"NOBODY Can Nail The Top" When To Sell Silver, Fort Knox Audit & More - Mike Maloney & Alan Hibbard

Nobody can nail it and if they say they can their line if they do they were lucky but I do believe that using the math that we can get a bunch of sales that are around the peak of capture most of this profit. Hey it's mike maloney and alan hibbard once again with the gold silver show alan how are you doing i'm great mike thanks how are you great so you've got some great information you've put together let's go over it. And this is our car viewer here says you learned what illiterate peasants in the middle ages new and what merchants and the middle ish class of classical antiquity strongly suspected. And that is basically that gold improves any portfolio that's basically what goldman sachs concluded in their research and that's what we said in the video. Yeah and we were sort of welcoming goldman sachs to the party and you would come up with a. Try very similar to one of the charts that was in that video that they had generated how gold stabilizes the volatility. And gives you simultaneously gives you far greater returns and what we do need to do sometime though is separate the chart that we had. Showed a thirty percent allocation to gold but that was from nineteen seventy one and incorporated the bear markets what happens when gold is in a bull market you should have more you know when i. First started i would tell people yes i'm fully diversified i own both gold and silver and that was it really i don't gold and silver and that was my. Total investment portfolio and it worked out really well. Yeah so yeah i get once again goldman sachs welcome to the party yes better late than never. Very nice all right our next comment here is from isabella maloney and gray rust gray they nail it gold is the ultimate escape hatch while bitcoins the digital flare gun. Let's be real when the dollar trap snap shot the herd will stampede into both gold for the ancients bitcoin for the anarchists smart money well they will stack physical first and then gamble on the tack. What do you think i've got gold i'm not sure if i like being you know. Categorize as an ancient yes i am approaching seventy but you know i still feel young but yes this is correct i think you should stack the physical first and then gamble on the tech. The physical just. Is it can't go to zero there's no counterparty risk. With the tech there is the not really a counter party but the internet has to work for it to exist there has to be power. And it is. It's been extremely volatile so we don't know what is going to happen in that area so even though it's history thus far is spectacular. For bitcoin the you know it's it's an undecided future we don't know. What is going to happen actually so stack first then gamble on the tech i absolutely agree with it and that's exactly what i did. Yep and my portfolio is entirely gold silver and bitcoin so i feel a lot like the way you felt starting out my. And and i agree if it makes you feel any better you know i as a gold owner i don't feel like an agent so you know. Okay okay awesome all right our next comment here arnold villanueva. I like the way that mike sticks to the facts and the numbers no fomo no fear mongering like so many other precious metals podcasters well done mike. No well thank you very much i appreciate it there isn't any reason to sell precious metals using fear tactics which of the majority do. The fundamentals under it. This is an opportunity more than you know yes it's it's insurance it's a safe haven but it's also a tremendous opportunity. It's at all times always a insurance policy and the safe haven asset that i've said many times there are these rare moments in history. Where it also beyond being the insurance and safe haven it also becomes the asset class with the greatest potential gains of purchasing power. And i believe that you know i wrote that in my first book i'm sticking by it and we have been seeing it do exactly that. You know recently it's it's had some pretty big moves over the past year and a half it's been phenomenal. Yeah absolutely it has got to feel nice to be vindicated and see your your thesis play out in real time yeah right. Yeah um speaking of we have a question from emerald acre ohio uh gentlemen thank you for the videos you put out and i have learned much by watching since the hidden secrets of money series. And i've been teaching my kids what you talk about awesome the question that came to mind while watching this particular video is number one. What signals or price range should i look for to indicate that gold silver prices are nearing cycle highs i want to maximize my profit sell at appropriate prices but i'm not looking to be greedy. And number two after the blow off top is there an indicator i should look for to buy you know what is next cycles low thank you for teaching people how to fish not just handing out fish that would stink okay. Okay so um i've i've addressed this uh numerous times in the past uh but and i want to handle the first question first here what uh signals the price doesn't matter. So where it says price range just delete that part uh what you want to do is be measuring it with other uh assets and uh i will be doing this. Uh we have an insiders uh club for people that make certain size purchases from goldsilver.com and those insiders all learn what i'm doing with my portfolio i haven't made any. Changes in several months so i haven't made a posting for several months but i will and by measuring um i've we're we're going to be doing back testing i think i've got 23 different indicators. Now and i can't tell people what most of these are the minute everybody starts following one indicator it stops working and so you don't want to do that however. Two of the main ones that everybody does know about is the stock market compared to gold and i use the dow gold ratio instead of the s&p. Uh you know you and i did a study on this alan and their correlation over long periods of time is they're almost exactly the same s&p and dow so you just take those as the proxy for stocks. But the dow the points are high enough to where it gives you whole numbers when you divide it by gold it's not 0.0 something it's it's a number. And uh we it was um a bit hanging out between three and five in the early 1900s and then in the 1920s it went into a bubble and by 29 it was at 18 ounces of gold to equal the points on the down. And then we had the stock market crash and it went down to just two ounces there was a day where. Uh the stock market the gold was $20.67 an ounce the stock market bottomed at uh at 40.22 points um and so two ounces of gold bought the dow and then we went back up into a bubble in 66 you can see it there of 28 ounces of gold. Uh however uh the dow uh during that period of time it went up and in 1966 hit its head on a thousand points and couldn't bust through until 1982. So the first one you've got uh gold that's fixed in price and stocks moving the second one you've got stocks that are pretty much fixed in price and gold is moving. And when gold became freely traded in 1971 it just made up for uh the suppression with a vengeance and it went all the way to one there was a day where the uh where gold hit 873 on the intraday high on the chicago mercantile exchange. And the dow was at 873 points so one ounce of gold equaled the points on the dow and then we went into the greatest bubble in history in 1999 2000 in 1999 it hit 45. And um currently we are at 90 no we're at uh uh what did i say early 13 and a half right now is is where it's at and so. It's going back down under five and so i wouldn't look at selling until we get to that five area but then there's a confirming indicator that you want to use. So if the dow gold is below five i think that it's going to go to two i actually think that it's going to go to point five. And i believe the same thing is going to happen this time and so you may see uh the price of gold double whatever the points are on the dow so just to make the numbers. So if it's at 13 today and it goes to uh 2.5 you're going to be able to buy 23 times more shares of stock if you sell stock today and buy gold with the proceeds right. Oh it's at 13.5 so yeah double it 27 yep 27 times um so uh uh you want to use this uh as the confirming indicator and i think that you want to wait until the dow gold ratio is at this uh area of five and let's go to the gold silver ratio now the gold silver ratio this is the long-term chart and it shows that it used to be around 15 to one for you know hundreds of years 14 15 to one um then let's go to let's zoom in on um this now um this i don't believe is daily data because in 1980 this hit 14 you can see that it hit 30 back in 2011 and we are currently at 93 and 92 or 93 and so when this gets down to 30 you want to be using this as your okay it's okay to use the dow gold as your sales indicator if this is flashing if it's still higher than 30 it means we still have a lot more room to run on the dow gold ratio to me that's what it means now uh for people that are goldsilver.com customers and qualify as insiders uh we will be i'll be telling them what i'm doing and what my plan is is that uh when this gets down you know 14 and 1980 when this gets both of these the dow gold and the gold silver ratio get down into certain ranges i'm going to be selling 20 percent of my precious metals holdings and then i'm going to wait and if it gets to the next number 20 percent more well that means it could double each time and you didn't sell everything so you're taking advantage of that doubling and then again and what i'm trying to do is use math to get around the peak of this nobody can nail the peak and if they say they can they're lying if they do they were lucky but i do believe that using the math that we can get a bunch of sales that are around the peak and capture most of this profit yeah makes sense and that's the same strategy that i plan to use as well yeah yeah yeah buy low sell high and try to try to round the tops around the bottoms you know multiple buys at the bottom multiple cells at the top and then i've i've got another book that will come out sometime or another i don't know exactly when and it's it's all about these big uh cycles and uh doing this style of investing that only requires a couple of trades uh in your lifetime to become extremely successful yeah so stay tuned everyone yeah that's gonna be that's gonna be a great one awesome our final viewer comment here comes from john b any gold left in fort knox i remember doge was going to audit there but it never happened last audit was in the 70s no one was or is allowed to see gold reserves in fort knox why why is that the case uh i do believe that we are going to audit fort knox it's just that after trump said all of this and there was all this rhetoric by the way that was before doge existed i believe uh so it wasn't doge that was going to audit it it was just he wanted it audited by the united states government that we audit our gold uh and i i'm pretty sure that people came to him from the federal reserve and others and said well you can't really do this right now we need some time to be able to get the gold back in there because it's all been leased out we know that central bank gold leasing does happen that is just a fact it's out there uh but uh when it comes to um is it in fort knox well um it's been rehypothecated it's been sold into the market that somebody owes it back to us and we're seeing these tremendous gold inflows part of it was to stock up the commodities chain exchange but uh the other part is exactly this it's flowing into fort knox right now the proof of this will be if we get an audit that has bar numbers impurities because most of the gold in fort knox is supposed to be coin melts it's only supposed to be 92 percent uh gold and when they do the audit you watch there's going to be a whole bunch of brand new pure bars in there so i think that's what's going on um uh either way uh if they do audit this uh you need to watch those videos like that video that this is a comment from a new gold standard there's three videos that we did that um that show the evidence that we could be headed to a new gold standard uh that really would help to stabilize the world but it would put us in a very powerful position because the u.s has the most goal and so um it's a for for trump it's like a win win win just like uh um yeah like uh the uh video we did recently that had the uh stable coins in it um this truly would be a win win win the dollar keeps its dominance if it becomes gold backed again it doesn't uh come under question uh we have the most so we get to continue running the world monetary system and uh it would start to cause trade uh imbalances to go back into balance gold as a self-balancing mechanism and uh at that point uh all of these objectives that trump has you'd just be checking them off the list so uh is will we ever get to see it i believe yes but it's going more toward the end of his term not at the beginning uh when we have the midterms though he's probably going to lose a lot of power so right now he can sort of ram almost anything through so this might happen just before the midterms i have no idea but that's my opinion i i hope we i hope we get it i hope we get an audit i i don't think we will or if we do it'll be phony baloney audit just well where he says the last audit was the 1970s that was an audit it was a photo op they opened up one door that had gold one vault out of all i can't remember how many vaults they've got but it's quite a few and they opened up one they showed them that there was gold there we didn't we don't get to know if there were more rows stacked up behind that it wasn't an audit it was a photo op oh yeah there's some gold yeah we might get that again yeah we don't know if that gold was leased uh you know normally when it's leased it does get shipped to like a mining company or a refinery that is currently shut down but owes gold and then they replace that gold later and so we'll know what kind of hanky panky was going on if we ever get to see bar purities absolutely well thank you for that mike and uh thank you to everyone for watching and thank you for submitting all your questions and comments and uh we'll see you in the next video awesome thanks alan