“The United States depends on China for 95 percent of the key components that are necessary to make our generic drugs, and if China shut the door on exports, within months, our health care system would begin to collapse.”
Rosemary Gibson is a national authority on health care policy and patient safety, and the author of “China Rx: Exposing the Risks of America’s Dependence on China for Medicine.” “How come we don’t know that our medicines are being made in China? And this has been going on for a long time, and for years, there was actually zero regulation. How do we outsource production from a country with the highest standards in the world to places with no standards?” she asks.
In this episode, Rosemary Gibson dives into the realities of China’s control of America’s medical supply chain, the increasing problem of contaminated medications, and what the current administration can do to fix it.
CHAPTER TITLES 0:00:00 - The Critical Dependence on China for Generic Drugs 0:00:30 - Lack of Regulation and Outsourcing Medical Production 0:01:50 - The Shocking 95% Dependency on Chinese Components 0:03:07 - Risks of Supply Chain Vulnerability 0:04:02 - The Collapse of Domestic Antibiotic Production 0:05:28 - Global Supply Chain Complexities: China and India 0:08:59 - China's Strategic Industrial Dominance 0:10:34 - Beyond Commercial Strategy: Geopolitical Leverage 0:12:17 - Declining Quality and FDA Regulatory Challenges 0:15:59 - Obstacles to Pharmaceutical Inspections 0:17:48 - Market Dynamics and Ethical Sourcing Dilemmas 0:20:45 - Potential Solutions and Future Outlook
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The United States depends on China for
95% of the key components that are
necessary to make our generic drugs. And
if China shut the door on exports,
within months, our health care system
would begin to collapse. It's a disaster
waiting to happen. Rosemary Gibson is a
top authority on healthc care policy and
patient safety and the author of China
RX exposing the risks of America's
dependence on China for medicine. How
come we don't know that our medicines
are being made in China? And for years
there was actually zero regulation. How
do we outsource production from a
country with the highest standards in
the world to places with no standards?
In this episode, we dive into the
realities of China's control of
America's medical supply chain, the
increasing problem of contaminated
medications, and what the current
administration can do to fix it. A very
important drug for people with diabetes,
metformin. Some of the manufacturers
versions have levels of carcinogens that
just shouldn't be there. The FDA's known
about this for years, but nothing
happens. This is American Thought
Leaders, and I'm Ya Kellik.
Rosemary Gibson, such a pleasure to have
you back on American Thought Leaders.
Yan, it's great to be back. Thank you so
much for having me. We interviewed
almost exactly 5 years ago. This was
COVID pandemic time, early
days, and you were talking about what
this exposed in our supply chains of
components of medicines, the the threat
that existed there. And I was shocked. I
was this this was frankly unbelievable
information to me that we could be so
vulnerable here in the west to China
using these supply chains. Has anything
changed? I remember when we met Yan and
it was as Washington and the country was
shutting down and we talked about China
RX and that's what exposed how dependent
we are as a country on China for what we
need to survive as a country during a
pandemic.
The United States depends on China for
95% of the key components that are
necessary to make our generic
drugs. And if China shut the door on
exports, within months, our health care
system would begin to collapse. That's
how dependent we are. And it's not just
us. The world is dependent. Europe is
dependent because China has a chokeold
on those upstream raw materials and
chemicals needed to make these active
ingredients which makes a medicine
medicine and that turns into the pills
and vials that that we have and take.
And I recall that it's about 91% of the
prescribed medicines in the US are
actually these generics. So this is
massive. It's huge. And whatever
hospital you're in, whether it's all the
bigname hospitals, what they use are
generic drugs and they're about 90 91%
of what's administered and prescribed.
Well, this may be obvious to some of our
viewers. Why is this a problem? Well, as
China X predicted, a lot of what
happened that in the event of a natural
disaster, global pandemic or a
geopolitical event, the United States
will be waiting in line behind other
countries to get vital medicines to save
people's lives. We have lost our
industrial base and during the pandemic
that we had rationing of vital medicines
in this country. It wasn't called
rationing. that would scare the public.
The media didn't call it
rationing. The euphemism used in the
industry is, "Well, Dr. So and so, well,
we won't be able to deliver those drugs
to you today. They're quote on
allocation," which means they're
actually allocating whatever they have
in certain priority areas. So, we were
rationing drugs in the United States.
And this is because what? And spell it
out for me here. This is why because we
have lost our industrial base to be able
to make the medicines 90% of our
medicine supply. We can't make it
anymore. We can't make antibiotics
anymore in this country from beginning
to end. We can't make penicellin. We
can't make those antibiotics needed to
treat sepsis which can kill you. We
can't make the antibiotics to treat
pneumonia, sexually transmitted
diseases. We offshored that and that's a
risk of huge you know tremendous
national security and if I if I may say
while we were very focused on treating
viral infections what about bacterial
infections and during the pandemic in
the early 1900s what people died of was
not viral infection but bacterial
infections and they died because we
didn't have antibiotics and if you
remember back in March 2020 China said
well if the US doesn't do what we want
we could withhold pulled antibiotics
from the United States. Think of that.
Well, I I think you know I remember when
that happened and I was thinking about
our interview, right? Because this was
basically the case in point. Absolutely
right. We have a system that is
perfectly designed for catastrophic
failure and significant loss of human
life. And that has to change and it's
fixable. This is a man-made problem. You
know, it strikes me there's basically
two dimensions here of the problem,
right? One is, you know, where where
they're being made. So, you know, we
know a lot of them come from India, but
we also know that a very significant
portion of what's made in India, those
components come from China. So, it's
really China. China RX exposed that. And
this was a big shock to me. We all think
of India, which is a great generic
powerhouse, but then you look more
deeply and during uh co pandemic the
Indian government actually came out and
said that we depend and our generic
industry depends on China for 69% of the
components it needs for its industry. I
can't think of any other product any
other food commodity whether it's wheat,
rice, corn or energy supplies that we
have so c allowed to be centralized in a
single country whatever country it is is
a disaster waiting to happen. You're
giving me a 95% number. explain to me
how you got there. Sure. Well, first
off, we're talking about thousands of
different raw materials and chemicals
that are used to make our medicines,
generic and branded
drugs. And where I got the
95% figure from is from people who
actually make medicines. They are
pharmaceutical engineers. They're CEOs
of companies. So, I'll tell you a quick
story. So in February of 2020 when a
virus was coming from east to west and
going to hit North America, I was having
dinner with five extraordinary people
who had a combined experience of 150
years in making medicine. So I asked him
this question as you know the entree was
being served. I said, 'So, we're going
to need generic medicines to take care
of very sick people in intensive care
units or emergency
rooms. What percentage of the components
needed to make those medicines are
sourced from
China? And it was 90% 95% 90% 95% 95%.
as we went around the
table. So that's one data point from
people who have to go source from
distributors and they in turn this is
their business. It's what they do. It's
like you're a chef and you know where
all your ingredients come from and who
are the best sources and the country of
origin often of where they're made,
where they're produced. Another data
point is um a wonderfully respected
leader in Europe who ran and a company
that supplied actually generics to our
military. He said that it's about
98% of our generic drugs depend on some
component from China. and another
executive uh from Holland now retired.
He said China
owns that raw material market
globally and even the Europeans are
concerned that what if they decide to
withdraw that and talking about this
first dimension right which is where you
know all of these things coming from
China hard to fathom that that could
have ever happened you know after that
threat of withholding during the covid
pandemic what has changed have we been
rushing to bring back those supply
chains, repatriate them to America in
the west or you know friend shore as
they call it perhaps as well. Overall I
think there's been very little change.
Companies have habits of how they
purchase and they want to purchase the
cheapest
product and we can talk more about this
later and how that system works. But if
you have a focus only on cheap and not
quality and
value, it can really get you into
trouble. Here's how the
antibiotic market, how we lost that. Our
last penicellin fermentation
plant, China dumped penicellin raw
material on the global market in the mid
2000s. dumped it means they sold it at a
very low price with the intention of
driving
out US, European and even Indian
producers and at the end of the
day China became the dominant global
supplier of penicellin material and then
they raised the price. So, I think the
reason that we're not winning on this
yet is because China has a strategy and
it knows exactly the pain points of each
country and each region. And if they see
a move in one direction for an important
product, they can say, "Well, we're
going to dump a product, lower the
price, and that will deter Western
manufacturers from getting back into the
game." Well, and we don't have a
strategy like that. And Rosemary, one
quick sec. We're going to take a break,
and folks, we'll be right back.
And we're back with the author of China
RX, Rosemary Gibson. Let me just qualify
this that there's the strategy is not
just commercial. This is an industrial
strategy by a foreign government to
remain dominant in this sector and as it
sees fit to use that as leverage over
any country that it wants to get what it
wants. Well, and it's very interesting
that you mentioned quality, of course,
because this is the other dimension,
right? Right. Um, we know all sorts of
goods. You know, I had a a trip to the
Neutramax uh production facility. You
know, they make some very very mostly
mostly veterinary drugs, but also a few
things, supplements, veterinary
supplements and uh supplements for
humans. A few as well, some very
interesting ones.
One thing they told me, their quality
chief of quality control told me is, you
know, they would get some large amount
of precursor that would arrive or large
amount of component to make to make the
the supplement, right? And they said
they would notice, they had a bar, it
said it had to be 95% pure, but
something would come and be 94% pure.
And what they discovered was that if
they ever accepted that 94% pure when 95
was the benchmark, subsequent shipments
would be even lower in terms of purity,
right? And so they would had they
learned they have to ship back that
entire ton or whatever large amount was
so that people understood no that's our
benchmark. And that's astonishing. I
mean that that itself was an astonishing
realization. So there's there's just
this kind of natural
uh I guess incentive to have cheaper
products or these components come in,
never mind nefarious intent, which is
from a from an enemy country, right?
Well, another prediction in China RX is
that the FDA would lose control over its
ability to perform its regulatory
functions and ensure a safe supply of
medicines being sold in America. And
that's exactly what's happened. And the
the pace of that, the the decline in
what we're seeing in terms of quality
has just um accelerated. And if we don't
fix this now, we're in deep trouble. I
was uh it was fascinating to hear in
February of actually March of 2023,
the then FDA commissioner, Dr. Robert
Caiff, was testifying before House
Appropriations, it was budget season for
the FDA. So, this was the most candid uh
comments from an FDA commissioner that
I've ever heard, and I've been following
this now for 11 years.
He was ex very concerned about the AY's
ability to deal with the Chinese
government and its manufacturers. He
said the agency had been blocked from
traveling to China to conduct on-site
inspections of manufacturing facilities.
That's a very important part of FDA's
regulatory oversight. They check to see
if the building really exists. That's
where the drugs are being made. that
they follow very strict good
manufacturing practices. So the agency
had been blocked from going. A second
concern he raised is the lack of
transparency, lack of just being
forthcoming. So if you're a manufacturer
here in the US, you provide a lot of
information to the FDA about your
product and your process, your quality
control, and that's part of FDA's due
diligence. And Dr. Dr. Caleiff said
China is just not
transparent. And a third point that he
raised was uh something that Congress
had done which was a good thing to do.
Congress gave FDA $10 million to conduct
what's called unannounced
inspections. So imagine you have friends
coming over for dinner. You say, "Why
don't you come over and on a Saturday
night, you know, next next Saturday
night." So you probably clean up your
house a little bit and you know, get
things in order.
That's very different from your friends
popping up, ringing the doorbell, say,
"Hey, we're here for dinner." And they
get to see what your house is like in,
you know, in real life, day-to-day. So
unannounced inspections are those where,
and this happens every day in the United
States, the FDA can come to your
facility 8:30 in the morning and say,
"We're here. We're going to be here for
a week or two, and we're going to take a
really close look and conduct our
inspection." And those are are very very
rigorous. Unannounced inspections are
enable you to see in real time what's
happening. Those have not happened at
all in China which has refused them. So
Cong Congress spent this money. FDA has
tried and Congress has wanted to see
this asking for accountability from the
agency. But the agency can only do so
much. It cannot act if a foreign
government does not wish to respect our
laws and our intent to protect the
American public. So, we're at a
crossroads here. And the icing on the
cake or the nail in the coffin here was
four months later
when China said, "We have this new
anti-espionage law." And under that law,
foreign nationals who come to our
country are at risk of being detained if
we see whatever vague uh information you
may be taking out of our country or
doing whatever we think is not right.
Which indeed would be the job of the
inspector to do precisely that. Exactly.
Right. So imagine you're an FDA, you're
a federal employee and you have to
travel thousands of miles to a country
and you got to be really careful. So say
you see some things are not right. and
you write and you write up your report
and you you have to give that report to
the uh employees there and the CEO of
the
company and what if they don't like what
you're saying because that report will
be used as a basis if they find really
serious problems to send a warning
letter saying you're in violation of our
regulations and the worst case the FDA
could ban product and you would lose
money. So, how would you feel as an
employee coming up against
that? What we we got a real good picture
of this and it's not just the US that
where this is happening. There was a
very candid piece in the German trade
press and they came out and said that
they have their own drug regulators in
Germany and other countries counterparts
to FDA and they said
um our people are afraid and don't want
to travel to China because they don't
want to be arrested. And what was even
more cander was the pharma industry said
this is a big problem for us. This means
these folks can't go and so we can't
have these facilities certified as being
compliant with our high
standards. We can't get that certificate
and that means we cannot sell those
products from that facility in Germany.
Think about that. Without doubt that is
happening here in the United
States. If FDA inspectors can't go and
the agency cannot perform its regulatory
functions,
we we have nothing. Isn't shouldn't that
mean that the product can't come here?
That's exactly
right. And so now we have to ask the
question, how are these products coming
here? How do they get into our
marketplace?
It turns out there are six US companies
that source 90% of the generic drugs
that enter commerce that end up in
hospitals that end up in
retailies and they scour the earth
looking for the cheapest
price and they look to the FDA. Well,
the FDA will take care of us. We'll
we'll we'll hide behind their skirts and
if they allow us to bring it in, then
everything is
fine. And even if it hasn't been
inspected in a few years, they can say,
"Oh, well, this is, you know, the FDA
has, you know, said this is okay. The
FDA hasn't blocked it." And it's really
hard to block in advance a a whole
company. It's it takes a lot of effort
to do that. And if if we did this across
all the substandard drugs that are
coming in, we would have shortages up,
you know, in in tremendous numbers.
So they can bring it into the United
States because they focus only on price.
And I'll give you an example of how this
really works on the ground. So there was
a very ethical uh CEO of a generic
company in the Midwest. And a couple
years ago, he was describing
how he was asked by one of the reps from
one of these companies, "We'll buy your
product, and but here's the price we'll
we're willing to pay you." And by the
way, this Midwest company had never had
a product recall, never had a warning
letter, never had a bad um
inspection. And so the CEO said, "I'm
sorry, I can't make a quality product at
that
price. Can't do it. this is how we've
lost example microcosm of how we've lost
our industrial base. So he later found
out that this um sourcing company had
contracted with a manufacturer elsewhere
that had a host of product recalls FDA
warning letters which said, "Hey, you're
violating our our rules here and our
regulations and our law." That is who
this sourcing company contracted with.
So there's no incentive at all to bring
value into the equation. It's only on
price. And I watched the trade press
over the years, Yan, and they would
laugh at, oh well, it's hammer time for
generic manufacturers. They would
literally hammer down on the price paid
to
manufacturers. And if you hammer down
too hard on anything, it's going to
break,
right? Quality is broken. Our industrial
base is broken.
the trust among doctors and patients.
You know, people are picking this up.
They see that some of their generics
don't seem to be working right. You
know, it strikes me that, you know, this
may be another, not that I believe that
every the tariffs are the solution to
every problem, but it strikes me that,
you know, for poor quality product, it
would seem obvious. It'll be really
great to see how that turns out and the
impact on the market. It's been very
interesting to hear that so far, you
know, the pharmaceutical industry has
always been against tariffs,
particularly when it comes to China. So,
we'll see how this plays out. Well,
Rosemary Gibson, it's such a pleasure to
have had you on again. It's great to be
here. Yan, thank you so much. Thank you
all for joining Rosemary Gibson and me
on this episode of American Thought
Leaders. I'm your host, Yana Kell.
[Music]