留置！系在政商大佬脖子上的繩索｜從王健林馬雲到中產偽中產无一幸免｜民企從繁榮到衰敗｜孫大午悲劇｜（20250818第703期） #財經觀察

關於汪林朋的死 About Wang Linpeng’s death 小平也提到留置的問題 Xiaoping also mentioned the issue of detention 但我覺得不是單純留置的問題 But I think it’s not just about detention 而是現在中國的民營企業家也好 It’s that private entrepreneurs in China now 還有中國的政府官員也好 And even government officials 現在普遍面臨一個根本沒有法的問題 All face the reality that the rule of law doesn’t really exist 我們講了中國的法律條文是很多的 On paper, China has many legal codes 如果把條文擺出來的話 If you lay them out 大家還是有安全感的 People might feel reassured 但是我們要知道 But we need to realize 這些條文跟中共的普通人 These codes, for ordinary people in the CCP 或者說跟中共的權貴 Or even the elite within it 現在都已經沒什麼關係了 No longer really apply 而且現在是想抓誰就抓誰 Now they arrest whoever they want 想留置誰就留置誰 And detain whoever they want 每一個人在習時代都是戰戰兢兢如履薄冰 Everyone in Xi’s era lives in constant fear 哪怕是習近平的親戚 Even Xi Jinping’s relatives 現在都已經失去了安全感 Have lost any sense of security 每一個人在習近平的時代 In Xi’s time, everyone 都有可能受到清算 Could face political retribution 過去我們講習近平上來之後 We used to say after Xi came to power 只是對付他的政敵 He only targeted his political enemies 也就是江胡時代留下來的遺老遺少 Mainly the old guard from the Jiang and Hu eras 但是現在我們大家看得到 But now we can all see 連習近平當初親自挑選親自提拔 Even those Xi himself once chose and promoted 這些親信基本上都已經沒有任何安全感 These confidants no longer feel safe 據我瞭解他的親信現在在他面前說話或者是辦事 From what I know, even when his allies speak or act before him 都是非常小心 They are extremely cautious 尤其不能引起他的猜忌 Above all, they must avoid arousing his suspicion 一旦引起他的猜忌了 Once you trigger his suspicion 那麼你就完蛋了 Then you’re finished 據說現在無論在黨內還是在社會上 It’s said that whether in the Party or society 接班人是不能有任何產生聯想的 No one is allowed to even hint at being a successor 一旦某個領導與接班人產生聯想 If a leader is linked to succession in any way 那就可能非常危險 It could be very dangerous 這是今天非常現實的光景 This is the stark reality today 而且現在抓人沒有章法 And arrests now follow no rules 不管你有沒有犯罪 Whether you committed a crime or not 他說你犯罪了 If they say you did 你就得投降 You have to submit 我有幾個朋友 I have a few friends 我在廣州有企業家的朋友 Some of them are entrepreneurs in Guangzhou 前年深圳市長陳如桂被抓了 Two years ago, Shenzhen’s mayor Chen Rugui was arrested 抓了之後第二天 The very next day after his arrest 我一個朋友經常跟他打牌的 A friend of mine who often played cards with him 也就搞走了 Was also taken away 搞走了之後幾天幾夜不讓他睡覺 After that, he was deprived of sleep for days 企業家老闆沒吃過這個苦的 Businessmen had never suffered such torment 沒有幹過這個事情的 And had no experience with this kind of treatment 他說我沒跟他做過生意 He said, I’ve never done business with him 我也沒有靠他 Nor have I relied on him 後來（對方）說 Later they said 是 我們也瞭解你是沒跟他做過生意 Yes, we know you never did business with him 但是我們根據你的身價 But based on your net worth 你得交6000萬 You must pay sixty million 他說我們每個人都有數的 He said, we have a number for everyone 錢打了人就可以出去 Pay up and you can go free 錢不打你就不能出去 No payment, no release 他說我是上市公司 He said, I run a listed company 公司錢我是打不出來的 I can’t just move company funds 我們沒說讓你上市公司打 We didn’t say the company had to pay 你必須自己想辦法 You must find your own way 叫你家人想辦法 Have your family figure it out 最後他老婆到處借錢 In the end, his wife borrowed money everywhere 把房子賣了 And sold the house 前前後後花了將近半年的時間才放人 It took almost half a year before he was released 放人之後出來第一件事情 After release, the first thing he did 就把公司甩掉了 Was to get rid of the company 他說無論什麼樣的價格不搞了玩不起 He said, at any price, I won’t do it again—I can’t afford it 類似這樣的企業 Enterprises like this 現在在國內民營企業是一大批 Now make up a large portion of private businesses in China 可以說中國的民營企業 It can be said that private enterprises in China 曾經對我們的經濟 就業和稅收立下汗馬功勞 Once made huge contributions to the economy, jobs, and taxes 也成爲了中國經濟高速發展的重要基石 And became a cornerstone of China’s rapid growth 但是新時代國進民退 But in the new era, state advances, private retreats 不是單純四個字字面上的意思 It’s not just four words, it’s reality 過去央企只是在重要的國計民生（領域）它才進入 In the past, state-owned enterprises entered only vital sectors 但是到了習的時代 But in Xi’s era 任何市場經濟領域 In every market sector 央企都已經是攻城掠池 SOEs are conquering and occupying everywhere 幾乎民企就沒有生存空間 Private firms have almost no room to survive 過去民企在政府的招標裏面 In the past, private firms could bid on government projects 是可以進到招標圈子裏面的 They could enter the bidding circle 但是到了習的時代 But in Xi’s time 地方各級政府都不願意跟民企打交道 Local governments no longer want to deal with them 它也不說民企沒資格 They don’t say private firms are unqualified 但是誰都不敢讓民企進來招投標 But no one dares let them join bids 從某種程度上來講 In a sense 民企就已經失去了任何招投標的資格 Private firms have already lost all bidding rights 國企拿下來之後 Once SOEs take the project 給你民企有一碗飯吃 They might give private firms a small share 你就有生存的空間 That’s the only way to survive 否則一點生存的空間都沒有 Otherwise, there’s no space at all 尤其是現在在信息領域 Especially now in the information sector 包括自動化辦公領域 安全領域 Including automation and security 推行全國的可信計劃 The nationwide “Trusted Plan” is being pushed 就是可以信任的產品 Meaning only “trustworthy” products 這是內部推廣的 It’s enforced internally 現在已經從中央到縣鄉一級了 Now it’s from central down to township level 只能用國產的 Only domestic products can be used 不允許用任何跨國公司的電子產品 No foreign electronic products are allowed 哪怕這個東西差一點 Even if the domestic ones are inferior 全面更換 Everything must be replaced 這是在習時代做的事情 This is what’s happening in Xi’s era 所以現在民企面臨的困境不是一點點 So the difficulties facing private firms are immense 幾乎沒有任何迴旋的餘地 They have almost no room to maneuver 還有沒有給民企喘氣的機會 There’s hardly any chance left for them to breathe 一旦在某個領域一刀切 Once a sector is cut off completely 說不準搞了你就不能搞了 If they say you can’t do it, you’re finished 比方我有朋友過去那些年雄心滿滿 For example, I had friends who once had big ambitions 到處去買礦山 They bought up mines everywhere 一投幾百個億 Investing tens of billions 等到習近平上臺之後 But after Xi came to power 任何民營企業不允許佔用國家這資源 Private firms were banned from holding such national resources 尤其是這些礦山資源 Especially mining resources 那麼幾百個億跟政府簽了錢也付了 So even though they paid billions under contracts with the government 政府現在退不出錢來 The government won’t return the money 我有認識的很多朋友都是這樣 I know many friends who suffered this 打了水漂 欲哭無淚 Their money vanished, they could only weep 政府說認賬但是沒錢 The government admits the debt but has no cash 你只能自認倒黴 You just have to swallow the loss 類似這樣的例子實在是太多 Cases like this are far too many 所以剛纔我聽大家講到這個出路 So just now when I heard people talk about a “way out” 說實在的在習近平的時代 Honestly, in Xi’s era 民企就沒有出路 Private businesses have no way out 我們要談到出路 If we talk about a way forward 只是看到困境看不到出路 We only see the crisis, not the exit 面對這種情況這種困境 Faced with this situation and hardship 對於企業家來 For entrepreneurs 我一直是給企業家在潑涼水 I’ve always been pouring cold water on their hopes 我的印象中我在王健林出事之後 I recall after Wang Jianlin’s troubles 我當時寫過一篇長文 I wrote a long essay 叫大佬的黃昏 Called “The Twilight of Tycoons” 當時我就想對王健林的這次敲 At that time, Wang Jianlin’s case 實際上呢只是發出一個警訊 Was really just a warning signal 這是告訴一下 It was telling us 所謂的千億級大佬 That so-called hundred-billion tycoons 你們的沒落已經到了 Your downfall has come 無路可走 There’s no way out 我說 I said 等到把那些千億級的老闆收拾完了之後 Once those hundred-billion bosses are dealt with 接下來就是要找一些百億級的 Next it’ll be the tens-of-billions class 或者是幾十個億的老闆 Or those with just billions 果不其然 Sure enough 我說到最終就是到中產和僞中產 I said eventually it would come to the middle class and “pseudo” middle class 就是擁有一線城市幾套房子的 Those owning several apartments in top-tier cities 這些歲月靜好的這批人 These people enjoying a peaceful life 現在我非常清楚 Now I know very clearly 這些歲月靜好的 These supposedly peaceful ones 在城市裏面有幾套房子的中產和僞中產 The middle and pseudo-middle class with multiple city apartments 現在已經進入到了焦慮和沮喪 Now it has entered a stage of anxiety and frustration 甚至是絕望的時期 Even a time of despair 我今天早上跟幾個朋友談起來 This morning I talked with a few friends 他們說現在在北京房子都賣不出去了 They said houses in Beijing can’t even be sold now 我說我過去這麼多年 I said, over all these years 我是一個悲觀主義者 I’ve always been a pessimist 我說收攤 I said, shut it down 我說以我的觀察 From what I’ve seen 習近平的時代只會一步一步的尋死 Xi’s era is only marching step by step toward ruin 勒的很緊 With a tightening grip 我在十八大閉幕的當天 On the day the 18th Party Congress closed 那個時候大家都在談習李新政 Everyone was talking about the Xi-Li “new deal” 尤其是外媒談習李新政 Especially foreign media 那天我是第一次接觸外媒的採訪 That day I had my first interview with foreign media 那個時候是澳大利亞的一個記者 It was with an Australian journalist 當時他就問 He asked me 你對習李新政有什麼期待 What expectations do you have for the Xi-Li policies? 我當時說對習李新政我沒有任何的期待 I said, I have no expectations at all 我唯一期待的是 The only thing I hoped for 習近平上任之後開倒車的節奏 Was that Xi’s backward march 能夠放緩一點 Might slow down a bit 這是我當時的原話 Those were my exact words 而且我說據我的觀察 And I also said, based on my observation 很大的程度上十八大之後 To a large extent, after the 18th Congress 中國將大踏步的往文革這條路上狂奔 China would rush headlong toward another Cultural Revolution 這是我十八大當天唯一一次 That was my one and only 接受的外媒採訪 Interview with foreign media that day 這個採訪澳大利亞日報用英文 That interview was in the Australian Daily, in English 第二天是全版頭版登出來的 The next day it was the full front-page cover 登出來之後我就成爲了國安的常客 After it came out, I became a regular guest of state security 就是這麼一篇文章 Just because of that one article 後來又接受過一次訪談 Later I did another interview 談文化的軟實力和硬實力 On cultural soft power and hard power 我說中國文化沒有軟實力只有硬實力 I said Chinese culture has no soft power, only hard power 我所說的硬實力是什麼 What did I mean by hard power? 我說中國現在推它的文化 I said China promotes its culture 完全是砸錢 Entirely by throwing money 用錢來開路 用錢來滲透 Using money to open doors and infiltrate 用錢來購買海外各種各樣的媒體 Using money to buy overseas media 各種各樣的專家 And various experts 來爲中共來搖旗吶喊 To cheerlead for the CCP 像我們這樣的人談的那些話題 For people like us, the topics we raise 在國內你會壓力很大 Bring heavy pressure inside China 但是我們要知道 But we must understand 習近平剛剛上任的時候 When Xi had just taken office 千頭萬緒他根本就不可能顧及到我們這些人 He had so many things to handle, he couldn’t bother with people like us 那個時候安全沒有多大的問題 At that time, safety wasn’t such a big problem 而且我在2012年之後 And after 2012 我還連續多年是鳳凰的十大最有影響力的博主 I was for years one of Phoenix’s top ten most influential bloggers 那時候寫專欄寫的多 I wrote many columns back then 這種情況一直到後來 This situation continued afterward 現在回過頭來看 Looking back now 我當初的判斷是準確的 My judgment back then was accurate 我不認爲有所謂的習李新政 I never believed in the so-called Xi-Li “new deal” 現在10多年過去了 Now more than ten years have passed 大家也知道習的厲害了 And everyone has seen how ruthless Xi is 不是一點點的厲害 Far beyond what people imagined 幾乎是所有的人 Almost everyone 在習近平的時代都已經嚐到了鐵拳的滋味 Has tasted the iron fist in Xi’s era 哪怕是普通人 Even ordinary people 現在普通老百姓儘管覺得好像影響不大 Although many feel it doesn’t affect them much 但是現在的失業人口急劇的增加 The soaring unemployment proves otherwise 是每一個人在新時代都會付出的代價 That’s the price everyone pays in this new era 這個代價是很多人是在不知不覺中 And many only realize it unconsciously 纔會慢慢的體會到 They’ll feel it gradually over time 這就是中國現在的困境 This is China’s predicament today 不是單純的民營企業家 It’s not just private entrepreneurs 和民營經濟的困境 But the private economy as a whole 說到民營企業 Speaking of private firms 我過去做過幾個地方政府的經濟顧問 I once served as an economic adviser to several local governments 包括習近平非常喜歡的湖北襄陽 Including Xi Jinping’s favorite, Xiangyang in Hubei 因爲襄陽這幫領導會來事 Because the local leaders knew how to please him 把一個海軍療養院搬走 They relocated a navy sanatorium 之後建了一個習家池 And built a “Xijia Pool” 哎這個諧音就是習家祠 A homophone for “Xi Family Ancestral Hall” 本來這個事情應該是南陽乾的 Originally this should have been Nanyang’s job 因爲過去他的祖輩在南洋 Since Xi’s ancestors once lived in Nanyang 我是做襄陽顧問的時候 When I was an adviser in Xiangyang 每年被邀請去 I was invited there every year 領導們都坐在那把我帶去了 The leaders took me along 告訴我門口的這棵枯樹 They told me that tree at the entrance, once dead 剛好在習主席上任的時候 Sprouted right when Xi took office 這個枯樹就發芽了 That dead tree came back to life 這個真是 It was really… 然後裏面佈置的都是習家遷西的過程 Inside, they displayed Xi’s family migration story 從江西遷西到這個地方 From Jiangxi westward to this place 而且那個地方出門就修了一個古城 They even rebuilt an ancient town nearby 在那個地方恢復了昔日的風光 Restoring the old scenery 所以據說習對那個地方很欣賞 So it’s said Xi admired it very much 齊心 彭麗媛都去過那個地方 Qi Xin and Peng Liyuan both visited there 所以襄陽在短短的十幾年 Thus, in just over a decade 出了十幾個正部級官員 Xiangyang produced more than a dozen minister-level officials 據說在修習家池的包工頭 Even the contractor who built the Xijia Pool 後來都給了正處級待遇 Was later rewarded with bureau-level rank 這不是八卦 This isn’t gossip 這是我親自去了之後知道的消息 I learned this firsthand when I visited 領導當時說這些事不要說 The leaders told me not to speak of it 所以我沒寫文章說過 So I never wrote about it publicly 到海外了我有時候會提及一下 But overseas I sometimes mention it 現在他已經儼然的把自己當做一個皇帝了 Now he clearly regards himself as an emperor 所以還有什麼法治 So what rule of law is there? 你要跟他改良你根本談不上改良 Talking about reform with him is impossible 而且他的弟弟有一次親口說起的話 And once, his younger brother said something directly 他說現在沒有同志 哪裏有同志 He said, there are no “comrades” anymore—where are the comrades? 言下之意大家很清楚 The implication was obvious to everyone 過去黨內都是以同志相稱的 In the past, Party members called each other “comrades” 現在只有君臣之分 Now it’s only ruler and subject 而且有一陣他弟弟想見他都見不着 At one point, even his brother couldn’t get an audience 他有一陣對他弟弟很冷漠 He was cold to his brother for a time 所以他弟弟心裏也不舒服 So his brother also felt unhappy 而且他對身邊的人極其不信任 And he deeply distrusts those around him 哪怕是跟隨他的人 Even those who follow him 他都有兩方面的去約束他 He always restrains them from two sides 不會單純用某一個人 Never relying on just one person 這個人過去真的是隱藏的很好 This man had hidden his nature very well 你看看我們今天的光景 Just look at our situation today 所以我爲什麼比較悲觀 That’s why I am pessimistic 當很多人談起中國最近的一些政治變化的時候 When many talk about China’s recent political shifts 尤其是習近平治下的很多的傳聞八卦 Especially rumors and gossip under Xi’s rule 我是比較悲觀的 I tend to be pessimistic 我擔心的會不會打造一個新的習天下 I worry he may be building a new “Xi world” 這是我比較憂慮的事情 That’s what concerns me most 黨還對他有沒有制衡的力量 Does the Party still have any power to restrain him? 這是很大的一個問題 That’s a major question 再說到企業家的事情 Speaking of entrepreneurs again 我可以跟大家簡單的提一提孫大午的事情 Let me briefly mention Sun Dawu’s case 大午跟我是很好的朋友 Sun was a good friend of mine 每一年都要請我去好幾次 He invited me several times every year 我說我也不能爲你說話 I told him I couldn’t speak for him 因爲跟你拍馬屁的 Because there were already too many flattering you 跟你擡轎子的人太多了 Too many people carrying your sedan chair 寫了那麼多的文章 Writing countless articles for you 我說我這個人歷來不會寫郭沫若的文章 I said I was never one to write Guo Moruo-style praise pieces 我說了我就不寫了 If I say it, I won’t write it 我來在這裏跟你挑刺 I’m here to point out your flaws instead 他說沒問題你挑刺行 He said, no problem, go ahead 他對我很客氣 He was very polite with me 可能很多人跟他挑刺他就翻臉的 He might lose his temper with others who criticized him 老孫我每次去他不翻臉 But with me, Old Sun never did 每次去開會他把我放在他的旁邊坐 At every meeting, he seated me right next to him 我就常常給他潑冷水 And I often poured cold water on his ideas 尤其他搞什麼私企立憲 勞資共苦出了好多的書 Especially when he wrote books on “private enterprise constitutions” and “labor-capital solidarity” 每次讓我是不是能跟他來轉發 He always asked me to share them 我說這東西我不轉發 I told him I wouldn’t 我說西方的股份制度 I said, in the West, the shareholder system 人家存在那麼多年了 Has existed for many years 它是有它的道理 And it has its logic 我說你搞什麼私企立憲 But your “private enterprise constitution” idea 我說共產黨是非常敏感的 The Communist Party is extremely sensitive about that 你這個東西還不自省一下 You really ought to reflect on this 我說遲早有一天會收拾你 I told him, sooner or later they’ll come after you 我是私下跟他講的 I said this to him in private 還有我每一次都苦口婆心的勸他 And every time I earnestly tried to persuade him 我說老孫啊我知道你現在這種玩法 I said, Old Sun, I know the way you’re running things now 好像看起來沒有什麼危害 May not seem harmful 我說不能雞蛋不能放一個籃子 But you can’t put all your eggs in one basket 你應該把投資要分散 You should diversify your investments 有些東西你還是放到海外留一點 Keep some assets overseas 他對這個事情呢嗤之以鼻 He scoffed at the idea 他說海外我也去過好多次 He said, I’ve been abroad many times 沒什麼意義 It’s meaningless 他說他是中國人 He said, I am Chinese 我們中國人對海外去沒什麼意義 For us Chinese, going overseas means nothing 把兩個兒子在外面留學都搞回去 He even brought back his two sons from studying abroad 搞在一個企業裏面 And put them into the company 他自己就拿8000塊錢一個月 He himself only took 8,000 yuan a month 你說一個打工工資你能拿多少錢 Like an ordinary worker’s wage—how much can that be? 他當時跟我講 He told me back then 他說我的員工都是不交社保的 He said, my employees don’t pay social insurance 他說等他們退休之後 When they retire 按照社保我給他們加一倍的工資 I’ll double their salaries in place of social security 就是這樣的一個玩法 That was his way of doing things 我說孫總你現在可以這樣 I said, Mr. Sun, maybe you can do this now 我說在中國的這種環境之下 But in China’s environment 你能保證你的企業能夠長盛不衰嗎 Can you guarantee your business will endure? 他怎麼說的 And what did he say? 他說我是做農業的誰當道誰來當權 He said, I’m in agriculture—no matter who’s in power 都不可能不吃飯 People will always need food 不可能不吃雞蛋 And eggs 我又不做別的 I don’t do anything else 你看這個人固執吧 See how stubborn he was? 這些員工這些他的高管 His staff and executives 跟着他都拿着非常少的工資 All earned very little working for him 然後把積累全部留在公司 And left all their savings in the company 最後搞他的時候賬上趴着幾個億的現金 When they came after him, the company had billions in cash 那都是企業員工積攢下來的財富 All accumulated by the employees 最後一夜之間被一個成立才7天的公司 In the end, overnight, a company only 7 days old 直接拿走了 Took it all away 而且出事之前 And before the incident 是因爲跟一個國營農場的廣告牌糾紛 It was over a billboard dispute with a state farm 佔了他的地 That encroached on his land 他想發動員工去抗議 He wanted to mobilize employees to protest 我當時勸他他不聽 I advised him not to, but he wouldn’t listen 他叫我給他轉發文章 He asked me to share his article 他寫了文章 He had written one 我還勸他 I tried to talk him out of it 我說我不轉 I said, I won’t share it 我說我一轉可能問題更大 If I share it, the trouble will be worse 我那個時候粉絲多 Back then I had a large following 所以這件事情 So in this matter 人吶有時候到了一定的時候 Sometimes people, at a certain point 他不聽勸 They stop listening to advice 尤其企業家 Especially entrepreneurs 他自己覺得不會同時 They believe it won’t happen to them 在一條河裏面落水 That they won’t fall into the same river 結果共產黨整他 But the Party went after him 就是用他之前的非法集資罪 Using his previous charge of “illegal fundraising” 重新的把他打入了大牢 To throw him back in prison 而且這一次跟他之前的那一次 And this time, unlike before 就完全不一樣 It was completely different 之前的那一次 The earlier time 國內的公知們在胡溫時期 During the Hu-Wen era, public intellectuals 還可以講話 Could still speak up 還可以爲他呼籲 And advocate for him 到了習時代你找誰呼籲 But in Xi’s era, who can you appeal to? 沒有一點點意義 It’s utterly meaningless 所以老孫真的是家破人亡 So Old Sun truly lost everything—family and business 18年將近70歲 At nearly 70 years old in 2018 你說那不是跟任志強一樣要死在牢裏面 Wasn’t he, like Ren Zhiqiang, destined to die in prison? 關鍵是把他們辛辛苦苦積攢的財富 The key is, all the wealth they worked so hard to build 他是建了一座大午城 He built a “Dawu City” 大午城我記得我有一年去的時候 I remember visiting Dawu City one year 他說我說上一年到這來旅遊的人有450多萬 He said over 4.5 million tourists came that year 他在那蓋的超五星級酒店 He had built an ultra five-star hotel 那個馬桶都是加熱的那種 Even with heated toilets 當時他還動員我 At the time, he tried to persuade me 他說你到這來我給你搞套房子 He said, come here, I’ll get you an apartment 我說我不來這地方 I said, I won’t come here 我說到裏面來幹嘛呢 What would I do here? 後來出事之後 After the incident 我人在美國 I was in the US 我連續跟他寫了好幾篇文章 I wrote several articles about him 當時我就寫的標題是 At the time, my title was 大午的寒冬 “The Winter of Dawu” 我說這次他過不去 I said this time he wouldn’t survive it 我當時就沒想到 What I didn’t expect 我記得胡新祖過去也還是跟他們有來往的 Was that Hu Xinzu had once been close to them 當時也是批評他 But even he criticized him 後來兩個人鬧翻了 Later, they fell out 這件事情說明了中國的民營企業家 This shows that China’s private entrepreneurs 像大午這樣的人 Like Dawu 對中國抱有幻想的人還是很多的 Still had illusions about China 稍微給一點點甜頭 Give them just a little sweetness 大家就覺得好像春天要來了 And they think spring has arrived 包括最近不是連續針對民營企業 Even recently, with repeated speeches about private business 有過幾次講話 Several times 昨天的求是還發了一篇長文 And yesterday, Qiushi even published a long article 好像感覺到大家是不是又有機會了 Making people think opportunities might return 都是錯的 It’s all wrong 我一直在告誡民營企業家們 I’ve always warned private entrepreneurs 你能夠走就早點走 If you can leave, leave early 能夠跑就早點跑 If you can run, run early 今天辛總在這 Today Mr. Xin is here 我跟你講 Let me tell you 辛總這個事情 About Mr. Xin’s case 可以說我是當時硬硬的 I can say I was the one who firmly 死死的 Stuck to it 我說你不要管你的事 I told him, don’t handle it yourself 我來給你把企業賣掉 I’ll sell the company for you 我說你自己賣是賣不掉的 I said you won’t be able to sell it yourself 你捨不得割肉啊 You can’t bear to take the loss 你不要給我限定價格 Don’t set a price limit for me 我能夠給你把它賣掉就行了 As long as I can sell it, that’s enough 你看看他今天在這裏 Look, today he’s here 還能夠很輕鬆的坐在這裏 Able to sit here relaxed 這就是因爲當時快刀斬亂麻 That’s because we acted decisively back then 他自己人已經不在廣州了 He was no longer in Guangzhou himself 我說你完全授權 I told him, give me full authority 你不授權我不給你處理這個事情 Without it, I won’t handle this for you 他完全授權 He gave me full authority 我說我可以簽字 I said, I’ll sign on your behalf 所以他現在回過頭來 So now, looking back 買他企業的那個人現在已經破產了 The person who bought his company has already gone bankrupt 才短短的一年兩年的時間 In just a year or two 我當時說幼兒園的教育 I had said the kindergarten business 現在已經沒有出路了 Already had no future 趕快賣 Sell it quickly 這人當時貸款上億 That man had loans of over a hundred million 現在是完全破產 Now he’s completely bankrupt 幾十樁的官司 Dozens of lawsuits 員工都發不出工資 And employees unpaid 我說你要是留着 I said, if you had kept it 真的欲哭無淚 You’d be crying without tears 所以我就講這個困境還會越來越嚴峻 So I say, this crisis will only worsen 在習的時代 In Xi’s era 不要抱任何的幻想 Don’t hold on to any illusions 我常常的勸中國的企業家們 I often urge Chinese entrepreneurs 我跟我的朋友們講 And tell my friends 走吧不要抱幻想 Leave—don’t cling to false hope 在國內當然日子好過 Of course life is comfortable at home 有廚師有司機都沒有問題 With chefs and drivers, no problem 但是自由啊是買不來的 But freedom cannot be bought 好 我就跟大家聊這麼多 Alright, that’s all I’ll share for now