00:00: This is why SpaceX is different from the rest 00:34: Gwynne Shotwell’s updates on Flight 13 and more 04:25: SpaceX and the biggest IPO in history 08:00: Problems with the ISS's robotic arm 10:23: Japan’s H3 rocket launch
SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell has just hinted at the most important Starship Flight 13 launch update yet. In this episode, we examine Shotwell's statements on the Starship Flight 13 launch date, why July now appears increasingly likely, and what will happen in Flight 13, Flight 14, Flight 15, and beyond. We also break down the historic SpaceX IPO, its massive market impact, and how additional funding could accelerate Starship development, lunar missions, Starlink expansion, and future Mars ambitions. Beyond SpaceX, we cover NASA's latest ISS challenge involving Canadarm2 repairs and JAXA's successful H3 rocket return to flight. Could Starship Flight 13 be the final step before orbital missions? Is SpaceX preparing for monthly Starship launches? And what does Gwynne Shotwell's latest update reveal about the road ahead for Starship?
SpaceX is entering a pivotal period. Adding to the excitement, recent comments from SpaceX
President Gwynne Shotwell may have provided the clearest indication yet of when Flight 13 could
launch. Today on Great SpaceX, we'll break down the latest Flight 13 updates, look ahead to Flights
14 and 15, examine an unexpected issue aboard the ISS, and cover the successful return to flight of
Well, let's get started. For months, one question has dominated discussions throughout the Starship
community. When is Flight 13? Ever since Flight 12 exceeded expectations, speculation has been
everywhere. Some predicted June, others predicted July. A few particularly optimistic fans probably
predicted next Tuesday. Now, we finally have a direct answer from someone who would know.
During a recent CNBC interview, SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell offered the clearest indication
yet regarding Starship's next launch timeline. Most importantly, that statement points strongly
toward a July launch. And honestly, that makes perfect sense. S40 and B20 are still progressing
through testing, with static fires, inspections, engine evaluations, and wet dress rehearsals
remaining on the schedule before launch. A June launch always seemed unlikely. July has long been
the more realistic target. But the bigger story may not be Flight 13 itself. It's what comes
afterward. A July launch could restore a roughly two-month flight cadence while potentially opening
the door to something much more ambitious, which is monthly Starship launches. That pace would
dramatically accelerate development by generating new data, testing new systems, and moving SpaceX
closer to the capabilities required for Artemis and Mars. And the schedule ahead is demanding.
Starship still needs to achieve orbital flight, payload deployment, full reusability, orbital
refueling, and eventually lunar operations. Monthly launches would help SpaceX work through
that checklist far more quickly. Of course, none of this will be easy as everything depends on
successful flights, reliable hardware, and maintaining a steady production pipeline.
Rocket development has a remarkable ability to humble ambitious schedules.
Still, if any company has demonstrated an ability to iterate quickly, it's SpaceX.
So what exactly will Flight 13 attempt to accomplish? Many fans are hoping it will
become Starship's first true orbital mission. But Shotwell suggested a more cautious approach.
We have done an in-space Raptor lighting, so we feel pretty comfortable. But we want another
suborbital shot on the next flight. And then I hope we at least attempt an orbital injection
on Flight 14. That statement reveals quite a bit. Flight 13 will likely remain a suborbital mission.
Rather than rushing directly toward orbit, SpaceX appears focused on further validating the V3
design. And that's probably the right decision. Flight 12 was successful, but it wasn't flawless.
Several Raptor vacuum engines experienced issues, and engine reliability remains one of the program's
highest priorities. As a result, Flight 13 will likely serve as another major validation mission
focused on engine performance, thermal protection evaluations, and broader system analysis.
If the mission performs well, Flight 14 could become Starship's first serious attempt at orbital
insertion, potentially later this summer. And once Starship reaches orbit, everything changes.
Payload deployment, extended orbital operations, advanced re-entry testing, and eventually
orbital refueling all become possible. Every one of those milestones is essential to future
missions to the Moon and Mars. That's why SpaceX appears willing to move carefully now
so it can move faster later. The strategy is straightforward. Build confidence,
validate systems, reduce risk, and then push forward aggressively. And Shotwell wasn't
finished. After discussing Flights 13 and 14, she dropped another intriguing hint.
That single sentence could have enormous implications. Because if it happens,
Starship will officially begin launching from Florida. And that changes everything.
Beyond Starship itself, June 12 also marked another major moment for SpaceX. After years
of speculation, rumors, and enough online debates to power a small city, SpaceX officially launched
its long-awaited IPO. That's right, the company that began in a modest warehouse in California
has now taken one of the biggest financial steps in its history. And if the reports are accurate,
it did not simply make a splash. It created a tidal wave. The IPO began trading on the Nasdaq
Exchange, arriving more than a year after SpaceX submitted its paperwork to the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission. Investor demand was immediate and intense. SpaceX initially
offered $555.6 million shares at $135 each, targeting roughly $75 billion in proceeds.
However, demand quickly pushed the price higher. Shares reportedly climbed to between $155
and $161 during early trading, representing an increase of roughly 20%.
Apparently, investors saw rockets and collectively decided gravity was optional. The result was a
massive jump in valuation and one of the most significant IPO events ever recorded. SpaceX
ultimately reached a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion according to the figures
released during the announcement period. That achievement also created another headline. Elon
Musk reportedly became the world's first trillionaire within minutes of trading activity.
Whether you love him, hate him, or simply enjoy watching the internet argue about him, that's a
number large enough to make everyone's calculator nervous. During the Nasdaq opening ceremony,
Musk reflected on the company's journey, saying,
Looking back, that statement is remarkable. The company that once struggled to survive
its early launches now operates the world's largest satellite constellation,
carries astronauts to orbit, develops Starship, and pursues missions to the moon and Mars.
Not bad for a company that once believed it had less than a 10% chance of surviving.
The financial impact of an IPO could be enormous. Additional capital would give SpaceX greater
flexibility to expand manufacturing, accelerate Starship development, grow launch infrastructure,
and support long-term projects, ranging from lunar missions and Mars exploration
to Starlink expansion and advanced communications systems.
More broadly, such a move could influence the entire aerospace industry. Other private space
companies may see it as proof that strong public market demand exists for space-focused businesses,
potentially attracting new investment and accelerating innovation across the sector.
Of course, raising capital is one thing, meeting investor expectations is another.
Public markets tend to reward results, not promises. Even so, it would represent a major
milestone, one that highlights just how far SpaceX has come since its uncertain beginnings.
Now, let's shift from billion-dollar stock offerings to a very different challenge taking
place roughly 400 kilometers above Earth. The International Space Station is dealing with
another maintenance issue, and this time, it involves one of the most important robotic systems.
Most space enthusiasts are familiar with Canadarm2, but for those who aren't,
it's essentially the ISS's giant robotic multi-tool. Recently, Canadarm2 experienced an
unexpected problem. NASA reported that during routine operations on May 27th, one of the
robotic arm's wrist joints demonstrated unusual behavior. Specifically, elevated motor currents
were detected and the arm failed to move as expected. In simpler terms, one of the station's
robotic joints decided it no longer felt like cooperating. Fortunately, the arm is currently
in a stable position. Unfortunately, repairs will require a spacewalk. NASA plans to address the
issue during an EVA scheduled for the 30th of this month. According to NASA officials,
the system demonstrated an elevated motor current in a wrist joint and arm motion did not occur
as expected. After reviewing the issue alongside the Canadian Space Agency and MDA Space,
engineers determined that replacing the affected joint is the best solution. Thankfully,
the ISS already has a spare component on board. This is one of those moments where careful planning
pays off. The CSA explained, Canadarm2 was designed with these kinds of potential
issues in mind. It is made up of several segments that can be pulled out and replaced in space.
Restoring Canadarm2 is important because it plays a vital role in ISS operations,
capturing cargo spacecraft that deliver supplies, experiments, and equipment. Most recently,
it was used in April to capture a Northrop Grumman Cygnus cargo vehicle. What's especially
impressive is that Canadarm2 arrived in 2001, long before routine commercial resupply missions
existed. Despite operating roughly a decade beyond its original design life, it completed
its 50th spacecraft capture in 2024. As the ISS continues dealing with aging hardware,
leaks, and increasing maintenance demands, keeping critical systems like Canadarm2
operational remains essential as the station enters the final phase of its service life.
Now, before we wrap up today's episode, let's head across the Pacific to Japan. Because JAXA
has something to celebrate. After suffering a setback during a previous mission, Japan's H-3
rocket has successfully returned to flight. Liftoff occurred on June 11th from Tanegashima Space
Center. The mission marked the 8th launch of the H-3 program and introduced a configuration
featuring three LE-9 engines on the first stage. That made this flight particularly important,
and fortunately for JAXA, it was a success. All six payloads were successfully delivered to their
intended orbits. That's exactly the outcome engineers wanted to see after the disappointment
of the previous mission. The last H-3 flight ended unsuccessfully when the Michibiki-5
satellite was lost. Investigators later determined that a damaged payload adapter contributed to the
failure. The resulting damage affected the second stage and created engine ignition problems. After
months of analysis and corrective work, JAXA returned to the launch pad determined to prove
the rocket's reliability. This mission did exactly that. According to JAXA, the rocket flew as
planned, successfully placing the second stage into its designated orbit and separating Petrel
and STARS-X approximately 16 minutes and 4 seconds after launch. For Japan, this launch represents
more than just another mission. It demonstrates persistence. Every space program faces setbacks.
The key is learning from them and moving forward. JAXA has done that. That brings us to the end of
today's episode. As always, thank you for watching and supporting the channel. Please hit that
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from GreatSpaceX, and until next time, keep looking up!