Real Estate vs. Stocks: Which Will Make You MORE Money? w/The Motley Fool

Professional Development
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Real estate versus stocks. I think every single real estate investor has probably
had this debate either with other investors or friends or family members. But the question is,
which one actually grows your wealth faster? Is there a strategy that will provide you a
higher return over the long run, which has more liquidity and which is better for financial
freedom? Today, we are putting on our boxing gloves and debating this with the stock website,
The Motley Fool. Hey, investors, and welcome to your Bigger News episode this week. I am your
host, Dave Meyer. And for this very fun episode where we're going to be doing a live debate,
I have brought some backup. I have a ringer joining me today. It is CEO of Bigger Pockets
and real estate investor, Scott Trench. Scott, thanks for joining me and backing me up on this
debate today. Yeah, great to be here and looking forward to this duel with The Motley Fool. Can't
be more thrilled to be your second, Dave Meyer. Well, I've known you for a long time, Scott,
and I know you really relish debates and really love like crafting a great argument. And so I
expect you've been preparing for this a little bit. Yeah, I might have done a couple of notes
and a couple of quick math in my head that I'm going to pretend to do a live on the show,
those kinds of things. All right. I love it. Motley Fool is sending over Jason Moser and
Matt Argensinger, who are seasoned veterans when it comes to the stock market. Now, normally I host
the Bigger News episodes, but I obviously can't host and debate at the same time. So we have
another celebrity guest joining us today. We have our friend Chris Hutchins, who is the host of the
great podcast, All The Hacks. He is going to come in and moderate this conversation for us. If you
don't know Chris, he focuses on financial wellness through hacks, tips, tricks to save more money.
So we thought he would be a good person to be the Switzerland neutral party in this debate and keep
us all straight. Before we jump into the debate, I just want to thank our episode sponsor today,
which is RentApp. It is a free and easy way to collect rent. If you want to learn more about it,
go to rent.app. All right, Scott, you ready for the debate? Been ready, Dave. Been waiting my
whole life for this. All right, let's do it. All right. Welcome, everybody. I'm so excited
to be hosting this. Let's just kick it off right now. I want to jump to the BiggerPockets team,
the Motley Fool team. Thank you for being here. Can you guys just start on each side explaining
to the audience what stock investing and real estate investing is? Maybe define it for people.
Sure. So I'll start on that one. Real estate investing is the act of purchasing real estate
investing. To me, the act of investing in real estate is purchasing real property,
holding onto it and operating it at its highest and best use in order to generate cashflow and
benefit from long-term appreciation. You can also, in the act of doing that, experience tax
benefits and amortization of debt if it was used to finance the purchase. All right. I guess I'll
do the stock side. That was nice and succinct. I will say, I think it's easy to think of stock
investing as trading a bunch of green and red numbers on a screen, prices, ticker symbols,
many of which we don't even understand, jumping around every day and in some days jumping around
a lot. But I think the key thing to remember with stock investing is what those symbols and prices
really are. They are pieces of real businesses. You as an investor, as a stock investor,
can own pieces of real companies. Yes, you can own a piece of Apple. You can own a piece of Nike.
If you want to invest in artificial intelligence, you can own a piece of NVIDIA or Microsoft.
And by owning a piece of those businesses via shares in your brokerage account, you are at
indirectly tied to a portion, however small, of the profits generated by that business.
In many cases, you're directly given a portion of those profits via dividends
or cash payments directly to you in your brokerage account, usually on a quarterly basis.
So you're not buying bits of data on a screen or random ticker symbols. You're buying equity in
real companies that earn profits and hopefully grow over time. Awesome. All right. So the goal
here today is to have a fun and healthy spirited debate talking about these two areas. We both set
out the outline of what they are. I'm going to give you guys each a minute. Either side go first
on why you think your type of investing is the best way to build wealth. Well, I'll jump in
in regard to stock investing at least. I mean, there are a lot of benefits that really come
from it. I mean, you look at things from capital appreciation, right? I mean,
stocks ultimately, they have the potential to increase in value over time. You know,
as companies grow, as they improve, as they get better, as they do more things, that gives you
the opportunity to see the value in the business that you're invested in, you know, continue to
grow. You know, another thing that stocks do, a lot of well-established companies, they'll pay
dividends in order to return value to shareholders. And so for you look at companies like Starbucks,
for example, they will continue to reward shareholders through holding those shares
over long periods of time by returning cash to shareholders in the form of dividends.
There's compounding, right? I think that's something that probably doesn't get enough
attention. But the longer you own certain companies and that comes with dividends and
capital appreciation, stocks go up. Liquidity, I mean, hey, listen, I mean, if you own stocks,
you can buy and sell, right? That's a great thing. It's not so hard to buy and sell stocks,
which is a nice part of it. And then obviously, there's the diversification part of it, right?
Real estate is a great way to invest, but stocks are too. And ultimately, what we believe,
the fool here is that you should own a little bit of a lot of this stuff. And so whether it's real
estate or whether it's stocks, I mean, holding a lot of that stuff together makes a lot more
sense. Diversification really makes a lot of sense because as we've seen here over the last several
months and really over the last few years, it becomes a little bit more difficult to predict
exactly what asset classes are going to make the most sense for investors. And so owning stocks
is a great way to sort of look at what's going on in the world today and say, well, we had that
sort of exposure to companies that are sort of leading the way towards where we are going.
And they give you the opportunity to stay well diversified.
All right. That was great. Matt, I saw you raise your hand. I'm going to give you 15 seconds to
chime in before I jump over to Scott to talk about real estate. Yeah, I just want to put a quick,
finer point on something Jason said, which is long-term returns. If you look at, say, the past
150 years of data, on an unlevered basis, stocks have definitely delivered the best nominal returns,
10% annualized for 150 years. You can't really get that with real estate, bonds, gold, or what
have you. So stocks have been kind of the winner in that specific regard. That sounds pretty good.
Scott, let's hear you make a case for real estate. First, I want to say I completely agree that
unlevered stocks are going to outperform real estate. And I think you should own both, right,
long-term. But since we're in a Mortal Kombat style, duke it out, real estate versus stocks
debate here, I'm going to make the case for why I think you should start with real estate on your
financial journey. And a couple of reasons here. First is that leverage component. Long-term
leverage against long-term appreciation makes a huge difference in returns. You can integrate
real estate into your lifestyle through house hacks or what's called a live-in flip. And that
can generate huge long-term returns that are really tax-advantaged. You can generate more
cash flow from real estate. And so if you want to retire early or use that to fuel your lifestyle,
that can be a huge advantage. Real estate is often less volatile than stocks. And so that brings us
back to the concept of leverage, which I'm sure we'll get into multiple times throughout this
debate. And then I think I've already mentioned this from other tax advantages, but that makes a
huge difference over time. A lot of that cash flow can be completely tax-free during the early years
of a hold period, and especially if you're levered. And also just wanted to mention,
particularly right now, the fact that real estate tends to be an excellent inflation hedge is also
pertinent. Yeah. Scott, I like how you said you're going to advocate for real estate being
a way to start. I'm curious if you guys could talk a little bit about the barriers to entry
for someone to just get into this. What does someone need to have? What kind of capital? What
kind of experience? Maybe we'll start with stocks. Well, stocks are super easy to get into, but I
would say stock investing takes very little time. Other than the minor hassle of opening a brokerage
account, which today is as simple as downloading an app and pressing a few buttons on your phone
and connecting your bank account. I mean, that's really it. And I mean, in some cases,
it's almost too easy today to start to open a brokerage account. But once you've opened a
brokerage account, you can buy and sell stocks in a few seconds. And boom, you're done. You can
start earning those profits, those dividends that Jason was talking about, and really without
lifting a finger more than maybe a few times a month or a few times a year. So it's really one
of the fastest, easiest ways to get into investing. And you don't need a lot of capital. You can buy
$100 worth of stock today. And that's probably a good start for a lot of people. Real estate,
though, it seems like it could be expensive, right? There are greater barriers to entry,
I think, for real estate investing because it tends to be a more capital-intensive asset class.
You can't just open an app and buy rental properties for $10, although there are some
funds and some modern crowdfunding platforms that do allow you to do that. But generally,
I think of real estate investing as more entrepreneurial than buying equities and
buying stock. And so in addition to capital, you need money for a down payment. You need to have
solid, predictable income typically to get leverage on a property and take out debt.
You need decent credit. So you do need all that to get started. And you also need a bit of an
entrepreneurial spirit. You are starting a small business. And so you're going to need some level
of business acumen and expertise to be able to operate that business successfully.
Yeah. And I'll just piggyback on Dave's great point by saying that expertise,
I think, comes in the form of at least several dozen, maybe several hundred hours of self-education
on a topic because you need to know how to screen a tenant. You need to know that when a tenant is
applying for your rental property and puts down the phone number as a reference for their previous
landlord, that that might be their buddy and you need to back channel that and make sure you're
actually calling the previous landlord and getting the referral from them. There's so many little
tips and tricks like that that you need to be aware of. Or if you don't learn them upfront,
you will learn them downstream in a much more painful and more expensive fashion
later on in that journey. So in addition to those things that credit, income, down payment,
you also need this expertise that can be a real investment of time that is probably not needed,
especially for like index fund or other stock investing approaches here. Although I think the
Motley Fool guys will put in just as much time and energy as many of the real estate investors
who take it very seriously in trying to find that alpha. I don't know if that's true,
but we'll take the compliment for sure. There's a question, Matt. You said 10%
average returns on the stock market, highest returning unlevered asset class. I'm curious,
how much work does it take for someone to be in that group? Because the way Scott and Dave put it,
real estate can take a lot of work, and you made it seem, oh, you just open a brokerage account.
Is it that simple? Just open a brokerage account and boom, you get those returns?
You know what? It actually is. And I'll explain why. It shouldn't be that way.
But what most investors should do if they're investing in the stock market is simply buy,
and Scott mentioned it, an index fund, ETF, S&P 500 index fund, right? Right off the bat,
you're probably outperforming 95% of active investors if you do that. It's simple. It's
cheap. The fees are really low. And yes, if you do that, you're matching the return of the overall
market, which I said going back more than a century is about a 10% annualized return.
So that is what you can do. Now, we stock investors like to make things complicated
when they shouldn't be. So we tend to buy individual stocks. We think we can outperform
the market. We think we can be the next Warren Buffett. So we're doing things. We're trading.
We're sometimes doing leverage, which is really dumb in the stock market, and we're losing our
shirts. But really opening, like I said, downloading that app, clicking a few buttons,
buying an index fund, maybe putting 100 bucks in there a month if you're 22 years old out of
college or something is an amazing way to get started. And it is about the easiest thing you
can do. But here's a question for you, Scott and Dave. Matt talked about 10%. You guys talked about
it might take a little bit of work. We talked about leverage. If you start to think about the
leverage you can bring into real estate, what kind of returns do you think we've seen or people can
expect in their real estate investing? So this gets kind of complex here. I'll take a stab at
this. So let's say that we assume that real estate is going to appreciate at an average of 3.4% per
year. And if you lever that five to one, at least in the early years, you're going to get an
appreciation rate that multiplies 3.4 times five. So that's what, 15 plus another 20, 17% from
appreciation. You're going to be amortizing your debt service on that for the 80% of the property
value that is levered. And then you're going to hopefully be producing some cashflow as well.
So you add those up, you should be looking at upper teens returns, maybe low 20s returns.
And if you can't get there, you should invest in stocks because it's totally passive and you
don't have to spend all this time thinking about how to buy real estate at the beginning.
Now, over the 30 year period, you're slowly deleveraging, assuming things go reasonably
well. You're paying down the loan, the property is appreciating, so your equity balance grows.
And once it's paid off, now you're getting the unlevered real estate return of 3.4% plus maybe
a four to 5% cap rate. This is the four to 5% cashflow component of the total equity value. So
at the end of that hold period, in a typical, you throw a dart at the wall and pick a rental
property, a true actual rental property across the United States, you're probably looking at a
seven and a half to eight and a half percent unlevered return at the end of that hold period,
once you've paid off the debt. And you're looking at more than that in the early parts of it.
It can get more complex from there if we want to talk about tax benefits and those types of things,
but that's what you should expect. And that's what you have to keep in the back of your mind
as you're investing over the years and decades in real estate there. And if you can't get it,
again, I would go to stocks. Well, let's talk a little bit about volatility, right?
That's averages, right? You gave a scenario of an average, Matt, you gave a century long average.
What do you think it looks like year to year? And what kinds of volatility can people expect?
How much risk are they taking? What could they lose? And maybe even as far as what is just an
amazing year look like? Sure. Well, I will say for the stock market, which we know is much more
volatile, let's use the most recent bear market as an example, 2022, the S&P 500, the broad market
index at its lows was down about 27%. That's a pretty big hit for a lot of people. And if you
were investing in technology stocks, the NASDAQ was down about 40% at one point. Typically in a
bear market, which we know happens roughly once every five years, the average loss is about 30%.
And one of those is always around the corner. So that's what you can look forward to with
stock investing. What you can also look forward to though, is the gains can be pretty high in
the good years. If I look at like, for example, the last 20 years, five of the last 20 years,
the stock market was up more than 20%. The average return was 26%. And so that's a pretty good year.
Imagine compounding your asset, your net worth by that amount. So the highs can be really high.
And as Jason mentioned, stock market tends to go up over time. And so that's great,
but you have to be ready for those nasty bear markets that are inevitable. And the next one's
always around the corner. Dave, what do you think about real estate when it comes to
volatility and downside upside? Well, I think that is one area where real estate does stand
out versus equities. Of course, many people listening to this, myself included, all remember
the great financial crisis and the sharp declines where we saw home prices on a national basis
go down somewhere around 20%. But that is somewhat anomalous in American history. That's not saying
that it won't happen again, but that is unusual to see large drops in home prices like we saw.
And so to me, the real name of the game with real estate and the way you mitigate against
volatility is just time. This is not a quick get in and get out strategy. But with real estate,
if you can manage to hold onto properties, you are very likely to be able to wait out
any short-term volatility. And the risk of principal loss is actually, I think, significantly
less than in the stock market. You talked about time. What about diversification?
On real estate, are you suggesting just worry about time, don't worry about multiple properties?
No, I think I would absolutely recommend diversifying into multiple properties and
even doing multiple strategies within real estate investing. You can invest in long-term rentals,
you can do short-term rentals. I personally diversify across geographies into different
markets to take advantage of different market fundamentals. But I think ultimately,
not to be overly simplistic, but the name of the game in real estate investing is to avoid
forced selling. And forced selling is just basically what we say is when you get in a
situation where you can't hold onto your property and you are forced to sell at what might be an
inopportune time. In real estate investing, if you get to choose when you're going to sell,
you are almost always going to make money. And so the way I think about being defensive
and mitigating risk is one, time, just try and hold on for as long as possible.
And the way to hold on is to generate, in my opinion, positive cashflow. Because if you're
able to make sure that your properties generate even 2%, 3%, 4% cashflow after all of your
expenses, after all of your capital expenditures, then you get to sit back. You're still at worst,
you're making a couple percentage points off of your cashflow and your amortization.
And then you don't want to necessarily try and time the market on the buy,
but then you do get to time the market when you're selling. And in those situations,
it's pretty difficult to lose money in real estate.
Jason, I'm curious what you think about risk mitigation in the stock market, right? What
is someone who's kind of nervous about a 20%, 30% drawdown do other than just wait?
Yeah. I think there was a great point that was just mentioned there in regard to forced selling,
right? That's something that applies to real estate. It applies to stocks. It applies to
a lot of things in life. But you never want to be a forced seller, right? You never want to be
forced to sell anything. And that's one of the things we love about investing in stocks here at
The Fool, is that taking that longer view, you can sort of ignore the near-term noise and let
yourself sort of watch the story play out. And I will say in regard to real estate, that's another
beautiful thing about real estate, is you don't have to sell, right? And I think that's one of
those things that's always worth remembering, is in real estate, sometimes that can be a situation
where you're in a little bit more of a situation where you might not have the options. Whereas in
regard to stocks and the way we look at stocks, we're buying shares into businesses where we feel
like these businesses have the opportunity to perform over the long haul, over 10, 20 years,
hopefully much longer than that. And so I think in regard to diversification, making sure you put
yourself in a situation where you don't own assets where you feel like you need to sell anything,
right? That's a big difference. I mean, that can really make a big difference in how you
view your portfolio and ultimately the allocation there.
The stock guys, Matt, Jason, you talked about how you can buy an index fund and have access to lots
and lots of stocks in a very simple vehicle. Scott, Dave, when it comes to real estate,
how can you diversify without having a massive amount of capital to get going and buy lots of
properties? It feels like that would be a huge barrier to entry to diversification for the average
person. So when I got started in real estate, I didn't diversify, right? One duplex was five or
six times my annual income. I was highly levered and concentrated on a single asset in a single
market. And all of my properties today that I own and operate personally are in the Denver Metro
area. So I not have a diversification in my real estate portfolio. My returns will be highly
correlated with the Denver Metro market. And I want to chime in on the last point here around
risk here. The difference between stocks and real estate is that the stock can never force you to
sell, right? Something about your personal life could force you to sell, but in real estate,
it absolutely can force you to sell. People who do not have reserves set aside, do not produce
cashflow and have some sort of problem in their portfolio, they call this a disaster. Investors
who are well-capitalized call it a capital expenditure. And there's a clear side of that
equation that you want to be on if you're in the real estate investing world. And so look,
my portfolio is a highly concentrated, not diversified investment and bet on long-term
appreciation in US housing prices and rents, and specifically concentrated on Denver, Colorado
prices and rents. So it is absolutely in the way I do it and the way that most real estate
investors in this country do it, at least in the residential space, they're not in REITs or
these other types of commercial assets. It is absolutely, you're giving up some of that
diversification across all these different asset classes for a concentrated bet.
Matt, I saw you had a follow-up.
Scott here is throwing a bone to the stock investing guys. Let me throw a bone back and say,
the big advantage of real estate, even though you're super concentrated, is that those Denver
properties aren't getting priced or repriced every day. One of the things we fight against here at
The Motley Fool and just stock market investors in general is that they're seeing the value of
their portfolio change on a minute-to-minute basis. Stocks going up and down minute-to-minute,
day-to-day, sometimes with big movements, especially during earning season and other
periods of time. And that's a big challenge. Getting some of the things Jason said was
being forced to sell. We deal with a lot of more emotional roller coasters here on the stock side.
I love the fact that real estate is not repriced every day. So you can make your own decision.
I think Dave said that, which is you can time your exit there with lots of foresight. Stock market
can push a lot of people out quickly because they see their portfolio down 20%, 30% during a bear
market. They see the headlines in the news about recession and all these bad things that are going
to happen. And it can cause people to panic. And the fact that they can see their stocks and all
the red in their portfolio, it can make them make an emotional decision. So I like the pacifying
patience and generating nature of real estate versus the stock market.
Now, Scott just mentioned REITs. Jason, no one's made this case yet. I'm curious,
couldn't you just invest in real estate through your stock brokerage account and
not have to worry about any of the other work? You absolutely can. And I think that's a great
way to do it, actually. I think, honestly, that's probably the best way for most people
to get real estate exposure is to, rather than buying and selling properties or trying to become
landlords, I mean, there are plenty of opportunities out there in things like REITs,
Real Estate Investment Trusts, where you can invest in real estate without necessarily having
to have that direct exposure. That direct exposure in real estate is just really difficult, right?
I mean, I think we can all agree that one of the most difficult parts about investing in real
estate, it's sort of the getting into it, right? There are barriers to entry in just needing the
capital to get in there. And that's what Real Estate Investment Trusts and things like that
help to break down. And so I think in regard to investing in real estate,
Real Estate Investment Trusts represent a terrific opportunity for investors,
if that's your thing, right? If you're interested in that real estate opportunity.
Okay, Scott, Dave, Jason just said REITs, great way for people to get started in real estate,
completely different from the path you laid out. What do you think?
Look, I think that rental real estate that I directly own and operate has the advantage
of giving me that leverage, but it also gives me tax-advantaged cashflow, which to me is super
important. And index funds of REITs or stocks really just don't produce the same levels of
cashflow that I believe I can get from rental real estate. And my goal in all of this is early
financial freedom. Everybody has different goals when it comes to investing, but I'm not going to
sell off chunks of equity in my stock or REIT portfolio to fund my lifestyle. Mentally, I just
will not make that leap in my mind as a guy in my thirties with a long time horizon ahead.
I will spend a chunk of my cashflow that is being pulled off by my portfolio. And to me,
that's the trump card for real estate in my portfolio at this point in my life for that.
And why I like it a lot is because it offers that opportunity. And I feel like it's much harder to
do that without dramatic trade-offs in the equities markets at the highest level.
One other thing I wanted to talk about and one benefit to real estate that we haven't even
discussed is this concept of value-add investing, which isn't for newbie investors necessarily. But
this is similar to the concept of flipping houses, but you can do this with long-term
rental investing as well. When you buy a property, you fix it up and you're able to drive up the
value of that property directly, ideally by more than what you put in to fix up that property.
And that's just not something that you could do with REITs. It's not something that you can do
with equity. If you're an experienced, good real estate investor, you have more direct control over
driving your own profits than the stock market or REITs because they're just inherently more
passive and you don't really have a say in the operations of those businesses.
How much time does that take?
Well, it depends. I mean, you can go everywhere from a down to the studs renovation. I've never
done that myself. I have a full-time job, so I would not take on a project like that. But I do
what they call cosmetic upgrades, which are paints, floors, renovating kitchens and bathrooms.
For me, it maybe takes two or three hours a week if I was doing something like that.
For the contractor I pay to do it, I hope they're working full-time on it,
but sometimes I'm not sure.
Yeah. I think the term is semi-passive.
Yeah. I think about cost basis and we've got to include our time in there. I know
none of our financial statements often do, but Matt, Jason, how much time are you spending
maintaining your stock portfolio?
Well, this is a great thing to bring up. I have the experience myself personally,
I know Matty does too, of being a landlord. When you're a landlord, you go into it thinking,
holy cow, man, I hope I don't have to really deal with too terribly much.
Let's hope this is as easy as it can possibly be. But inevitably, things come up. If you're
going to own real estate, if you're going to rent it out, things are going to come up.
It's going to require a part of your time. It's going to require a part of your life.
That's not always so easy to budget, particularly when there's so much uncertainty.
Now, when it comes to stocks, you kind of go into it thinking, well,
there's going to be uncertainty just in buying shares in this company.
I'm buying shares in this company, I don't know exactly what's going to happen with it.
A year from now, five years from now, maybe things will be different. But it is something
where I think when you look at investing in equities, it can be certainly a much less
stressful situation than investing in something like real estate, particularly if you're going
to invest in real estate with the intention of being active, in being a landlord, in renting
that property out. Just my experience, and I had a great experience, trust me, I had a great
experience renting property out. It could have been a lot worse. But certainly, it made me realize
that there were situations that could have been a lot tougher. There were situations that I didn't
necessarily look forward to wanting to deal with, so to speak. That was kind of one of those things
made me think, well, investing in stocks, that is absolutely an easier way, a more passive way,
to let my money kind of compound and grow over time. So it goes to say, you're going to make
money either way, right? If you make wise decisions, whether it's stocks or whether
it's real estate, there are plenty of opportunities there. But it's worth remembering, if you're
that real estate angle, and you're looking to be a landlord or be a little bit more active
in that style of investing, there's a lot to say in that time sense, right? I mean,
time is money, as they say. I don't disagree with that. Being a landlord is more time,
and it probably is more stressful, but I also still think it's worth it.
If you think about the difference in returns Scott was talking about, just the difference
between a 10% compounded return and a 12% compounded return over 30 years, the difference
between that is $1.25 million. That's an $100,000 initial investment. For me, is it worth putting
in a little bit of effort every couple of weeks and it does come in waves for that increased
return? Yes, because that's just the difference between 10% return and 12% return. If you're
doing real estate well, you could be getting 15%, 17%, 18% returns. So I personally do think
it's worth it. The other thing I'd say is that, especially in the beginning, I recommend to all
people who want to go into real estate investing to do that stuff yourself. It's not fun all the
time, but you learn a lot. I think maybe Scott can comment on this too. For me, over time,
as I've built my portfolio, I do less and less, even though my portfolio has gotten bigger and
bigger. I actually have a rule that I use. I won't spend more than 20 hours a month on my
real estate portfolio. I'm willing to put in five hours a week in an effort to get that outsized
return. Over time, the stress goes away. You just get used to it. Once you've seen it all,
man, you don't get surprised by anything and you just roll with it.
Yeah. I'll just chime in here and say that I go back to that startup cost for real estate
investing, which includes not just capital, but time. I think real estate really pays
incredible dividends. Let's say someone's making $100,000 a year, their time is worth $50 an hour,
assuming they work a 2,000-hour year. The startup cost of 250 hours to learn real estate is $12,500
for that individual. Well, a doctor making $600,000 a year is going to have a dramatically
higher startup cost because them investing 600 hours is dramatically different from
an entry-level financial analyst. That's the fun thing about real estate is, for me,
that cost was so low 10 years ago when I was getting into it and just obsessing over learning
the ins and outs of real estate. Now, I'm going to reap the dividends of that or the cashflow,
because we're talking about real estate and not stocks on this one, for the rest of my career.
Because I put in that, I still have to put time in on a continuous basis,
but not that enormous upfront investment.
Matt, Jason, I'm curious. Dave said 20 hours a week, a little bit of extra work,
generates over a million dollars. How are you guys using your saved 20 hours a week
to either generate more returns for your portfolio or increase the value of your life?
Well, I don't know about Matty, but I'm using that time to work for the Motley Fool. That's
my employer. They're the ones that are paying me week in and week out. I think that's one of
the things. Just given my experience, having served as a landlord and investing in real estate,
I'm a homeowner today. I understand the dynamics of homeownership and the benefits of that
investment. It really does boil down to time to me. In certain cases, I think you look at investing
in stocks, and that is a way to help your money grow without necessarily having to commit so much
time, so much attention on an ongoing basis, whereas with real estate, you may be a little
bit more committed. Scott earlier said that one of the great things about real estate is it spits
off cash flow, and it's way easier to use your cash flow to fund your life than it is to use
sell stocks to fund your life. Matt, Jason, whether it's selling stocks or dividends,
do you find that same problem, or is it actually easy?
Yeah, I think that's a great point. I have a much better time spending income and dividends than I
do selling stock because that's when I have to make a decision. I hate making decisions about
selling stocks. I think that is a clear advantage for real estate. It's much easier to spend cash
flow. I feel the same way. I just want to get back real quick to the whole time conversation as well.
I think any incremental time that Jason and I have, I talked about the cheat code of investing
in the market ETF and getting that 10% annualized. Any incremental time we have is all about beating
that number, because otherwise, what are we doing at the Motley Fool? That's where we're
spending our time, is what additional hours can we do to find the stock that's going to go up
10, 15X over the next five to 10 years? There's many examples of that, of course.
That's where we're dedicating a lot of our time, because that's where we're going to make the
difference for our members, for those who read and subscribe to our services.
In one word answer, do you think that you could beat Dave's return on his 20 hours
with that stock research? Yes or no? I don't think so. I don't think so,
because he's got tremendous advantages, like you said, with leverage, knowledge of that asset,
adding value. That's hard to do. That's hard to do in the stock market. I'm going to give him props
for that one. Well, since you're throwing some bones to us, I'll give one back here,
which is in real estate, you're never going to get a 10 bagger in real estate and not have to
do anything but research. That's just never going to happen in our world. That's a really good point.
A few topics, maybe they're a little nerdy, a little in the weeds, but I think we need to
hit on them. We briefly touched on leverage. Anything else important to talk about leverage,
especially when it comes to the stock market? Because if real estate has lower returns,
but levered, it gets higher, can't you just lever the stock returns and get a better return overall?
Right, but it's the clearest way to go bankrupt if you're a stock market investor. Most of the
time, even well-heeled investors can only get about 2x leverage compared to the 5x leverage
that Scott talked about, because most brokerages aren't just going to give you that.
But even still, even doing that 2x leverage is incredibly dangerous. I talked about the bear
market where the stock market went down 27%. Well, imagine you've levered that up 2x,
and now all of a sudden your portfolio is down 60%. And that's going to be a devastating hit
to someone, especially who might be near retirement and needs those assets.
And so leverage is a dangerous game in the stock market. I think it's a tremendous advantage
in real estate. And Jason mentioned, actually, we have experience being landlords as well.
And I will say this, this is probably the biggest bone I'm going to send back to the
BiggerPockets team, which is, I've made the best returns investing in the stock market,
personally. I've made the most money investing in real estate, purely because of the leverage
factor. It's an incredible advantage. If done well, and as you say, if you make the right
investments and add the right value with your time. I'll chime in here on leverage here.
I plan to invest in both stocks and real estate for the next 50 years. Ideally, I live that long,
at least we'll see how things go. But I think that the stock market, I know it will crash 50%,
at least once, maybe twice during that time period, maybe even more frequently or larger.
And I also know that real estate will likely crash probably once or twice in that same time period,
at least 30% in there, probably not 50%, although that is possible. And I think if you're investing
in either of these asset classes, you're not planning on those happening. You're going to
get wrecked if your portfolio is always dependent on that not happening. So I think that that's a
part of the thing that you have to be ready for defense here. And if you're levered in real estate,
you have to be much more defensive than you are in stocks. Because if you just lose half what you
have, that's very bad in the stock market, but it's not like, oh, now my properties are underwater
and I can't cash flow them because I can't find a tenant. So there's risks in both of these that
you have to be really prepared for. The advantage of real estate's lower volatility and the fact
that it doesn't swing as much as the stock market is again, that you can leverage it,
as we've discussed several times. Two other things. Let's talk liquidity. I think that's
an important thing for a lot of people listening. Life is unexpected. Sometimes people need access
to capital. How do these two types of investing give investors access to their capital?
I think it's my turn to throw you guys a bone. I haven't thrown one yet. So this is
really one of the better advantages for the stock market. Real estate is relatively
illiquid asset class. There are ways to get some liquidity through cash out refinances,
or there's sometimes options for lines of credit. But I think for real estate investors,
the key is really to use your capital elsewhere in your portfolio to maintain some liquidity.
So whether that's keeping personal emergency funds in terms of cash or cash reserves for
every property or on a portfolio level, it's important that you have some liquidity outside
of the actual capital that you're putting into an asset. Because right now, it's relatively
easy to sell real estate, but there are times when it could take months or even years to sell
assets. So it's really important to make sure that you have easily accessible capital elsewhere in
your financial life if you're going to be investing in real estate.
Yeah. I mean, I think when you look at real estate versus something like stocks, I mean,
obviously stocks are more liquid. Like if I need to sell a stock today, I can do that. If I need
to sell real estate, that may require a little bit more time. And we mentioned earlier in the
show here, sort of that concept of being a desperate seller. You never want to be a desperate
seller. And so trying to realize those returns from real estate doesn't always work out on our
timeline. Now, the flip side of that is, as a real estate owner, and I'm a homeowner, I think
some of us are, at least if not all. But you build that equity and you're able to borrow against
that. And that really does make a big difference, particularly in a lower interest rate environment,
which we used to be more familiar with than we are today. But hey, listen, we don't have
any control over that. Right. But it's really nice to be able to borrow against that equity,
to do other things. Right. That enables all sorts of things, whether it's funding college education
or upgrading to a new house. I mean, there are a lot of things that owning a home can really
facilitate in regard to equities, in regard to stocks. Sure. I mean, they're much more liquid.
You can buy and sell them at the drop of a hat. And that's great. But that doesn't necessarily
always work out so well because you're still subject to vagaries of the stock market.
Okay. We got one big topic that came up briefly, but we didn't really drill into it. Let's talk
about taxes. Let's talk about the tax advantages each of you get from your style of investing.
We're going to start with real estate. Yeah. So real estate is a business.
So on a rental property, all the expenses like interest, property management, if you hire that
out, maintenance, those types of things can all be expensed. The structure and any improvements
made to it can be capitalized and then depreciated. And that depreciation can offset cashflow on the
P&L, which means that if you get a 5%, 6%, 7% yield on your cashflow, you often are actually
having a tax loss show up on your income tax returns. So you're not paying any income tax
on that cashflow for a long period of time. And then when you go to sell the property,
you have to recapture that depreciation, which is a trap that investors who think that they'll
never have to do that sometimes run into. But there are options to continuously defer
those taxes through what's called a 1031 exchange, where you can continue to buy bigger and bigger
properties using the equity in your portfolios. And some real estate investors like to play that
game indefinitely, never pay taxes by deferring them indefinitely, die, pass on their properties
to their heirs at a stepped up basis and go from there. This is wonderful in theory, in practice,
investors sometimes run into challenges with that. For that reason, however, real estate's
not really a good option, in my opinion, for people to invest in like their 401k.
So real estate, if you want to get into it and you're not trying to move out of your house and
move into a new rental property with a really low down payment, you got to accumulate liquidity
outside of that 401k and outside of your home, probably to the tune of 50 to $100,000
in most markets to begin to put in the down payment. So that's a challenge there.
I'll speak for the stock side. We're not going to win this argument when it comes to taxes. I
agree. I think real estate has a lot of tax advantages. I think when you look at the stock
market, what we get, well, our advantages are in deferral. In other words, whether it's through
retirement accounts, Roth IRA, 401k, I know there's certain vehicles, real estate, you can
put into a self-managed IRA. Those processes are hard though. But with stocks, it's easy.
So you can defer taxes, A, by never selling or rarely selling, or by putting in their
retirement accounts, which are advantages. But I would say you're not going to get the
very juice-levered tax advantages you get with real estate in the stock market.
And plus in the stock market, even though dividends are great, they're double taxed
and we're paying 15% rates or higher on those as well. So that's a disadvantage for us,
except for those investors who, again, take a long-term view of it and buy a company and
don't sell it or have to sell it, you can defer those taxes for a very long time in stocks.
I think we're at the point that I want you guys to stop throwing bones to each other side,
stop arguing for the other person. I'm going to have you guys do your closing arguments,
like pretend you're on the courtroom floor, really trying to convince the listeners.
I'm going to let real estate go first this time. And Dave, you want to take that?
Yeah. My closing argument is that if you want to maximize your wealth,
especially early in your career, real estate investing is by far the best way to do it.
If you have the energy to put five or 10 hours a week to get started in,
you can literally generate returns that are double that of the average of the stock market.
And yes, it does take work, but if you have a good entrepreneurial spirit,
the total return method of real estate investing, which includes cashflow,
appreciation, amortization, value add, and tax benefits is really unmatched in any other asset
class. All right, Matt, you want to take it from the stock side?
Sure. I will say, listen, if you want to invest easily via an app on your phone,
as I talked about earlier, and you don't want to get the 2 a.m. phone call from a
tenant whose toilet broke and you got to go over there and fix it, check out stocks.
Like I said, the unlevered return is probably the best in the world that you can get.
And it's simple. It's highly liquid. You can buy something today and sell it five
minutes later and get your cash out if you want to. Not that that's recommended.
So I just think if you're starting out, you have a little bit of money,
you don't have enough for a down payment or big capital to become a big real estate investor,
and you don't have a lot of time, stock market investing is probably the way to go.
I'll let the listeners decide who won this debate. I'm not going to make any
judgments here, but I heard the entire time, I think every single one of you at one point
mentioned that you've dabbled in the other one's sport of investing. So how do you guys think
broadly about real estate and stocks fitting into your overall investment portfolio? I didn't hear
anyone advocating for a portfolio exclusively of one or the other.
Yeah, I'll jump in there right now and just say, listen, I own a lot of both,
right? I mean, we're homeowners here in Northern Virginia. We have equity in our house. We've
utilized that equity in our house. We're big investors in stocks and ETFs. So we're big
participants in the equity markets. I mean, to me, this really all boils down to sort of
diversification. I don't think it's one or the other. I think that's the beauty of this system
is you can participate in both. It's just a matter of how you do it, right? And if you want to be
more active on the real estate side and act as a property owner and a landlord, then that's great.
Do that. Try that. I mean, I've tried that. There are a lot of things you learn from it. It can be
very rewarding. But regardless, whether you're a landlord or just a homeowner, building up that
equity can be tremendously valuable. By the same token, you can still invest in equities at the
same time, right? You can continue to build that retirement portfolio and just sort of ignore all
of that short-term noise that we always criticize, right? And just sort of let the equity sort of do
their thing. Let those companies continue to grow. So to me, it's not a one or the other thing. It's
the beauty of the system is you can participate in both and they can be very powerful to ultimately
getting to where you want to go in regard to your financial freedom. Yeah. One of the things I always
think about is I call it the middle-class trap, right? Where what I don't want to do with my
portfolio is I don't want to have all of my wealth in my home equity and then my 401k balance and not
have any liquidity outside of that, no cashflow, no optionality. So every couple of years, I take
out a piece of paper and just literally a piece of paper and I draw a circle and I think, say,
this is how much wealth I'm going to have in three, five, seven, 10 years. You pick a number,
right? And I say, okay, what do I want my portfolio to look like at that point in time?
I just slice it out into different pie chunks, right? Probably financial advisors are crying
about how simple and stupid this exercise is, but it works for me. And I say, okay, what do I want
it to look like at that point in time? And if I'm not on that track, I start changing my behavior.
Even if that means I'm doing slightly inefficient things like not maxing out my 401k
to save more for real estate, for example. So for me, I want a third, a third, a third,
a third in real estate, a third in stocks and a third in private business.
That's what I'm looking for, for my long-term portfolio. And I keep looking at it and every
once in a while say, am I on the right track? I need to course correct a little bit with where
I'm allocating the cash coming into my life in order to make that true. And so I think it's
that simple for me as an exercise and that hard to make those big, challenging trade-offs about
where to direct your cashflow. I think in getting me and Scott to represent real estate here, Jason
and Matt, you're getting the two most maybe stock-friendly personalities in the BiggerPockets
network. I have a lot of friends who are 100% in real estate investing, but typically my target
allocation is like 60-40 real estate and I would split my real estate in half for passive and
active. So I try and do like 30% into actively owned rental properties, 30% in more passive
opportunities, 40% stocks. And as Scott said, it's never perfectly there, but that's sort of
what I shoot for. Matt, any final thoughts? Yeah. I'll just say, I'm glad we did this because I
think these are the two, in my view, the best, the two best asset classes out there, right?
We're not going to talk about bonds or gold or God, crypto, but these are the best. And I think,
yeah, for me as well, I think everyone here has a good mix of both. I'm obviously more weighted
stocks than real estate, but I see so many advantages to both and I plan to invest in
both for the rest of my life. All right. Well, I think we've convinced everyone at least of what
the two best asset classes are. If you want to go a lot deeper on the real estate side,
check out the BiggerPockets real estate podcast and all the content you guys create.
If you want to go deeper on the stock side, check out the Motley Fool podcast,
everything on your site. I've been a user of both of them. So I've consumed the content.
I've read the blogs. I appreciate all you guys have done. Thank you for being here. If anyone
wants to go deeper on other stuff I've moderated, I have lots of conversations
over at AllTheHacks. So thank you for being here.
