Capital Area's Malcolm Ethridge names these data centers as the big AI winners

Invest Insight
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8 Video Views·Oct 15, 2024
Malcolm Ethridge, Capital Area Planning Group managing partner, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the market and data center stocks he's watching.
We want to get to the next big question.
Can the market continue to rise to every challenge,
or are we going to see earnings derail this rally?
Our next guest thinks, hey, stocks
have some further room to run, at least in the near term.
Malcolm Etheridge, Capital Area and Planning Group
managing partner, also a CNBC contributor.
Malcolm, it's good to see you.
Why do you think that there's fuel in the tank?
Thanks, Contessa.
I think that it's a mistake to try and maybe
view this particular market cycle that we're in with AI
and the trends that have come from it,
just focusing on a traditional valuation lens, right?
Considering we don't know exactly
where we are in that Gartner hype cycle, right?
Have we reached that trough of disillusionment?
We really don't know.
And so I think that that leaves a lot of opportunity
for positives, even if it's not in the Mag 7
or the hyperscalers or Megacap Tech
or whatever other name we use to describe them.
If we don't use traditional valuation metrics
to assess AI opportunities in this market,
what are the metrics we should be looking at?
Yeah, I think the fundamentals matter a little bit more, right?
If we just consider the fact that names like Microsoft
and Amazon and Alphabet,
they've been investing billions of dollars
the last few years into generating large language models
that can create technology off the backside of them
that we have yet to even really understand
what the true value of those is.
And so I think there's a lot of intrinsic value
still trapped inside of each of these companies
that owns one of those large language models.
And so that alone is a fundamental that tells us
there's still more value there to be realized.
We just can't really put a number on it yet
because we're still so early in the process
of building out the technology.
We're gonna use AI to evaluate AI.
Yeah, exactly.
Malcolm, one of the things that it seems
you're very interested in are data centers
and the sort of virtuous circle of companies
that surround them.
Explain that and name some names.
Yeah, so if you just consider the fact
that I just named three of the hyperscalers, right?
Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, I'll stick with them.
Each time Microsoft, for example,
goes to buy another GPU from Nvidia,
it's gotta go into a data center somewhere,
which means then that a new data center has to be built,
which means that someone's gotta both power
and cool that data center.
Someone's gotta manage that data center.
So I'm looking at names like Digital Realty, for example,
which is kind of an obvious one to anybody
who's been following this trend.
But they're the seventh largest publicly traded REIT
right now with a market cap of something like $50 billion.
But based on their working relationships
among the mega cap tech names alone,
I could see them moving up a couple spots
and overtaking somebody like Assignment Properties
or Public Storage by the end of next year.
Because for one, on their last earnings call,
they pointed out that half of the bookings,
or I should say only half of their bookings right now
come from AI-related activity.
So that's a lot of opportunity for them.
Plus they have these companies
beating down their door right now,
wanting their own data centers
instead of having to co-locate,
which has traditionally been Digital Realty's playbook.
So to me, they're similar to Nvidia in the sense
that they've got way more demand for their product
than they have supply.
And that's what's gonna drive a stock like Digital Realty
even higher in 2025.
And you also like a dear old utility, Dominion.
Yeah, so Tyler, I know being from Virginia,
you know just how much of the world's web traffic
flows through Northern Virginia.
Dominion is perfectly situated
being a Virginia power company.
It provides power to basically the entire state.
And so what's unique about them is as AI is forcing
all of these different energy producers
to focus on expansion in a way they haven't in some time,
Dominion is perfectly positioned
to take advantage of that opportunity
that's gonna come from all the rest of this activity
we've been talking about.
