Trump, the Economy & World War III: Col. Douglas Macgregor’s Shocking Predictions

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4 Video Views·Nov 9, 2024
"In this episode with Col. Dougal Macgregor we discuss:
Economic outlook for the next presidency
Why Col. predicts a financial 'Armaggedon' and crisis ahead
Investing in gold, Bitcoin and cash
What should the President of the United States be an expert in?
Can we now avoid WWIII and escalating global conflicts?"
Well, Colonel Douglas MacGregor, thank you so much for having me at the Our Country,
Our Choice headquarters. It's great to see you. You know, you're my most popular
guest on the podcast. I can't believe that. It's very true. Amazing. I'm not exactly a Bitcoin
expert. So well, your message clearly resonates. And I want to talk to you because it's a very
consequential time in American history, another election. Let's really zoom in on the economy
because we are hearing from the media and the pundits that everything's so great. Inflation
has come down. But if you talk to the average person, I would argue that the middle class
has never struggled more in terms of affording the cost of living and their quality of life has
been degraded. What do you think needs to be done to strengthen our economy? And what can the
president do? Well, you always have these hard questions. Do we have any easy ones we can start
with? The president has got to do several things. And we don't really appreciate this,
how important this point is. First and foremost, we have to enforce the law.
I talk to people from all over the world who come to this country who become citizens. They take
seven years to become citizens. And they come from Turkey, they come from Pakistan, they come
from Thailand, they come from Italy, wherever they come from. And one of the first things they all
say is, I love this country because I can do business here. And most of these people that
come here legally actually want desperately to do well in business. They want to get out there and
earn money, improve themselves. And I said, well, why is that? He said, because you don't have to
everyone to do something. Everywhere you go, you have to bribe someone. In most countries in the
world, we don't go through that. That seems like a minor issue. But this is breaking down in our
country. The law is not being rigorously enforced. And as you pointed out, I think we were talking
earlier about taxation. The power to tax is the power to destroy and the tax structure is a
disaster. It does far more harm than good. We're not harvesting the kind of income from the
population that we want. We're harming the population in many cases. So you've got to reform
the tax structure. But first and foremost, you have to enforce the law. That means you close your
borders. That means that anybody who breaks into your house is treated as a criminal, not welcomed
with checks for thousands of dollars and told to settle anywhere they want.
These things have to be done first. Now, then there's the whole issue of what do we do about
industry? How do we repatriate a lot of manufacturing? Well, I think a lot of that
will occur largely because you can no longer operate overseas and have the wonderful margins
of profit that you once did in the past. China is no longer the promised land in terms of cheap,
easy labor and lots and lots of profits. So a lot of the manufacturing in China is moving down
into Southeast Asia, into Indonesia, Malaysia, and so forth. We have to do that. And there are
ways to do that. And I think that was something that President Trump wanted to do in his first
term. Maybe this time around, he'll have a way to do that. Tariffs are a big problem.
People say, well, we have to punish these people. Well, we have to punish China.
Let me tell you, I was reading through something today and what really struck me as important was
this statement. China's exports to the Global South and BRICS countries in March reached a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.6 trillion a year. That's nearly four times China's exports
to the United States and more than the combined total of China's exports to the United States,
Europe and Japan, which reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.38 trillion in March.
What does this mean? How do you punish China? China has moved on. It is expanded. It is adjusted.
It's prepared to deal with us on a far less advantageous plane than the one we previously
enjoyed. It's very similar to Russia. Remember, we're going to harm Russia.
That's what we're helping all of these Ukrainians to do. We're going to harm Russia. We're going to
degrade Russia. And what have we done? Russia has profited. Ukraine is destroyed. It's in ruins.
We've lost hundreds of billions of dollars and we're responsible for the deaths of at least
600,000 Ukrainian soldiers, probably 1.2 to 1.5 million wounded, and the nation is gone.
Millions of people have left. It's not going to recover anytime soon.
And Russia is sitting on top of what it wanted, which was essentially areas where Russians live
to protect the Russian population. And contrary to expectation, it hasn't advanced west because
it doesn't want to conquer Eastern Europe, which it never did. Who in their right mind
wants to conquer Europe right now and manage that place? It's a catastrophe.
People just don't think any of these things through. So what we have today, I think,
in China and in Russia are the very opposite of the things that we anticipated. So the whole idea
of sanctioning, threatening, bullying has got to go away. It just won't work. So we have to take
out a clean sheet of paper and look at the true balance of payments, the true commerce, the
commercial traffic. What's it look like? What do we produce? What do we create that they buy? What
do they produce that we need? People like Lighthouser, who I think was a very brilliant
man and did a great job under President Trump, they're going to have to take out the clean
sheet of paper and start from scratch. I think this financial and economic crisis that looms
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bitdeer.com and explore how they are pioneering the future today. One thing that I hear you touch
on is the fact that one of our issues is we are not one of the net producers of the world. The
only thing we really produce now is debt, whereas these other countries, they're producing commodities,
they're energy powerhouses, and we have gone more in the direction of just financializing our entire
economy, which has crushed the middle class. So what is this financial Armageddon that you see
and how is it going to play out? Well, first of all, I'm not the visionary who sees the Armageddon.
I'm someone who is sitting by the side of the river watching the waves roll by and listening
to someone like Nassim Taleb, the man that coined the phrase, the black swan. And he points out that
if you look at the bottom of the hill, there is a pond down there and there are lots of black swans
and they're ready to take off. And he said, this is back in March of this year, I think he was on MSNBC,
which I like to watch because they do bring on some great guests. I don't care for their
analysis, but the guests are great. And Nassim Taleb said, look, Armageddon is just over the
horizon. This is fake money. This is not real. It's all going to collapse. There is no production.
And the people at the top, they have no skin in the game. So Armageddon is just over the horizon.
I think what he's saying is that the financialization of our economy, the transaction
fees that are the source of wealth for the top 1% or 2% or 5%, that's not going to work much longer.
And at some point, everybody is going to refuse to deal with you.
Now, we're going to have a strong dollar for a while, which is not necessarily good for us
for a while. I don't know how long that lasts, but at some point that's going to change.
We've already seen the petrodollar begin to move away because we watched Saudi Arabia and the
Emirates. They're all marching into the BRICS architecture. And that's very important. Bank
failures are just beginning. We've had the problems with the first republic. Now we're
going towards Bank of America, which looks very bad, similar to what was UBS and so forth.
I think that's the number one concern, first of these bank failures that we're going to start
experiencing. The tariff war, we already explained why tariffs aren't going to work,
so that's a dead end. Fed tightening and easing too late. What did the Fed do? They said,
well, we're going to drive down interest rates. What's happened in the bond market?
Where are the yields? They're rising and rising. This is sort of like you're trapped in a room,
and you've got this much oxygen left in the room, and everything else is underwater.
And you're trying to tell yourself the fundamentals are good. I know this is going
to work. And if I just blow bubbles long enough, there'll be more oxygen up there. No, I don't
think so. So I think that's part of the thing. And the financial crisis that we're confronting,
look at Japan, look at the United Kingdom, look at Germany, the systematic deindustrialization
of the country, which is not very different to a large extent from what we've been doing
to ourselves over the years by exporting manufacturing bases. And finally, gold. Gold
is up 30%. Now, it's not impossible that gold could tank and then rise again. But the point
is, it's gotten to 30% in how short a period? In a space of what, a year? A year or two?
And we haven't even touched on Bitcoin. And you know more about that than anybody.
Because that's why Bitcoin is important. That's why gold's important. All these commodities are
very important. Because they're stores of real value. And that's what we're missing here. You
can't run a fake economy on fake money for very long and get away with it. We've been doing it
at least for 30 years, maybe longer. Some people want to go back to when we came off the gold
standard. That may be true. But we're definitely running a fake economy with fake money.
Now, what we say here in our country, our choice is that we have to
focus on certain specific things. We've talked about rule of law.
We've got to get out of all these conflicts. These are just sapping our strength. They're
wasting our time, money and energy. We're not living in 1900. This is not the era of gunboat
diplomacy. We've got to get out of this business of intervening all over the world in other people's
affairs. It's just not, it's unaffordable. We can't sustain it. We don't want it.
And we're creating new enemies. But the first thing we need to do is we've got to say,
where are we going to focus our efforts? Energy is absolutely number one. Donald Trump understands
that. Energy is critical. And everybody says, well, that's right. We'll just get going really,
really fast. We'll start fracking and we'll start this and that. Stop a minute and think about
something. How many refineries do we have in the United States? When's the last time we built any
new ones? How many drilling platforms have we recently started and opened? And when was the
last one that was abandoned? You can't go to an industry like the oil industry and natural gas
and say, OK, restraints are off. It's time to go, boys. Huh? Where's the capital? How do I do this?
How do I get it rolling and running? But energy is critical. Energy, energy, energy. The second
thing is high end manufacturing. You talked about what do we make? We used to be the leader
in microcircuitry in the world. Go back 30 years and we were producing all this complex micro
circuitry, which powers all of your precision munitions, not just in the military, but in a
whole range of areas. What do we build now? Everyone says, well, Taiwan, Taiwan. Well,
of course, it's got to be there's got to be any war in Taiwan because they're producing
microchips that everybody needs. But why has that happened? It's because we shipped it out.
We exported it. The so-called ruling elite, the ruling class, abandoned the American people and
said, to hell with you. We'll go make it over here and we'll make more money. It'll be cheaper,
better, faster. And at the same time, what's happened to the skilled labor? It's dropped.
Agriculture. We have an enormous potential in this country to dramatically increase our yields
of all sorts of grains and food. That is there. That is a huge strategic advantage for the United
States. So those are three critical areas that we've absolutely got to focus on.
And something which I brought up recently that a lot of people have been interested in is something
I called the Golden Spike Program. Have you heard that? No. Well, the Golden Spike Program was
a very smart former Navy nuclear submariner and I wrote in the Washington Times back in 2017.
And we tried to get the attention of the White House and the lady who was the Secretary of
Transportation. And she was married to, I think it was Senator Mitchell. I can't remember her name,
but no one would touch it. But it's very simple. If you look at the United States in the world,
where does the United States sit? Everybody says, well, it's between the Atlantic and the Pacific.
That's right. Now stop and hold that picture. Where was Rome at its height? It was in the
middle of the Mediterranean. It was surrounded by water. And ultimately being positioned in the
center of the Mediterranean made it a power in and of itself. It was an economic and financial
power, much more than it was necessarily a manufacturing power at that point. But everything
had to cross the Mediterranean in business and commerce, and Rome profited. Right now, the
Chinese and the Russians and most of the Central Asian republics are so sick of dealing with us
that they're trying very hard to bypass us. Well, how do you bypass us? You've got to build rail
and transportation networks that run from China, almost virtually from the coast, because China is
referred to in East Asia as the banana. Because if you look at where all the population is,
it's shaped like a banana. It's all along the coast. There's nothing inland. I don't want to
say nothing, but comparatively few people. You've got to ship the things that they're building,
producing across the Eurasian continent to Poland, Ukraine, right through those corridors
and into Europe. But that's not easy. Not only is it an engineering catastrophe, it takes years
and tremendous investment, but it also means that you've got people all along the way who have their
hands out. You want permission? You've got to pay. You've got to pay. You've got to pay.
We have a tremendous advantage, much like the Romans. We speak one language from the Atlantic
to the Pacific. There are no intervening countries. There are no intervening tariffs
or regulations or anything else. If we build fast sea lift that can move from France, from Rochefort,
if you go on the European map and look at the western part of France,
that's one of the major terminals for trains all over Europe and reaching into Asia. If we build
fast sea lift from there to the east coast, and fast sea lift from the west coast to China and
back, and in the middle we build fast trains that can pick up goods and very rapidly move them at
light speed across the United States, we can outpace anything they move across Central Asia
because there's nothing to stop it. There's nothing to interfere with it.
Why aren't we doing it? We should be doing this. You want an industrial revolution, a new one,
a new scientific industrial trade revolution, a revolution in commerce? That's it. Now,
we can all wait around for light, gravity, and magnetism to be related, and at some point I'm
sure we'll all be able to break the laws of fractal mathematics, and then we can say,
beam me up, Scotty. But we haven't gotten there yet, and right now things that move have to move
primarily by sea and train and truck. But look at the center of the United States, the heartland.
What would happen to the center of the United States if suddenly it became the crossroads of
world commerce? We've got to do these things. These are the big projects that a future president
needs to invest in, and I hear nothing like that. It's so depressing to me. That's what we need to
focus on. We need to get out of the Middle East. We need to get out of Europe. These people have
been there for thousands of years. Long before we showed up, they'll be fine. Let them sort it out.
We need to come home and start focusing on what happens here. If we do these things,
it'll take a decade or more, but we will once again be what we were just 50, 60,
70 years ago, the leading economic power in the world. That sounds like a productivity miracle
that no one wants to actually spend money on. But speaking of money, all roads lead to the
money printer. They're just going to continue to debase the currency. That's one of the greatest
problems. That's why a lot of Bitcoiners are seeking refuge in Bitcoin. Talk to me a little
bit about solutions for the average person. How do they protect themselves from what seems to be,
regardless of who's in office, who's president, they're going to keep printing money and eroding
everyone's purchasing power. That's true. I don't have a podcast where I advise everybody on what
to do with their lives. I can only tell you what I've done. I'm heavily invested in cash,
gold, and Bitcoin. Now, if you want to buy silver, fine, buy silver. But I own it, I keep it,
and I store it. I think that's the only hedge right now against the high possibility that
everything falls apart. I mentioned cash because during the depression, there were times when the
banks were closed, that you had to have cash to do anything, and a lot of people didn't have it
because they couldn't get into the banks. I don't know what's going to happen now. I mean,
I really don't. This is new territory. This debt load and the situation we are in is virgin
territory. None of us really knows how terrible it could be, nor have we explored very many
solutions because no one wants to admit that this thing we call financial Armageddon could
actually happen. I mean, there are a few people out there. I mean, you listen to Ray Dalio,
and he'll tell you a little bit, although he tends to, I think, commit a lot of plagiarism,
borrowing heavily from Sam Huntington and Oswald Spengler and his little developmental model.
But he has a lot to say, and I think Gundlach is another one who has a lot to say on these matters.
And obviously, one of my favorites is Michael Faber out in Singapore.
And people don't like it because Michael Faber says, this is going to be the worst I've ever
seen. Everyone is going to suffer. Okay, thanks, Michael. Everybody says, what do we do? What do
we do? And I don't have an easy solution except to say, this is what I've done. And I sold off
a lot of things. I've sold off most of my real estate holdings. All that's gone. Yeah. Why?
Because that's what has no value whatsoever when things go under. You know, this is back when
people were selling 2,000 acres at 10 cents an acre because they needed cash. They didn't have
any. Well, I've been disappointed that throughout the campaign, both Harris and Trump have really
avoided talking about the debt and what they'll do. I mean, truly with regards to policy to
make us an American economic powerhouse, I think that that's what gave us strength,
not becoming the imperial power, but really focusing on a strong economy. That's what I
think lifted us up and we became a beacon of hope for the world. Listen, Natalie, let me just tell
you how right you are. Because Bismarck, who died at the end of the 19th century, he said many
things before he passed and he tried desperately to illuminate his, the second Kaiser, who is
unfortunately not the best choice for Kaiser, but he nevertheless became the Kaiser. But he said,
the great superpower in the world in the future of the 21st century is America.
And people said, America? Why? America has almost no army. America has a very small Navy.
And America led the world in what? Steel, oil. Look at what was built between 1865 and 1922
in this country. And he knew that was coming and he understood. He watched the Civil War
carefully. Anybody who watched the Civil War knew we were the future superpower. We were the first
people in the world to field armies of millions and fight across a continent, incomprehensible
to most people. The only one that came closest to it was Napoleon Bonaparte.
And he was, you know, he was a horrific danger to everyone as far as the Europeans were concerned.
Well, what about us? Bonaparte couldn't even come close to us and Bonaparte was aware of it.
He knew it. When he purchased, or when he sold rather, what we call the Louisiana Purchase,
several of his advisors said, Your Majesty, don't do this. Sire, don't do this. We need to send an
army over there and we need to hold this territory. This is very lucrative. And he said, how? He said,
we'll never have enough armies to hold that territory against the Americans who live there.
They live there. They will overwhelm us. And then we'll have enemies we don't need.
Better that we should sell it, get what we can for it. And then hopefully in the future,
we can be friends with them. That's what, 1805, 1806, 180... I can't remember the Louisiana
Purchase. It's terrible. I should remember the date. But he understood that. So you're right,
when you look at these candidates, you know, good God, man, what is most important? What is
the foundation for everything? What is the source of our great power? It's our labor, our capital.
It's building what we've built in the past, prosperity. And we have new industries,
new capabilities that are emerging. And people say, well, they don't produce enough jobs. Let
me tell you, the Golden Spike program that I talked about, they'll produce a lot of jobs.
So I wouldn't worry about that. But all of it is contingent on first getting control of the
United States. You've got to get control of it. It means you have to restore the rule of law.
What do you say to people that don't think the president can do much because they
are worried that there's sort of a shadow government behind the scenes,
and the president's almost a puppet that really can't do much to help the average
person in this country? Well, the deep state is this enormous bureaucracy
that is universally supportive of Vice President Harris. They are part of the largess. The
bureaucracies in and around Washington, D.C. are ridiculous. It's back to what I was describing
with the military, this sort of clown show. We've become a banana republic. How many generals
have you got? Oh, I've got 44 generals. We're powerful. We don't have anybody to fight,
but we've got 44 generals. The same thing is true across the boards of the federal bureaucracy.
And I think President Trump has said on more than one occasion, we've got to get rid of the
Department of Education. We've got to get rid of, I think the Department of Agriculture needs to go
away. We were a country that at the time we founded the Department of Agriculture in the
early part of the century, it was necessary to manage the massive production of food and so
forth. That's not required anymore. I don't think we need a Department of Energy. Now,
how do you get to the point where you can dismantle and liquidate these bureaucracies?
Crisis. Crisis is everything. As long as there is no crisis, as long as the money printing press
is running, toot toot, toot toot, oh, everything's fine. But as Ben Stein likes to say, at some
point, everything stops because it can't go any further. And that's where we're headed. Very soon,
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What do you think a president needs to be an expert in?
Oh, this is a loaded question. I often go back to Eisenhower as a president because Eisenhower
identified some of the attributes that he thought were important. He never set out to list them,
but what emerges from his discussion are what I would call four important points.
Every president must come to office, or in his view, should come to office with experience
in certain key areas. Number one, economics and finance. He needs to have some background. He
needs to understand how the economy works. Why do we want a weak dollar as opposed to a strong
dollar? He needs to understand that. There are reasons for these things. Number one, economics
and finance. How does trade work? Secondly, what about the international system? How does the
international system work? Who controls the international system? Who are the key figures
in the international system, right? Okay, so we've got finance. We've got the international system.
Need to understand the American military establishment. This thing is enormous. It's
absorbing a trillion dollars a year. It needs to be severely reduced in size and expenditure.
Oh, that's unacceptable in Washington, but it has to happen. But you have to understand how it works.
And what's the last attribute? The president needs to have some experience in domestic politics.
And of course, Eisenhower had none. And so Eisenhower said those are the four things.
It literally is what he said. But he didn't say it in that form, but that's what came out of the
discussion. And he admitted that he didn't have the domestic political background or experience.
But Eisenhower seems to have done a reasonably good job. He left us without this tremendous
debt. He pulled us out of a terrible recession. He cut back on defense expenditures, reoriented
the Defense Department. He built the nuclear deterrence force that we have, ground-based,
air-based, and naval-based. And he avoided war. Gosh, pretty good record.
So what's most important? Is it the domestic political experience that everybody comes to
Washington with? I leave it to your audience to determine that. So that's the answer to your
question. Okay, that's really interesting. Just to wrap up, if President Trump goes into office
with these promises to bring in people like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Elon Musk, potentially
clear out some of the bureaucracy that you talked about that has grown so large and bloated.
With regards to Make America Healthy Again, I've been startled by how much that movement took off.
But I kind of worry because those corporations that are behind our health system, our food system,
they're very powerful. They're monopolies. How can President Trump be trusted to actually do
something about that, even putting someone that seems like he has great intentions like
RFK Jr. in charge? Do you think it can actually happen, or are these corporations just too
powerful? No, they're not. There are strategies. And to understand the strategies, I don't want
to divulge anything because I'm sure that RFK Jr. has got some things in mind. And I hope that
President Trump will talk with him. Remember, RFK Jr. has won court cases all the way up to the
Supreme Court. You don't get that far, and you're not that successful without knowing what the hell
you're talking about. I think he's got some things in mind. But he and the President need to be
joined at the hip. It's not enough to say, go do good things and come back and let me know.
The President has to be there. He has to be interested in it, and he has to be supportive of
it. But go back and look at Teddy Roosevelt and what he did to break up the monopolies,
the trusts, when he broke the trusts. There were a lot of interesting strategies that he employed,
and he was very successful. And of course, he used to say, they said, who do you most admire
in the world? And he used to say, well, I really admire JP Morgan. And they'd say, what?
He's your archenemy. You've done everything. He said, well, sometimes
your enemy is the most credible person that you deal with, because he's honest in his intentions,
and he's intelligent, and he's courageous. And he said, that's JP Morgan. I just don't agree with
him, so I've done what I've done. I think that's the way you have to approach it. And I think it
can be done. But it's going to take those two to work together on that piece, just as if you're
going to do anything about defense. First of all, the president has to appoint someone to do it.
All of the people that are currently under consideration for assignment to the Department
of Defense are not going to do anything. They're happy to sign on and ride the train.
That's the big problem that you have with a lot of people in Washington. They don't really want
to do anything. They just want to be something. Because if you do something, oh, you're going to
be very unpopular. We talk often about George Marshall as Chief of Staff of the Army. The first
year he was in office, he retired 54 generals and 490 colonels. And everybody says, oh, he was a
great man. Well, wait a minute. At the time he did that, he was the most hated man in Washington.
Eisenhower recounted that when he was promoted to Brigadier General, the wife of a general who'd
been retired came up to him and said, who are you? You weren't even in the First World War.
You did nothing. My husband was there. My husband was highly decorated. It was very
embarrassing for him and his wife. But that man was not a bad human being. But for things to change,
he had to go. And I'll finish with this particular point back with Eisenhower,
because Eisenhower was not somebody that President John F. Kennedy liked.
He didn't care for Eisenhower very much personally. But on the day of his
inauguration, after the inauguration, he finally turned to Eisenhower and said, General,
can you give me any advice, last advice? And Eisenhower sort of looked down and said, yes.
He said, if you want to be a successful president, be a good butcher. And Kennedy
was taken aback and couldn't understand what he meant. He said, if you can't fire people and
remove people, then you better damn well find someone else to do it for you. Because people
will deceive you. People will be disloyal. People will fail to do what you told them to do.
If you don't get rid of them, they will do you in. They will drag you down.
Eisenhower was right. And of course, then JFK went through the first ugly experience of the
Bay of Pigs and discovered what he was dealing with in the CIA and the military. And he asked
Eisenhower, can I talk to you? And he said, sure. So he flew up and they spent hours together
walking around his farm in Gettysburg. And JFK was shaken by what he'd experienced and
how people had lied to him. And subsequently, he performed infinitely better
during the Cuban Missile Crisis. But he discovered again that he was dealing with
problems of the same sort. You can't wait to do away with people, to dispose of people,
to replace people who are not loyal to you. And when I say loyal to you, loyal to your agenda,
you come to office with an agenda. And that's what you're expected to execute. If you can't
do it, if it crosses your conscience or something, it's incompatible, well then leave.
Before we wrap up, I do want to ask you, do you think that we are potentially headed toward
greater conflict with everything happening in the Middle East, potentially war with Iran?
I get very nervous when I watch certain media outlets, and it almost seems like some of our
politicians and journalists are cheering for this. And that's a very scary thought. And obviously
with the world of free money that you talked about earlier, they can just pay for all of it
with the stroke of a pen and destroy all of our savings. So how can we avoid a World War III
situation? That's interesting. A very good analyst, somebody I trust on Wall Street,
said, you know, Doug, everybody here thinks this is just another minor conflict where the
Israelis are just going to deal with these troublesome Arabs, and it'll be over. Nobody here
on Wall Street really understands what you're talking about. So I'm going to try and explain
that right now, what I'm talking about. This is not just another Middle Eastern dustup.
This is not just about dealing with Arab armies that are large, but demoralized and badly led.
This is a new Middle East with new actors in it and new people. Israel is taken on effectively now
the entire Islamic world. Now, the people that the Israelis have not worried about for a long,
long time are the Egyptians, for instance. But even in Egypt, they are quietly mobilizing troops.
They're getting ready for a war that they think they cannot avoid. And they don't want a war with
Israel. Remember, it was the deputy chief of staff of intelligence from the Israeli army that called
the intelligence leadership in Israel the day before October 7th on the 6th and said,
we see a major attack materializing in Gaza. You had better be ready for this. This is dangerous.
And the Israelis didn't prepare. So Egypt now feels it's at risk. Jordan is on the verge of
collapse. The population is enraged at the mass murder and expulsion campaign in Gaza. These
people, you know, I wrote an op-ed months ago that you may have read, where I talked about the
Battle of Warsaw and the survivors from Warsaw that marched out under the German guns, singing
the Polish national anthem. And the German officers watched them and said, this is a mistake,
and this is not over. And this was not the answer. They were smart enough to figure out,
we did this to these people. It was not necessary. It was not the right answer.
The Israelis haven't come to that conclusion yet. They don't understand that. And they're
pressing down on the gas pedal, and they are redoubling down on disaster in Gaza and disaster
in southern Lebanon. But those two theaters are not working well for them. It hasn't turned
out the way they'd hoped. They have not won anything. They have sacrificed a lot of life
and equipment and people and resources. So now they're turning their attention to Iran,
because in Israel for many years, there was always this insistence that everything that's
wrong in the region, everything we don't like begins in Tehran. They believe that. That's
an article of faith. I don't agree with that. But it doesn't matter what I think. I'm not an
Israeli. That's what the Israelis think. So the solution is, as they say, to kill the octopus,
destroy the head of the octopus. In other words, that the octopus head is in Tehran,
with the tentacles that spread across the region. So yes, there is going to be a major collision
between Iran and Israel. And that collision will involve us. It will unavoidably involve us,
because we're already there. We're ready and prepared. And we seem to be equally anxious
to destroy Iran. And when I say we, I'm talking about the United States government and armed
forces, the people in Washington. I don't think most people in the United States are even remotely
engaged. There has been no debate in the Senate, because there is no debate. The debate is in the
grip of the Israel lobby. They own, operate, you know, the Senate and the House as far as
our foreign policy is concerned in the Middle East. So we're headed down that track. And what
is that going to produce? Well, we're going to take losses. And ultimately, the Russians have
made it very clear that they will not tolerate the destruction of Iran. And they have done
everything they can within the short time that's been available to them, when this business started
to give the Iranians what they need to defend themselves, in terms of missiles and rockets
and so forth. What I say defend, also to strike Israel as a matter of deterrence.
They are still shipping in Su-35 aircraft. And Russians are training Iranian pilots,
who are actually pretty good, how to operate the equipment.
Now, yesterday, I think Mr. Netanyahu fired the current Minister of Defense, this is Mr. Ghalib.
And he was the one that said that, you know, we are taking losses in southern Iraq, and things
aren't going that well. But this is the most just war we've ever fought in his mind. And now he's
gone. That doesn't bode well for the Israeli position. So the only thing that Mr. Netanyahu
has got left and his supporters is to bring us in. And we will be involved in a war that is not just
Iran, but is also going to involve Russia. And behind Russia stands China. And the other
interesting part of this is that all the countries in the region, Muslim countries
around the world in general, but the countries in the region, have all now finally turned against
Israel. Jordan, which is extraordinarily dependent upon US and British money to survive and sustain
itself, has now said no, we're not going to allow you to use Jordan as a springboard. We're not
going to, we don't want you to use our airspace. Of course, they can't stop us, but they've denied
it. The Saudis have said the same thing. The Saudis and the rest have now all said something
they haven't said before, that there can be no condition of existence with Israel unless there
is a second Palestinian, another Palestinian state. They've never said that. It's a precondition for
any sort of reconciliation with Israel is the creation of a Palestinian state.
The Turks are fully enraged, the population. And I don't know that Mr. Erdogan is on very firm
ground in that country anymore, just as General Sisi is at risk, and King Abdullah is at risk.
And I think the Crown Prince in Saudi Arabia has been at risk as well, which is why he's
changed his tune so much. So I think we're going to see this collision.
And all we can do is hope that it does not escalate to the nuclear level.
Well, can the next president prevent a World War Three scenario?
Well, the next president doesn't take office until 21 June, or excuse me, January.
And what I see with the Harris administration, what we've seen from the beginning is there's
no one with a firm grip on the joystick, in other words, the steering wheel. There's no one steering
very firmly. And so I think this is sort of an administration on autopilot. And the autopilot
is flying straight into the canyon. And that's it. That's where I see us going. And as I say,
my hope is that we will not escalate to the nuclear level. And I don't think that we or
the Russians would turn to nuclear weapons. But I do fear what the Israelis might do.
And that then would precipitate something from the Iranian side. And ultimately,
that would engage us and the Russians. So it's a prescription for real trouble.
Well, some of this sounds absolutely terrifying. So I like to end things and every conversation
we've had has ended with a note of hope. So let's try to wrap all this up in something that
the viewers can take away and feel good about. Right? I mean, what do you want people to know?
This is a very consequential week, American history being made. I heard on TV today that
there have only been 60 American presidential elections. So every four years we come out,
we make this decision. What do you want people to know? Because at the end of the day,
they're probably never going to meet the president. They're never going to talk to
the president and they can only do what they can in their own small communities.
So what do you want people to know? Americans collectively have to signal
very decisively to the new incumbent that they do not want to be involved in a,
not just a regional war, but a war with global potential in the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
We've been sitting around fiddling while hundreds of thousands of people have been
dying in Ukraine. We're fiddling while hundreds of thousands in Gaza and Southern Lebanon are
being killed. Americans need to signal enough. You know, Donald Trump said something that I think
is a very good thing. He said, I want the killing to stop. That's what Americans need to signal.
And you will be heard. You've got to send this message collectively, all of you together. You've
got to send that message in any way you can every day, constantly saying, this is not what we want.
There's a good chance that it will be heard because what's the one thing that every politician
wants to do? Get reelected. And if he thinks or she thinks this could ruin me,
then maybe I'm not going to do it. So that much I would do. And otherwise, you know,
I always tell everybody there's a, there's an old statement years ago when I lived in Europe.
And then when I was an exchange student in Germany, I would visit Cistercian monasteries
along a line that went up through central Germany going back into the seventh and eighth centuries.
Literally, this was the edge of Christianity. And it then moved, you know, by incrementally east,
further and further east. And when you go into these monasteries, one of the things that you
see over and over and over again is this engraving on the wall, Ora et Labora, which means
work and pray. So I tell people, that's a good way to look at the future. Work and pray. Don't
despair, but work and pray. So get on the phone, get on your computer, do whatever you need to,
and also pray. That's the best I can offer. I wish I could put a happier face on everything,
but we need to be realistic. As you said, the two candidates really haven't been very
forthcoming in explaining the icebergs that are in our path. Let's put it that way.
Yeah, well, I think that's a powerful message. And we do have a voice and we can get mobilized
and take action, even if it is small, even if it is just impacting where we live and the people
that we care about. So Colonel Douglas McGregor, always such a pleasure. Thank you so much for
joining me. Well, thank you for inviting me. I appreciate it.
Thank you so much for checking out this episode of Coin Stories. This show is for entertainment
and educational purposes only. Nothing should constitute as official investment advice,
and you should always do your own research. My inbox is open. If you want to share feedback or
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