Tomorrow Will Be Insane

Trillions were just wiped out from global markets. We're seeing the biggest number of blow-ups since the dot-com bubble burst, inflation data is about to release tomorrow, the government's about to shut down again, and now Russia's considering returning to the U.S. dollar. Today we cover why the market's falling, what to know, and where the action is at right now. Once you hear everything going on, you're gonna realize that tomorrow will be even crazier. Over $3.6 trillion was just wiped out of the market in 90 minutes today. Gold fell by 3.5%, silver fell by 11%, crypto market fell by 3%, and the S&P 500 erased $620 billion. Tomorrow's a big day for the stock market. The CPI inflation data will release one hour before the market opens at 8.30 a.m. ET. If inflation comes in higher than expected, the chances for interest rate cuts will fall even more. At the most recent inflation reading, the SPY ended up falling by 3% over five trading days on January 13th. Citigroup is actually warning that the market may have inflation expectations wrong, saying that American consumers remain resilient, and therefore inflation has not come down as much as some think. Tomorrow is going to be a big day. If we look back to the inflation report from December 18th, we can see that inflation actually cooled and came in better than expected, and the market ripped up by 2.6% over six trading days. And if we go back to the inflation report before this one, which was in October of 2025, the reading once again beat expectations, and SPY ripped up by 2.3% in four trading days. Those two readings saw great price action, but we could see history repeating itself here, Mike. Over the last eight sessions, 115 stocks in the S&P 500 have declined by 7% or more in a single day. The average drawdown when this happens is 34%. Right now, we're still only 2.44% below the all-time high, but we haven't seen this kind of action come in since the dot-com bubble burst. I will say, Mike, this has to send some fear here throughout the market. It is crazy, and like, it's not like we're just talking about, let's say, like, slight drops. We're talking about 7% drops, and when you look across the market today, you can certainly feel it. So, very interesting. And on top of that, Tom, just when you thought it couldn't get any crazier, it just did. Russia is considering pivoting back to the U.S. dollar to secure a massive economic partnership with Trump. This deal would be wide-ranging and include joint oil and natural gas ventures, critical raw material partnerships, plans for American companies to recover past Russian losses and receive better treatment in Russia, and more. If this actually happens, this deal will change the world economy. It has not happened yet, but it's the latest development of 2026. And there's been a lot of talk about the dollar throughout 2025 and coming into 2026 as well, and where we're sitting right now with the SPY, we're only 2.44% away from all-time highs still, but as we can see, today's pullback was pretty crazy. The SPY ended up closing down 1.54% on the day today. Whenever I'm looking at this, Mike, and we go to a daily chart with the SPY, the SPY has been following a critical uptrend lately. But as we can see in the short term, SPY has been very shaky. It's actually failed to retest and break the recent all-time high before these last couple of pullbacks. So what I'm looking for here is a possible shift with the SPY. If we do see some confirmation tomorrow and the jobs data sends the SPY down, watch for this recent double bottom close to 6.76. If we go to like a two-hour chart and we look at the SPY's couple recent drops, there were a couple of really good bounces right around that 6.76 level. Now the SPY did momentarily drop under that and test 6.71 as well. So that 6.70 to 6.71 area will be on range once 6.76 breaks to the downside. But we have to be watching this lower range because we're actually pretty close to it right now. And with that test of the trend today, we could be right there tomorrow or within the next couple trading days. Let's keep a close eye on these levels. In the event the inflation data comes in better than expected tomorrow, what levels are on your radar to the upside? Yeah, the SPY is actually coming right below a couple of very key support levels today. I really like 6.8650 to 6.87. This is going to be a very critical range that I watch for for the SPY tomorrow. If we can see the SPY rip back up through that, I think that it would be a positive sign and we could start to see a good recovery come in. Again, we've seen a lot of shakiness with the SPY, and if it breaks that, I'll be watching 6.90, 6.92, and then of course looking for that recent high from this morning closer to 6.95. Sounds good. But it's also worth being aware of the bad seasonality that we have around this time of year. Tomorrow is going to be Friday the 13th, and it turns out this day in February is pretty rough. It's red 61.5% of the time and it has negative average returns, but we're also in a negative time of the year as well, where specifically the second half of February is when most of the trouble usually happens. Yeah, we can see whenever we start to get to February 15th all the way to the end of the month, we do see a pretty big pullback here in February, and February is a very flat month as well whenever we look at historical returns here. Mike, we also do still have to worry, though, about a possible government shutdown occurring this Saturday. There's still a 97% chance that the shutdown is going to happen, so happy Valentine's Day. Now, this shutdown is only going to affect, though, the Department of Homeland Security. 90% of the DHS is still expected to work without pay until a shutdown is lifted, so it should minimally really affect the public. Good to know, but again, it just adds more risk to this already crazy situation. But, Tom, let's jump right to some setups and predictions. A stock that is close on my radar is still IBM, and it's to the downside. We mentioned this one yesterday, and it had a great continuation lower today. Basically, they're about to acquire ticker symbol CFLT in an $11 billion cash deal. That company is no longer providing guidance, and they're no longer holding a conference call for their earnings. Investors kind of freaked out about this. Plus, when you have the general weakness and panic that we're seeing in the market right now, it just adds to the situation. IBM is still on my bearish radar. I would love to see a breakdown past that 259 level and constant pressure on these lows, and if the inflation data comes in rough as well, that can make this setup even better. In the event where IBM starts to bounce to the upside, then there's no need to force a bearish setup on this stock. That was an amazing move today, Mike. Shout out to you. It fell 4.8% and moved right down from open as well. I love that move today. With another stock that I'm watching the downsides, another stock in the tech sector, AMD. If it breaks under 205, I'll be watching it down. There's a lot of buyers actually stacked up at this 205 level. If we go to Bookmap and we look at the heat map here where the buyers and sellers really are in the market, 205 has around 22,000 shares stacked up at the end of the day today. Notice how between 200 and 205, there's really no real buy walls there. There's very minimal buy walls, of course, at 204, 203, 202, but we see that all the time. If we start to break under 205 tomorrow, I'll be watching for that descent towards $200. Shout out to Bookmap here for the heat map. It's really nice to see where those levels are stacked up. Be careful, though, because if we get to 200, maybe expect a bounce. That's a big psychological level. Sounds good. Another stock that's close on the radar is Apple, and it's also to the downside. It fell by 5% today, and it was the worst performing Mag 7 stock today. Basically, it's reported that its AI-powered Siri upgrade is getting delayed, so that's a pretty rough sign. The price action was horrible. We're seeing general weakness in the market right now as well. Similar to the IBM setup, I want to see the stock put consistent pressure on its flows, and it would be great to see a breakdown past that 260 support. Yeah, 260 is awesome on Apple. They've been doing great in the short term, so that was a huge turnaround here today for them. One stock that isn't turning around right now is McDonald's. Yes, and it's another value stock. McDonald's reported earnings today and really proved to traders that it is the stock to trade in the short term. Between McDonald's and Walmart, Mike, it's hard to pick. I think Walmart might take the cake, but whenever I look at McDonald's, they had a positive earnings report today. They said that they did a pivotal shift towards value for customers, and that has been working out well for them. We know that there's been a lot of traders flocking into these value stocks as well. If McDonald's can break above this, it's almost lining up as a triple top, but the high from pre-market, right around 330, 335, keep watching for another uptrend. Sounds good. Yeah, it's great to see this rally with the value stocks, and it's good to have stocks on your radar that are actually going up in this choppy market environment. Good stuff there. I will keep this one close on watch. Let's jump right into today's momentum plays. With the first one, we have AbbVie, ticker symbol ABVV, to the upside. Yeah, great day for AbbVie today. If they can break the high of day right around 229.10, then watch them up. With the next one, we have Nano Nuclear Energy, ticker symbol NNE, to the downside. Yeah, it closed down over 5% today. If NNE can break under 24.50, then watch it down. With the last one, we have Adobe, ticker symbol ADBE, to the upside. Adobe had a solid end of day recovery today, especially for being a software stock. If it's able to break above 262.65, then watch for an upside continuation. All right, so we have these three stocks on the radar for potential continuations tomorrow, if and only if they break through the levels listed. These stocks are volatile, so you need to protect yourself. Always have stop losses. Always know why you're getting into every trade that you decide to enter, and focus on making smart, disciplined trading decisions. If you need help with that, check out the Key Lessons channel in the Stocked Up Discord. And besides that, let's jump right into today's $1.3 million big money trade. Today, we're looking at ticker symbol XBI. And the trader traded the 133 strike call options for July 17th of 2026. XBI is an ETF that follows biotechnology stocks. It fell a little bit today, like most stocks in the market, but it also held up better than a lot of stocks too. This ETF has done very well over the past year as it has popped up by 37%. The biggest risk to this trade is if it's a covered call. Basically, this trade is a little bit higher risk than normal because the option's out of the money and that makes it lower probability. But in the event XBI does continue its uptrend, the reward can be very nice. Yeah, XBI has been uptrending in a pretty solid way here. Over the shorter term, it did start pulling back a bit. It's going to be testing a very large zone of support. Maybe the big money trader here is looking for a bounce off of this support zone back towards 133, if not even breaking out more. Like you noted, XBI has done very well recently. And I feel like this is just a slight pullback on the overall uptrend. The good news is if we do see, let's say, a continued pullback here, we could see a good risk-reward setup where if we start to break under the 118 support, maybe you start to cut XBI. But in the event that it does rise and start to get towards the money, if not even in the money, you could start to be pushing that to risk-reward, which is pretty solid. There we go. Either way, let's keep it close on watch. If you guys are new to the channel, welcome and consider obliterating that subscribe button. For every single trading day, we post brand new videos just like this one, showcasing multi-million dollar big money trades, SPY levels and analysis, stocks to keep on your radar, upcoming events, earnings, past statistics, and so much more. If you subscribe, you'll get our videos recommended to you more often, so definitely consider doing that. But let's also give a giant shout-out to today's member of the day, Yasir, in the Stocked Up Discord, who made a little bit over $8,000 today. Huge shout-out to you. Keep up the great work going forward. It is awesome to see posts like this one. And if you guys are into short-term trading, check out that first link in the description and the comments down below. Our search bot had a pretty good day today, as the HUD put options popped up by 314%, Netflix put options by 294%, Walmart call options by 292%, Apple put options by 204%, Boeing call options by 186%. The list goes on and on. 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