Mysterious Energy Ceasefire - A Compromise or a Gesture of Goodwill?⚡️🤝 Military Summary 2026.01.29📅

Army Analysis
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9 Video Views·Jan 30, 2026
This video describes the military situation in Ukraine on the 29th of January 2026
AI Generated·May contain errors
Hello my dear friends, you're in the middle of a summery channel and today we will discuss
the situation in Ukraine on the 29th of January of 2026.
Today we have a lot of very interesting updates, so let's start.
And today the most important update and the most important piece of news is a mystic energy
ceasefire.
So why do I call this ceasefire as a mystic?
The thing is that during the previous 24 hours neither pro-Russian sources nor pro-Ukrainian
sources, official sources confirmed the existence of this energy ceasefire.
Furthermore, when talking about the Russian side, for example, today Peskov stated, he
didn't state it, he declined to comment on the alleged agreement between Russia and Ukraine
on an energy ceasefire.
As for pro-Ukrainian sources, almost every single, let's say, media reported about the
situation, and it seems that the Ukrainians didn't expect this ceasefire.
So for example, just yesterday the president of Ukraine, Zelensky, stated that the Russian
army is preparing for a new combined attack.
Intelligence is providing information on this matter.
So as you can see, according to this statement, Zelensky, the Ukrainian armed forces, the
special forces, the intelligence service of Ukraine expected that the Russians would attack
Ukraine in coming days.
But for some reason, starting from this morning of the 29th of January, the Russians began
reporting, pro-Russian sources, unofficial pro-Russian sources began reporting about
this fire.
They're saying that this morning, somewhere at 9 a.m., pro-Russian, Russian forces, rocket
forces, drone forces began receiving updates and orders not to attack objects of energy
infrastructure through the territory of Ukraine.
And let's discuss this in details, because this is a very and a very tricky thing.
I would like to point to attention that, first of all, this is a very tricky thing.
First of all, we need to understand that within the next several days, another meeting between
Russian delegation and the Ukrainian delegation is going to take place on the territory of
the United Arab Emirates.
For example, this was stated and confirmed by Peskov, the upcoming talks in Abu Dhabi
could last two days if necessary, according to the Kremlin.
Other statements from the presidential press secretary.
The modalities of the meeting in Abu Dhabi with Russia's participation will be agreed
upon by February 1.
Peskov declined to comment on the alleged agreement between Russia and Ukraine on an
energy ceasefire and many, many other different things.
First of all, we need to understand that all these statements, all these mystic statements
about energy ceasefire doesn't play any role for the military situation in Ukraine.
So because we need to understand that these two things, like the mystic energy ceasefire
and upcoming talks on the territory of Abu Dhabi, the things are the pieces of the same
puzzle.
I would like to explain to you the situation.
First of all, we need to pay attention not to these energy mystic ceasefire, not to the
statements of authorities and probably not even to the upcoming meeting on the territory
of the United Arab Emirates.
First of all, we need to understand and we need to see the weather forecast because as
of this situation, this is the most important thing.
First of all, we need to see and we need to understand when the temperature in Ukraine
will be the worst and when the temperature in Ukraine will become better.
So according to this picture, starting from the, let's say, 30th of January of 2026, starting
from tomorrow's Friday and until the next Friday, the weather in Ukraine will be very,
very bad and probably the worst thing this year.
But the thing is that the worst bad, so there is like seven days, almost seven days of very
bad weather, but we need to understand that there are four days of the worst days of the
worst days.
And these four days starts right exactly on the 1st of February.
So on the 1st of February, so this means this Sunday, right exactly during talks during
these talks between Russia and Ukraine.
So basically, the thing is that the Russians unofficially today announced about the existence
of these mystic energy ceasefire doesn't change anything because this ceasefire will work
right exactly until the end of talks on the territory of Abu Dhabi, the United Arab Emirates.
So which means that if talks, if these talks finish, probably not in Russian favor, if
during these talks, during this negotiation process, Ukraine will don't accept, Ukraine
doesn't accept demands and from the Russian side, then most likely after these talks finish,
the Russians will carry out massive missile attack with drones and missiles with everything
they can.
And most likely they will deal a critical damage to the entire energy infrastructure
of Ukraine, of the city of Kyiv, of the city of Dnipro, Odessa, Zaporozhye, Lvov and so
on.
And this will happen right before the worst days of the worst days of this year.
So which means that the Russians can start these attacks during the night between the
Sunday, between Sunday of the 1st of February and the Monday of the 2nd of February.
As a result of this attack, the Russians can deal, may deal significant damage to the entire
energy infrastructure and during the next four days, the entire system, the entire energy
system of Ukraine will collapse completely.
So right now you see just a very trick, just a very tricky game from the Russian side,
because we need to understand that this piece of news was currently every single Ukrainian
knows about this.
Every single Ukrainian in every part of Ukraine and not just in Ukraine, but abroad knows
that for some reason the Russians announced a miss success fire.
Which means that obviously this miss success fire could be finished and everything right
now depends on the on the results of talks on the territory of the United Arab Emirates.
And the most important thing that you need to understand that this miss success fire
once again doesn't change anything because the Russians, they didn't plan to attack Ukraine
during this period of time until the end of the of these talks.
The Russians announced this miss energy success fire as if they announced, let's say that
new year comes on the on the 1st of January or this is like the same thing.
It's the same thing as if the Russians announced that Monday will come right after Sunday.
So it's every everybody understand this.
But this announcement, it's like makes people think that now everything depends on Ukraine
and Zelensky himself personally.
And for example, if Russia, let's say, begins attacking Ukraine energy infrastructure and
dealing critical damage to its infrastructure on the night between the Sunday and Monday
between the 1st and the 2nd of February, of course, who is going to be responsible for this?
Obviously, everybody understand that Zelensky will have a personal responsibility for this
because the Russians announced the ceasefire.
And now we see that the Russians attack is attacking, Russia is attacking and everything
is collapsing.
So this is something a very interesting game from the Russian side.
Of course, let's wait and see what is going to be next, because once again, according
to Zelensky statement, he didn't expect this ceasefire.
He expected that the Russian Federation would attack Ukraine before the 1st of February
before talks.
But most likely the Russians will postpone this attack at the end of the negotiation
process, which means that the Russians are giving Zelensky an option to accept the Russia's
demands and not to allow the entire energy infrastructure of Ukraine to be destroyed.
Another important thing, for example, today, the press secretary of Putin, Peskov, also
emphasized that Russia is currently talking about Moscow, not about the United Arab Emirates
as the venue for Putin's meeting with Zelensky.
Again, Peskov stated, he added that Zelensky has not yet responded to the repeated invitation
to Moscow.
So, once again, during this week, the Russians invited Zelensky for two times to visit Russia.
First, the invitation was sent by Ushakov.
So if Zelensky is indeed ready for a meeting, then please, we invite him to Moscow.
Russia is ready to guarantee his security.
The issue of a possible meeting has been raised several times during phone conversations between
the Russian President Trump, Ushakov noted.
So this is the second invitation to Zelensky to visit Moscow and to see and to meet with
Putin face to face and to handle everything and to handle every single issue that the
Russian Federation and Ukraine still have.
But as of the first visit, as of this first, probably, proposal to visit Moscow, as of
the second one, we see that Zelensky ignores these statements and most likely he's not
going to go anywhere.
And of course, if Zelensky goes to Moscow, this is going to be the beginning probably
of even of a capitulation.
So now let's discuss the situation on the ground.
And let's discuss another before moving further.
Let's discuss a few more interesting, let's see, updates.
So this video today was published from one of the power stations from the territory of
the city of Kiev.
This video was published by pro-Russian sources.
And this one, once again, this is one of the power stations on the territory of the city
of Kiev. And the author of this video is saying that this is the reason why there are no
electricity, where there is no electricity and why there are power outages.
Through the capital, through the inside.
So these are the reasons because the power stations were damaged heavily by Russians,
have been damaged heavily by Russians since the beginning of the special military
operation. So this is the first thing.
And now the important thing, and it's not just an important thing.
This is something like a huge panic, a huge problems, problem for Ukrainians.
So this is a grand drone that was flying somewhere above Ukraine.
And as you can see, this drone is flying at a record low attitude, almost 10 meters
from the surface. And the thing is that this drone was guided by, let's say, a person
by a soldier or somebody from the Russian side.
And the most important thing that this drone has a strong connection with the Starlink
system. So this is the main problem for Ukrainians because they used to have
possibilities to suppress these drones with their electronic warfare equipment.
But due to connections, due to use of the Starlink systems, Ukraine lost the
possibilities to suppress drones, which means that their current Russian drones are
much more effective than they used to be.
So this is the situation.
And for example, today, the Minister of Defense of Ukraine stated that the Ukrainian
Minister of Defense is working with SpaceX to block Starlink on Russian drones.
The Ukrainian Minister of Defense, together with SpaceX, is already working to address
the issue of Russian drones using Starlink.
But as of now, they haven't found any solution.
And maybe you know that this is another reason why Ukrainians began talking with
Russians, began probably making some concessions on the matter of the peaceful
settlement, because the Starlink systems with drones, too many drones, missiles, much
faster missiles from the Russian side, attacks on energy infrastructure.
It seems that the picture, the entire picture looks like inevitable.
Anyway, let's wait and see.
The weather forecast gives us a lot of updates and understanding how exactly the
things are going to be developed.
Just let's wait and see.
And now let's discuss the situation on the ground.
And first, let's talk about the Sumy direction.
During the previous 12 hours, the Russians improved their positions significantly.
And first of all, the Russians improved their positions in the most northern part of the
Sumy region. Today, the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation and the Group of
Forces North stated that the Russians, as a result of offensive operation, managed to
establish complete control over the settlement of Bilazora.
So this is the second village in this area that was captured, that has been captured by
Russians since the beginning of this month.
The first one was the village of Kamarevka.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but this village was captured by Russians.
Yes, this village was captured by Russians on the 14th of January.
So, let's say, 15 days later, the Russians managed to improve their positions around
the area and to take another village under control.
So it seems according to this logic, the Russians will continue creating a buffer zone
along the border with Ukraine.
And most likely, these three villages like Sidorovka, Chervona Zarya and Bobylevka would
be the next task for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
The Russians first will try to create a very powerful foothold on the Ukrainian side of
the border. Furthermore, there is a very powerful huge forest and only then most likely
Russians will continue advancing further in the direction of the northern part of Sumy
region. And I would like to remind you that this is a very important site, so this is a
very important launching site because Ukraine is using this territory to attack deep
inside of the territory of the Russian Federation.
If we increase the numbers of updates since the beginning of this month, we'll see lots
of updates, lots of geolocations of how Russians were attacking.
Sometimes trucks with drones, sometimes equipment that Ukrainians were using for
different purposes, sometimes even launching sites with significant number of drones
almost ready to be launched deep inside of the territory of the Russian Federation.
For example, in this video, we can see a launching site that was attacked by Russians.
In this video, we can see that the launching site was already prepared.
And here we can see at least maybe seven or up to 10 positions for, let's say, launching
drones deep inside of the territory of Russia.
But Russians attacked this territory with Iskander missile and the headquarters were
destroyed. So lots of videos are coming from this area, how Ukrainians are trying to
prevent themselves and then to attack deep inside of the territory of Russia.
So that is why the Russians understand that this territory is very important and their
task to force the Ukrainians to move this launching site further in the southwestern
direction as close as possible to the city of Kyiv, to the river of Dnipro, because from
these positions, from this area, the distance to the city of Moscow would be more than
600 kilometers.
And this is a very huge barrier and gap for Ukrainians.
As for the original Sumy direction, during the previous 24 hours, we start receiving
updates from the second defense belt and from the area of the villages of Novosibirsk,
Chumarin. Here we can see how Russians were bombing positions of the armored forces of
Ukraine on the territory of this huge forest.
It seems that the Russians were using not even FAPS, but the heavy sauce flame thrower
system. So it seems that everything is ready to begin advancing in the southern direction
with the purpose to answer this huge Sumy forest and then to keep advancing further in
the southern direction.
Another important area is this most southern part of the Sumy region.
Here we can see that, according to several pro-Russian sources, the Russians managed
to improve their positions significantly around the village of Lukashevka.
But saying the truth, this is not the first time when the Russians entered the village.
Since the beginning of the special military operation, the Russians probably four or five
times entered the village, but later they were forced to fall back from this area under
the pressure of the armored forces of Ukraine.
Because you know that there is a railway, as you can see, between the cities of Sumy
and Kharkiv.
And it seems that right exactly this point, this part, this territory, and this, let's
say, part of Ukraine is the shortest part, where we can see the shortest way to these
railways.
So the Russians may try to advance in this area, trying to get as deep as possible with
the purpose to shorten the distance to these railways, with the purpose to establish complete
anti-pedron control or artillery control, which will allow the Russians to cut this
logistic line, logistic road between the cities of Kharkiv and Sumy.
So everything is possible.
Here we can see just the shortest way for Russians how to get these railways.
As for the northeastern part of Kharkiv region, the Russians during the previous 24 hours
improved their positions significantly along the river Volcha, and the Russians are keeping
advancing.
Furthermore, pro-Ukrainian sources also confirmed that the Russians established complete control
over the northeastern part of the city of Volchansk.
As you can see, we have a very huge gap between, let's say, pro-Ukrainian, neutral, pro-Russian,
and, let's say, pro-Western maps.
And the pro-Ukrainian sources are showing the minimal progress on the ground in this
area in comparison with any other mapper.
The Kupin's direction.
The most important video is coming from the central part.
I would like to remind you that several days ago, the Minister of Defense of the Russian
Federation and the Chief of the General Staff of the Armored Force of the Russian Federation
reported that the city of Kupinsk-Kuzlevoy was completely captured by the Armored Force
of the Russian Federation.
If you remember, I told you that we had doubts about the situation, and we decided to wait
for additional updates to make complete changes.
And today we received updates, but not to make complete changes, but to understand that
most likely the Russians don't have strong control over the territory.
So, this video was published by pro-Ukrainian soldiers and here we can see an Ukrainian
soldier that was talking about the situation in this area.
He was saying that the city of Kupinsk-Kuzlevoy is under complete control of Ukraine.
And this video was geolocated, and this is exactly the place where the Ukrainian soldier
was moving.
So, based on this video, we haven't adjusted anything because this video took place outside
of this red polygon.
But this is another proof that maybe there is still something wrong with this, let's
say, direction and it's better to wait a bit more.
Now let's move further and let's discuss the situation in the Slavyansk direction.
As usually, we are receiving a lot of updates.
The most important updates from the north in Slavyansk direction is coming from the
settlement of Lozovo.
Here we can see lots of attacks carried out by Russians with the drones.
The Russians were destroying vehicles, we can see a huge concentration of forces in
this area and it seems that the Russians are trying to cut the settlement of Korovy Yar
from supply and support.
It seems that the Russians are preparing themselves before the beginning of a major
offensive operation in this direction as well.
Furthermore, the Russians and neutral mappers reported that the Russians improved their
positions around the settlement of Aleksandrovka.
Maybe in the coming days we will receive additional updates from this territory.
As for the eastern Slavyansk direction, we still receive lots of updates of how Russians
were bombing and attacking positions of damaged forces to Ukraine through this territory,
but without changes on the ground.
Maybe the Russians are waiting for better weather, maybe the Russians are waiting for
the end of talks that are going to take place on the 1st of February on the territory of
Abu Dhabi.
As for the Konstantinovka direction, during the previous 24 hours we received lots of
updates and the most important are coming from the southern direction.
First of all, according to pro-Russian sources, the Russians managed to cut in pincers the
settlement of Berestok.
It seems that in the coming days the Russians may try to finish the battle for the territory.
And another important thing is that the Russians began bombing and attacking the city of
Konstantinovka heavily with all means they have.
In this video we can see a very heavy explosion, most likely the Russians discovered something
like a warehouse or ammo depot, because right after this attack we can see a very heavy
explosion, which means that there was something like a secondary detonation.
So too many explosions.
Another important video is coming from the territory a bit further to the north.
Here we can see another very heavy explosion.
As a result of attack, another micro-district was heavily damaged.
So it seems that the Russians are trying to break through Ukrainian defense in this area
with the purpose to improve their positions and to answer the Konstantinovka citadel itself.
In the northern part of the city, we can see that Ukrainians continue sending weapons and
arms in the direction of the city of Konstantinovka, but the Russians control the situation with
the FPV drones and they try to destroy everything that is approaching the city itself, trying to
cut the contingent of the armored forces of Ukraine on the territory of the city from
supply and support.
As for the Dobropolye direction, nothing special.
As for the Zaporozhye direction, nothing special as well.
The Russians continue their offensive operation, trying to get as deep as possible and trying
to break through Ukrainian defense.
But according to the updates we are receiving, it seems that the Ukrainians managed to stabilize
the situation in this area.
And currently, the Ukrainians are not allowing the Russians to move further.
And that's it for today.
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