Ukraine is systematically destroying the Russian army's rear; devastating blows to Russian logistics

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Since the beginning of the year, Ukraine has carried out over 1,000 medium-range drone strikes on occupied territories. And these are only the attacks that were geolocated. The real number is significantly higher. Well-known OSINT expert and military observer Clément Molin writes about this in his blog on X.
The intensification of attacks on Russian logistics became a true turning point in the war. Around 150 vehicles, 30 trains, and 400 warehouses came under attack. Ukraine's medium-range drone strike campaign is relatively new. It began late last year and sharply intensified in 2026. Ukraine uses large fixed-wing UAVs, small fixed-wing UAVs like Hornet, Bulava, RAM X, and others, as well as short- and long-range FPV drones. In total, since January 2026, I have managed to collect over 1000 impact geolocations. Thirty-five percent of strikes hit warehouses and storage facilities. Another 20% of attacks targeted transport, and 7% targeted air defense systems. Such strikes occur daily. For every video published, at least twice as many strikes cannot be geolocated. Even more attack footage is not published at all. Currently, around 100 geolocated strikes are recorded per week. But again, we only see what Ukraine and Russia want to show publicly. Now a little more about the situation. For several months, Ukraine has been striking air defense systems, as well as radars and electronic warfare systems, in the occupied territories. These attacks have seriously depleted Russia's air defenses, and they continued in May. Parallel strikes on warehouses and storage bases continue. Often, multiple strikes are carried out in a row on the same area. Such facilities may house air defense systems, logistics centers, rear bases, ammunition depots, and much more. Many strikes also hit fuel infrastructure and energy supply facilities. These attacks are certainly effective, but the scale of the impact is difficult to assess because the contents of the warehouses are usually hidden. Several videos recently surfaced from the Melitopol-Crimea highway, showing burning trucks. The road was effectively blocked. This could seriously worsen the situation for Russian troops in the south.

Looking at the statistics, it's clear that the number of attacks on Russian transport has been steadily increasing in recent months. We've counted approximately 133 trucks, 20 passenger cars, and three armored vehicles hit. Strikes are being carried out on several key supply routes. In recent days, routes in the Luhansk and Donetsk regions have been particularly frequently targeted. In total, approximately 20 fuel tankers were counted among the targets hit. Are these events affecting the front? Not very much so far. However, Russian troops will inevitably face supply shortages in certain areas of the front over time. What's next? This shock campaign is clearly not a one-time effort – it continues to expand. Many Russian Z-bloggers have already begun speaking publicly about the dire situation. All this is happening against the backdrop of serious difficulties for the Russian Armed Forces this year. For the first time since 2023, Russia has begun to lose territory in Ukraine. One of the reasons for the aggressor's failures is Ukraine's campaign of medium-range strikes, which complicates Russian offensives. Russian military bloggers are extremely dissatisfied with the situation. What can Russia do? Not much. Placing anti-drone nets over all major highways would be extremely difficult and expensive. Creating additional air defense posts would help, but that would require significantly more personnel, and Ukraine would likely begin targeting those positions as well. Ukrainian drones cannot be suppressed by electronic warfare systems, and they are too small to be effectively detected by radar. Russia's only option remains the scaling of its "drone air defense." However, this system has not yet been widely deployed and has had little impact. The consequences for Russia could be grave. The kill zone would expand to 20, 30, or even 50 kilometers. Drones would be able to attack any convoys en route to the Sea of Azov, and any offensive preparations would become an easy target. The situation on the front will not change immediately, but Russian troops will increasingly face supply shortages. If Ukraine launches counterattacks in certain areas of the front this summer, it will be able to cut off reinforcement routes, attack any movement of Russian forces, and partially reduce the threat posed by enemy drones thanks to its effective electronic warfare capabilities. Russia's logistical situation is becoming critical. Even if only a small percentage of trucks are currently being hit, likely between 1 and 5% on the most important highways, that's enough to cause serious problems in the rear if the attacks continue.