The Real Science Behind Building Wealth

Coin Crunch
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1 Video View·Jun 27, 2025
The Real Science Behind Building Wealth
Wealth building doesn't have to feel like you're deciphering a secret code.
So why does everyone treat it like one?
Brian, I am so excited to talk about this because far too many people see investing as like this rigged game.
But today we are going to flip the script because we want the journey to be clear and straightforward.
Exactly. Building wealth is actually a very simple science if you know how to make the system work for you.
And that's what we want to share with you today. So let's jump right in.
When it comes to science, there are a couple different sciences at play.
And the first one is one I think a lot of people, Brian, have heard of or at least are somewhat familiar with.
And that's behavioral science.
Oh, this is the stuff of what you do and how that impacts you.
This is the one thing when you think about the different sciences at play that you have the most control over.
It's the one that you can actually influence, that you can actually impact.
So it's why we want to start with behavioral science.
And this makes a lot of sense. If you understand the math of compounding and so forth,
none of this matters if you're your own worst enemy, if you're working against yourself with all your decision making.
So we've got to make sure we get the behavior right first.
So how do you do that? What are the things that you need to do if you want to positively impact it?
Well, the first is you want to build good habits.
We want you to be in the place and be in the posture that, man, the things that I'm doing over and over,
they are replicable, and the things that I'm replicating are actually net positives for my financial life.
Now, I've been around enough gurus, they tell you it takes 21 days to build a habit
and 90 days for that actually to become a lifestyle.
So how is this actually going to intersect with finances?
Yeah, the thing that you need to do when it comes to the best habit you can build
is simply living on less than you make.
Whatever your paycheck is, whatever dollars you have coming in,
you don't want to spend all those, you don't want to consume all those.
You want to figure out how do I have a lifestyle below that threshold
so that I'm not just waiting every pay period for the ends to meet.
Now, this sounds a lot like the first ingredient of the three ingredients of wealth building, which is discipline.
Without a doubt, when you say live on less than you make,
this means that you have enough discipline in your life that you are letting some of that money turn into margins
so it can be invested over time.
And that margin is the actual thing that you use to begin building wealth.
But you cannot have the margin.
You won't build the margin without discipline.
And yet, some people say, hey, you know what?
I don't have a discipline problem.
I understand on living on less than I make.
But I'll tell you one thing I don't love is I don't love the idea of investing.
So when you're thinking about behavioral science and what you can impact,
one thing you have to do is you have to overcome the fear of investing.
And I think a lot of people approach it,
and it seems like this foreign, frightening, scary thing.
Well, I hate that people have gotten this thought that investing is dangerous or scary.
And look, I'm willing to share in the short term it potentially could be.
But I think if you hang out long enough, long term, it's pretty amazing.
And we have a great illustration.
We always talk about the cycle of market emotions.
And I just know about humans.
We typically are our own worst enemy is that when we have peak opportunity,
meaning markets are getting crushed, we get scared to death.
When you have peak scary times, meaning you should be running the opposite way,
we typically get greedy, and we're all loading it up.
So cycle of market emotions is something you definitely need to understand
when we're talking about behavioral science.
And a lot of people don't realize that that cycle exists,
that it's sort of this somewhat predictable pattern.
In contrast to that, most folks think, or a lot of people when they begin investing,
they think it's really like gambling.
55% of Americans, according to Magnify Money,
believe that investing is just as risky as gambling.
So showing up in your Roth IRA or in your 401k is no different than showing up at the casino.
And that just could not be further from the truth.
Well, I grew up in a house where I think we resembled this.
My parents thought investing was risky to the point that their biggest investment was buying CDs.
And I think about what a crazy thing, because this falls under that behavioral understanding,
is that what seems risky in the short term might actually be your biggest resource in the long term.
Because like saving in CDs, you're not going to keep up with them.
And by the way, buying CDs is risky in the long term.
So it's just this inversion of the reality.
Just because you perceive this as risky or gambling, we got to get people over this barrier.
And while you may think that keeping money on the sidelines and not investing is the less risky behavior,
there are some real costs associated with this.
You've seen this illustration before, but we want to show you how valuable time in the market is,
how costly it can be if you sit on the sidelines.
Do you realize if you just had $10,000 invested from 1988 until 2023,
so this is a long period of time, nearly 40 years that we're covering here,
if you would have just invested that $10,000 at the beginning of the period and left it invested,
by the time you got to 2023, that $10,000 had turned into almost $420,000.
I want you to remember that number, $420,000.
Well, this is why you don't have to be the best investor.
Because I think a lot of people think, well, I got to buy low, sell high, and that's the only way to win.
No, we're just telling you, just be there.
Be there for the good days, be there for the bad days.
And we're nerdy enough, by the way, if you see this, because you just said it's close to 40 years.
This is close to 13,000 days.
So if you think about it, so let's talk about out of 13,000 days, what is just a few days?
But what happens if you miss 5, 10, 30, and even 50 days?
If all you did was miss the 5 best performing market days from 1988 until 2023,
rather than that $10,000 turning into $420,000, that $10,000 only turns into about $264,000.
And gutted it with 5 days.
5 days. If you just miss the 10 best days instead of $420,000, you end up with about $191,000.
We've lost over half of it just by 10 days.
If you miss the best 30 days, so a single month, the best 30 days in the market,
that $10,000, rather than turning into $420,000, only turns into $71,000.
I mean, and the big crescendo, 50 days, which is not that many more.
I mean, like I said, out of 13,000 days, close to 13,000 days,
we're talking about a rounding error, but we could take that 417,000 all the way down to 32,000.
And we all know none of us have the Sports Almanac.
None of us have the Flux Capacitor.
So we couldn't do this if we wanted to.
So just go ahead and save yourself the calories, the mental horsepower,
and just know that you're going to be committed to stay into this market.
So how do you do it? How do you combat that?
Well, that's the other good habit that you can build.
And, Brian, you say this all the time.
The key is always be buying.
ABB, baby. Always be buying. That's for sure.
This is the idea that no matter whether the market is going up,
whether the market is going down, you're putting your dollars to work.
And the beauty in this is that it's a win-win.
If you're investing every single month and the market is going up,
then the money you invested last month has made money. That's great.
If you're investing every month and the market goes down,
then the money you're investing this month is getting in at a lower level than you got in last month.
So if you can reframe your mindset to always be buying,
you're already going to set yourself up on the winning side
because we know that 8 out of 10 years, the market goes up.
It's only down about two years in a decade.
So if you can get your money to work, odds are over the long term,
you're going to end up in a better place.
Yeah, I like that it lets you gamify this.
Essentially, just as you shared, this is a great tool for volatility
because it's going to let you affirm and feel like you're checking the box
on taking advantage as a financial mutant of the bad times.
But then it's also going to be stick with it enough
so that the next point that we're trying to bring forward is stay the course.
If you're not staying consistent with your investing, you're missing out tremendously.
Yeah, all these other habits were things that you need to do, right?
So you need to live on less than you make.
You need to overcome the fear of investing and actually invest.
You need to always be buying.
Staying the course is kind of the other side of that coin.
Hey, what do I not need to do?
I don't need to deviate from my plan or change my plans.
I need to recognize that if I can just stay true to myself,
if I can just stay grounded, this thing works.
And Brian, you say this all the time, that if you ever get uncertain
or you're ever unclear or something makes you feel nervous,
there's a really good thing you can do to help move you in the right direction.
When in doubt, zoom out.
Look, I've already shared it.
My parents thought when the stock market was risky, it was gambling.
And without a doubt, if you look at this in the short term,
it looks like this is chaos.
I mean, if you look at annual rates of return of just like the S&P 500
or 60-40 portfolio, if you were trying to even add some diversification,
it looks like you're like, why would I do this?
Do you see what emotions this would probably just bring up in me?
Why would anybody stay the course if you look at all these random dots
that are on the screen?
And for those of you out there in podcast land,
what we're showing is investment returns from the early 70s
all the way through the end of 2024 on an annual one-year basis.
And it looks like a wild scatterplot.
There is no rhyme or reason.
There are dots that are above 0%.
There are dots as high as 30%.
And then there are dots that are below.
But there is no rhyme or reason.
It looks completely random.
But like you said, when in doubt, zoom out.
When you zoom out and you say, okay,
how do these returns look over a 20-year rolling period?
Well, now it's incredibly consistent.
It doesn't look so sporadic or so random.
You can see it is pretty clearly centered
somewhere around that 10% to 11% long-term rate of return
that, dare I say, over this time period looks fairly predictable.
I mean, I know in the intro I talked about decoder.
This looks like a decoder.
I mean, if you can, when in doubt, zoom out,
all of a sudden that chaos becomes something that has purpose,
that seems somewhat consistent.
There's just a lot of ahas that should be popping off in your brain,
definitely behavior-wise, when you see this type of illustration.
But you may be thinking, well, yeah, but I've just got the world's worst luck.
I understand this.
But, man, what if I start investing?
You know, this is the 70s and the 80s and the 90s.
This was personal computer and this was internet.
Look at stock returns over the last 20 years.
If you pick any year from 2004 until 2024,
and you just said, hey, if I started investing this year,
and we're just looking at the S&P 500,
what would my rate of return have been one year in the future,
two years in the future, three years in the future, so on and so forth?
And what you can see is there is not a five-year period.
In this 20-year period, that if you would have started investing,
you would have had a negative rate of return.
Even if you started investing in 2007, right before the Great Recession,
if you can zoom out and give it enough time,
after five years, you were back to making money.
You were back in the green.
You were back moving in the right direction.
And this assumes that you weren't someone who was already buying through it.
If you were buying through this, you were positive much earlier on.
So if you understand how markets work and how investing works,
you can set yourself up for financial success.
This is when people say, how long should you plan on having your money invested
to even consider investing in the stock market or diversified portfolio?
There's a reason.
It's the science and the math of this calculation of the five years.
That's why if you're trying to save up for a down payment or an engagement ring,
and that's going to be in the next two years or three years,
you're not investing that money.
And this chart is the perfect illustration.
And it also brings to focus that things over the long term,
it's not random anymore.
It really does streamline nicely when you see how close this all aligns,
if you can just stay the course and think like a long-term investor.
So we're talking about the science behind wealth building.
And we kind of hit first what you do with your money.
That's the behavioral science.
Well, the second science we want to look at is financial science.
And this is quite literally what your money does.
When you put your money to work, what actually happens to it?
And so you might be like, oh, great, great, great.
We're going to talk about growing and building and all this stuff.
But before you get there, you have to be aware.
Well, I think we just came out of the behavioral science, which was important.
But before we even – because I want to talk about the math.
But the first thing is we have to avoid the trap.
And this is still somewhat behavioral.
That's why I think it's important to be the first thing.
So many people, when they first start on their journey,
without realizing the power of what their money could become,
they fall into high-interest debt.
Thinking because it's the bridge that feels like it solves all of your problems.
You don't have enough income?
No problem.
We'll get you some debt.
It will be the bridge that gets you there.
So you can fake it until you actually make it.
The problem is you are digging a hole that you will not be able to get out of.
And this is so important.
When we think about what you should do with your next dollar,
when we think about how you should approach making your financial decisions,
high-interest debt and getting rid of it and getting it off your balance sheet
is very early on.
Step number three.
Literally, it is before you start doing any investing
outside of getting your free employer match.
That is how powerful it is.
And so the question becomes, okay, why?
Why is this so powerful?
Well, if you think about this,
we know that compounding interest can be amazing when it's working for us.
But when it works against us,
I don't think we often recognize the gravity of how bad it could be.
And we just said if you took $1
and you made a reasonable rate of return of 8% over a decade,
that $1 would double, which is great.
That $1 would turn into $2.
That's awesome.
If you fall into the trap of high-interest debt
and instead of making 8% on your money,
you're paying someone else 22% annualized on a credit card
rather than your $1 doubling,
you actually go 5X in the hole.
You actually lose $5 in interest over that same time period.
High-interest debt is literally a hole
that the deeper you dig, the faster you dig,
the harder it is to get out of.
You cannot play in those waters.
Well, what makes me sad is not only is there the spread of opportunity costs
of what could have been,
and now what you're paying in all this high-interest debt,
but it's also the lost time.
That's right.
And so that's why, Beau, I think it's really important.
We ought to go ahead and lay out some ground rules.
What actually classifies as high-interest debt?
Yeah, so we have a few rules of thumbs here
because we don't believe that all debts are created equal,
and we're going to talk about in a moment.
We don't even think that all debts are bad.
Some debts are okay,
but if we're thinking about the financial order of operations,
we're trying to follow well what qualifies as high-interest debt.
So let's start with student loans,
which a lot of people out there in the country are facing right now.
Our thought is, based on the opportunity cost of dollars,
that if you're someone in your 20s and your student loans are above 6%,
you may want to consider prepaying those.
If you're someone in your 30s and your student loans are above 5%,
you may want to consider prepaying those.
And by the time you get to your 40s, if your student loans are above 4%,
now's the time that you want to start knocking those out.
Now, we've also, people who are familiar with our content
know we have the 23-8 rule,
but look, we're in a post-pandemic, post-inflationary period.
Interest rates are much higher than they've been
back during the 90s and 2000s.
So people are now saying,
what about those consumption interest rates like on car loans?
This one's a little unique
because I'll tell you some of these interest rates
kind of, they make the hair on my arm stand up a little bit.
They make me have a bad taste in my mouth,
but we're on purpose sharing these higher rates
because they're just a moment in time.
If you're following 23-8,
you're only going to be having this for three years.
And we just know that the time is so valuable
that we want to let you know that it's okay
that you have some of these things
so you can get to your job with your automobile,
but also be building wealth in the background.
So that's why in your 20s, we say 10% on car loans,
9% in the 30s, 8% for your 40s, credit card debt.
Now this is going to blow people's mind.
We think, look, credit card use is okay,
but credit card debt, no way.
Including, because I know a lot of financial means
you get caught up in thinking,
I'll just play this transfer the balance
to all these 0% credit cards.
That is a trap.
It's also not worth the hassle factor.
I'm just telling you,
if you're going to be a financial mutant,
you have to figure out the value of your time.
You have to figure out the hassle factor.
I don't want you doing any of those reindeer games whatsoever.
We consider credit card debt to be paid off monthly.
Don't play into that game of trying to figure out
if you can maximize here and there.
It's a trap waiting for you to fall into
and get yourself in a pickle of a situation.
This may be aggressive,
but playing with carrying a balance on a credit card
is literally playing Russian roulette
with your financial life.
Just because that one time did not derail you,
did not bear you,
does not mean that the next time won't.
That's why we say credit card debt, no way.
Do not carry a balance.
This shows how devastating high interest compound,
how high compound interest working against you
can be devastating.
Let's talk about what you do do.
When it comes to the financial science,
let's talk about what you do do.
The financial science side of it would suggest
you want to get compound interest on your side.
You don't want it working against you.
You want it working for you.
Well, how could we talk about,
because I'm glad we're moved away from the trap of debt.
Now let's get to what I get excited about,
the wealth multiplier.
Guys, this is kind of one of those key concepts.
If you know what we talk about.
I get excited about my Morrow moment
where I talked about my economics teacher in high school
talking about if I could invest $100 a month,
I would be a millionaire.
The only way that's possible
is that when people are billionaires of time,
when you're young,
you are literally a billionaire of time,
your dollar does so much more.
You might be jealous of your bosses
or people a few years ahead of you.
They are jealous of your time,
so don't sleep on this,
because a 20-year-old,
a dollar has a potential to become 88 times over
by the time you retire.
But here's the part that it's somewhat mean,
but it's the reality.
When you're 30,
that same dollar has potential to become 23.
Still incredible.
I mean, 23 times.
But not 88.
But you realize we just cut that in four.
I mean, for you 20-year-olds,
we just made it,
it's so much harder.
It's four times harder
for the 30-year-old to do what you did as a 20-year-old.
For a 40-year-old,
seven times.
That's still incredible.
You go seven times,
whatever it is,
but now we've made building wealth
10 times harder
compared to the 20-year-old who starts.
So guys,
when you understand this concept
of how powerful and valuable your time is,
you'll think about saving and investing differently.
You'll also think about how you consume differently.
Now when you see people,
all your neighbors and friends
driving around the finance cars
that are out for 84 months,
you will have a distaste for that
because you know what they coulda, woulda, shoulda done
with every dollar in their army of dollar bills.
The science behind this,
the underpinning of this,
the way that the wealth multiplier works
is not rocket science.
This is simple compound interest.
It's this idea that I can have my money make money
and then the money that my money makes can make money
and then even that money can make money.
If I have $100 and I make 10%,
I now have $110.
That's $10 in gains.
Well now,
if I take all 110 of those dollars
and I make another 10%,
now I have $121.
I have $11 in gains
and the bigger the numbers get,
the bigger the numbers get.
But I know a lot of people out there saying,
well okay guys, I get it.
$1 turns into 88
and I understand compound interest,
but walk me through this
in like a real life example.
Why should I be excited about this?
And so this is for every person out there
who's ever maxed out a Roth IRA,
wants to max out a Roth IRA,
or is trying to decide if they should max out a Roth IRA.
We just want to show you how compelling this can be.
So let's assume that you're someone,
you're going to max out your Roth at $7,000 a year
and you can earn 8% on average.
You're going to do this for the next 30 plus years.
So all we're going to do,
max out Roth IRA $7,000 a year.
Not super, super complicated.
In the beginning,
and Brian you talked about this in the beginning,
it might not be super, super exciting.
You realize that it will take you almost nine years,
a little over eight and a half years,
to where now your money earns more in a year
than you save in a year.
So up until this point,
you've been doing a lot of the heavy lifting.
This is something that really bothers me
and I want to go ahead and warn you about this
on the front end
because you're going to be in the first 10 years,
maybe many of you are just like I am,
and Bo is.
We know that 80% of millionaires are first generation.
So you're hearing a lot of these concepts
for the first time.
And a lot of you are going to go on this journey with us.
You're going to get excited
when you find out about Wealth Multiplier
and realize we're just showing this leveled out.
The sad thing is when you invest,
returns don't come in nice little
eight to 10% rates of return every year.
It's going to come in a jagged way at you.
One year you're going to make 20%.
Next year you might lose 7%.
But over time,
it's going to turn into somewhere between eight to 11%.
But here's what I want to warn you about.
The first 10 years,
a lot of you are going to quit
if you don't have this knowledge.
I want you to go into this with your eyes open
because what's going to happen in that first 10 years
is you'll likely experience
and live through your first and second recession.
There will be two downturns in every decade typically.
You will see market volatility.
And when you see that your portfolio is going up and down,
and then you find out that your money only doubled
in that 10 years,
a lot of you are like,
what are we doing?
And that's why,
Bo, it's so important.
I want you to set the stage for,
it's not the 10 years.
You have to stick past 10 years.
You have to stay 15, 20.
And we're going to show you the why
because many people don't give you the actual illustration
or the result of why they have to do it.
But I just want to tell you,
eyes wide open,
do not quit in the first 10 years.
You will feel every desire
because this is hard to save and invest.
You will feel every desire to quit
because the messy middle,
the kids,
everything's going to be happening.
Don't do it because here's the payoff.
So 8.75 years for your money
to make more in a year than you save in a year.
But by the time you get to 15.8,
almost 16 years,
you have now hit that tipping point
to where now the growth in your portfolio
is larger than the dollars you've saved.
Your money at this point
has now worked harder than you,
so more of your account balance after 16 years
is earnings than it was contributions.
Now wait a minute.
I want to make sure people hear this.
After 15 years,
getting close to 16 years,
you will have made more money
from the portfolio
than you even put in in contributions.
That's exactly right.
Do you see how this gets exciting?
Meanwhile,
back just a few years earlier,
the first 9 to 10 years,
you just doubled your original investment,
which is hard.
That's not sexy,
but you have to do it.
You have to stick with it.
This has to be there for this all to work.
And then as you move to the end of the journey,
if you do this for 32 years,
do you recognize,
again, this is just saving $7,000 a year,
earning 8%,
that in the 32nd year,
your money now earns more
every single month
than you save in a year.
It's growing by $7,000 a month at that point,
even though you're only saving $7,000 a year.
This is why it gets exciting.
This is why we know the typical millionaire
happens in their late 40s,
typically after 27 years
of diligent saving and investing.
And when you get to my,
I'm past that point, by the way.
I'm in my 50s.
And what's amazing
is when you live in an area where,
like we live,
and you're around people like I am,
we talk about this,
and I talk to my peers,
and we're like,
can you just believe
what the portfolio made last quarter?
And I can't tell you
which dollar I invested when
and where is why this got to be so big.
It was just those consistent,
small decisions
that kept stacking on top of each other
and built this great,
big, beautiful tomorrow.
But if I had to quit anywhere in that journey,
I would have never gotten
to that 20-plus years
to start seeing this aha.
So that's why your behavior
comes into play.
The science of actually
what the math is doing for you
comes into play.
Bo, now we ought to talk about
what's the science of the economy
because is this something
that can continue to keep going forward
or our best days behind us?
Yeah, it's really interesting.
We talk about behaviors,
what you can do,
and financial science,
what your money does.
But now let's talk about
the system in which we operate
because there are a lot of people out there
that thinks,
oh, the system's rigged against me,
and oh, this is only for the other people.
And I would actually flip that.
I would argue that if you were an investor
and you were committed
to long-term investing,
the system presently
is actually rigged for you.
And if you don't believe me,
just think about some of the structures
that we have in place.
Now, you're going to think
when I say this,
oh, these guys have lost it,
but the tax system.
We have a very unique tax system
in this country.
And whether you like it or dislike it,
one of the unique things about it is
the way that investment accounts,
the way that growth opportunity accounts
are treated
is different from a tax perspective.
And if you understand that,
you can actually manipulate that
to your advantage over the long term.
Well, yeah, without a doubt,
we talk about this
as the three-bucket strategy.
We're talking about
your after-tax investments,
your tax-free,
which are your Roth investments,
your pre-tax.
This can be,
because look,
we know that pre-tax,
this is this type of asset,
so you want to put your bonds
and your fixed income
because everything's going to be taxed
as ordinary income.
You ought to know that.
That's a variable you ought to understand
so you can put what needs to go
in those accounts.
Tax-free Roth.
This is where you stick it to the man legally
and build your seven-figure millionaire status
without any taxes in the future.
So you want to put growth-type assets
in those type of holdings,
but you don't want to get too risky
because you can't take losses
on any of these type of investments.
And then the after-tax,
this is where we want to build the bridge
or other investment assets
that you want easy access to,
but also take advantage of the tax favor.
And a lot of you are hearing this
and be like,
man, that is a lot to take in
in one or two sentences.
The good news is
you don't have to figure this out.
We've already done this for you.
The science is cooked and built
into the financial order of operations.
It is very much set up
to take advantage of
every one of these tax buckets for you.
We've done the heavy lift.
So if you want to know more
about the financial order of operations,
go to learn.moneyguy.com.
You can check that out
and do the deep dive.
So obviously the tax system is structured.
The way the accounts are set up
is structured in a way
that you can take advantage of.
But even taking it a step further,
okay, guys, I get it.
I get the buckets,
but what do I do inside the bucket?
Well, even there,
the system has now morphed
over the last decades
that now you even have
a huge advantage in your corner
that you get to take advantage
of index funds.
And as a reminder,
just like quick vocabulary lesson,
an index fund is just a specific fund
that tracks some sort of market index,
meaning it tries to mimic
that segment of the market.
So most often people think about
like the S&P 500.
It's just the 500 largest
publicly traded companies
in the United States.
Well, rather than me having to go out
and buy all 500
of those individual stocks,
I can buy a single ETF
or a single mutual fund
and I can get exposure
to all 500 of those companies.
And they are incredibly low cost
to operate.
So I don't have to figure out
what do I go buy
and when do I buy
and when do I sell it.
I don't have to go try
to beat the market.
Index funds provide me an opportunity
where I just get to be the market.
Yeah, don't try to beat it.
Just be the market, preach.
That is where this thing is at.
And then that ties into it
because a lot of you,
remember that whole analogy
this is gambling.
When people see this next illustration,
I think it just kind of puts to bed.
It is so much better
to be a bull market investor
than even the fear.
It's almost like,
if you watch Monsters, Inc.
and other things
and you're worried about the boogeyman
under the bed
that you sleep in at night
and the dark is scary.
When you understand the actual real,
how dangerous is a bear market,
you quickly realize,
no, it's better
to be a long-term investors.
The fear I have about those downturns
is probably much more overplayed.
And I even have tools
that can fight this.
I'll have diversification.
I'm going to have,
we'll get into all that
why you should consider
when your life gets complicated.
We'll have a solution.
But both show them
why being an investor,
especially bull market investing,
is so much better
than bear markets.
Yeah, if you think about
the market as a whole,
the S&P 500
from 1942 to 2024.
So we're talking about
like 80-ish years around here.
And you just look at,
okay, how long did bull markets last
compared to how long
bear markets last?
And you can see bull markets
last a whole lot longer.
And you think,
okay, well, how severe
are the bear markets?
How bad is the drawdown
relative to the uptick
in the bull market
into what you can see
is that bull markets
are not only much bigger
and much longer
and much better
and much more frequent.
If you were looking at this
and thinking that the stock market
was gambling
and thinking that the stock market
was risky,
you would say,
man, I'm going to put my money
on the bull market.
I'm going to buy into
that side of it.
And that's what our entire system
is built on.
That's why we want you
to always be buying
because even when the market
is scary or uncertain or down,
when you compare that
to what it looks like
when it's up and not scary,
it is a very,
very, very different picture.
Now, look,
and we put up all the disclaimers
because we never try
to push things or skew things
because we really do try
to be as transparent as possible.
But a lot of people always say,
but past performance
is not indicative of future.
And that's true.
We don't know.
And that's in all the disclosures.
But there is something
that I always think about.
Once I discovered this,
I was like, oh my gosh,
this makes sense,
is that you hear about
the law of accelerating returns.
This is the thought.
This, just like I tell you,
your money doesn't grow
in a linear fashion.
We, as humans,
we think in linear terms.
We think that it's always
going to be one, two, three,
four, five, six, seven,
you know, and so forth.
And it takes forever
for stuff to build.
And it's just not that way.
It typically goes more
like two, four, 16,
and then goodness gracious,
this thing's getting big.
And that's the way it works
with investing too.
And we put up an illustration
called the, you know,
kind of make this point
about law of accelerating returns.
Look how slow it took
for innovation to occur
for mankind from just
doing that first papyrus
and getting paper and printing
and then the printing press
and then we get into telescope.
We get into the first battery.
And then, I mean,
how crazy is it we,
the first car,
the first airplane,
and then before you know it,
we have commercial industries
built on this stuff.
And now we're in the infancy.
Maybe we're not even
in the infancy
because it seems to be picking up
so much speed so much faster.
Artificial intelligence,
this thing,
every time you think
you've got the world of technology
and innovation figured out,
the next thing comes over the horizon
that revolutionizes.
And I'm old enough, you know,
because I'm in that
greatest generation, Gen X,
where we were analog
and now we're digital
and now we're even moving on.
And I've seen so much
just in my lifetime.
This is not slowing down.
So that's why we win.
It's not a zero-sum game
where, you know,
in order for you to win,
somebody has to lose.
The pie is actually getting bigger
and that is the good news
that gets exciting.
Now, look,
we might build this thing up
to where we build something
that takes us out,
but at least financially,
we are going to be able
to make money
as this law of accelerating returns
keeps going forward.
So you may be saying,
OK, guys, I get that.
I hear you.
I understand that.
But I know, in fact,
the market is scary
because I've experienced it.
I was investing in 2008.
I was investing during COVID.
I was invested fourth quarter 2018.
I was invested during the dot-com bubble.
I know that the market does have periods
where it gets scary
and we're not going to fight you on that.
That is true.
But here's what we know
about the way
that the science of the market works,
that the way the market works
is when there's a downturn,
when the market moves
in a negative direction,
when we hit bear market territory,
oftentimes,
there is a V-shaped recovery.
And that V-shape means
that as soon as it's the bottom,
it doesn't linger around down there.
It doesn't hang down there.
As soon as it's that lower point,
it catapults up
and starts moving in a different direction.
We actually have the math to back this.
We said, let's look at the S&P 500
and look at every bear market since 1950.
So how bad was it?
If you average out
all the bear markets we have,
the average loss
is about 35%
from the height
from the peak to the trough.
And the average length
was about 13.8 months.
So just over a year.
But did you know
that after the bottom
of that bear market,
on average,
in the first month of recovery,
the market recovered about 15%.
In the first three months,
it was about 21%.
The first six months,
almost 28%.
In the first year,
on average,
after a bear market,
now, mind you,
average bear market downturn
was 35%.
In the first year
following that lowest point,
market made back 43.5%.
And by the time
you get 24 months out
from the bottom,
on average,
it's up about 63%.
So even though
the market might get scary,
and it might be uncomfortable,
and it might not look exactly
the way you want it to look,
it changes,
it changes quickly,
and it changes
in a very positive direction.
And people say,
well, what's the why?
How can this V-shaped recoveries?
And it's typically
because of intrinsic value.
And information travels so fast now
with modern communication
and transparency
and other things,
is that you'll see markets
get where they get disconnected.
Meaning, just like in 2008,
you find out that
the buildings that Apple owns
without debt
are worth more than
what the stock was trading at,
not even taking account
of all the intellectual property
and all the other stuff.
You go,
what in the world is going on?
This is the greatest opportunity ever.
Why would I not buy this?
Well, the reason
nobody wants to buy it
is because
us as emotional creatures,
we are disconnected
from the actual value.
So one day,
people wake up originally
and go, wait a minute,
this wasn't as bad as I thought.
And you see the buyers line up
and then you see
this slingshot of recovery,
the reversion to the mean
or we talk about
that rubber band method
where the velocity,
the pluck effect
of how bad it is going down
is probably building energy
for how good
it's going to be coming back.
But a lot of you are going,
but guys,
if I lost 35%
when I'm 65 years old,
that could be catastrophic.
You're exactly right.
This is why the science
is not just all equities all the time.
You've got to get
your diversification right.
You've got to have somebody
who is managing
what is going on
with my investments
so that I don't experience
100% of the volatility
because that's going to
break me emotionally.
And that's why I tell you guys,
we can love on you
as much as we want,
give you all the free advice
and really tell you
in a transparent way
how things work
is because we know
that even though
building wealth
is incredibly simple,
it's far from easy.
There's a lot of things.
And also,
what you're going to find is
when you reach
your seven-figure status,
you're going to be like,
oh my God,
this is the first time
I've ever done this
and now my life
went from simple
to more and more complexity.
How do I do this right?
We know that we're going
to be able to lead
the porch light on for you
and help you do this
in the best way possible.
We've done this for hundreds,
soon to be thousands of times
with all the clients
that we're working with
all across the country.
And that's why you don't
have to be in this alone.
And that's why we can do
the Abundance Cycle
where we can give you
all this free advice
because we know
that just the recipe
is so good
that it will create
the success
that will create
this complexity,
which is a good thing.
It is a good thing.
But you don't have
to do this alone.
You will be the CEO
of a multiple
seven-figure entity.
If you think about
what the value
of your net worth
and all of your
investable assets
is going to be,
don't take the risk
if you don't have
to do this alone.
Consider working with us
and guys,
let that Abundance Cycle
fulfill.
By the way,
if you're at the beginning
of your journey
and you haven't gone
to moneyguy.com
slash resources,
let us love on you.
Take all the free advice
that we've given you.
If you're in the middle
of that journey,
we've got tools,
we've got hubs,
we've got resources
that'll accelerate.
And of course,
my financial mutants
that are into that
close to seven-figure
status and beyond,
we'd love for you
to consider paying it forward,
letting us be
the Johnny Appleseed
of personal finance
so that you can live
your best life.
I'm your host,
Brian Preston,
Mr. Bo Hanson,
Money Guy Team,
out.
The Money Guy Show
is hosted by Brian Preston
and Bo Hanson.
Brian and Bo are partners
with Abound Wealth Management.
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