The 21-Day Bloodbath: How a Taiwan War Actually Ends According to U.S. War Planners

In this eye-opening breakdown of the CSIS Taiwan war simulation, a massive Chinese invasion quickly turns into a nightmare. Two U.S. aircraft carriers sink, 138 Chinese warships are destroyed, and tens of thousands of PLA soldiers end up as prisoners of war.

Despite heavy losses—including all of Taiwan’s navy and devastating strikes on Japan—the simulation shows China’s amphibious assault collapsing within three weeks. Taiwan’s ground forces, shore-based missiles, and timely U.S. intervention create a deadly “meat grinder” at sea.

Drawing from 89 detailed wargames, CSIS reveals the brutal reality: even if China lands troops, it cannot sustain them. The war ends with China’s navy shattered, while Taiwan survives as a democracy—at a horrific cost to everyone involved.
A sobering look at why invading Taiwan may be far harder than Beijing expects.

Check out the complete 'First Battle of the Next War' report by CSIS here: https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan

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