(Ep. 132) What is the PSLF Snowball? [Rebroadcast] | Student Loan Planner
#Only a small number of people were approved for PSLF in the first year of eligibility; I expect the 1% acceptance rate for PSLF is the lowest we will ever see and we should look forward to an increase each year. The media has put out quite a few clickbait headlines on PSLF while sharing plenty of inaccurate information. PSLF became a major story in 2018, but I feel despite the backlash that the program is here to stay. Today on the Student Loan Planner® podcast, we will be discussing Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) and how the approval rate will snowball to a larger percentage in future years.
Hello, Student Loan Planner Podcast listeners, Travis and his growing
family have just moved out of state.
They need a little bit more time to unpack, get settled,
find their new surroundings.
This week, they're going to bring back one of the original episodes from way
back in late 2018, that if you're a new listener, you're in for a treat.
And if you've been with us since the beginning, or you've gone back and
binged to all the Student Loan Planner Podcast episodes, thank you.
And enjoy the flashback.
We're bringing back what is the PSLF snowball?
Enjoy.
Hey, and welcome to another episode of the Student Loan Planner Podcast.
There is a ton of misinformation out there surrounding the public
service loan forgiveness program.
It is so bad and so ridiculous that I felt compelled to do this podcast
episode, just because I think that a lot of people are going to get really,
really hurt financially, thanks to the media, not understanding really anything
about this program and the reasons for what's happening right now with only 1%
of borrowers, about 96 people getting approved for the latest round of
public service loan forgiveness.
So you had about 28,000 or so borrowers apply about 1% got accepted.
Why is that?
First of all, provisional acceptance was about like 300, I think of the total
borrowers and about a hundred of them were actually received the loan
forgiveness of about 5.5 million total.
Now I got excited about this.
And a lot of people were like, Travis, are you crazy?
Like, why are you excited that a hundred people got it out of 28,000 or so?
And the reason is because this proves for sure, once and for
all, this is a real thing.
People saying that PSLF is not real can no longer say that because there's
literal proof that it very much is.
Now, the effect that we're dealing with here is the public service loan
forgiveness snowball effect.
A snowball at the top of the hill might start off really small.
Gradually it's going to roll down the hill and it's going to collect more
and more snow and it's going to get larger and larger and larger before
it's this massive thing that's unstoppable.
This really defines the PSLF program.
In my opinion, the reason for this is because of the way the
program was designed structurally.
It's almost designed to fail in the first three years of
people being eligible for it.
Now, let me explain why.
Direct loans were only available at certain schools before 2010.
So in 2008, you know, you have to pay for 10 years based on your
income on an income-based program, by the way, while at a qualifying
employer to be eligible for PSLF.
So that means if you're starting off in 2008 and making payments based on
your income in 2018, you could potentially be eligible if you were
making payments on direct loans.
Before 2010, there were two kinds of loans that were issued by the
One was called fell loans, FFEL.
Those loans were issued basically mostly from banks that were guaranteed
by the government and they were not eligible for PSLF.
So this type of loan existed before the 2007 overhaul of the higher
education act that created IBR and public service loan forgiveness.
And when the government makes changes, the government can't turn in a dime.
It's this giant behemoth organization.
It takes time to make these changes.
So late 2007, they make all these changes and you're talking about a
massive, massive alteration to the way student loan rules are done in America.
You know, at the time, hundreds of billions of dollars that
had to get totally changed.
So the government had to figure out how to implement all of this.
And so what, what happened was at the time, the only repayment program that
you had access to before September, 2009 was called income contingent repayment.
Now, let me tell you something about ICR, income contingent repayment.
You have to pay basically 20% of your income and you only get a deduction
of about a hundred percent of the federal poverty line.
So if you were making $50,000 a year and you know, your federal
poverty line say is 15,000.
And so you've got 35,000 leftover.
You have to basically make payments of about $7,000 a year.
And so that's pretty high, you know, on any kind of reasonable
amount of student loan debt.
Because so few people had direct loans in 2008, only 122 billion of the about
500 something billion dollars in total federal loans were direct.
So that's about 21% of total federal loans that were in qualifying status basically.
So if you think about that in terms of the total amount of debt being only
21% that'd be eligible, you also had to have that direct federal loan debt
in a qualifying repayment program.
So that means since IBR was only accessible starting in September, 2009,
the only thing that you could use before then was ICR.
Now, ICR is extremely difficult to understand compared to the
other repayment programs.
It's hard to sign up for.
It's difficult to navigate.
You basically have to know exactly what you're doing to be
able to get signed up for ICR.
So if you look at the percentage of borrowers that was in a basically
an eligible income-based repayment program in 2013, it was about 72
billion that was on a qualifying income-driven repayment option in 2013.
Okay.
So ICR, IBR, or pay as you earn.
And that's only 13% of the total debt at that time.
So you had to have direct loans.
You had to have loans paid on a qualifying income-driven repayment
program, and you had to have payments for 10 years while you're
doing all these things correctly.
So out of the 122 billion of direct loans that could potentially
have been eligible for PSLF, you want to take 13% of that, and
that's equal to about 15 billion.
So 15 billion optimistically is what could have been eligible in 2008 for PSLF.
But that 15 billion, the issue with that would be that it's very unlikely that
there was actually 13% of the total direct loan debt on an income-driven
repayment program back then because of how difficult it was to sign up for
ICR because ICR was the only repayment program that existed, right?
So if you were going to try to sign up for an extremely difficult repayment
program to actually get on, then the percentage realistically of the direct
loans that was on ICR back in 2008, if I'm just going to make up a guess, say
5%, really optimistically, 5% of the total direct loan debt that was around
in 2008 that could be eligible in 2018 for public service loan forgiveness
is about $6 billion.
And we know that out of the existing workforce in America that could be
eligible for public service loan forgiveness, there's about 25% of the
US workforce that could be eligible for public service loan forgiveness.
So if we wanted to take 25% of that $6 billion number of people that could be
eligible for PSLF at that time, it's about 1.5 billion.
So out of the total debt of $577 billion that existed back in 2008, only about
1.5 billion of that could have been in a situation to potentially be eligible for
public service loan forgiveness by my optimistic standards of measurement here.
That's about 0.26% of all people that could have been eligible for public
service loan forgiveness.
And that's people who would be in a qualifying job for even for part of the
10 years at the start of it.
And then you had to have been on an ICR type of plan for a 10 year period of
time, and then you had to have only direct loans and not have FFEL loans.
So that pretty much rules out most people that went to graduate school
approximately in that time, because if you went to graduate school back then
you were probably taking out FFEL plus loans or something like that.
That's why you're not seeing any physicians right now, for example, that
are eligible for PSLF because you basically had no people out there that
were at a med school to getting only direct loans that were in a qualifying
program at that time because of how difficult it was to access it.
So 0.26% of the 577 billion that existed in 2008 could have been eligible,
but it's even worse than that.
And why is it worse than that?
Because you had to be at a qualifying employer, not for
profit or government, right?
Full time for 10 years.
So meaning that you would have had to be continuously employed for those 10 years
without any gaps in employment, without any gaps of forbearance or deferment,
without any just lack of, of doing the paperwork right now on top of that, all
the problems that I mentioned that makes even that 0.26% of loans being
eligible for PSLF on top of those problems, the PSLF certification form,
the employment certification form only came around in existence in 2012.
So 2012 is obviously significantly farther into the future than 2008 when
people were having to first set this thing up for the first time to be eligible in
If you want to be extremely optimistic, you might say that people who are working
towards PSLF immediately applied.
As soon as the certification form went live in 2012, 2013, fixed any problems
with their certifications, contacted old employers, got all the signatures that
they needed, got all the paperwork put together in the right way.
And then finally applied once they had the 10 years of service that they needed
to get eligibility and they submitted everything that they needed to do at that
time, but that's too optimistic because as we know, most people, like I have
for example, feel like I'm fairly informed about student loan debt and I
obviously didn't pay attention to it until 2015 when I met my now wife who was
a fellow in a surgical specialty at the time.
That's when I studied about this a lot and we actually didn't even understand
what the employment certification form was until we located it on after doing a
ton of Google research back then.
So I think that most people that would be applying right now would be applying
without having done that employment certification form because of the form
existing after when they started repayment.
And so if you think about the problems with that, you basically are trying to
get 10 years worth of signatures from employers proving that you were fully
employed during that timeframe.
That is extremely difficult.
Okay.
Imagine me, I'm, you know, in my late twenties here, imagine me trying to
contact my, so I used to work as a security guard at my church, which is
basically meaning I just sat at the front desk, you know, when I was in high
school or in just helping people find different rooms in the building they
needed to find and walking the doors at night.
So that's, that was, it was a great job cause I got to do some homework and, you
know, relax and read stuff at the computer.
So imagine if I had to go track down my supervisor back then from 10 years ago
and get a signature that I was working a specific schedule back then it
would be very, very difficult.
I maybe could have tax returns that could show this perhaps, but do you have
your tax returns from 10 years ago?
I mean, to be honest with you, I don't.
So that is a big problem right there.
If you look at the distribution of people that got denied with the PSLF
application, the total folks that were denied for this program, they had 70%
that were denied that did not meet one of the eligibility rules for the program.
So I showed you why only 0.26% in my estimation of the total federal loan
debt could have been in a situation to be eligible for PSLF back then.
So that makes tons of sense that people would be declined.
Now I think about 28 to 29% in total were rejected because they didn't have a
signature or they were incomplete.
So they were advised to submit more complete applications.
So again, I think that's probably a deal where they had to find signatures from
supervisors, people that could go back and attest to them actually being employed
during the timeframe in question and filling out the forms correctly.
Think about this.
Out of your friends, you are probably more knowledgeable about student loans
and forgiveness than the majority by far.
Think about the typical person in America that does anything.
Do they know about the issue in question that they're trying to get help with?
Does a typical American know a lot about retirement savings or about social
security or about claiming Medicare or about Medicaid and getting access to that
or like, you know, ACA health insurance and getting access to that?
Most people have no idea about the program rules for the thing that they're
applying for, right?
They just know that they think that they should qualify, right?
When you're, when you're 65 years old, you're going to call your, your social
security office and ask about getting money from the government for the rest of
your life because you paid in for 40 years.
Like that's a typical American.
So if you think about the typical American applying for PSLF in this window of 2018
right now, the typical person knows a little bit about PSLF to be dangerous, but
not a ton about it.
They're not experts.
So this typical person applying is a part of this group that has the 10 years of
eligibility, but was on the wrong repayment program, like an extended program
instead of ICR, or maybe they were under the wrong type of loan.
So maybe they were under the wrong, uh, they were on fell loans, FFEL loans when
they should have been on direct loans.
And the only way they could have known that is if they had consolidated the debt.
So you basically had to have a best friend at the department of education
before 2010 to qualify for PSLF.
Now I want to talk about the PSLF snowball effect that I mentioned earlier in the
show.
Why do I think that the 1% acceptance rate for PSLF is the absolute lowest that we
are ever going to see for this program.
In September, 2009, you have IBR come online.
So suddenly IBR income-based repayment, you can pay 15% of your income with 150%
deduction of the federal poverty line.
So that's a much easier program to understand and get access to than the
income contingent repayment program.
So suddenly in September, 2019, you've got all these folks that for the very first
time are getting online that have IBR, right?
And in sure enough, you know, if you look at the data in 2013, there's two and a
half times as many people on IBR than ICR.
So this is going to drastically expand the pool of potential people that could be
eligible for PSLF.
Now in 2010, the federal government took over all lending away from all of the
banks and became the only lender for student loan debt really in America.
Now that responsibility being the only lender now means that all of the loans
that exist after 2010 are direct federal loans, pretty much.
So direct federal loans, that means that that's the type of loan you have to have
to qualify for the PSLF program.
So fast forward 10 years from 2010 and 2020, we're going to see all of these folks
that suddenly have by default the right kind of loan to receive PSLF.
So that's going to be maybe an additional tens of thousands of folks.
In 2012, basically, so this is kind of an interesting history of the Pay As You Earn
program, Congress passed a law that you would be able to pay 10% of your income
starting in 2014 if you were a brand new borrower.
President Obama realized that through a presidential memorandum, he could grant
access to Pay As You Earn early through executive action.
So he gave a campaign speech at the University of Iowa in 2012.
I learned about this, by the way, from Heather Jarvis, another student loan
expert, basically what he said is, effective immediately, I am going to
reduce the payments you all have to make on your student loan debt from 15% of
your income to 10% of your income.
And obviously that's a very attractive thing for a group of people like that.
But the problem was, is an executive order like that did not come with any
congressional authorization or appropriations to pay for it.
For that reason, they had to put a lot of limitations on this executive promise so
that they could actually do it in the limited confines of the law that they
could do this for.
That's why they said you had to have no loans prior to October 1st, 2007.
And you had to have at least one loan after October, 2011.
Why is that?
It's basically so the class of 2012 could, at University of Iowa, could
receive pay as you earn.
That's how pay as you earn came into existence.
So pay as you earn didn't come around until 2012, approximately.
Even in 2013, the data shows that only about a billion dollars of debt was on
the pay as you earn programs, a very small adoption rate at that point.
But over that 2022 to 2023 timeframe, you're going to have all these pay as you
earn borrowers coming online that have debt that qualifies.
Now, in 2012, you have the employment certification form that finally codified
basically proving that you have cumulative credit towards PSLF instead of having to
submit the application all at the last second, which is a recipe for disaster.
That means that we're going to have a lot of folks in 2022 become eligible.
And what if you were a med school graduate in, say, 2012?
You would have had to have consolidated your loans to get them all converted.
So the ones before 2010, you'd have to convert them to FFEL loans to be able to
get PSLF.
So if you straddled that 2010 timeframe when the government just started issuing
only direct federal loans, you're going to see people who graduated basically in
four-year programs, basically all the way up to 2014, you're going to see people
all the way up to the class of 2014, for any professional program, have some
problems qualifying for public service loan forgiveness.
So for that reason, you're going to basically see this gradual, I think,
exponential curve of people that are starting to get approved for PSLF.
And that's why it's going to take so much time, because the program was designed so
poorly and is designed, frankly, so poorly that the folks that are going to get
approved at the very beginning were the people who did everything perfect.
They were experts in the loan program.
They had a best friend working at the Department of Education, and they did
everything right.
And the people who, in that sort of 2010 timeframe, you're going to see a lot more
people become eligible.
I think a lot of these folks are going to be people that were in one or two-year
graduate programs that were able to get all direct loans by default, where they
didn't have to actually actively do anything to become eligible except for
sign-up for an income-driven repayment program.
And remember, that 2010 to 2014 timeframe was the heyday of the Obama student loan
forgiveness scams, where everybody would be saying, oh, we'll get your loans
wiped away, just pay the subfront fee, we'll get your loans consolidated, we'll
do your paperwork for you.
And so there was all kinds of misinformation that existed back then, even
more than today, really.
And so for that reason, if you're really looking to see massive PSLF awards, wait
until 2024.
That's when you're going to have many years of IBR and pay-as-you-earn existing.
You're going to have many years of the employment certification form existing.
You're going to have a process that's been beaten down a lot from so many
thousands of people applying for it.
By that time, it should probably be a little bit more efficient than it is
today.
And if you want more proof that PSLF is really going to be a thing, wait until
2020, when you're going to start seeing the first, what I call larger wave of
people getting it because of those FFEL loans basically not existing anymore for
the 10 years period after which you would have had to have them originated in.
So if you are questioning going for PSLF and wondering what the heck you're doing,
then you need to calm the heck down because the folks that are applying right
now are just not eligible by and large.
They had to do everything perfect.
There's no way that people are that perfect managing their finances.
65% of student loan borrowers supposedly, according to some recent survey I saw
online, had a less than a thousand dollars in the bank.
And you know, another survey says overall, like the majority of Americans don't
even have even $5,000 to rub together.
And that's kind of the minimum that you need for any semblance of an emergency
fund.
And you think that people that are that unaware of financial matters manage
their program perfectly when there was so many obstacles and hurdles to get
everything set up the right way.
So if you were going for the PSLF program, do not abandon it right now.
Abandon it if you can make more money in the private sector by all means and pay
it back.
That's a fantastic strategy.
If you are a dentist working in a not-for-profit health clinic, for example,
you could easily make more money by setting up your own private clinic and
just focusing either on loan forgiveness with the 20 to 25 year version, or just
paying it back with the refinancing strategy.
If you are an attorney, you will make more money, obviously, working in a big
law setting than you would in a public interest legal setting.
And public service loan forgiveness should not be used as a primary financial
goal or strategy.
It should be used because you would do this anyway, and you're going to get a
nice benefit that you would not get otherwise if you didn't pursue the
program.
So you're basically seeing so much misinformation and confusion, and the
media sees 1% acceptance rate.
And let's be real for a second, you know, the media needs clicks because the
media, unless you're doing a paid subscriber model, like a Wall Street
journal, the only source of income you have is from advertising.
The way you sell ads is you get lots of views on pages.
So I'm not necessarily saying that the media is actively trying to spread
misinformation, but the media is highly incentivized to run headlines that are
not boring, which means that they are sensationalist, right?
And with clickbait headlines comes all kinds of issues where the information is
just not that accurate.
So that's why you're seeing things like there was a Vice article that said,
you're probably not getting that loan forgiveness you're counting on.
That's a terrible title.
That's basically saying that don't plan on PSLF, just refinance it or pay it back
or don't count on it at all because of this problem with the program.
You know, the temporary expanded PSLF, TPSLF, that is the program where it gave
$350 million to folks that were on like the extended plan where their payments
were as large as an income driven plan would have been.
And that gives them credit towards PSLF if they had direct loans.
But the problem with that is, like I showed you, very few people had direct
loans prior to 2010 relative to the total debt that was out there.
So very few people had the right kind of loans.
So a lot of people read that and they think, OK, I got to apply with my fell
loans for credit on my PSLF.
Well, no, you still have the wrong kind of freaking loans.
And I don't mean to sound insensitive here.
It's just it's just so much misinformation and it's so frustrating to see people
being taken advantage of like this or at least misled.
And so all these people apply for the temporary expanded PSLF and they're
getting denied because they have fell loans and not direct loans.
And if you have the direct loans, well, then the burden of proof is on you to show
that your payment was at least as large as your income contingent repayment.
ICR payment plan would have been if you were on that program instead.
And OK, well, the only way to show that is if you can go back in time
and prove that your income was a certain level and that you could be on the
extended plan and that payment was going to be larger than your income.
Based plan. Now, the temporary expanded PSLF.
The reason why that excites me so much is not because of the actual
350 million they're giving to borrowers to help them qualify for it
because they were on the wrong repayment program.
The reason is because a Republican Congress in a Republican White House
decided that they were going to give hundreds of millions of dollars
not already appropriated for the public service loan forgiveness program
to try to help people qualify for it.
That means that if you are giving extra money
that you've not already promised to something,
then you do not support the repeal of it.
That's logical, right?
If you were going to repeal something, you would draw a line in the sand
and say not a dime more.
But instead, the conservative members, the conservative party is saying,
well, let's give 350 million.
Now, the Democratic Party wanted three billion dollars
for temporary expanded PSLF.
So the the issue here is that PSLF is very clearly a thing.
And in fact, if you look at the reports that are out there
for the number of people that are qualifying for PSLF,
the numbers are really quite encouraging and kind of extraordinary, really.
So as of the second quarter of 2018, which is the end of June 2018,
there are a cumulative 936,029 borrowers
that have received approval for at least one of their payments
that they're going for PSLF with.
So the total number of approved employment certification forms
right now is like 1.68 million.
Now, there have been about 840,000 denied employment certification
forms as of mid 2018 time frame.
And that means that there are almost a million borrowers out there
that the government and Fed loan is basically saying do qualify for PSLF.
Now, cumulative PSLF borrowers in 2012.
Guess how many cumulative borrowers there were
when the employment certification form first came out?
I'm going to let you come up with a guess, a number in your head first
before I tell you.
If you said 25,683, then you would have been right.
So in 2012, there was 25,000 people basically
that had qualified their employment and were on the right repayment program
and had the right kind of loans working towards PSLF.
Now there's 936,000.
This is the snowball that I'm talking about, folks.
So you're going to have 96 people get it in 2018 or maybe 300,
I think was the total number that they think are going to be approved.
And then in 2019, they'll probably be maybe a couple thousand
because you had the increased availability of income based repayment in 2009.
So 10 years after, right?
In 2020, you're going to have the increased availability of direct loans,
which is the only kind of loan
that's eligible for public service loan forgiveness
that will probably be worth another, say, 5000 borrowers.
It'll get it, something like that.
And then in 2011, my guess is you'll see a big jump
because the direct federal loans were around
with income based repayment for a longer period then.
So you'll probably see 10 to 20,000 or so get it.
Now, in 2012, the cumulative PSLF borrowers,
it's not just the 25,000 that got their certifications in that year.
It's going to be the people who went back and got it corrected in the past to
fast forward to 2022.
You're going to see in 2022, maybe like 50,000 to 100,000 people get it.
And then 2013, maybe double that or triple that.
In 2014, you had 191,000 of people that had cumulatively
been approved for PSLF at that point.
And remember, you don't have to get your employment certified
when you apply.
You can apply without having your employment ever been certified.
So at that point, I think you're going to see a big uptick, like maybe
maybe, you know, a couple hundred thousand people get approved in 2024.
And then we're off to the races.
The reality is that Congress is not going to realize what they did
until after they start getting the bill for this five million dollars,
5.5 million for the first 96 borrowers for PSLF.
That is like saving like I don't even know, like the Western,
you know, red-tailed ferret or something habitat like that's like nothing
like nobody would see that on a federal budget, right?
Like that's going to be completely ignored
when you see that bill in the tens of millions or even hundreds of millions.
I think you're still going to see that be ignored
because in the federal budget of, you know, multi trillions,
it's a tiny, tiny line item.
So people are still not going to notice that.
And the political consequences for voting to repeal something like that
are very high because you have a high education borrowers
that really depend on this program.
And the cost of the program on the books is not going to look like it's that high.
So Congress, people and representatives and senators
are not going to really have a big incentive to repeal it.
Now, 2020 is an election year, right?
Imagine all the fighting that's going to happen around student loan debt
at that point.
If we have a recession in between now and then, it's going to be even worse
because, you know, loans are going to be an even bigger problem
that people are weighed down by in the middle of a recession
where they're trying to keep their head above water.
So in 2020, do you think that they're going to make the loans
situation any worse for PSLF borrowers?
I don't think so.
So really, I think perhaps say you have the betting money,
I think would would suggest maybe like a Democratic president in 2020,
maybe a Republican Senate and a Democratic House.
I mean, who knows what will happen?
But certainly, you know, you wouldn't have, I think, any big changes to PSLF
with the split control of Congress in the White House in any case.
So the very first moment, I think you could even see any big changes
with PSLF eligibility might be 2022.
And, you know, speculation is very dangerous about the future, right?
So this is just a best guess, you know, as I say this in 2018.
But say in 2022, you finally get some discussion.
And wow, this is really costing us a lot of money.
Maybe we should reform this.
At that point, it probably will be too late to bring this program in
because look at every single other program that's ever existed
in the federal government.
Social Security, everybody says, well, Social Security
is not going to be around for our generation because it's going to go away.
Then we're not going to have anything available to us.
Well, the problem with that is whenever they have a problem
with Social Security, they either raise the payroll tax.
So they have increased it a bunch of times in the past four years.
Now it's like 15.3 percent, I think, something like that of total wages
below, I think, 120 something thousand.
You know, I'm not a Social Security expert,
but basically they raise the taxes to cover the expense.
And then the other thing that they do is they push off the year
that you can have the full retirement age.
So instead of 65, they'll push it to 66 and then they'll push it to 67
and they'll just keep pushing it older and older and older
so that the program's finances are basically become solvent that way.
If you look at other programs, look at the ACA,
everybody was predicting its demise and it is alive and well.
It's not going away, most likely, because if people have gotten too used to it
and it's become a stable program now, basically, look at Medicare.
Medicare, you wouldn't touch with a 10 foot pole.
The very best thing that you could do with Medicare is to try to have
a discussion of either reining in costs or maybe trying to negotiate
more heavily with with physicians.
But really, if you think about Medicare, Medicare costs have done nothing
but just go up and they haven't reined it in at all.
Now, compared to Medicare, PSLF is a joke.
It's a tiny program.
Even if you had hundreds of billions of dollars getting covered one day,
maybe over time, maybe over decades, that's still a tiny program
compared to something like Medicare and Medicaid, you know, Medicaid.
Medicaid has done nothing but expand since it passed in the 60s.
You've seen nothing with Medicaid except for growing coverage
of all kinds of different things.
So, you know, a lot more people have access to Medicaid.
Also, people don't know this, but the primary Medicaid expense
that's out there is for middle class people going into nursing homes.
Medicaid covers your nursing home expenses
once you have expended all of your assets and the majority of Americans
that reach a very elderly age benefit from Medicaid
because Medicaid covers their nursing home expense.
So people that say, well, the government's going to pull the rug out from under us.
They're never going to honor this PSLF program.
They're not going to keep it around for me.
Here's proof that there's only a one percent acceptance rate.
You don't understand the program.
You don't understand the fine print.
You don't understand the promise, right?
No, you haven't read it.
You haven't considered the long history of the government
keeping its promises with expanding programs
and basically not curtailing them until they have to.
And then when they do have to,
they'll do it probably the way that they did with Social Security.
They will curtail those benefits for future borrowers, not for current borrowers.
So for Social Security beneficiaries, basically what the government says
is if you're born after 1950, whatever, you're going to be under this set of rules
where you're going to have an older retirement age.
But if you're born before this date,
then you're going to have access to this earlier retirement age.
So notice that they didn't ever suggest, let's change the benefits
for people already getting Social Security.
They didn't do that because that'd be political suicide.
The same thing would be true for PSLF, I think,
or any of these loan forgiveness programs that they made them less generous.
They could absolutely make them less generous for people who are
not yet in a graduate program for the loans that they would take out
for that graduate program.
That is always a risk.
But for people who already have the loans,
watch this PSLF snowball grow and grow and grow,
where it becomes such a big deal that it will become almost impossible
to stop or slow down, except for some future circumstance
where they limit the eligibility of PSLF
to borrowers in the future for future programs.
So when you're thinking about getting help with PSLF,
obviously, we spend a ton of time thinking about this.
So if you have a bunch of student loan debt,
we would love to help you make a custom student loan plan
with one of our team of CFP and CFA consultants.
If that's you, if you have more than, I would say,
$50,000 of student loan debt, then you might benefit from a plan.
Check out studentloanplanner.com forward slash book, B-O-O-K,
studentloanplanner.com forward slash book to see the available times.
And that is a paid plan, folks.
We want you to benefit as much as possible from all the free resources
that are out there, like this podcast or blogs, our YouTube videos,
everything that we give away, the email list.
We want you to do things on your own if you can.
And if you feel like it's overwhelming, you don't know how to maximize
all the rules, you don't know how to stay calm and stay focused
with getting the most free given possible, then we would love to help
make a plan for you and your family with one of our team of folks.
The fee for that is very reasonable compared to the typical cost
for a even a fee only planner that may or may not have any clue
about what you're going through.
So do not trust the media.
Do not trust what they're telling you about PSLF.
Be very skeptical.
And I will promise you one thing.
If there's ever a massive change to the rules,
if you're paying attention to studentloanplanner.com,
you'll be one of the first ones to know about it.
So do not believe all the misinformation.
Just you wait until 2020 and beyond when you're going to see
this exponential increase in people getting PSLF.
And for goodness sakes, don't go and refinance your loans
just because you think PSLF is not going to happen.
If you're planning on staying in an offer profit employer,
that could be a hundred or two hundred or even three hundred thousand
dollar mistake.
Thanks so much for listening to the show.
If you have any questions, just reach out to us on the site.
And until next time, do not panic about the PSLF program.

