The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead Because Bonds No Longer Work | Louis Gave
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While much of Wall Street's focus over past recent years has been on the AI hyperscalers, there are an increasing number of seismic developments happening internationally investors need to be aware of.
For example, as a basket, emerging market stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 this year.
And to name just a few others:
1) Japanese bond yields have surged to the highest levels in 20 years, threatening to put an end to the carry trade
2) A US-driven regime change in Venezuela looks imminent
3) China continues to fire its monetary and fiscal bazookas with gusto in attempt to pull itself out of its deep balance sheet recession
4) And in the wake of negotiating a tenuous peace between Isreal and Palestine, renewed efforts are underway to bring an end to the Russia/Ukraine war
Which international trends are the most important for investors to track? What are the biggest risks? And where are the biggest opportunities?
To better understand the situation from a non-US perspective, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Louis Gave, Founding Partner and CEO at Gavekal.
Learn more about Louis’s services at https://gavekal.com/
Or follow him on X at @gave_vincent
#emergingmarkets #inflationhedge #bonds
0:00 - Emerging Markets Outperforming
1:22 - Geopolitical Developments
1:53 - Welcoming Louis Gave
2:29 - Global Economy Assessment
3:55 - Accommodative Monetary Policies
5:02 - Low Energy Prices Boosting Growth
6:23 - Risks to Reflationary Trend
8:16 - Cheap Asian Currencies
10:31 - Interlinked Risks in 2026
12:23 - Allocating to Energy Stocks
13:32 - Energy as Inflation Hedge
15:02 - Precious Metals vs. Energy Ratio
16:19 - Gold as Low Interest Rate Hedge
18:52 - Western Investors in Gold
20:00 - Interest Rates and Gold Flows
23:06 - Asian Currencies as Gold Headwind
24:51 - Silver to Oil Ratio Analysis
27:32 - Energy Prices as Reflation Risk
29:39 - AI Bull Market Phases
36:31 - Policy Response to AI Burst
41:16 - US Deficits and Stimulus
47:01 - Opportunities in Latin America
55:30 - Japanese Bond Yields and Carry Trade
57:54 - US Policy in Latin America
1:01:28 - Bullish on China Allocation
1:02:07 - Russia-Ukraine Peace Impacts
1:04:01 - Odds of EU Survival
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