the consumer, not for the insurance companies. They compare options across multiple trusted carriers to find the right coverage at the absolute lowest price. Unlike other brokers who push policies that pay them the most, SelectQuote agents, they're different. They actually shop around. With nearly 40 years of experience and over 2 million families already helped, this is the expertise that you can trust. 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