Kyle Schwarber is back with the Phillies! The Phils land a big fish at the Winter Meetings, so shat does it mean for the team, their window of contention and their ability to add to the MLB roster this winter? Hosts John Stolnis, Justin Klugh and Liz Roscher discuss the Schwarber deal, what's next for Dave Dombrowski and the front office, as well as Rob Thomson's contract extension and the Mets losing closer Edwin Diaz to the Dodgers on Episode 1035 of Hittin' Season, powered by WHYY!
Chapters 00:00 - Kyle Schwarber's Return to Philadelphia 06:00 - The Competition for Schwarber: Reds and Pirates 08:45 - Schwarber's Contract Details and Performance Metrics 11:47 - Impact of Schwarber's Signing on the Team 14:42 - Rob Thomson's Contract Extension 17:56 - Mets' Lose Edwin Diaz, Door Closing? 20:37 - Final Thoughts on the Winter Meetings and Future Moves
from WHYY.
It is hitting season. Hey there podcast
pals. I'm John Stleness from the good
fight. You can follow me on X and Blue
Skyness. Coming up, Emergency Podcast.
We've got a bonus podcast coming your
way here on the oneyear anniversary of
the Phillies signing Jordan Romano to a
free agent contract. So, we are going to
we're going to break down where we were
that night that this all happened one
year ago on the episode of the podcast.
And we will also talk about Kyle
Schwarber staying in Philadelphia. That
of course is the big news out of the
first two days of the winter meetings.
The first major free agent to sign is of
course Schwarber with the Phillies. And
it all it all happened exactly like
everybody said it was going to happen.
It's I think there have been a lot of
people out there trying to create drama
where maybe there really wasn't a whole
lot of drama to begin with in the first
place, including ourselves, you know,
for listens and clicks and downloads and
whatnot. So, it was a it was I think it
was a well spent last month and a half
of podcasting here about Kyle Schwarber,
but he does return to the Phillies.
Signs a free agent deal. The Phillies
confirmed it on Tuesday night. So, we're
going to break it all down. Rob Thompson
also signs a one-year contract extension
through 2027. That was also expected. Uh
we'll talk about that and we will also
talk about why the New York Mets are
having a really, really bad start to the
winter meetings thus far. Still a long
ways to go here in this offseason. So
joining me for this emergency podcast,
my round table co-host Justin Clue and
Liz Rocher, of course. Liz from Sabres
Baseball Research Journal. Follow her on
X and Blue Sky Liz Rocher. Liz, Kyle's
coming home. How we feeling?
>> Pretty good. Pretty good. I think uh
most of us are feeling pretty good,
especially since we all thought this
would happen. And it feels good to be uh
right, but also in this case, it feels
really good to be right because we're
not going to have to hear about it.
>> Yeah.
>> Like it's it's over.
>> He's he's here. He's signed the
contract. It's been confirmed. There
will be probably some kind of press
conference or who knows whatever. But
like, you know, the best part is that
the the I mean, this is obvious I think
it's this is what Schwarber wanted. He's
like, "Listen, Christmas is coming up.
Let me just sign my contract so I can
wrap some gifts for my kids.
>> Right.
>> Also, I think his wife is pregnant or he
has like a new child. One of the two, I
think. And so, like, he's he's busy.
He's a busy man.
>> Yeah, it it see it definitely seemed
like Kyle Schwarber wanted to get this
done sooner rather than later. And it
seemed like the rest of Major League
Baseball wanted this done sooner rather
than later so the floodgates could open
up for some of these other bigname
players to to move around. And that's I
think what we're going to see over these
next few days and weeks now that Kyle
Schwarber has decided to come back to
Philadelphia. Justin Clue from Baseball
Perspectus. Uh he's also the host of a
couple of podcasts over at our
hittingseason Patreon. That's
patreon.com/hittingseason
absolutely hammered and the dirty
inning. And then of course he's also the
author of the fourthcoming book Summer
of the Cheap Wiiers coming out in
February. Justin Kyle Schwarber a
Philadelphia Philly just for the exact
number that I remember you said just a
couple of weeks ago. Five years, $150
million.
>> I got that one and I got the Harper four
home run night. And that's it, folks.
Those are two pretty good ones. Uh, and
there were other, many other guesses,
but still. Um, I know we're going to
talk about the Mets. Uh, I do want to
spend a minute talking about another
team that was involved in the Kyle
Schwarber sweep stakes, but I kind of
want to talk about the extent to which
they were involved. Uh you you got the
small list of other other teams that had
sent in offers to Kyle Schwarber. One of
them was the Cincinnati Reds whose
proposal was in the $125 million $125
million range. Uh but they were open to
it going up blah blah blah. The point is
this was the team that was like the
other team kind of by default because
you know they tried to openly seduce
Schwarber at uh the Red Stadium. Go
ahead, John. Yeah, I was gonna say
Schwarber allegedly visited Cincinnati
over the last few weeks. Visited the
Red's organization.
>> Yes. Uh so that was uh you know and the
whole that's where he's from. He's from
Middletown. They wanted to bring him
home. Blah blah. Oh yes. Very scary.
They were going to seduce him to Ohio
with promises of it being close to where
he was from. Okay. No one's ever been
there before.
>> I've lived I've lived in that I've been
to Cincinnati a number of times. I I
mean I'm sure he likes it. Charm City.
>> He's No, he's lived I mean, yeah, but
whatever. Sorry. It's Queen City or who
knows. Queen City. Yeah, the Queen City.
The
>> Queen City means nothing.
>> No, it means it means nothing. And
here's the thing. KL Barber has been to
other places now. He's been to Los
Angeles, New York. He lives in
Philadelphia. Like, he knows what a real
city is, and Cincinnati just ain't it.
Well, I think that's more than
appropriate sentiment to have because in
Ken Rosenthal's write up, he said that
the the Reds offer uh to Schwarber was
tied to their belief that his addition
to the team would help drive ticket
sales. They were not expected to pursue
other expensive free agents. Mark
Feinand of MLB.com wrote, "Shwabber was
a perfect fit for both for both the Reds
and Pirates lineups. I don't see the
Reds pursuing any of the major free
agents out there at this point.
>> As Lauren from the Batting Around
podcast put it, why would you ever ever
ever let a statement like that get out
to the press? That is pathetic on the
part of the Cincinnati Reds.
>> Yep.
>> That's rough. Uh the fan base can't feel
too good about that. I mean, they put
all their eggs in the Kyle Schwarber
basket apparently. It is interesting.
You you mean to tell me like none of the
other players out there are worth 5
years and 150 more?
>> They're not even really
>> they're not getting credited for setting
the ground right to to keep Ellie de la
Cruz in in Cincinnati,
>> right?
>> This was they would have gotten
Schwarber sold jerseys and been like
that's it, you know, that's baseball.
Pathetic.
>> Yeah, there was one team that did offer
Kyle Schwarber the same amount of money
as the Phillies. The Baltimore Orioles
were the other high team. They offered
five and 150. Uh Matt Gelb of The
Athletic reported that Schwarber
received that offer and went back to the
Phillies on Monday night. He had given
the Phillies the the the right and the
courtesy to match any offer and
essentially told them match match any
offer and I'm I'm coming back to
Philadelphia. And so that's what the
Phillies did. The Phillies matched the
5150 from the Orioles and Kyle Schwarber
said where do I sign? Uh the Reds were
the next closest at 5125. And the
Pirates offer was a real offer. I mean
four four years for $120 million. That's
$30 million average annual value.
exactly what the Phillies are are giving
Kyle Schwarber just for one less year.
They weren't willing to go the fifth
year. Um so I I but I mean again the the
Pirates were real,
>> you know, agree. Okay.
>> I don't think it was a real offer
because it was an offer to play for the
Pirates.
>> I think that uh that would mean more to
Schwarber and and everything that comes
with that would mean more to Schwarber.
Yeah, they I mean the way they pitched
it again according to Gelb was you get
to p work uh you you'll be basically
working in a lineup with with um with
Paul Ske, you know, the best pitcher
basically the best pitcher in baseball
and the number one prospect who's going
to be coming up and making uh his mark
next year. Uh and you're going to be
leading this new wave of of Pirates
baseball. Clearly not not the pitch that
sold Kyle Schwarber. And
>> I don't know, man. You're going to be
you're going to be coaching Paul skins
in the part of his career that will will
one day be known as the pre Yankee days
and nothing else
>> or the pre whatever days because he's
one of the players that I've heard is
just I does not is so unhappy there
is split in the moment he can.
>> Yeah.
>> Like the idea that that's a draw for
anyone to stay there long term just
doesn't have a brain,
>> right?
>> Because they they can't think ahead.
And we we had heard also about the Mets
interest in Kyle Schwarber. Uh reports
from uh Michael Marino that the Mets
submitted an offer in the three-year
$120 million range for
>> not an offer.
>> Also 20 million a year but for only
three years. So uh I said it's unclear
if that was a final offer.
>> That's we wanted to be mentioned money.
>> Yeah. Yeah. So all told, the Philly's
investment in Kyle Schwarber, when you
think about his first contract and now
his second contract will be $229 million
over nine years. You have the 5-year 150
and then the fiveyear uh the four-year
$79 million deal he signed in 2022. I I
mean it's it's absolutely incredible
that he's nearly doubled the money in
this contract that he got from the the
last contract when he was four years
younger coming to Philadelphia. But um
one of the things that you've been
seeing online, but a number of different
places, is why the Phillies feel good
about him signing through his age 37
season is that he appears to be defying
age. He appears to all of the metrics
back up the fact that there's reason to
believe Kyle Schwarber is not going to
is there's not going to be a big
downfall with him as he ages into his
30s. The bat speed, uh the barrel rate,
the fact he's hitting he's improved
against left-handers. Um he's making
more contact in the strike zone. And
when you look at his ranks since joining
the Phillies, where he ranks in Major
League Baseball in some of these
categories, he's second in home runs,
210 career home runs, uh, home runs with
the Phillies, fourth in RBI's, fifth in
runs scored, fourth in walk rate, 10th
in slugging, 15th in OPS, and since
2024, his OPS plus is eighth best in
baseball. So, um, I I don't know. I
mean, just uh, we we've been talking a
lot about Kyle Schwarber. I think we all
wanted this. Justin, what was your
initial reaction, initial feeling?
Because I think, you know, there was
also some arguments to be made that
maybe the offseason would be a little
bit more interesting if Schwarber went
somewhere else. But at the end of the
day, I I found myself not wanting that
to happen and wanting him to come back
to Philadelphia, even if that means they
largely run it.
>> It definitely would have been more
interesting, but interesting isn't, you
know, in fact, it's rarely a positive
term when it's talking about your team's
off season. Uh I this felt natural. You
know, that that's that's ultimately the
term I'm going for here. I never thought
he was going anywhere else. So, I can't
say I felt like relieved because I was
never very stressed that he was going to
go anywhere else. Um, Natural just kind
of feels like this was this was pretty
much destined to happen based on
everyone's reporting. Every story that
came out about him going somewhere else
was just like, you know, a a thought
exercise done for fun.
>> Um, Schwarber, I mean, you know, a DH
who can't play outfield, that's not a
player who gets paid the way that Kyle
Schwarber is getting paid. That's not a
guy who who gets to play this role. But
here Schwarber is doing it. And as MLB
trade rumors pointed out, he gets the
biggest guarantee for any free agent
aged 33 or older since Josh Donaldson
got a $92 million deal with the Twins.
And he was still playing aly at third
base at that time. And Schwarber, yeah,
blows that out of the water. So, you
know, uh yeah, I know you mentioned the
Mets. I I I we don't have to go in all
the way here. Uh but I did want to
mention that uh Stephen A. Smith said it
was a horrible day for the New York Mets
in his by annual segment in which he's
forced to talk about baseball, something
no one wants and even fewer people asked
for. Uh certainly not him. He called he
called David Sterns a cheap dude who
doesn't care about winning, which tells
you he really, you know,
>> pays attention. really shuts shuts me up
when he got that he had handed that note
right before going on the air. Uh and
then he said that Kyle Schwarber is
underpaid as he read the baseball
reference page stats someone printed out
for him. But yeah, he said he thought
Kyle Schwarber actually deserved more.
So, baseball expert Stephen A. Smith
totally on his his home, you know, his
home paper Phillies side there. Uh but I
did I want to mention let's all just
enjoy the immediate impact as we always
do with Kyle Schwarber in every term uh
of this deal. Not any inevitable future
issues with the Kyle Schwarber contract.
I can't wait for people who are happy
today to perch up on their roosts and
wait and wait and wait for the first
week to go by without Kyle Schwarber
hitting a home run so they can ask, "Is
this the end? Are the Phillies STRUCK
WITH AN WITH AN ALBATROSS CONTRACT?"
LONG-TERM DEALS, they fill the heart and
poison the mind. But I would say today
we can just be happy that a deal like
this exists because it means Kyle
Schwarber will be here tomorrow. And
that's what we wanted the deal to do.
>> Yeah. Liz, what was your thoughts and
and feelings when uh when Schwarber
resigned? What does it mean for this
team here in 2026 moving forward, both
on the field and off the field? Because
he's obviously a huge clubhouse
presence. That's one of the major
reasons why some of these other teams
were pursuing a DH only player entering
his mid-30s with such aggressiveness.
>> I felt some relief, but only in the way
that only in that it the deal was done.
I didn't think he was going anywhere. My
stress was mostly related to just get it
done. You know, I he obviously wants it
done. We all want it done. Just do it.
And they did it. they just sort of did
it on the, you know, one of the first
days they could. So, I was relieved that
they got it out of the way early. And I
mean, for the team, it means everything.
Despite the number of high paid players
on this team, I there aren't a lot of
leaders. Like, there aren't a lot of
guys who come across as vocal leaders.
Like, Aaron, not really. Um, Bryce
Harper doesn't always seem like the most
vocal. I mean,
>> blood filled.
>> Yeah.
Sometimes it's just missing a little bit
of blood. Sometimes it just he's got
>> a lot of blood getting to it. You know
what I mean? Sometimes, you know,
>> hey, you know what? We said the Phillies
needed some new blood going into 2026.
>> You know what? He's making that happen
for us.
>> It's not new blood. It's just recycled
blood. But, you know, regardless, I I
think uh I think it's recycled blood in
in a number of different cases. you
know, adopt don't adopt don't shop,
John. All right.
>> We're still a step away from him being,
you know, getting an infusion of someone
else's blood, which is something that
you can do. Uh, which is something like
there's the this dude out there who's
trying to defeat the aging process and
he does that. Uh, so let's just
>> I shouldn't I shouldn't have brought it
up.
>> No, no, we're not going to say let's
keep an eye on that.
>> I'm just saying let's keep an eye on
that. Not Kyle Schwarber. We're talking
about Kyle Schwarber one. It's just
normal.
>> It's his own. He's staying in his body.
>> Tell us about the warm teddy bear
feelings you got when news of the Kyle
Schwarber signing broke.
>> I was embraced by the the warm thoughts
of his benevolent presence over the
Phillies clubhouse.
>> There you go. because there is a because
now we know there's a dude in there who
just seems like a
>> not a father figure just a big brother
you know he's got major big brother
energy you know he can have fun he could
you know enjoy things but he also was
stern like hey guys you know be a little
quieter you're going to disturb the
upstairs neighbors
>> I'm going to wake up the baby
>> everyone goes a but they listen to him
because you know he's a big brother and
he isn't making them leave. He's not
making them shut up all the way and
leave. He's got that power. And I you
sense that in Kyle Schwarber.
>> To me, this contract and the way they've
gone about it and and how much the
Phillies wanted to bring him back tells
me this is Kyle Schwarber's team now
more than it's anybody else's team on
the Phillies. More than Bryce Harper,
more than Zack Wheeler, more than Trey
Turner, who whoever else. this Kyle
Schwarber is the face. I think I would
even say I think he's become the face of
the Phillies. I I I really do at at this
point. Maybe Bryce Harper with a monster
season this year takes some of that back
and and or maybe he doesn't want to. I I
don't don't really care either way. Um I
but I I will say that I think that this
team feels to me like Kyle Schwarber is
the heartbeat of the team. We've been
saying that all year and they got their
heartbeat back. He's this is he's the
face of the team right now. He's the
heart and soul of this is his team. Uh
and until Bryce Harper takes it back and
in a good way by having a really
productive season and by being a a
monster impact on a more regular basis
in 2026, which is what we all hope. This
is going to be Bryce Harper's team. And
that's not a shot at Harper. If he, you
know, if he's listening to this, it's
not I'm not trying to not trying to call
him out or anything.
>> Please don't make Scott Boris release a
statement towards us. We are it's not
that kind of situation. Plus, he seems
very busy.
>> I I still believe in the Harper. I
really do. I I believe So, here's my
next question with Kyle Schwarber. He is
at 340 career home runs, guys. If he
averages 32 home runs a season over the
five years of this contract, he will get
to 500 career home runs. So, Liz, what
are the odds he does that? averaging 32
a season over these next five years gets
him to 500 home runs. And obviously that
can come with uh more home runs earlier
than than later. I think he's got a I
think he's going to do it. I mean, I
don't know if I'd call it a lock, but I
mean
>> I think he's got more than a fighting
chance of of doing that. I mean, I think
it's tough given the possibility of
injuries as you get older. That's just
something that happens. I mean, but
there's a better chance of him not
getting injured because uh what he does
is swing a bat and run the bases. He
doesn't do anything else. And that's the
purpose of the DH and that's why he's
perfect. He's perfect for that role.
>> Yeah, Justin, what do you think, man?
>> Yeah, I I would totally agree. I mean,
this is part of why you can make
arguments like he's getting better and
let's invest 5 years in a guy who will
be 37 by the end. like you worry a lot
less than you do about somebody like an
ex guy that they are going to be in all
likelihood trying to bring back. Uh
somebody who um you know plays has has
carved out this key role without even
playing one of the positions that's
considered a key position. Uh he happens
to be you know at a time when the
Phillies have decidedly needed power
hitting. He has decided he can be like,
you know, the most premier power hitter
of a generation and be the runner up in
uh MVP balloting by being a guy who
doesn't play a defensive position. A guy
who can win the all-star game MVP
without having a position or an at bat
in the game. I mean, this is a rare,
we've said this in every summation of of
Kyle Schwarp, this is a rare rare talent
and a rare guy. And so when you have the
chance to lock that up, you do that.
>> Well, the Phillies,
>> you want him to end his career as the
Philly if possible.
>> I mean, and I imagine that is probably
what will end up happening here. Um,
>> and and what a statement it is about the
Phillies, like you kind of hinted at,
John, that this is a place where guys
like Cal Schwarber want to presumably
end their careers.
>> Yeah, it says something that that he
gave the Phillies the opportunity to to
match. She He's obviously fallen in love
with this place, with this team, with
these players, with the city, you know,
and that's a really you it's it's hard
to put a price tag on that.
>> Yeah,
>> it helps. It helps.
>> It does help. It does help. It does
help. And I think there's also the
unfinished business, you know? I I
really do. He's a consc He strikes me as
like a conscientious guy who wants to
finish the job. And, you know, it's I
think it was Travis Saltic. I I saw did
an article where he talked about some of
the the metrics about how Schwarber will
age and all that kind of stuff. And you
look at his average exit velocity, 94
miles an hour. Um he had the second best
max velocity of his career at 117 miles
an hour. Um in the three years of
tracking data, Schwber ranks in the 98th
or 99th percentile in average bat speed
these last three seasons. Um he's
improved in his ability to pull balls in
the air nearly every year since 2020.
And that's a skill that actually gets
better as you get older, just generally.
And he had one stat since 1990.
Schwarber, who had a 150 OPS+ in 2025.
That's 50% better than the league
average hitter, is one of 10 primary
designated hitters since 1990 to have an
OPS plus of at least 120 in his age 32
season. I mean, some of these names,
Edgar Martinez, Frank Thomas, Harold
Baines, uh there's some other guys in
here. David Ortiz, uh there's a couple
other Jock Peterson, Travis Hafner,
Marcelo Zuna. So, there's a bunch of
different names in there, but for those
players, Martinez, Thomas Baines, and
Ortiz are in the Hall of Fame. So, you
can have guys like this sustain their
power as they get into their 30s. Uh
especially when you have all these other
batted ball metrics like the Phillies
have on Kyle Schwarber. Um, I I think
that's um, you know, it just made all
the sense in the world for him to come
back. It made more sense for him to
return to Philadelphia than to go
anywhere else. And that is what ends up
happening. Any other thoughts on
Schwarber, guys?
>> Someday we're going to watch Kyle
Schwarber hit his last home run for the
Phillies. And uh, before then, there's
going to be a ton of them that are
meaningful and far and long. And we all
know what a Kyle Schwarber home run
feels like at this point. And it is a
hug that goes 400 ft in the air. And
that alone and the moments it will
provide and the accolades it could
potentially provide are again what make
this a I think I'm willing to say this
is a universally praised move by the
Phillies despite its lack of surprise. I
don't even see anybody unlike someone
else who got extended today. I don't see
anybody even trying to be a sort of
contrarian or fight the other angle on
the Kyle on the Kyle Schwarber extension
or contract. I
>> I've seen a couple here and there, but
they're all the people who just wanted
to blow the team up uh and and don't
they think resigning Schwarber there
there's I and I've seen some
>> What are they saying that players get
worse in their age 37 season?
>> Impossible. And yeah, I mean there's
that there is that I mean that's a
calculated risk that you run and and
there are people who just didn't want to
sign a guy his age to a contract that
long for that kind of money. And
>> and it's hard to say that that's not
true since the last generation of
players we watched get to that point.
>> Of course it's true.
>> Did exactly that. But this I mean this
is a slightly different generation.
These guys have been doing different
things. I mean, they're not I mean,
their version of wearing those remember
those those weird ne fighting necklaces,
those weird like magnetic necklaces they
all wore for a while, you know, those
were like little things to I completely
lost my train of thought. I'm so sorry.
>> No, that that players nowadays they
train better. They have they have, you
know, the
>> Yes, thank you. They train better
>> and they're like that's it. They're
they're not depending on weird
pseudocience
for the most part um to improve
themselves, you know. You know, there's
a lot of like things.
>> There's a whole department at almost
every team now that's just about
biomechanics
and helping them improve their motion.
And you know that's a lot of the things
that are being used on them now are not
things that old that players from the
previous generation had. And so we're
going to sort of see what effect that
has on players like Bryce Harper and
Kyle Schwarber, Ray Turner. These are
all guys who have benefited in some way
or another from like the modern, you
know, modern medicine in sports. And so
I'm kind of eager to see how this I mean
everyone is, but I'm really eager to see
how this turns out in a positive way
because I'm hopeful that these things
make a difference in some way or
another.
>> Plus, Hogyfest is Schwarberfest for the
next 5 years. That's
>> there we go. Reason
>> we should have led with.
>> So tremendous tremendous signing by the
Phillies to bring Kyle Schwarber back
home. Now what what's next? Todd Zeleki
reported um not really reported but you
wrote that the attention turns to
catcher JT Real Muto. Dave Neowski
expressed optimism that Real Muto could
return this could return as well. Maybe
not this week but um he says if Real
Muto signs the Phillies figure to
continue to tweak the lineup possibly by
trading talent from the 26-man roster.
Uh hello Alec Bow. Hi Matt Strom. source
said last month that if the Phillies
bring back both Schwarber and Real Muto,
they are unlikely to pursue other pricey
free agents on the market like Kyle
Tucker, Alex Bregman, and Bo Bette. Not
surprising. Scott Lawber noted that um
if you include Schwarber, the Phillies
have $211 million committed to 12
players in 2026. Seven players are
projected to make a total of $43 million
in arbitration. You add in pre-arb
deals, bonuses, benefits, etc., and
their CBT payroll, their uh their their
tax payroll is about $285 million right
now before any other moves. And that's
before Real Muto comes on board. Let's
say Real Muto signs for 15 mil a season,
you're at 300. So, if you're going to
stick right around where you were last
year at 310, $315 million, it only gives
you 10 or $15 million extra dollars to
play with here in 2025, unless you move
Bow's number off and Stum's number off
and anybody else uh that you can that
you can shed from the roster if you want
to continue to make some moves. All
right, the other piece of Phillies news
that came down, the Phillies extend Rob
Thompson. This is not really a a sign
that the Phillies are committed to Rob
Thompson for a long time. What this does
is effectively prevents him from being a
lame duck manager here in 2026. They've
done this the last couple of years with
Rob Thompson. Um at least they did it
last year, a one-year extension. Um that
uh basically just gives him a little bit
more security. So he is signed now
through the 2027 season. A career 346
and 251 career record as Philly's
manager.
We all remember Tahim taking over in
2022 for a 22 and 29 Phillies team that
ended up going 65 and 46 over the final
four and a half months. He has improved
the team's win total each of the last
four seasons in the regular season, 87,
90, 95, and 96 last year, winning the NL
East by 13 games over the New York Mets.
Todd Zlei noted Thompson has led the
Phillies to the second most wins in
baseball since he was hired. and his 580
career regular season winning percentage
is also second uh in baseball since he
was hired behind only the Dodgers and
Dave Roberts. It is uh at 580 winning
percentage is tops in Philly's history
and third among 20 managers all time
with at least 315 games managed. Only
Charlie Manuel has a higher uh win loss
ratio than uh than Rob Thompson in his
in his career. So,
I know there's people out there, Justin,
you mentioned just a second ago that uh
when the Rob Thompson news came down, it
was less uniformly and universally loved
by the Phillies fan base because, you
know, I think, as I remember back on the
playoffs this last year, Rob Thompson
did not have a great series against the
Dodgers. A lot of his moves didn't work.
And that's on the players as well for
execution and whatnot. But, uh, Rob
Thompson the last few October has made
some high-profile mistakes. It doesn't
mean I don't think he's done everything
wrong and the players certainly have not
come through, but I think that's been
leaving a sour taste in Philly's fans
mouths is some playoff missteps by Rob
Thompson. But all that being said, he
has been I think one thing you can say
about Rob Thompson, he's an outstanding
regular season manager and I think
that's what the Phillies are banking on
here.
>> Sure. I mean, this was a great extension
for people who love to say, "I told you
so." because they will say it with the
first excuse they feel they have to say
it. But I think Rob Thompson himself is
in the only place he even wants to be
managing right now. Remember, he was
going to retire after 2022. Now he will
manage through 2027. That doesn't happen
unless he wants it to. So on the
Thompson ends of end of things, he is in
the right place. and everything we've
heard about his relationship with the
players except for one of them. It
sounds like very few of them except for
one of them want him to be here. Is he
the best fit for team chemistry? I think
unar unarguably yes. Is he the best fit
for a team to win the World Series?
Look, you don't hire a manager to win
you the World Series. You hire a manager
for the same reason you hire every
member of your organization from the
superstar player to the ticket takers
because you believe on some level they
give you a better chance to win the
World Series. And I don't think there's
a manager they could have hired who'd
give the Phillies a better chance to win
a World Series than Rob Thompson. And
for anybody who's down on him and ready
to pin the failure of 2026 on him by the
end of April, look, if you're if you let
a guy whose team became a playoff
caliber team, not the season he took
over, but the instant he took over and
remained one the entire time he was
their manager. I'm not sure you're
legally allowed to let that guy go, to
let that guy be a lame duck, even if his
bullpen decisions cost the team wins or
his player first approaches to a fault.
You know, at times, you know, my biggest
complaint about Rob Thompson, he still
seems to be getting his strategic legs
under him, which you're like, you have
so much experience, man. I'm not sure
I'm not sure it should feel like that.
But my favorite thing about him is that
that part of him seems to be the part he
struggles with the most. He does
everything else the manager needs to do
pretty much without even having to think
about it. You can win a World Series
with that manager. He might cost you
one. He might cost you more than one,
but you can win with him. And the
opportunity to swap him out for a guy
who is an even more perfect fit doesn't
exist. So, I challenge you to name
someone who' be better at managing these
Phillies in 2025 than the guy who's been
managing them uh as a playoff team since
the second he got here and never
stopped. You know, you can you can give
the credits the give the player that
players the credit for that too, but
like Rob Thompson has overseen a very
successful four years in Philadelphia
and that's not because it's not he he
doesn't get no credit for that. And if
if he costs you a World Series, it means
you made it to the World Series. If he
costs you, you know, a playoff series
win for whatever reason, you did make it
there and he is part of the reason. So,
it was worth remembering that at least
for the, you know, the handful of voices
who are angry about this, you know, cuz
he frustrates all of us. But just like
you said, Justin, by and large, he's the
best guy for the team. He wants to be
here. the players want him here. You
know, the players who will be in the
clubhouse next season most likely uh
they will want him here. So, yeah, like
there this is a a nononsense decision.
The Phillies pretty much had to do it.
And at this point, I think if they
wanted to let him go, they're not going
to do it in the middle of the season.
They'll wait till the end of the season
and let him retire,
>> right? And that's what would happen. He
would he would retire. Um the Phillies
would let him know, we're not going to
add another year next off season and and
that would be it. And I think um that's
why I think it's interesting Don
Mattingley appears to be ready to join
the team as the Phillies bench coach. It
would seem that um if there is an
offramp that Don Maddingley would would
be an an option there would be somebody
that you would that would make a little
bit of sense. But I don't think anybody
is thinking that way. I think um you
know I think I I'd be I'll be very
interested to see um if any of the
decision-m uh is a little bit different
with an experienced manager and bench
coach kind of sitting with Rob Thompson
in the dugout a little bit. You know, I
I don't know. I mean, Don Mattingley's
he never won anything. I mean, he's been
to the playoffs a few times, but you
know, he never won a World Series as a
manager. So, um it's not like they're
bringing on some kind of like two-time
World Series champion to um put the heat
on on on Rob Thompson. You could argue
Rob Thompson's had just as much
managerial success as Don Mattingley has
had based off of all the times he's gone
to the playoffs. So, um, but I do think,
you know, Yeah. Go ahead.
>> No, not not a real thought. Uh, just
from Gerardi to Thompson to a couple of
Matting Leadings, the Phillies are a
very Yankees organization uh in their
leadership roles the past era.
>> That's true. Um, all right. So, I mean,
and again, if they were going to let Rob
Thompson go, they would have done it
right after the season. So, the fact
they didn't makes this not surprising
news that they've added a one an extra
year to Rob Thompson's contract. So, um
just worth mentioning. He wasn't going
to go anywhere anyway. Uh and now this
just gives him a little bit more job
security here for for 2026.
>> So, you all know all that stuff we were
talking about was always going to
happen.
>> Yep.
>> So, that's that was forget everything
you heard the past couple of weeks. This
was the only way this is going to end.
>> No one's ever gonna go back and listen
to those guys. No one's going back.
>> Any any intrigue you hear is completely
manufactured. Go ahead, John.
>> Totally made up. Totally made up. Uh
last thing uh and we'll do this uh real
quick. Only one other big uh signing so
far here as of Tuesday night. The
Dodgers signed Edwin Diaz, former Mets
closer that going to the Dodgers on a
three-year $69 million deal. Now, the
Mets have already signed Devin Williams
uh to be a late inning option for them,
and I think that they were believing
that they would also be able to bring
Edwin Diaz back to the team to continue
on as their closer, but he is not coming
back. Instead, going to LA on a
three-year $69 million deal. Uh the Mets
were also said to kind of be sniffing
around the Kyle Schwarber uh area and
they they apparently made a de made a
contract offer but losing out on
Schwarber and losing Edwin Diaz. It
seems like they had the rug pulled out
from under them uh in this with the
Edwin Diaz signing. Bad day for the
Mets. You hate to see it here this early
in the offse. Oh, you do. It's just it's
it's a heartbreaking scene. Um, but
yeah, Justin, it it really did seem like
they thought they were gonna have a
chance to bring him back and he was just
like, "Nope, I'm gone."
>> The Mets went out of their way to say
after signing Devin Williams that like,
"Oh, we still consider it possible to
bring back Edwin Diaz as well." I mean,
we talked about that being in a position
of power on Absolutely Hammered, talking
about how the Mets were viewing it as
like, look, worst case scenario, we have
Devin Williams. So, you know, maybe I I
I think it was on I think it was on the
record that yeah, they were interested
in bringing Diaz back. This wasn't just
like a okay well whatever kind of
situation. And according to New York
Daily News Mets beat writer Abby
Mstraio, Edwin Diaz was also interested
in coming back to the Mets at one point.
So I thought a the thought that came
into my mind immediately was the from 30
Rock when Tracy Morgan takes the leash
off his dog for the first time and it
runs away and he goes, "Boy, he he did
not want to live here." And that's what
it kind of seems like here. Edwin Diaz
just took off for Los Angeles as soon as
he was free of the Mets. Uh you're going
to hear those within Mets circles of
support say that well if the Mets had
wanted to keep him, they would have kept
him. I disagree. I think we have a
pretty good idea of how happy a place
the Mets locker room is right now. And I
think choosing to get away from it in
free agency makes total sense on its,
you know, even if you're getting offered
similar pay. I think a guy who's like,
"Yeah, I mean, if I can get good money
somewhere else, I'll choose somewhere
else." The Mets have money. Sure. You
know, that's what we were scared of when
Steve Cohen took over. Unlimited money,
but there's no reason to credit them
with some sort of magical loving
environment or positive baseball
experience because apparently they can't
really offer you that. And honestly,
this might be kind of the end of these
Mets. Nemo is gone. Diaz is gone. They
just put David Peterson on the market or
at least said he was available for
trades. I don't think Peter Lonzo's
coming back. I hope I think Peter Lonzo
is going to like Baltimore or something.
>> I I think the I think these Mets as we
know them are kind of unraveling.
>> I mean, Juan Sodto is still there, but
Francisco Lindor is getting a little bit
older. You're running out of his prime.
It could be. Could be. And you got these
young Bets pitchers. We'll see. We'll
see. But you're definitely right. It's a
changing team. It's going to be a very
It's going to be a different looking
team. That's a team that's doing things
that's doing things differently and not
on purpose in in a couple different
cases here.
>> I would honestly say those four guys I
mentioned, if all four of them aren't
there anymore, that is a new era of of
Mets baseball on it own.
>> I think that's fair. Um, all right,
guys. Any final thoughts uh before we
wrap up? Liz, uh any anything to to to
any any leftovers uh from from the first
couple days of the winter meetings to
talk about before we uh get out of here?
For final thoughts?
>> Sure. Uh, the fall 2025 baseball
research journal has been published.
It's my first issue. It, uh, is hitting
mailboxes later this week and early next
week. Uh, if you are a member of the
Society for Maker and Baseball Research,
or if you're my parents, uh, you'll be
receiving a copy of that in the mail.
>> Uh, if you'd like to purchase it, you
can go to saber.org/publications.
Uh you can publish the you can purchase
the ebook um and you can find articles
on there starting next week.
>> And just a reminder folks for those who
don't know sabbr.org
um for Society for American Baseball
Research. Uh Justin, final thoughts? I
don't know how much of a joke you think
it is, but I think it's not one at all
that the Pope definitely finagled the
MLB draft lottery to allow the Chicago
White Socks to come out on top. I think
that's I years from now when you're
talking about what conspiracy theories
do you think are real? 100% convinced. I
have no evidence. I have the same
evidence you have, but I'm I'm 100%
convinced.
>> The Phillies will of course be uh I
believe not picking in the first round.
So that's correct.
>> Not really news for us other than, you
know, the implications of the conspiracy
that I just unraveled for all of
>> Listen, the only thing I have to say is
that the Catholics are back in charge
there. The American Catholics now have a
voice. And in that I was born Catholic
and got pretty much all the sacraments
and am no longer practicing, I still
care about that deeply.
Well, good on the Pope to do what needed
to be done for the Chicago White Socks.
>> Really, no one else could have stepped
in for the White Socks.
>> I mean, there is one other thing he can
do for the White Socks
>> regarding their owner, but I don't think
the I don't think the Almighty has given
the Pope uh clearance to kill at will,
unfortunately. So,
>> man, the podcast took a dark turn here
on the Kyle Schwarber emergency pod.
I'll tell you what,
>> can we find that? Can we find that out
for the next one?
>> I'd actually like to know if the pope
has has a license to kill.
>> Check on the bylaws, but
>> I could do that for you. I know where to
look.
>> I mean, I think it depends on the
dascese, but you know, we'll just we'll
we'll let that hang until we until we
meet again. Um, not expecting any more
huge news for the Phillies here at at
the winter meetings, but if something
else big happens, some combination of
people will uh we'll be back to uh to
break it all down for you. And if not,
until then, we will we'll talk to you at
the next round table um at the end of
the weekend uh to uh discuss what we
what we learned uh from this week here
uh with the uh winter meetings in
Orlando. Um, just a reminder folks that
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