CREDIT CARD DEBT & AUTO LOAN DEBT IS DROWNING AMERICANS- IT WILL NOT END WELL

Loan Lounge
1 follower
Sep 12, 2024
Revolving credit card debt has again hit an all time high. Auto loan debt is also exploding. Average credit card interest rate now almost 23%. People that are recklessly running up credit card debt will face financial ruin
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So I have an important bit of economic data
to share with you today.
I came out of the Zero Hedge late yesterday afternoon
discussing the updated situation
with consumers' credit card debt in the United States.
And as you can imagine, the data is very discouraging.
It is not good.
And what it shows is we have a continued decline
in the consumers in this country
recarrying far more debt than they can afford to repay.
Credit card debt has now surged to an all-time high.
We have a revolving debt and we have non-revolving debt
which includes auto loans
that are also surging to all-time highs.
I wanna share the article with you
and I'm gonna also show you several nice pretty charts today
that really drive the point home.
Appreciate you watching the video.
Let's jump right into it.
The article from Zero Hedge is titled,
In Last Hurrah, Credit Card Debt Unexpectedly Soars
Despite Record High APRs, Interest Rates,
As Savings Rate Hits Record Low.
Says, In a Stunning Reversal,
July Consumer Credit Growth Unexpectedly Reversed
the Dramatic June Slowdown
and Soared More Than $25 Billion
to a New Record High of $5.093 Trillion with a T.
I think I did a video last month
where I discussed the fact that the credit card debt
had actually subsided a bit.
And the story I did was,
are consumers now just tapped out?
Are there no more credit lines to tap?
Are there no more credit cards to apply for?
And this story seems to indicate that somehow, somewhere,
American consumers are finding more credit lines
to tap into.
Maybe this is banks are continuing
to over-issue credit cards.
Because look, at the end of the day,
they want everybody to be a debt slave, right?
They want you to be indebted
so you're beholden to the system.
They want you constantly making those minimum payments
on your credit cards.
They're looking for the latest and greatest thing
that you want to buy that you shouldn't be buying.
I know that's cynical,
but that really is the way the system is set up, okay?
They want you to be indebted.
So 5.093 trillion is the new credit card debt numbers.
So looking at the components,
the sudden spike in revolving credit was most notable
as credit card debt growth suddenly reversed
in recent slowdown and surged
by more than $10.6 billion.
That's the biggest monthly increase since February,
and it says the second biggest of the year.
So again, I'll show you the first chart,
and this is total consumer credit, a monthly change.
The red is revolving credit, a monthly change,
and the blue is non-revolving credit.
So you guys take a look at that chart, okay?
And you can see the change, okay,
and where we're at over to the right,
it is pretty substantial.
You have to go back a ways back
to see this large of an increase once again.
So total consumer credit, all right?
Revolving credit card debt
is people taking out credit cards, all right?
Visa, MasterCard, Discover, things of that nature.
Non-revolving credit is student loan debt,
and it's auto loan debt.
We'll get into that in a quick second, all right?
So that's the first chart I want to show you.
The article goes on.
But what may even be more notable
is that after two years of gradual declines
in the monthly rate of increase,
non-revolving credit suddenly surged
by almost $15 billion,
and that's the biggest increase since June of 2023,
and the second biggest since late 2022, all right?
So what does that mean?
It means that auto loans are going up.
A closer look at the surge reveals
that in quarter two there was also a reversal
in the two components that make up non-revolving credit
as total student loan debt unexpectedly always dropped
by 8.3 billion to 1.745 trillion,
a reversal from the 24.2 billion increase
in the previous quarter.
At the same time, listen to this.
Car loans accelerated after declining
by 0.8 billion in quarter one
and rose by $8.5 billion in the second quarter.
So not only are consumers evidently taking out
more credit lines or they're continuing
to ramp up the lines they already have
on Visa, MasterCard, Discover, American Express,
but they're also going out
and evidently splurging on vehicles,
whether that's used vehicles, new vehicles.
It's car loans and that's the component
of non-revolving debt that they're talking about here.
So that has surged $8.5 billion
and that is substantial, okay?
The sudden surge in credit card debt was a big surprise,
it says, because according to the Fed,
the average rate on interest bearing credit card accounts
just hit, listen to this, record high of 22.76%.
These people are paying an average of almost 23%
on these credit cards, folks.
It boggles the mind because they're not,
for the most part, the people that are running up
their credit cards shouldn't be using them
in the first place and they're never gonna be able
to meaningfully make a debt in that debt, okay?
All they do is they do credit,
they do balance transfers from one card to the other
and in some instances,
and we'll get to the charge office here in a second,
they just don't pay it, they just stop paying it, okay?
And we'll see that just like we did back in 07, 08,
when the charge jobs were massive,
bankruptcies were massive.
So as yet with consumers even more strapped,
the actual cash and equity as the personal savings rate
in the United States has collapsed from a 5% to 2.9%,
the lowest since the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, okay?
So let me show you the next chart,
which is the personal savings rate, all right?
And you can see again over to the right of your screen
where the personal savings rate is now, okay?
We're over here, that's where we're at, all right?
So that is the money that people have set aside.
We know that most people in this country
do not have $400 saved up to cover an emergency.
So there is showing you the personal savings rate
in this country is plummeting.
Says there's only so much more credit,
credit card maxing out that can take place
before reality finally sets in.
And again, this is the issue
is when does this thing come crashing down?
Where is the brick wall, okay?
As can be seen in the next and perhaps most striking chart,
and this is important,
total credit card debt at an all-time high
while personal savings rate at an all-time low.
So now we have a chart which overlays personal savings rate,
which we just showed you is declining
and credit card debt, which is increasing.
This chart is insane to actually see this
when it's superimposed like that, all right?
So we have the red, which is credit card debt,
and we have the green, which is personal savings rate.
Look at the divergence between those two things, all right?
So does this end happily?
You guys comment below.
What do you think?
I would venture to say absolutely not.
Eventually, and maybe that time is sooner than later,
the credit lines will run out.
They will get maxed,
and there'll be no place else for folks to go.
And lastly, I'll address the charge-offs.
That is when credit card companies simply are owed money.
The credit card holders have fallen behind,
you know, 60, 90, 120.
And that means at some point,
you know, Discover and Capital One just decide,
well, these are uncollectible accounts,
so we're gonna charge the accounts off.
Now, after they charge them off,
they sometimes file a lawsuit to collect the money.
They can sometimes in certain circumstances.
But let me show you the credit card charge-offs are going up.
And for Discover and Capital One,
this is a chart that shows Discover is in blue
and Capital One Finance is in red.
Look at the charge-offs, okay?
Once again, over here, all right?
So the charge-offs are, looks like ramping up to,
at least this chart goes back to 2017,
are ramping up quickly, okay?
So this does not bode well for the average person
in this country that we know is in financial distress.
And I'm not here just to put salt in that wound.
Those of you that are in that camp, you know,
you just have to take, you know, every day, take a step.
Take a step forward and continue to try to pay off the debt.
Most important thing is try not to get into new debt
that you absolutely don't have to incur right now.
Just don't do it, right?
And think twice about buying that luxury item
that maybe you really don't need,
that you really are just buying to impress somebody else
or a friend or someone that, you know,
that doesn't necessarily have your best interest at heart.
So I'm not preaching.
I'm just saying these statistics are,
should be a wake-up call for everybody.
And look it, if you're one of those
that is smart with money and is smart with debt,
and debt can be used in smart ways, obviously,
but just carrying massive credit card balances
that aren't getting paid off monthly is not smart, folks.
Okay?
If you're one of those people that has been diligent
and is smart with, you know,
with running very low debt or having no debt,
please try to share these kind of, you know,
this kind of information with those that do,
those that are struggling with credit card debt,
those that are, you know, using credit cards,
let's say irresponsibly, okay?
Because it's not gonna get any better
and eventually it's gonna come crashing down.
So hopefully you guys can keep people in your life,
loved ones, family, friends, colleagues,
from making this kind of mistake, all right?
And having a financial tragedy as an ending.
I'll leave it there today, just about 12 minutes.
Thanks again.
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Talk to y'all soon.
Bye.
